FinalWin Prob.pScore
738%92
101
562%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
106.39588.7
DAL logo DAL
89.595102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL101
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMISS Henderson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMilicic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALMISS Booth 18' Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMISS Mbenga 7' Hook Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Prince 5' Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 2:06DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)98
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 2:10DALNowitzki 5' Jump Hook Shot (27 PTS)97
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 2:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 2:15DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 2:32DETPrince Driving Layup (12 PTS)97
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:44DALMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 2:47DETHoward STEAL (2 STL)95
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 2:52DETPistons Rebound95
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 3:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)95
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 3:02DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 3:24DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)95
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 3:24DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 295
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 3:24DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)95
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 3:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)95
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 3:25DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 3:34DETBillups Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)95
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 3:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 3:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 3:51DETWallace Slam Dunk (8 PTS)93
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 4:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)91
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 4:12DETTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)91
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 4:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 4:14DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 4:21DETTerry STEAL (1 STL)91
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:29DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)91
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 4:34DETDampier STEAL (1 STL)91
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 4:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 5:00DETMISS Campbell Slam Dunk91
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 5:03DALDampier Slam Dunk (10 PTS)91
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 5:06DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:29DALMISS Armstrong 26' Jump Shot91
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Hamilton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot91
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:03DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 6:11DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 6:13DETMISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot91
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 6:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)91
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 6:37DALMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot91
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 6:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 7:00DETMISS Hamilton 23' Jump Shot91
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 7:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 7:11DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot91
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 7:21DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)91
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 7:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 7:46DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot91
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 8:05DETCampbell 6' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)91
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 8:06DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 8:09DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot89
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q4 - 8:27DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 8:29DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot89
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 8:43DETHunter 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)89
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 8:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 8:53DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot86
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 9:10DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)86
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 9:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)83
94.3%
70
5.7%
Q4 - 9:29DALNowitzki Layup (17 PTS)83
95.4%
69
4.6%
Q4 - 9:48DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
96.3%
67
3.7%
Q4 - 9:50DETMISS Delfino Layup83
96.6%
67
3.4%
Q4 - 9:53DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q4 - 9:56DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q4 - 10:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
95.5%
67
4.5%
Q4 - 10:12DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot83
95.8%
67
4.2%
Q4 - 10:30DALStackhouse Layup (13 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)83
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q4 - 10:36DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)83
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q4 - 10:48DALBooth Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)83
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 10:48DALBooth Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)83
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 10:48DALBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q4 - 10:49DALMISS Harris Layup83
98.4%
63
1.6%
Q4 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q4 - 11:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q4 - 11:17DETMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot83
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 11:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q4 - 11:35DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot83
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q4 - 11:46DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 11:46DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL81
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
96.5%
63
3.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)81
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALBradley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)78
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)78
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)78
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)78
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALStackhouse Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)78
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q3 - 1:00DETHunter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)78
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q3 - 1:03DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)78
96.5%
59
3.5%
Q3 - 1:15DETHunter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)78
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 1:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 1:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 1:37DALBooth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Campbell 10' Jump Shot76
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 2:01DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 2:03DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot76
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 2:08DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 2:11DETMISS Campbell 19' Jump Shot76
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 2:29DETPistons Rebound76
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 2:30DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot76
95.6%
57
4.4%
Q3 - 2:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
95.0%
57
5.0%
Q3 - 2:43DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 3:08DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 3:08DALBradley Tip Shot (4 PTS)76
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q3 - 3:11DALMISS Booth 16' Jump Shot76
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q3 - 3:31DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
96.0%
55
4.0%
Q3 - 3:31DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q3 - 3:32DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)74
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 3:39DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 3:53DALHoward 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)72
93.4%
55
6.6%
Q3 - 4:09DETWallace Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)72
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q3 - 4:13DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
92.5%
53
7.5%
Q3 - 4:15DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
92.1%
53
7.9%
Q3 - 4:20DALMAVERICKS Rebound70
91.0%
53
9.0%
Q3 - 4:20DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
91.0%
53
9.0%
Q3 - 4:20DALMISS Stackhouse Layup70
92.1%
53
7.9%
Q3 - 4:22DALMISS Bradley Driving Layup70
92.1%
53
7.9%
Q3 - 4:42DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q3 - 4:42DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
90.9%
53
9.1%
Q3 - 5:05DALTerry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)68
88.7%
53
11.3%
Q3 - 5:22DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)68
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 5:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
87.0%
51
13.0%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot65
85.5%
51
14.5%
Q3 - 5:45DALDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)65
87.0%
51
13.0%
Q3 - 6:00DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)65
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 6:13DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
81.3%
51
18.7%
Q3 - 6:13DALStackhouse Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)63
83.6%
50
16.4%
Q3 - 6:18DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)63
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 6:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q3 - 6:32DALMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 6:53DETPrince 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
81.2%
48
18.8%
Q3 - 7:19DALHoward Driving Layup (10 PTS)59
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q3 - 7:31DETHamilton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
79.8%
46
20.2%
Q3 - 7:53DALDampier 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)57
77.6%
46
22.4%
Q3 - 8:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q3 - 8:11DETMISS Prince 6' Turnaround Jump Shot57
79.9%
44
20.1%
Q3 - 8:33DALNowitzki Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q3 - 8:40DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
83.6%
42
16.4%
Q3 - 8:42DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q3 - 8:58DETBillups Driving Layup (17 PTS)57
83.7%
42
16.3%
Q3 - 9:02DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)55
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q3 - 9:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
77.8%
42
22.2%
Q3 - 9:09DETPrince Slam Dunk (6 PTS)55
77.8%
42
22.2%
Q3 - 9:11DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot53
73.2%
42
26.8%
Q3 - 9:34DETPistons Rebound53
75.3%
42
24.7%
Q3 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot53
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q3 - 9:50DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 153
72.8%
42
27.2%
Q3 - 9:50DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)53
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q3 - 10:05DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q3 - 10:05DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q3 - 10:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q3 - 10:20DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot51
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q3 - 10:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
71.4%
41
28.6%
Q3 - 10:38DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot51
70.4%
41
29.6%
Q3 - 10:54DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)51
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q3 - 11:15DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)49
64.1%
41
35.9%
Q3 - 11:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q3 - 11:22DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot49
69.3%
39
30.7%
Q3 - 11:29DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)49
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q3 - 11:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
70.3%
39
29.7%
Q3 - 11:33DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot49
69.3%
39
30.7%
Q3 - 11:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q3 - 11:45DALMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot49
69.4%
39
30.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound49
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
69.4%
39
30.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
66.5%
39
33.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 249
68.3%
39
31.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 249
66.2%
39
33.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETDelfino Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)49
66.5%
39
33.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
68.7%
39
31.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 1:19DETCampbell 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)49
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 1:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
67.5%
37
32.5%
Q2 - 1:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
67.8%
36
32.2%
Q2 - 1:54DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 1:56DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 247
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 1:56DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
73.8%
35
26.2%
Q2 - 2:15DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 2:17DETMISS Billups Driving Layup46
68.0%
35
32.0%
Q2 - 2:33DETPistons Rebound46
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Nowitzki Layup46
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 2:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
67.3%
35
32.7%
Q2 - 2:46DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot46
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 3:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 3:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
68.6%
34
31.4%
Q2 - 3:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
70.7%
33
29.3%
Q2 - 3:26DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 246
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 3:26DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
72.5%
33
27.5%
Q2 - 3:29DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Stackhouse Layup45
70.1%
33
29.9%
Q2 - 3:36DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
68.2%
33
31.8%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Delfino 15' Jump Shot45
69.1%
33
30.9%
Q2 - 3:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Armstrong 11' Jump Shot45
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:18DETWallace 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
67.0%
33
33.0%
Q2 - 4:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 4:35DALDampier Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)43
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 4:35DALMISS Armstrong Layup43
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 4:49DETCampbell 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 5:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 5:08DALDampier Tip Shot (4 PTS)41
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 5:10DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot41
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 5:25DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)41
60.9%
31
39.1%
Q2 - 5:49DALArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)39
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 6:05DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q2 - 6:05DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 238
62.1%
28
37.9%
Q2 - 6:22DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
63.1%
28
36.9%
Q2 - 6:24DALMISS Armstrong 17' Jump Shot38
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 6:28DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
60.0%
28
40.0%
Q2 - 6:30DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot38
61.0%
28
39.0%
Q2 - 6:50DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
63.2%
28
36.8%
Q2 - 6:59DALBooth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 7:01DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 7:05DETJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q2 - 7:07DALMISS Booth 16' Jump Shot38
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 7:22DETWallace Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)38
64.1%
26
35.9%
Q2 - 7:29DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q2 - 7:30DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 236
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q2 - 7:30DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
61.4%
26
38.6%
Q2 - 7:33DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
59.4%
26
40.6%
Q2 - 7:35DALMISS Nowitzki Layup35
58.5%
26
41.5%
Q2 - 7:56DETJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q2 - 7:56DETJenkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 8:14DALArmstrong Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 8:26DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q2 - 8:46DETPistons Rebound31
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 8:47DALMISS Howard Layup31
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 8:56DETJenkins Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q2 - 9:07DALStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)31
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q2 - 9:21DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
55.2%
22
44.8%
Q2 - 9:21DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 9:33DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q2 - 9:36DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot29
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 9:47DETDelfino Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q2 - 9:49DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q2 - 9:50DETMISS Jenkins Layup27
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q2 - 9:52DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q2 - 9:54DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q2 - 10:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound27
45.0%
22
55.0%
Q2 - 10:13DETMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot27
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q2 - 10:25DETJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q2 - 10:27DETArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)27
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q2 - 10:32DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q2 - 10:34DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot27
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q2 - 10:54DETCampbell 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
45.0%
22
55.0%
Q2 - 11:19DALArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q2 - 11:30DETCampbell 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q2 - 11:46DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)23
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET23
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound23
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot23
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
46.7%
17
53.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)23
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)23
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 223
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETPrince Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)23
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 1:08DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)21
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 1:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 1:16DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot19
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 1:43DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)19
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 1:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 1:56DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 2:05DALMAVERICKS Rebound17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 2:06DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Daniels Layup17
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot17
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 2:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 2:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 2:24DALMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot17
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 2:44DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)17
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 2:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 2:52DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 2:52DALMISS Bradley Tip Shot14
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 2:55DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot14
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 3:14DALMAVERICKS Rebound14
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot14
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 3:37DALDaniels 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 3:58DETWallace Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)14
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 4:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 4:06DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 4:22DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 4:43DALBradley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)10
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 4:56DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 5:14DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 5:28DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 5:28DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 5:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:34DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot6
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 5:59DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 5:59DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 6:14DALDaniels 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 6:20DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 6:22DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot4
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 6:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 6:29DALMISS Dampier 7' Jump Shot4
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 6:43DETBillups 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)4
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 6:55DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:57DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot2
23.6%
8
76.4%
Q1 - 7:12DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 7:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 7:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 22
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 7:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 22
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 7:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 7:36DALMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot2
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 7:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 7:51DETNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)2
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 8:11DALHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)2
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 8:25DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)2
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 8:42DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)2
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 8:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 8:54DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:13DALHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:20DETHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:37DETPistons Rebound2
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 22
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 22
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 9:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:42DETNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 10:03DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:06DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:06DALMISS Dampier Layup2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:17DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot2
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 10:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 10:35DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:39DALMISS Daniels Layup2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:51DETMISS Wallace 4' Hook Shot2
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:13DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:34DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Wallace: Tip to Wallace0
33.3%
0
66.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 52.1%
DAL
0.79 39.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
23
65%
DAL
15
27
56%
Midrange
DET
18
42
43%
DAL
12
42
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
DAL
3
4.5
21
14%
21%
Free Throws
DET
20
27
74%
DAL
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2463%12.0 / 19
R. Hamilton1956%9.5 / 17
R. Wallace1346%6.5 / 14
T. Prince1267%6.0 / 9
E. Campbell1155%5.5 / 10
B. Wallace840%4.0 / 10
C. Delfino536%2.5 / 7
L. Hunter583%2.5 / 3
H. Jenkins233%1.0 / 3
D. Milicic2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2742%13.5 / 32
J. Stackhouse1365%6.5 / 10
J. Howard1243%6.0 / 14
E. Dampier1169%5.5 / 8
D. Armstrong735%3.5 / 10
J. Terry531%2.5 / 8
M. Daniels429%2.0 / 7
S. Bradley433%2.0 / 6
C. Booth225%1.0 / 4
D. Harris0-0.0 / 3
A. Henderson0-0.0 / 1
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
84
+13
-11
97
DAL
86
+20
-9
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 52.1%
DAL
0.79 39.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
107.3
DET 106.3
DAL 89.5 +16.8
Pace
89.5
95.3
DET 88.7
DAL 102.3 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.8
DET 16.2
DAL 14.1 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
49.2%
DET 51.3% +16.3%
DAL 35.0%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
DET 13.3%
DAL 8.1% +5.2%
ORB %
31.3%
28.7%
DET 29.3% +1.8%
DAL 27.5%
FTrt
33.5
34.6
DET 34.2 +2.0
DAL 32.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
52.6%
DET 52.6% +2.6%
DAL 50.0%
STL %
7.8%
9.0%
DET 7.4% +2.1%
DAL 5.3%
BLK %
9.4%
8.6%
DET 7.2%
DAL 9.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
51.7%
DET 52.1% +12.7%
DAL 39.4%
Rim FG%
55.5%
57.5%
DET 65.2% +9.6%
DAL 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.7%
41.4%
DET 42.9% +14.3%
DAL 28.6%
3P %
34.5%
36.4%
DET 35.7% +21.4%
DAL 14.3%
FT %
73.9%
78.9%
DET 74.1%
DAL 75.9% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
32.6%
DET 29.1%
DAL 30.0% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
48.4%
DET 53.2%
DAL 46.7% +6.5%
3P Att. %
16.4%
19.0%
DET 17.7%
DAL 23.3% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points10185
Rebounds4943
Assists2015
Steals75
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (6)29 (4)
Field Goals38-7930-90
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-27
Midrange FG18-4212-42
2-Point FG33-6527-69
3-Point FG5-143-21
Free Throws20-2722-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 27
39.0
19
56%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
35.6
24
63%
4
8
2
1
1
2
1
3
8-10
80%
5-7
71%
2-7
29%
C · 6'9" 240 · 30
35.0
8
40%
15
2
1
1
4
3
4
11
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 30
33.1
13
46%
6
2
0
1
1
4
1
5
3-6
50%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 25
30.1
12
67%
7
5
0
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36
23.1
11
55%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22
21.6
5
36%
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 34
15.2
5
83%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
5.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
1.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
52%
49
20
7
5
11
0
12
37
20-27
74%
33-65
51%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.