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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Pistons38%92101
5Mavericks62%9585
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.8
39.0
34.5
19
57%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
45%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
35.6
36.0
24
65%
4
8
2
1
1
1
1
3
8-10
80%
5-7
3-6
71%
41%
2-7
29%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.2
35.0
29.2
8
43%
15
2
1
1
1
4
4
11
2-3
67%
3-8
3-8
38%
44%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
33.1
34.8
13
48%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-6
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.8
30.1
36.5
12
67%
7
5
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.4
23.1
8.1
11
56%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-9
1-3
56%
41%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
21.6
13.2
5
36%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
15.2
12.3
5
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
37%
1-2
50%
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
5.6
9.7
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.5
1.8
7.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
18.0
1
3-5
47%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
6.0
0
0-1
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
41.0
39.5
27
43%
8
2
1
1
2
0
1
7
15-16
94%
6-20
8-16
30%
49%
0-4
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
35.9
37.2
12
44%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-4
25%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
20.8
31.3
11
70%
14
1
1
0
0
2
6
8
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
19.5
28.6
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
12.4
15.4
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.5
26.9
17.4
7
35%
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.1
24.5
29.8
13
63%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
19.0
28.9
5
31%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.7
17.2
4.5
4
34%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-2
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.6
15.5
6.5
2
26%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
5.4
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
1.8
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.