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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat56%101100
29Jazz44%9980
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
37.7
36.0
23
71%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
9-12
75%
7-11
6-13
64%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.3
36.5
22.3
21
82%
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
7-11
64%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.8
31.0
32.8
21
54%
13
5
0
0
0
5
1
12
5-12
42%
8-14
6-11
57%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
30.2
27.3
6
61%
9
2
1
1
2
3
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.1
26.3
33.0
9
51%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
32.0
9.7
13
82%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
1-2
50%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.3
18.0
19.0
3
80%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
13.3
12.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
11.5
11.2
2
20%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.4
2.3
0.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
1.3
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.7
20.0
0
1-3
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.4
35.5
28.8
4
25%
2
11
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
32.7
33.2
12
56%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.0
32.5
35.1
11
57%
10
1
2
1
1
3
0
10
3-6
50%
4-7
7-14
57%
52%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
25.3
26.6
6
27%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-8
30%
44%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
15.2
25.6
11
66%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
25.8
17.3
8
51%
8
2
1
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
20.0
5.3
12
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
4-6
67%
4-7
1-1
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.0
17.5
17.2
6
65%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
15.7
20.9
8
44%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
12.6
17.3
2
33%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Aleksandar Radojevic
C · 7'3" 250 · 28.3
7.2
2.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
18.5
1
2-5
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.