Final Win Prob. pScore
1061%102
101
2639%99
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
109.89289.9
MIL logo Bucks
103.29395.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
96
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)101
96
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
94
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
94
Q4 - 0:08.0MILGill P.FOUL (P4.PN)99
94
Q4 - 0:10.0MILRedd 2' Layup (14 PTS)99
94
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MILSUB: James FOR Smith97
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MILSmith P.FOUL (P6.PN)97
92
Q4 - 0:18.0MILSmith 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)97
92
Q4 - 0:22.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 2)97
90
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
90
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
90
Q4 - 0:22.0MILGill P.FOUL (P3.PN)95
90
Q4 - 0:23.0MILGill 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)95
90
Q4 - 0:30.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)95
87
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
87
Q4 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Butler FOR O'Neal94
87
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHeat Rebound94
87
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 294
87
Q4 - 0:30.0MILGill P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
87
Q4 - 0:31.0MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)94
87
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Haslem 6 AST)94
85
Q4 - 0:43.0MILWilliams 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)92
85
Q4 - 0:52.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)92
83
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)92
83
Q4 - 1:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
83
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot89
83
Q4 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
83
Q4 - 1:34MILSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia88
83
Q4 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
83
Q4 - 1:34MILMason S.FOUL (P3.PN)87
83
Q4 - 1:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
83
Q4 - 1:51MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 287
83
Q4 - 1:51MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith87
83
Q4 - 1:51MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 1:51MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.PN)87
82
Q4 - 2:09MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)87
82
Q4 - 2:09MILBUCKS Rebound87
82
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot87
82
Q4 - 2:35MILSmith 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)87
82
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
80
Q4 - 2:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)85
80
Q4 - 2:58MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 3:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
80
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 3:28MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler85
80
Q4 - 3:29MILSUB: Williams FOR James85
80
Q4 - 3:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)85
80
Q4 - 3:30MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)85
80
Q4 - 3:39MIAGill STEAL (2 STL)85
78
Q4 - 3:55MILGill 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
78
Q4 - 4:19MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
75
Q4 - 4:41MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
75
Q4 - 4:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)83
73
Q4 - 5:06MILSmith P.FOUL (P5.T4)80
73
Q4 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
73
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
73
Q4 - 5:23MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
73
Q4 - 5:49MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
73
Q4 - 5:58MILGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
73
Q4 - 5:58MILSUB: Mason FOR Pachulia78
73
Q4 - 5:58MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Laettner78
73
Q4 - 5:58MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
73
Q4 - 5:59MIAGill STEAL (1 STL)78
73
Q4 - 6:13MILJames P.FOUL (P4.T3)78
73
Q4 - 6:17MILSmith Layup (8 PTS)78
73
Q4 - 6:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
71
Q4 - 6:21MILMISS Smith Layup78
71
Q4 - 6:22MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
71
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Pachulia Layup78
71
Q4 - 6:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
71
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot78
71
Q4 - 7:03MILGill 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)78
71
Q4 - 7:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
69
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
69
Q4 - 7:20MILSUB: Redd FOR Strickland78
69
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
69
Q4 - 7:20MILGill S.FOUL (P1.T2)77
69
Q4 - 7:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
69
Q4 - 7:31MILMISS James 9' Jump Shot77
69
Q4 - 7:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
69
Q4 - 8:06MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
69
Q4 - 8:06MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling74
68
Q4 - 8:06MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
68
Q4 - 8:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T3)74
67
Q4 - 8:23MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal74
67
Q4 - 8:23MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T11)74
67
Q4 - 8:23MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P5)74
67
Q4 - 8:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
67
Q4 - 8:41MILMISS Pachulia Layup74
67
Q4 - 8:5374
67
Q4 - 8:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
67
Q4 - 9:04MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
67
Q4 - 9:04MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones74
66
Q4 - 9:04MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
66
Q4 - 9:04MIAJones S.FOUL (P5.T2)74
65
Q4 - 9:12MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
65
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot74
65
Q4 - 9:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
65
Q4 - 9:35MILMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
65
Q4 - 9:42MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem74
65
Q4 - 9:42MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T1)74
65
Q4 - 9:51MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
65
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)74
65
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup74
65
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
65
Q4 - 10:08MILSUB: Smith FOR Mason74
65
Q4 - 10:08MILJames P.FOUL (P3.T1)74
65
Q4 - 10:18MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)74
65
Q4 - 10:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
65
Q4 - 10:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)74
65
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot72
65
Q4 - 10:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
65
Q4 - 10:56MILMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
65
Q4 - 11:05MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)72
65
Q4 - 11:27MILJames 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)72
65
Q4 - 11:45MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)72
63
Q4 - 12:0070
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
63
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound68
63
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
63
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot68
63
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot68
63
Q3 - 0:27.0MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)68
63
Q3 - 0:40.0MILBUCKS Rebound68
60
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot68
60
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
59
Q3 - 0:55.0MIADooling L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)68
58
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)68
58
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot68
58
Q3 - 1:04MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
58
Q3 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
58
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem Dunk68
58
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Layup68
58
Q3 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
58
Q3 - 1:22MILMISS Pachulia Layup68
58
Q3 - 1:27MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
58
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
58
Q3 - 1:50MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)68
58
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
58
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
58
Q3 - 2:23MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)66
58
Q3 - 2:36MILSUB: James FOR Williams66
58
Q3 - 2:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
58
Q3 - 2:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
58
Q3 - 2:45MILMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
58
Q3 - 3:05MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Haslem 5 AST)66
58
Q3 - 3:19MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
58
Q3 - 3:19MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
57
Q3 - 3:19MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)64
56
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
56
Q3 - 3:29MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones63
56
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
56
Q3 - 3:29MILStrickland L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)62
56
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
56
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 3:45MILMason 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
56
Q3 - 4:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
54
Q3 - 4:05MILSUB: Gill FOR Smith61
54
Q3 - 4:05MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd61
54
Q3 - 4:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
54
Q3 - 4:05MILSmith S.FOUL (P4.PN)60
54
Q3 - 4:10MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
54
Q3 - 4:31MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
54
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
54
Q3 - 4:39MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot58
54
Q3 - 4:54MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)58
54
Q3 - 5:17MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
54
Q3 - 5:17MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
53
Q3 - 5:17MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)56
52
Q3 - 5:29MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)56
52
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
52
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 254
52
Q3 - 5:55MILBUCKS Rebound54
52
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 254
52
Q3 - 5:55MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)54
52
Q3 - 5:55MIADoleac L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)54
52
Q3 - 5:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
52
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Layup54
52
Q3 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
52
Q3 - 6:02MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot54
52
Q3 - 6:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
52
Q3 - 6:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 6:15MILSmith L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)52
52
Q3 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound52
52
Q3 - 6:16MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot52
52
Q3 - 6:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
52
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot52
52
Q3 - 6:51MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)52
52
Q3 - 7:01MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T4)52
50
Q3 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
50
Q3 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
50
Q3 - 7:08MILMason P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
50
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
50
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)50
49
Q3 - 7:21MIAO'Neal T.FOUL (P4.T3)50
48
Q3 - 7:21MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones50
48
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
48
Q3 - 7:21MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T3)50
47
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
47
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
47
Q3 - 7:37MILWilliams L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)48
47
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
47
Q3 - 7:38MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot48
47
Q3 - 8:03MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal48
47
Q3 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
47
Q3 - 8:03MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P4)48
47
Q3 - 8:19MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
47
Q3 - 8:19MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P3)48
47
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
47
Q3 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
47
Q3 - 8:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
47
Q3 - 8:45MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot46
47
Q3 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
47
Q3 - 8:58MIAHeat Rebound45
47
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
47
Q3 - 8:58MILSmith S.FOUL (P2.T4)45
47
Q3 - 9:10MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric45
47
Q3 - 9:10MILGadzuric P.FOUL (P4.T3)45
47
Q3 - 9:30MILMason Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
47
Q3 - 9:34MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
45
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones Layup45
45
Q3 - 9:46MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T2)45
45
Q3 - 10:05MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
45
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Layup (9 PTS)45
43
Q3 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
43
Q3 - 10:34MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot43
43
Q3 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
43
Q3 - 10:47MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
43
Q3 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
43
Q3 - 11:09MILMason Layup (13 PTS)40
43
Q3 - 11:27MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
41
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
41
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot38
41
Q3 - 11:51MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)38
41
Q3 - 12:0038
41
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL38
41
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL38
41
Q2 - 0:00.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)38
41
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Strickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
41
Q2 - 0:10.0MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
41
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot38
41
Q2 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
41
Q2 - 0:39.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)38
41
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWade Palming Turnover (P4.T6)38
41
Q2 - 0:44.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
41
Q2 - 0:46.0MILMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot38
41
Q2 - 1:08MIAWade Layup (7 PTS)38
41
Q2 - 1:28MILGill 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
41
Q2 - 1:45MILBUCKS Rebound36
39
Q2 - 1:46MILMISS Mason Layup36
39
Q2 - 1:48MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
39
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 1:58MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
39
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
39
Q2 - 2:24MILPachulia Layup (6 PTS)36
39
Q2 - 2:45MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 2:56MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
37
Q2 - 2:56MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
36
Q2 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
35
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.PN)34
35
Q2 - 3:22MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)34
35
Q2 - 3:37MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 232
35
Q2 - 3:37MILSUB: Williams FOR James32
35
Q2 - 3:37MILBUCKS Rebound32
35
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 232
35
Q2 - 3:37MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac32
35
Q2 - 3:37MIADoleac S.FOUL (P3.T4)32
35
Q2 - 3:41MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
35
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 3:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
35
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 4:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
35
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 4:29MILGill 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 4:49MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
33
Q2 - 5:06MILPachulia 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 5:26MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
31
Q2 - 5:26MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 5:26MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
31
Q2 - 5:26MILStrickland L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)28
31
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound28
31
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
31
Q2 - 5:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
31
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 5:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 6:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)28
31
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade Layup28
31
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
31
Q2 - 6:23MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson28
30
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 6:23MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T3)28
29
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)28
29
Q2 - 6:24MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
29
Q2 - 6:24MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot28
29
Q2 - 6:25MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
29
Q2 - 6:25MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot28
29
Q2 - 6:27MILMISS James 8' Jump Shot28
29
Q2 - 6:33MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)28
29
Q2 - 6:56MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)28
29
Q2 - 7:10MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
29
Q2 - 7:10MILPachulia OFF.Foul (P2)26
29
Q2 - 7:19MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
29
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot26
29
Q2 - 7:39MILGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)26
29
Q2 - 7:46MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
27
Q2 - 8:00MILStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T4)26
27
Q2 - 8:13MILStrickland 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)26
27
Q2 - 8:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
25
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 8:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling26
25
Q2 - 8:49MIASUB: Wade FOR Butler26
25
Q2 - 8:4926
25
Q2 - 8:49MILJames P.FOUL (P2.T3)26
25
Q2 - 8:55MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25
Q2 - 8:57MILMISS James 15' Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 9:10MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
25
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 9:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25
Q2 - 9:20MILMISS James Layup26
25
Q2 - 9:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 9:47MILJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
25
Q2 - 9:50MIAHeat Rebound26
25
Q2 - 9:50MILMISS Pachulia Layup26
25
Q2 - 10:02MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal26
25
Q2 - 10:02MILSUB: Mason FOR Redd26
25
Q2 - 10:02MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
25
Q2 - 10:02MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P3)26
25
Q2 - 10:25MILStrickland 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)26
25
Q2 - 10:31MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
23
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot26
23
Q2 - 10:38MILPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
23
Q2 - 10:47MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
23
Q2 - 10:47MIASUB: Anderson FOR Haslem26
22
Q2 - 10:47MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
22
Q2 - 10:47MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)26
22
Q2 - 11:04MIADooling 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
20
Q2 - 11:33MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)24
20
Q2 - 11:37MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
17
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
17
Q2 - 11:42MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
17
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Pachulia 9' Jump Shot24
17
Q2 - 12:0024
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot24
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot24
17
Q1 - 0:06.0MILMason 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)24
17
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot24
15
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
15
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
14
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
13
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
13
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
13
Q1 - 1:01MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T4)22
13
Q1 - 1:17MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones22
13
Q1 - 1:17MIAHeat Rebound22
13
Q1 - 1:18MILMISS Smith Layup22
13
Q1 - 1:35MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
13
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
13
Q1 - 1:44MILMISS Redd Layup20
13
Q1 - 2:03MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
13
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot20
13
Q1 - 2:21MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
13
Q1 - 2:45MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)20
13
Q1 - 3:02MILMason Layup (5 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)18
13
Q1 - 3:26MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
11
Q1 - 3:34MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones16
11
Q1 - 3:34MILSUB: Strickland FOR Gadzuric16
11
Q1 - 3:34MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
11
Q1 - 3:45MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
11
Q1 - 3:49MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)16
9
Q1 - 3:53MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
9
Q1 - 4:01MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot16
9
Q1 - 4:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9
Q1 - 4:15MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot16
9
Q1 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
9
Q1 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound15
9
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
9
Q1 - 4:27MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
9
Q1 - 4:46MILSmith 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)15
9
Q1 - 5:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
7
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot15
7
Q1 - 5:30MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7
Q1 - 5:31MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 215
7
Q1 - 5:31MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
7
Q1 - 5:31MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal15
6
Q1 - 5:31MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
6
Q1 - 5:33MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
6
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
6
Q1 - 6:02MILMason 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
6
Q1 - 6:13MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
4
Q1 - 6:22MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
4
Q1 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
4
Q1 - 6:30MILMISS Williams Reverse Layup11
4
Q1 - 6:39MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)11
4
Q1 - 6:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
4
Q1 - 7:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4
Q1 - 7:03MILMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot11
4
Q1 - 7:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
4
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot11
4
Q1 - 7:23MIAHeat Rebound11
4
Q1 - 7:23MIAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)11
4
Q1 - 7:42MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
4
Q1 - 7:49MIAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)11
4
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
4
Q1 - 7:53MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Running Hook Shot11
4
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)11
4
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
4
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
4
Q1 - 8:10MILSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)8
4
Q1 - 8:10MIAHeat Rebound8
4
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 8:25MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:46MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:51MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 9:24MILSmith 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 9:44MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 9:59MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
2
Q1 - 10:09MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:43MILMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:20MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
28
57%
MIL
12
26
46%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
MIL
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
29
33
88%
MIL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem2071%10.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1856%9.0 / 16
D. Wade1743%8.5 / 20
D. Jones1785%8.5 / 10
R. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
M. Doleac857%4.0 / 7
E. Jones528%2.5 / 9
K. Dooling233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason1963%9.5 / 15
M. Redd1644%8.0 / 18
J. Smith1470%7.0 / 10
K. Gill1488%7.0 / 8
E. Strickland1255%6.0 / 11
M. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia833%4.0 / 12
M. James213%1.0 / 8
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+14
-13
93
MIL
83
+12
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.5
MIA 109.8 +6.6
MIL 103.2
Pace
93.9
93.5
MIA 89.9
MIL 95.2 +5.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.4
MIA 16.0
MIL 15.1 −0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.5%
MIA 47.4% +0.6%
MIL 46.8%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
MIA 12.6%
MIL 10.8% −1.8%
ORB %
27.0%
29.0%
MIA 25.0%
MIL 25.0%
FTrt
38.7
33.9
MIA 43.4 +8.0
MIL 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
58.0%
MIA 73.5% +10.6%
MIL 62.9%
STL %
6.8%
6.9%
MIA 5.4%
MIL 5.4%
BLK %
8.7%
5.4%
MIA 5.9% +4.3%
MIL 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.1%
MIA 53.2% +3.2%
MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.1%
MIA 57.1% +10.9%
MIL 46.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.8%
MIA 41.2%
MIL 45.2% +4.0%
3P %
37.7%
35.1%
MIA 28.6%
MIL 36.4% +7.8%
FT %
67.2%
77.2%
MIA 87.9% +9.3%
MIL 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 36.8% +3.9%
MIL 32.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.1%
MIA 44.7% −8.4%
MIL 53.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
14.1%
MIA 18.4% +4.5%
MIL 13.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points10196
Rebounds4238
Assists2522
Steals55
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals34-7635-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2812-26
Midrange FG14-3419-42
2-Point FG30-6231-68
3-Point FG4-144-11
Free Throws29-3322-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
42.3
20
71%
13
6
0
1
1
3
4
9
12-12
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.9
17
43%
4
10
2
2
5
3
2
2
7-10
70%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
36.1
17
85%
4
5
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
31.5
5
28%
6
1
0
0
0
5
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
21.5
18
56%
6
1
1
0
4
5
2
4
4-5
80%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
23.1
14
54%
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
20.0
8
57%
2
1
1
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
11.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
42
25
5
4
13
0
9
33
29-33
88%
30-62
48%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.