FinalWin Prob.pScore
1061%102
101
2639%99
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.89289.9
MIL logo MIL
103.29395.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)101
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILRedd 2' Layup (14 PTS)99
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILSmith 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)97
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILGill 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)95
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 294
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)94
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS) (Haslem 6 AST)94
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILWilliams 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)92
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)92
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot89
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
95.9%
83
4.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 1:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
92.7%
83
7.3%
Q4 - 1:51MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 287
92.3%
83
7.7%
Q4 - 1:51MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
89.6%
83
10.4%
Q4 - 2:09MILBUCKS Rebound87
92.0%
82
8.0%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot87
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 2:35MILSmith 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)87
95.8%
82
4.2%
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
95.6%
80
4.4%
Q4 - 2:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)85
94.2%
80
5.8%
Q4 - 2:58MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot85
93.3%
80
6.7%
Q4 - 3:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
90.4%
80
9.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q4 - 3:30MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)85
94.5%
80
5.5%
Q4 - 3:39MIAGill STEAL (2 STL)85
94.1%
78
5.9%
Q4 - 3:55MILGill 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
96.0%
78
4.0%
Q4 - 4:19MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 4:41MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)83
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
94.8%
73
5.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q4 - 5:23MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
94.9%
73
5.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)80
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 5:58MILGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
90.6%
73
9.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAGill STEAL (1 STL)78
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q4 - 6:17MILSmith Layup (8 PTS)78
89.3%
73
10.7%
Q4 - 6:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 6:21MILMISS Smith Layup78
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 6:22MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Pachulia Layup78
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 6:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot78
92.4%
71
7.6%
Q4 - 7:03MILGill 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)78
92.8%
71
7.2%
Q4 - 7:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
94.3%
69
5.7%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q4 - 7:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 7:31MILMISS James 9' Jump Shot77
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q4 - 7:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
92.6%
69
7.4%
Q4 - 8:06MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
86.6%
69
13.4%
Q4 - 8:06MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q4 - 8:23MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T11)74
89.3%
67
10.7%
Q4 - 8:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
91.6%
67
8.4%
Q4 - 8:41MILMISS Pachulia Layup74
91.0%
67
9.0%
Q4 - 8:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
89.4%
67
10.6%
Q4 - 9:04MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q4 - 9:04MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
91.1%
66
8.9%
Q4 - 9:12MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
92.6%
65
7.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot74
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q4 - 9:35MILMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q4 - 9:51MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
92.6%
65
7.4%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)74
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup74
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 10:18MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)74
93.4%
65
6.6%
Q4 - 10:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
91.7%
65
8.3%
Q4 - 10:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)74
91.7%
65
8.3%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot72
88.3%
65
11.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
90.0%
65
10.0%
Q4 - 10:56MILMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q4 - 11:05MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)72
86.5%
65
13.5%
Q4 - 11:27MILJames 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)72
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)72
90.9%
63
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
86.6%
63
13.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound68
83.3%
63
16.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
83.3%
63
16.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot68
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot68
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)68
83.3%
63
16.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILBUCKS Rebound68
88.3%
60
11.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot68
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
90.3%
60
9.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
90.8%
59
9.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)68
92.0%
58
8.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot68
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q3 - 1:04MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem Dunk68
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Layup68
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
92.8%
58
7.2%
Q3 - 1:22MILMISS Pachulia Layup68
92.3%
58
7.7%
Q3 - 1:27MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
92.4%
58
7.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)68
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
88.8%
58
11.2%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
88.2%
58
11.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)66
86.7%
58
13.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
88.9%
58
11.1%
Q3 - 2:45MILMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 3:05MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Haslem 5 AST)66
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q3 - 3:19MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
84.1%
58
15.9%
Q3 - 3:19MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
84.6%
57
15.4%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
86.3%
56
13.7%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
85.8%
56
14.2%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
84.1%
56
15.9%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot62
82.3%
56
17.7%
Q3 - 3:45MILMason 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
84.1%
56
15.9%
Q3 - 4:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
85.6%
54
14.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 4:10MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
83.7%
54
16.3%
Q3 - 4:31MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 4:39MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot58
77.4%
54
22.6%
Q3 - 4:54MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)58
74.9%
54
25.1%
Q3 - 5:17MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
71.7%
54
28.3%
Q3 - 5:17MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
72.3%
53
27.7%
Q3 - 5:29MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)56
74.7%
52
25.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
71.7%
52
28.3%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 254
71.2%
52
28.8%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 254
69.2%
52
30.8%
Q3 - 5:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Layup54
69.1%
52
30.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
71.7%
52
28.3%
Q3 - 6:02MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot54
70.4%
52
29.6%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound52
64.5%
52
35.5%
Q3 - 6:16MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot52
63.3%
52
36.7%
Q3 - 6:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
60.5%
52
39.5%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot52
61.8%
52
38.2%
Q3 - 6:51MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)52
64.5%
52
35.5%
Q3 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
67.2%
50
32.8%
Q3 - 7:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
66.5%
50
33.5%
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
64.2%
50
35.8%
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 7:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
68.1%
48
31.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
70.6%
47
29.4%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q3 - 7:38MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot48
66.5%
47
33.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
64.1%
47
35.9%
Q3 - 8:19MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
68.0%
47
32.0%
Q3 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
64.1%
47
35.9%
Q3 - 8:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
61.0%
47
39.0%
Q3 - 8:45MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot46
59.7%
47
40.3%
Q3 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q3 - 9:30MILMason Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
57.5%
47
42.5%
Q3 - 9:34MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones Layup45
62.1%
45
37.9%
Q3 - 10:05MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
65.1%
45
34.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Layup (9 PTS)45
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q3 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
65.0%
43
35.0%
Q3 - 10:34MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot43
63.9%
43
36.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
61.3%
43
38.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
57.9%
43
42.1%
Q3 - 11:09MILMason Layup (13 PTS)40
55.5%
43
44.5%
Q3 - 11:27MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot38
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL38
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)38
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Strickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
54.8%
41
45.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
53.2%
41
46.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot38
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWade Palming Turnover (P4.T6)38
53.1%
41
46.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot38
54.8%
41
45.2%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWade Layup (7 PTS)38
53.8%
41
46.2%
Q2 - 1:28MILGill 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
49.1%
41
50.9%
Q2 - 1:45MILBUCKS Rebound36
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 1:46MILMISS Mason Layup36
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 1:48MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot36
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 1:58MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
54.4%
39
45.6%
Q2 - 2:24MILPachulia Layup (6 PTS)36
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 2:56MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
56.3%
37
43.7%
Q2 - 2:56MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 3:22MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)34
59.9%
35
40.1%
Q2 - 3:37MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.3%
35
42.7%
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 232
56.8%
35
43.2%
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 232
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 3:41MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot32
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
57.3%
35
42.7%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot32
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 4:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot32
55.7%
35
44.3%
Q2 - 4:29MILGill 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
60.4%
33
39.6%
Q2 - 5:06MILPachulia 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
58.1%
33
41.9%
Q2 - 5:26MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
60.6%
31
39.4%
Q2 - 5:26MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
60.1%
31
39.9%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound28
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
57.1%
31
42.9%
Q2 - 6:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)28
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade Layup28
56.4%
31
43.6%
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
58.7%
31
41.3%
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q2 - 6:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 6:24MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 6:24MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot28
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 6:25MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 6:25MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot28
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 6:27MILMISS James 8' Jump Shot28
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 7:10MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q2 - 7:19MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
56.2%
29
43.8%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot26
57.1%
29
42.9%
Q2 - 7:39MILGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)26
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q2 - 7:46MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.3%
27
38.7%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
62.1%
27
37.9%
Q2 - 8:13MILStrickland 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)26
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 8:32MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
65.9%
25
34.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
68.5%
25
31.5%
Q2 - 8:57MILMISS James 15' Jump Shot26
67.7%
25
32.3%
Q2 - 9:10MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
66.0%
25
34.0%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
66.8%
25
33.2%
Q2 - 9:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
68.5%
25
31.5%
Q2 - 9:20MILMISS James Layup26
67.7%
25
32.3%
Q2 - 9:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
66.0%
25
34.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot26
66.8%
25
33.2%
Q2 - 9:50MIAHeat Rebound26
68.5%
25
31.5%
Q2 - 9:50MILMISS Pachulia Layup26
67.7%
25
32.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q2 - 10:25MILStrickland 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)26
68.2%
25
31.8%
Q2 - 10:31MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
70.1%
23
29.9%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot26
70.8%
23
29.2%
Q2 - 10:47MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
72.4%
23
27.6%
Q2 - 10:47MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)26
74.3%
22
25.7%
Q2 - 11:04MIADooling 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
75.9%
20
24.1%
Q2 - 11:33MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)24
74.1%
20
25.9%
Q2 - 11:37MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q2 - 11:42MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Pachulia 9' Jump Shot24
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot24
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot24
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILMason 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)24
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
80.6%
15
19.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot24
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
81.8%
15
18.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
82.0%
14
18.0%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
83.4%
13
16.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAHeat Rebound22
81.7%
13
18.3%
Q1 - 1:18MILMISS Smith Layup22
81.4%
13
18.6%
Q1 - 1:35MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
80.6%
13
19.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
78.7%
13
21.3%
Q1 - 1:44MILMISS Redd Layup20
78.3%
13
21.7%
Q1 - 2:03MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot20
77.9%
13
22.1%
Q1 - 2:21MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
79.0%
13
21.0%
Q1 - 2:45MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)20
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 3:02MILMason Layup (5 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)18
75.5%
13
24.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
76.9%
11
23.1%
Q1 - 3:45MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
75.5%
11
24.5%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)16
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 3:53MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
78.7%
9
21.3%
Q1 - 4:01MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot16
77.4%
9
22.6%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
78.7%
9
21.3%
Q1 - 4:15MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot16
78.1%
9
21.9%
Q1 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
76.5%
9
23.5%
Q1 - 4:46MILSmith 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)15
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 5:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
78.0%
7
22.0%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot15
78.5%
7
21.5%
Q1 - 5:30MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
79.6%
7
20.4%
Q1 - 5:31MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 215
79.4%
7
20.6%
Q1 - 5:31MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
78.4%
7
21.6%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 6:02MILMason 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
77.6%
6
22.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 6:30MILMISS Williams Reverse Layup11
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:03MILMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot11
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 7:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot11
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:23MIAHeat Rebound11
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:23MIAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)11
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:42MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)11
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:53MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Running Hook Shot11
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)11
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHeat Rebound8
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot8
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:25MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Jump Shot8
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 8:51MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot6
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
68.2%
4
31.8%
Q1 - 9:24MILSmith 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 9:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 9:44MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 10:09MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot2
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 10:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot2
65.6%
2
34.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 10:43MILMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot2
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 11:20MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
68.5%
0
31.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
66.8%
0
33.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
28
57%
MIL
12
26
46%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
MIL
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
29
33
88%
MIL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem2071%10.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1856%9.0 / 16
D. Wade1743%8.5 / 20
D. Jones1785%8.5 / 10
R. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
M. Doleac857%4.0 / 7
E. Jones528%2.5 / 9
K. Dooling233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason1963%9.5 / 15
M. Redd1644%8.0 / 18
J. Smith1470%7.0 / 10
K. Gill1488%7.0 / 8
E. Strickland1255%6.0 / 11
M. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia833%4.0 / 12
M. James213%1.0 / 8
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+14
-13
93
MIL
83
+12
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.5
MIA 109.8 +6.6
MIL 103.2
Pace
93.9
93.5
MIA 89.9
MIL 95.2 +5.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.4
MIA 16.0
MIL 15.1 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.5%
MIA 47.4% +0.6%
MIL 46.8%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
MIA 12.6%
MIL 10.8% +1.8%
ORB %
27.0%
29.0%
MIA 25.0%
MIL 25.0%
FTrt
38.7
33.9
MIA 43.4 +8.0
MIL 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
58.0%
MIA 73.5% +10.6%
MIL 62.9%
STL %
6.8%
6.9%
MIA 5.4%
MIL 5.4%
BLK %
8.7%
5.4%
MIA 5.9% +4.3%
MIL 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.1%
MIA 53.2% +3.2%
MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.1%
MIA 57.1% +10.9%
MIL 46.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.8%
MIA 41.2%
MIL 45.2% +4.0%
3P %
37.7%
35.1%
MIA 28.6%
MIL 36.4% +7.8%
FT %
67.2%
77.2%
MIA 87.9% +9.3%
MIL 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 36.8% +3.9%
MIL 32.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.1%
MIA 44.7% +8.4%
MIL 53.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
14.1%
MIA 18.4% +4.5%
MIL 13.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points10196
Rebounds4238
Assists2522
Steals55
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals34-7635-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2812-26
Midrange FG14-3419-42
2-Point FG30-6231-68
3-Point FG4-144-11
Free Throws29-3322-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
42.3
20
71%
13
6
0
1
1
3
4
9
12-12
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.9
17
43%
4
10
2
2
5
3
2
2
7-10
70%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
36.1
17
85%
4
5
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
31.5
5
28%
6
1
0
0
0
5
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
21.5
18
56%
6
1
1
0
4
5
2
4
4-5
80%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
23.1
14
54%
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
20.0
8
57%
2
1
1
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
11.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
42
25
5
4
13
0
9
33
29-33
88%
30-62
48%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.