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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics44%9687
22Trail Blazers56%9889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.0
36.0
30.3
14
60%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
34.5
33.2
6
23%
4
5
4
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
5-11
38%
44%
0-5
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
33.3
31.1
14
62%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
28.4
30.6
12
47%
9
1
1
1
5
1
3
6
6-6
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-2
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.9
20.7
26.6
8
31%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-5
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
29.4
29.9
12
40%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 19.9
16.5
16.4
8
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.1
14.7
15.2
5
43%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 22.9
14.2
14.2
8
57%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
12.4
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
3.2
0
1-1
46%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.0
2.4
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
40.3
23.8
10
63%
13
0
0
0
5
3
8
5
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
39.5
35.5
15
44%
14
1
2
1
0
4
8
6
2-2
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
48%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
38.3
33.9
22
40%
17
3
1
1
1
4
8
9
6-6
100%
8-25
8-16
32%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 30.4
30.4
27.6
15
52%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-11
2-6
36%
44%
2-3
67%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 31.3
22.8
25.7
2
11%
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-8
3-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 19.5
24.4
7.6
11
62%
1
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
23.0
23.7
8
40%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 29.4
19.6
20.4
6
39%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.2
1.6
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
16.9
0
2-4
43%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 20.2
8.0
0
1-3
46%
Geno Carlisle
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
2.7
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.