for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Knicks38%103104
19Wizards62%107106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.8
38.3
35.6
18
47%
2
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
2-6
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
33.5
32.9
14
64%
8
3
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
7-11
5-11
64%
47%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
32.7
35.2
10
39%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
31.1
31.3
20
76%
11
2
1
1
0
1
4
7
4-5
80%
8-11
5-9
73%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
23.4
28.4
8
44%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
2-3
67%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.6
21.2
13.8
2
25%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
19.1
9.5
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.1
17.6
16.0
14
89%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.4
10.8
19.8
4
67%
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
39%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
7.7
2.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.4
4.5
18.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
42%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.8
0.5
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
45.0
38.3
25
48%
13
7
1
1
1
3
8
5
2-2
100%
10-23
8-15
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
40.9
38.2
20
40%
5
7
2
2
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
5-14
5-11
36%
45%
3-10
30%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
36.9
35.7
18
58%
5
9
3
2
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
6-10
6-13
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.0
36.7
27.4
17
60%
14
0
1
1
4
2
9
5
5-12
42%
6-9
3-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
27.8
19.4
12
76%
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
18.9
28.4
8
51%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.2
11.8
9.7
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.9
11.3
18.8
4
69%
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.0
6.4
10.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.8
4.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.3
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.