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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Hornets29%8391
26Nets71%9094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
46.0
17.3
14
58%
9
5
3
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
43%
2-2
100%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 23.2
43.9
21.2
10
37%
4
3
1
1
0
3
3
1
0-1
0%
2-7
2-4
29%
41%
2-6
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.2
43.1
36.3
14
51%
9
2
3
1
3
3
5
4
6-6
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.1
35.0
36.6
9
39%
1
3
4
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
2-6
4-9
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Alex Garcia
G-F · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
22.2
18.6
9
35%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
39%
1-4
25%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.2
27.1
16.3
18
57%
1
4
3
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
7-10
1-4
70%
38%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
26.0
18.9
10
87%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
21.8
15.7
7
51%
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
38%
0-1
0%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
34.8
1
6-14
45%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Corsley Edwards
F · 6'9" 275 · 25.8
5.1
0
1-1
42%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.3
4.0
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
42.6
29.9
11
95%
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
4-4
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
41.9
32.0
19
74%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
2-2
100%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
37.4
17.6
6
47%
6
2
1
0
0
4
1
5
0-1
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 24.5
31.3
40.4
24
71%
3
1
2
1
1
6
1
2
0-0
-
9-13
6-13
69%
50%
2-4
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.7
27.5
25.1
8
36%
5
8
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
2-6
33%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.4
30.9
27.1
10
54%
5
9
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.8
15.5
10.6
9
75%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
14.4
12.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.1
11.8
17.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Kaniel Dickens
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.4
7.5
2.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
4.3
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 34.8
24.4
0
4-8
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.