Final Win Prob. pScore
1234%96
84
1066%101
92
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
96.68786.9
MIA logo Heat
107.08686.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM84
92
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound84
92
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
92
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
92
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
92
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot84
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
91
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMMiller P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
90
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)84
90
Q4 - 0:20.0MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)84
90
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
90
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
89
Q4 - 0:20.0MEMWatson P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
88
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
88
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P5.PN)82
88
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)82
88
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
88
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 282
88
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
88
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMWright P.FOUL (P4.PN)82
87
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMWatson P.FOUL (P2.T4)82
87
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
87
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
87
Q4 - 0:47.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
87
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
87
Q4 - 1:07MEMWatson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)82
87
Q4 - 1:17MEMGrizzlies Rebound80
87
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot80
87
Q4 - 1:41MEMPosey Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 12 AST)80
87
Q4 - 1:50MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P5.T4)78
87
Q4 - 1:59MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
87
Q4 - 2:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
85
Q4 - 2:22MEMPosey Dunk (8 PTS) (Watson 11 AST)78
85
Q4 - 2:28MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)76
85
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Jones Layup76
85
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
85
Q4 - 2:52MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 2:59MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
85
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 3:32MEMWright 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)76
85
Q4 - 3:48MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)74
85
Q4 - 3:51MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)74
85
Q4 - 4:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
83
Q4 - 4:09MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
83
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)74
83
Q4 - 4:26MEMSUB: Wright FOR Swift74
82
Q4 - 4:26MEMGasol S.FOUL (P3.T3)74
82
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 4:49MEMSwift Layup (6 PTS)74
80
Q4 - 4:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)72
80
Q4 - 5:00MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot72
80
Q4 - 5:20MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)72
80
Q4 - 5:39MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)72
78
Q4 - 5:58MIAWade Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)72
78
Q4 - 6:20MIAHEAT Rebound72
76
Q4 - 6:21MEMMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 6:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
76
Q4 - 6:26MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 6:43MIAO'Neal Backcourt Turnover (P3.T14)72
76
Q4 - 6:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
76
Q4 - 7:00MEMMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 7:11MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
76
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 272
76
Q4 - 7:12MIASUB: Wade FOR Laettner72
76
Q4 - 7:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Butler72
76
Q4 - 7:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
76
Q4 - 7:12MEMSwift S.FOUL (P4.T2)72
75
Q4 - 7:34MEMMiller 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Watson 10 AST)72
75
Q4 - 7:42MIALaettner P.FOUL (P4.T3)70
75
Q4 - 7:53MEMSUB: Watson FOR Burks70
75
Q4 - 7:53MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Wells70
75
Q4 - 7:53MEMSUB: Miller FOR Wright70
75
Q4 - 7:53MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)70
75
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)70
75
Q4 - 7:55MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
73
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
73
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
73
Q4 - 8:13MEMMISS Swift Dunk70
73
Q4 - 8:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)70
73
Q4 - 8:45MEMJones STEAL (2 STL)70
71
Q4 - 8:5070
71
Q4 - 8:50MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
71
Q4 - 9:06MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)70
71
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 9:20MEMPosey P.FOUL (P3.T1)70
71
Q4 - 9:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
71
Q4 - 9:29MEMMISS Burks 20' Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 9:33MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
71
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Butler Layup70
71
Q4 - 9:51MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac70
71
Q4 - 9:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling70
71
Q4 - 9:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade70
71
Q4 - 9:51MEMWells Foul Turnover (P2.T8)70
71
Q4 - 9:51MEMWells OFF.Foul (P4)70
71
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)70
71
Q4 - 10:22MEMBurks Layup (6 PTS)70
69
Q4 - 10:27MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)68
69
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade Layup68
69
Q4 - 10:54MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
69
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 11:15MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
69
Q4 - 11:17MEMMISS Posey 15' Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
69
Q4 - 11:37MEMGrizzlies Rebound68
69
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 11:42MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
69
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 12:0068
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM68
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound68
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Swift 31' 3PT Jump Shot68
69
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)68
69
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)68
69
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
69
Q3 - 0:18.0MEMMISS Swift 6' Jump Shot68
69
Q3 - 0:19.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
69
Q3 - 0:22.0MEMLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)68
69
Q3 - 0:35.0MEMSUB: Wells FOR Miller68
69
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)68
69
Q3 - 0:45.0MEMMiller Layup (11 PTS)68
69
Q3 - 0:51.0MIALaettner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)66
69
Q3 - 0:54.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
69
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Miller Finger Roll66
69
Q3 - 1:13MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 1:13MEMSUB: Posey FOR Battier66
68
Q3 - 1:13MEMSUB: Swift FOR Gasol66
68
Q3 - 1:13MEMMiller S.FOUL (P2.PN)66
68
Q3 - 1:13MIALaettner Layup (6 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 1:14MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
66
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot66
66
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
66
Q3 - 1:34MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot66
66
Q3 - 1:48MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones66
66
Q3 - 1:48MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones66
66
Q3 - 1:48MEMSUB: Burks FOR Watson66
66
Q3 - 1:48MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)66
66
Q3 - 1:50MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
66
Q3 - 2:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
64
Q3 - 2:04MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 2:16MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
64
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 2:22MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
64
Q3 - 2:24MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot66
64
Q3 - 2:25MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)66
64
Q3 - 2:27MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 2:54MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)66
64
Q3 - 3:12MEMWright Dunk (16 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)66
62
Q3 - 3:14MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Gasol: Tip to Wright64
62
Q3 - 3:14MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal64
62
Q3 - 3:40MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)64
62
Q3 - 3:57MEMBattier Tip Shot (7 PTS)64
59
Q3 - 3:59MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
59
Q3 - 4:01MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
59
Q3 - 4:07MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
59
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot62
59
Q3 - 4:32MEMWright Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)62
59
Q3 - 4:33MEMWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
59
Q3 - 4:34MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot60
59
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 4:48MEMWright S.FOUL (P3.T4)60
57
Q3 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound60
57
Q3 - 5:01MEMMISS Wright Layup60
57
Q3 - 5:11MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem60
57
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)60
57
Q3 - 5:11MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
57
Q3 - 5:12MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot60
57
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)60
57
Q3 - 5:27MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)60
57
Q3 - 5:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
57
Q3 - 5:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 5:44MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T3)60
55
Q3 - 5:56MEMWright P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
55
Q3 - 6:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
55
Q3 - 6:14MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)60
55
Q3 - 6:24MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
55
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 6:44MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
55
Q3 - 6:44MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
55
Q3 - 6:44MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
55
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
55
Q3 - 6:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
55
Q3 - 6:54MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot55
55
Q3 - 7:06MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
55
Q3 - 7:07MEMMISS Watson Layup55
55
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
55
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P3)55
55
Q3 - 7:39MEMWright Dunk (12 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)55
55
Q3 - 7:45MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
55
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones Layup53
55
Q3 - 7:50MEMJones STEAL (1 STL)53
55
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T2)53
55
Q3 - 8:09MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)53
55
Q3 - 8:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
55
Q3 - 8:48MEMWatson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 9:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)51
52
Q3 - 9:27MEMWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)51
49
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)49
49
Q3 - 9:57MEMWright P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
47
Q3 - 10:15MEMWright 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)49
47
Q3 - 10:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound47
47
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones Layup47
47
Q3 - 10:45MEMWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
47
Q3 - 10:45MEMWatson OFF.Foul (P1)47
47
Q3 - 10:49MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
47
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS O'Neal Layup47
47
Q3 - 11:12MEMWright 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)47
47
Q3 - 11:27MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
47
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
47
Q3 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
47
Q3 - 11:49MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot45
47
Q3 - 12:0045
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot45
47
Q2 - 0:08.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
47
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
47
Q2 - 0:32.0MEMWatson Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)45
47
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
47
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
47
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
47
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
47
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
45
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
45
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
45
Q2 - 1:31MEMMISS Battier 16' Jump Shot41
45
Q2 - 1:33MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
45
Q2 - 1:35MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 141
45
Q2 - 1:35MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal41
45
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
45
Q2 - 1:35MEMBattier Layup (5 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 1:36MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
45
Q2 - 1:37MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot39
45
Q2 - 1:38MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
45
Q2 - 1:39MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot39
45
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)39
45
Q2 - 1:53MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
45
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot39
45
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner37
45
Q2 - 2:09MIALaettner S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
45
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
45
Q2 - 2:10MEMO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)37
45
Q2 - 2:21MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
45
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot37
45
Q2 - 2:39MEMMiller Violation:Kicked Ball37
45
Q2 - 2:52MEMGasol Layup (10 PTS)37
45
Q2 - 2:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
45
Q2 - 2:55MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot35
45
Q2 - 3:08MEMSUB: Battier FOR Posey35
45
Q2 - 3:08MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)35
45
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)35
45
Q2 - 3:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
43
Q2 - 3:26MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot35
43
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 3:40MEMPosey P.FOUL (P2.PN)35
41
Q2 - 3:47MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
41
Q2 - 3:47MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
41
Q2 - 3:47MIALaettner S.FOUL (P2.T2)33
41
Q2 - 3:48MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
41
Q2 - 3:49MEMMISS Watson Layup33
41
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)33
41
Q2 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
39
Q2 - 4:21MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot33
39
Q2 - 4:33MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
39
Q2 - 4:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
39
Q2 - 4:47MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot33
39
Q2 - 4:58MEMSUB: Wright FOR Tsakalidis33
39
Q2 - 4:58MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
39
Q2 - 5:05MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)33
39
Q2 - 5:15MEMO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)33
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
36
Q2 - 5:34MEMTsakalidis P.FOUL (P1.PN)33
35
Q2 - 5:44MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
35
Q2 - 5:46MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot33
35
Q2 - 5:55MEMSUB: Watson FOR Burks33
35
Q2 - 5:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)33
35
Q2 - 5:55MIALaettner P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
35
Q2 - 6:13MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
35
Q2 - 6:21MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
33
Q2 - 6:22MEMMISS Tsakalidis 7' Running Hook Shot33
33
Q2 - 6:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)33
33
Q2 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
33
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Jones Layup33
33
Q2 - 7:01MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Swift33
33
Q2 - 7:01MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling33
33
Q2 - 7:01MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac33
33
Q2 - 7:01MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler33
33
Q2 - 7:01MEMSwift P.FOUL (P3.T4)33
33
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
33
Q2 - 7:08MEMMISS Tsakalidis 16' Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 7:25MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)33
33
Q2 - 7:44MEMBurks 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)33
31
Q2 - 8:01MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
31
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 231
31
Q2 - 8:02MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 8:0231
30
Q2 - 8:02MEMSwift S.FOUL (P2.T3)31
30
Q2 - 8:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
30
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 8:11MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
30
Q2 - 8:13MEMMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 8:37MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)31
30
Q2 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
28
Q2 - 8:59MEMWade BLOCK (2 BLK)31
28
Q2 - 9:01MEMBurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
28
Q2 - 9:02MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 9:21MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
28
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 231
28
Q2 - 9:23MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
28
Q2 - 9:23MEMBurks S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
27
Q2 - 9:48MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)31
27
Q2 - 10:09MEMBurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot28
27
Q2 - 10:25MEMSUB: Miller FOR Wells28
27
Q2 - 10:25MEMWells Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
27
Q2 - 10:25MEMWells OFF.Foul (P3)28
27
Q2 - 10:39MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
27
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
27
Q2 - 10:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
27
Q2 - 10:40MEMWells S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
26
Q2 - 11:04MEMPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)28
26
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
26
Q2 - 11:39MEMLaettner STEAL (1 STL)25
24
Q2 - 12:0025
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMBurks Layup (2 PTS)25
24
Q1 - 0:03.0MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
24
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Burks 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
24
Q1 - 0:38.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 223
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MEMPosey S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T3)21
23
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
23
Q1 - 1:10MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones21
22
Q1 - 1:10MIAHEAT Rebound21
22
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 221
22
Q1 - 1:10MEMSUB: Burks FOR Watson21
22
Q1 - 1:10MEMWells S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
22
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 1:29MEMSwift Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 1:30MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
22
Q1 - 1:32MEMMISS Watson Layup19
22
Q1 - 1:40MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 1:53MEMSwift P.FOUL (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 1:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 2:00MEMMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 2:13MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 2:30MEMPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)19
22
Q1 - 2:41MEMSUB: Swift FOR Wright16
22
Q1 - 2:41MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade16
22
Q1 - 2:41MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 2:41MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
22
Q1 - 3:06MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)16
22
Q1 - 3:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)16
20
Q1 - 3:16MEMSUB: Wells FOR Miller16
20
Q1 - 3:16MEMSUB: Posey FOR Battier16
20
Q1 - 3:16MEMMiller P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
20
Q1 - 3:26MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
20
Q1 - 3:26MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
20
Q1 - 3:28MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)16
20
Q1 - 3:41MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade Layup16
20
Q1 - 3:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20
Q1 - 3:49MEMMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 4:01MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17
Q1 - 4:11MEMO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)16
17
Q1 - 4:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
17
Q1 - 4:24MEMMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot16
17
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
17
Q1 - 4:54MIAHEAT Rebound16
15
Q1 - 4:55MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot16
15
Q1 - 4:56MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15
Q1 - 4:57MEMMISS Battier 10' Jump Shot16
15
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)16
15
Q1 - 5:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
13
Q1 - 5:38MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)16
13
Q1 - 5:46MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
13
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot13
13
Q1 - 6:14MEMGasol Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)13
13
Q1 - 6:23MEMGrizzlies Rebound11
13
Q1 - 6:24MEMMISS Battier Free Throw Technical11
13
Q1 - 6:24MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )11
13
Q1 - 6:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
13
Q1 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10
Q1 - 6:53MEMMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot11
10
Q1 - 7:05MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
10
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
10
Q1 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 7:06MEMGasol S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
9
Q1 - 7:26MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)11
9
Q1 - 7:47MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
9
Q1 - 7:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 7:56MEMMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 7:57MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
6
Q1 - 7:59MEMO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
6
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 8:19MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 8:39MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 8:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:43MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:52MEMMISS Watson 9' Running Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:06MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6
Q1 - 9:08MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:40MEMGasol Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:55MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:11MEMWatson Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:58MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:32MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:48MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gasol: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
32
53%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
MEM
10
44
23%
MIA
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MEM
12
14
86%
MIA
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Wright1847%9.0 / 19
M. Miller1354%6.5 / 12
P. Gasol1238%6.0 / 16
E. Watson1233%6.0 / 18
J. Posey1050%5.0 / 10
S. Battier744%3.5 / 8
S. Swift643%3.0 / 7
A. Burks650%3.0 / 6
B. Wells0-0.0 / 1
J. Tsakalidis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2668%13.0 / 19
S. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
D. Jones15107%7.5 / 7
U. Haslem1192%5.5 / 6
C. Laettner750%3.5 / 7
M. Doleac788%3.5 / 4
E. Jones518%2.5 / 14
K. Dooling125%0.5 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
76
+25
-11
101
MIA
72
+8
-14
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
106.6
MEM 96.6
MIA 107.0 +10.4
Pace
90.6
93.9
MEM 86.9 +0.8
MIA 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.6
MEM 16.6 −0.1
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
52.4%
MEM 39.1%
MIA 55.6% +16.5%
TO %
15.4%
14.0%
MEM 10.1% −6.3%
MIA 16.4%
ORB %
27.2%
27.0%
MEM 40.7% +16.5%
MIA 24.2%
FTrt
32.3
38.7
MEM 15.2
MIA 47.6 +32.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.8%
MEM 57.6%
MIA 65.6% +8.0%
STL %
9.4%
6.8%
MEM 9.2% +2.2%
MIA 7.0%
BLK %
9.5%
8.7%
MEM 4.3%
MIA 7.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
MEM 41.6%
MIA 56.1% +14.5%
Rim FG%
55.9%
63.0%
MEM 53.1%
MIA 59.1% +6.0%
Mid FG%
37.7%
41.0%
MEM 22.7%
MIA 54.2% +31.5%
3P %
35.7%
37.7%
MEM 37.5% +2.2%
MIA 35.3%
FT %
75.4%
67.2%
MEM 85.7% +12.4%
MIA 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.0%
37.6%
MEM 34.8%
MIA 34.9% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
35.4%
42.6%
MEM 47.8%
MIA 38.1% −9.7%
3P Att. %
23.7%
19.8%
MEM 17.4%
MIA 27.0% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8492
Rebounds4740
Assists1921
Steals86
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)32 (3)
Field Goals33-9232-63
At-the-Rim FG17-3213-22
Midrange FG10-4413-24
2-Point FG27-7626-46
3-Point FG6-166-17
Free Throws12-1422-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 218 · 25
38.4
13
54%
3
2
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 250 · 24
37.7
12
38%
11
1
1
1
2
3
6
5
2-2
100%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 25
34.8
12
33%
2
12
0
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
4-13
31%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 29
34.8
18
47%
11
0
1
0
1
4
6
5
4-4
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 26
22.6
7
44%
9
0
1
1
0
0
5
4
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 217 · 28
25.4
10
50%
3
3
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25
16.4
6
43%
5
0
1
0
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 195 · 25
13.2
6
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
9.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 290 · 26
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
42%
47
19
8
2
11
0
22
25
12-14
86%
27-76
36%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.