FinalWin Prob.pScore
1234%96
84
1066%101
92
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
96.68786.9
MIA logo MIA
107.08686.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM84
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)84
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 282
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 1:07MEMWatson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)82
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 1:17MEMGrizzlies Rebound80
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot80
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 1:41MEMPosey Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 12 AST)80
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 1:59MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 2:22MEMPosey Dunk (8 PTS) (Watson 11 AST)78
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 2:28MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)76
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Jones Layup76
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 2:52MEMMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 2:59MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 3:32MEMWright 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)76
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)74
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 4:09MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)74
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS)74
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 4:49MEMSwift Layup (6 PTS)74
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 4:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)72
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 5:00MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot72
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 5:20MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)72
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 5:39MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)72
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q4 - 5:58MIAWade Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)72
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHEAT Rebound72
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 6:21MEMMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot72
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 6:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
16.6%
76
83.4%
Q4 - 6:26MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 6:43MIAO'Neal Backcourt Turnover (P3.T14)72
16.6%
76
83.4%
Q4 - 6:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 7:00MEMMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot72
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q4 - 7:11MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 272
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q4 - 7:34MEMMiller 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Watson 10 AST)72
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)70
14.0%
75
86.0%
Q4 - 7:55MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
18.4%
73
81.6%
Q4 - 8:13MEMMISS Swift Dunk70
19.7%
73
80.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)70
22.6%
73
77.4%
Q4 - 8:45MEMJones STEAL (2 STL)70
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q4 - 9:06MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)70
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot70
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q4 - 9:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q4 - 9:29MEMMISS Burks 20' Jump Shot70
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 9:33MEMWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Butler Layup70
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q4 - 9:51MEMWells Foul Turnover (P2.T8)70
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)70
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q4 - 10:22MEMBurks Layup (6 PTS)70
37.4%
69
62.6%
Q4 - 10:27MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)68
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade Layup68
31.1%
69
68.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
27.5%
69
72.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot68
31.0%
69
69.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q4 - 11:17MEMMISS Posey 15' Jump Shot68
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q4 - 11:37MEMGrizzlies Rebound68
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot68
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM68
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound68
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Swift 31' 3PT Jump Shot68
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)68
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
28.2%
69
71.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MEMMISS Swift 6' Jump Shot68
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0MEMLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)68
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)68
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MEMMiller Layup (11 PTS)68
28.2%
69
71.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIALaettner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)66
24.2%
69
75.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
20.6%
69
79.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Miller Finger Roll66
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q3 - 1:13MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)66
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 1:13MIALaettner Layup (6 PTS)66
28.2%
68
71.8%
Q3 - 1:14MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot66
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 1:34MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot66
33.6%
66
66.4%
Q3 - 1:50MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
36.8%
66
63.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
40.1%
64
59.9%
Q3 - 2:04MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot66
41.6%
64
58.4%
Q3 - 2:16MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
45.1%
64
54.9%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
43.6%
64
56.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q3 - 2:24MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot66
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q3 - 2:25MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)66
45.1%
64
54.9%
Q3 - 2:27MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot66
41.7%
64
58.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)66
45.2%
64
54.8%
Q3 - 3:12MEMWright Dunk (16 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)66
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q3 - 3:40MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)64
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q3 - 3:57MEMBattier Tip Shot (7 PTS)64
53.4%
59
46.6%
Q3 - 3:59MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
49.2%
59
50.8%
Q3 - 4:01MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
44.7%
59
55.3%
Q3 - 4:07MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot62
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q3 - 4:32MEMWright Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)62
43.3%
59
56.7%
Q3 - 4:33MEMWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
39.7%
59
60.3%
Q3 - 4:34MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot60
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
40.6%
58
59.4%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound60
43.4%
57
56.6%
Q3 - 5:01MEMMISS Wright Layup60
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 5:11MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 5:12MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot60
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)60
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 5:27MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)60
43.0%
57
57.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
48.2%
56
51.8%
Q3 - 6:14MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)60
50.1%
55
49.9%
Q3 - 6:24MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q3 - 6:44MEMWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q3 - 6:44MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 6:54MEMMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot55
32.3%
55
67.7%
Q3 - 7:06MEMWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 7:07MEMMISS Watson Layup55
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 7:39MEMWright Dunk (12 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)55
30.7%
55
69.3%
Q3 - 7:45MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones Layup53
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q3 - 7:50MEMJones STEAL (1 STL)53
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 8:48MEMWatson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)51
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 9:27MEMWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)51
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)49
33.7%
49
66.3%
Q3 - 10:15MEMWright 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)49
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q3 - 10:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound47
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones Layup47
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 10:45MEMWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
30.0%
47
70.0%
Q3 - 10:49MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS O'Neal Layup47
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 11:12MEMWright 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)47
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q3 - 11:27MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
27.1%
47
72.9%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q3 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q3 - 11:49MEMMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot45
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot45
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MEMWatson Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)45
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 1:31MEMMISS Battier 16' Jump Shot41
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 1:33MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:35MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 141
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 1:35MEMBattier Layup (5 PTS)41
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:36MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 1:37MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot39
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 1:38MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 1:39MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot39
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 1:53MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot39
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 2:09MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 2:10MEMO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)37
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q2 - 2:21MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot37
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 2:52MEMGasol Layup (10 PTS)37
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 2:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 2:55MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot35
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)35
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 3:26MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot35
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 3:47MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 3:47MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 3:48MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 3:49MEMMISS Watson Layup33
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)33
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 4:21MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot33
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 4:47MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot33
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 5:05MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)33
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 5:15MEMO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)33
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 5:44MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 5:46MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot33
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 6:22MEMMISS Tsakalidis 7' Running Hook Shot33
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)33
31.8%
33
68.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Jones Layup33
30.9%
33
69.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q2 - 7:08MEMMISS Tsakalidis 16' Jump Shot33
29.9%
33
70.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)33
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 7:44MEMBurks 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)33
33.7%
31
66.3%
Q2 - 8:01MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 231
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 8:02MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot31
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q2 - 8:11MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 8:13MEMMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 8:37MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)31
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 8:59MEMWade BLOCK (2 BLK)31
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q2 - 9:01MEMBurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q2 - 9:02MEMMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
36.2%
28
63.8%
Q2 - 9:21MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 231
37.7%
28
62.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q2 - 9:48MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)31
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 10:09MEMBurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
33.4%
27
66.6%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot28
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 10:25MEMWells Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 10:39MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
33.4%
27
66.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q2 - 10:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
31.6%
27
68.4%
Q2 - 11:04MEMPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)28
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q2 - 11:39MEMLaettner STEAL (1 STL)25
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMBurks Layup (2 PTS)25
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Burks 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 223
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
28.7%
23
71.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 221
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 1:29MEMSwift Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)21
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:30MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 1:32MEMMISS Watson Layup19
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 1:40MEMPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot19
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 1:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 2:00MEMMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot19
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 2:13MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 2:30MEMPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)19
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 3:06MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)16
20.3%
22
79.7%
Q1 - 3:26MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:26MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 3:28MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 3:41MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade Layup16
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:49MEMMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 4:11MEMO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)16
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 4:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 4:24MEMMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot16
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHEAT Rebound16
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 4:55MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot16
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 4:56MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 4:57MEMMISS Battier 10' Jump Shot16
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)16
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 5:38MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)16
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 5:46MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot13
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 6:14MEMGasol Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)13
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 6:24MEMMISS Battier Free Throw Technical11
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 6:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 6:53MEMMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot11
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 7:05MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
29.4%
10
70.6%
Q1 - 7:26MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)11
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 7:47MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 7:56MEMMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot8
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 7:57MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 7:59MEMO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 8:19MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)8
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 8:39MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS)8
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 8:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 8:43MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot6
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 8:52MEMMISS Watson 9' Running Jump Shot6
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 9:06MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:08MEMMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot6
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 9:40MEMGasol Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)6
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 10:11MEMWatson Layup (2 PTS)4
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)2
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:58MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)2
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:32MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:48MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gasol: Tip to Jones0
27.2%
0
72.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
32
53%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
MEM
10
44
23%
MIA
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MEM
12
14
86%
MIA
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Wright1847%9.0 / 19
M. Miller1354%6.5 / 12
P. Gasol1238%6.0 / 16
E. Watson1233%6.0 / 18
J. Posey1050%5.0 / 10
S. Battier744%3.5 / 8
S. Swift643%3.0 / 7
A. Burks650%3.0 / 6
B. Wells0-0.0 / 1
J. Tsakalidis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2668%13.0 / 19
S. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
D. Jones15107%7.5 / 7
U. Haslem1192%5.5 / 6
C. Laettner750%3.5 / 7
M. Doleac788%3.5 / 4
E. Jones518%2.5 / 14
K. Dooling125%0.5 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
76
+25
-11
101
MIA
72
+8
-14
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
106.6
MEM 96.6 +10.4
MIA 107.0
Pace
90.6
93.9
MEM 86.9 +0.8
MIA 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.6
MEM 16.6 +0.1
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
52.4%
MEM 39.1%
MIA 55.6% +16.5%
TO %
15.4%
14.0%
MEM 10.1% +6.3%
MIA 16.4%
ORB %
27.2%
27.0%
MEM 40.7% +16.5%
MIA 24.2%
FTrt
32.3
38.7
MEM 15.2
MIA 47.6 +32.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.8%
MEM 57.6%
MIA 65.6% +8.0%
STL %
9.4%
6.8%
MEM 9.2% +2.2%
MIA 7.0%
BLK %
9.5%
8.7%
MEM 4.3%
MIA 7.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
MEM 41.6%
MIA 56.1% +14.5%
Rim FG%
55.9%
63.0%
MEM 53.1%
MIA 59.1% +6.0%
Mid FG%
37.7%
41.0%
MEM 22.7%
MIA 54.2% +31.5%
3P %
35.7%
37.7%
MEM 37.5% +2.2%
MIA 35.3%
FT %
75.4%
67.2%
MEM 85.7% +12.4%
MIA 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.0%
37.6%
MEM 34.8%
MIA 34.9% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
35.4%
42.6%
MEM 47.8%
MIA 38.1% +9.7%
3P Att. %
23.7%
19.8%
MEM 17.4%
MIA 27.0% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8492
Rebounds4740
Assists1921
Steals86
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)32 (3)
Field Goals33-9232-63
At-the-Rim FG17-3213-22
Midrange FG10-4413-24
2-Point FG27-7626-46
3-Point FG6-166-17
Free Throws12-1422-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 218 · 25
38.4
13
54%
3
2
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 250 · 24
37.7
12
38%
11
1
1
1
2
3
6
5
2-2
100%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 25
34.8
12
33%
2
12
0
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
4-13
31%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 29
34.8
18
47%
11
0
1
0
1
4
6
5
4-4
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 26
22.6
7
44%
9
0
1
1
0
0
5
4
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 217 · 28
25.4
10
50%
3
3
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25
16.4
6
43%
5
0
1
0
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 195 · 25
13.2
6
50%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28
9.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 290 · 26
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
42%
47
19
8
2
11
0
22
25
12-14
86%
27-76
36%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.