FinalWin Prob.pScore
1654%97
86
2946%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
96.68988.4
MIL logo MIL
103.39292.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL86
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)86
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDJones Layup (12 PTS)85
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILMISS Mason Layup83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILGill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)83
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILGill Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)83
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot83
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 1:01MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)83
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q4 - 1:22INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)83
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 1:34MILGadzuric 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)80
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 1:50INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 1:50INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 2:01MILMason Foul Turnover (P4.T11)78
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 2:11MILRedd Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:11MILBUCKS Rebound78
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 2:12INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 2:21INDPacers Rebound78
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 2:25INDMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 2:31INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 2:32MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)78
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 2:32MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot78
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 2:35MILMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot78
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 2:50MILGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 2:52INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 3:02INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 3:05MILMISS Gadzuric Layup78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 3:06MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:08MILMISS Mason Layup78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 3:25MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:27INDMISS Harrison 14' Jump Shot78
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 3:43INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 3:45MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot78
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 4:01INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)78
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 4:10INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 4:28INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 4:28INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 274
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 4:29MILFizer Foul Turnover (P1.T10)74
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 4:41INDCroshere Dunk (10 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST)74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:01MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:01MILPachulia Layup (5 PTS)72
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:03MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 5:03MILMISS Pachulia Tip Shot72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:04MILMISS Pachulia Layup72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:30MILBUCKS Rebound72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 5:52MILFizer Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)72
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 6:06MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Croshere 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 6:18INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 6:20MILMISS Fizer Layup72
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 6:33MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 6:35INDMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot72
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 6:56MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 6:56MILFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 7:13INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 7:13INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 7:26INDPacers Rebound70
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q4 - 7:27INDMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot70
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 7:46MILJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)70
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 7:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 7:59INDPachulia BLOCK (2 BLK)70
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 8:13INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q4 - 8:14MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot70
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q4 - 8:33INDHarrison 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)70
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 8:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q4 - 8:59MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 268
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 8:59MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 9:14MILBUCKS Rebound68
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 268
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 9:17MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 9:34INDJones 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q4 - 9:49INDFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q4 - 9:51MILMISS Gill 12' Jump Shot66
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 10:11INDHaislip Foul Turnover (P1.T12)66
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q4 - 10:31MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)66
12.5%
76
87.5%
Q4 - 10:52MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q4 - 10:53MILMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot66
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 11:19INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
11.0%
76
89.0%
Q4 - 11:19INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q4 - 11:38MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)64
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND64
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMason 32' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)64
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDFowlkes 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)64
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0INDMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot61
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)61
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILJames 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 1:25INDJohnson Driving Layup (9 PTS)59
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 1:41MILSmith 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 1:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 1:59INDMISS Fowlkes 18' Jump Shot57
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 2:12INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
20.2%
66
79.8%
Q3 - 2:14MILMISS James 19' Jump Shot57
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q3 - 2:29MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
17.1%
66
82.9%
Q3 - 2:31INDMISS Fowlkes 17' Jump Shot57
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 2:55MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)57
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q3 - 2:55MILGadzuric Dunk (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)57
23.3%
65
76.7%
Q3 - 3:07MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 3:10INDMISS Croshere 16' Jump Shot57
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 3:25MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)57
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q3 - 3:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
35.3%
61
64.7%
Q3 - 3:47INDMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot57
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 4:12MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
40.6%
61
59.4%
Q3 - 4:12MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
41.3%
60
58.7%
Q3 - 4:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q3 - 4:27INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot57
45.6%
59
54.4%
Q3 - 4:45INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
49.1%
59
50.9%
Q3 - 4:47MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot57
47.6%
59
52.4%
Q3 - 5:02INDJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)57
44.9%
59
55.1%
Q3 - 5:15INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 5:16MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 257
48.7%
59
51.3%
Q3 - 5:16MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 5:28MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 5:30INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
50.3%
58
49.7%
Q3 - 5:44MILGadzuric Layup (7 PTS)57
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 5:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)57
57.2%
56
42.8%
Q3 - 5:47MILMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot57
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 6:03INDJones Layup (8 PTS)57
57.2%
56
42.8%
Q3 - 6:04INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 6:06INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
50.5%
56
49.5%
Q3 - 6:27MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 6:27MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 6:40INDFoster Layup (11 PTS)55
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 6:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
53.5%
54
46.5%
Q3 - 6:43INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot53
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 6:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
53.5%
54
46.5%
Q3 - 6:59MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot53
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q3 - 7:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
48.9%
54
51.1%
Q3 - 7:19MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot53
52.0%
54
48.0%
Q3 - 7:31INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
48.9%
54
51.1%
Q3 - 7:31INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 252
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 7:32INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
49.4%
54
50.6%
Q3 - 7:35MILMISS Smith Layup52
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 7:53MILBUCKS Rebound52
45.0%
54
55.0%
Q3 - 7:55INDMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot52
46.4%
54
53.6%
Q3 - 8:10INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 8:12MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot52
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 8:31MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
45.5%
54
54.5%
Q3 - 8:32INDMISS Croshere Layup52
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q3 - 8:55MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)52
49.8%
54
50.2%
Q3 - 9:10MILRedd Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)52
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q3 - 9:10INDHarrison Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)52
49.7%
53
50.3%
Q3 - 9:33MILWilliams Layup (8 PTS)52
53.5%
53
46.5%
Q3 - 9:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
57.0%
51
43.0%
Q3 - 9:39INDMISS Jones 24' Jump Shot52
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 9:59MILSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q3 - 10:23INDJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
63.9%
49
36.1%
Q3 - 10:35MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q3 - 10:35MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
61.5%
48
38.5%
Q3 - 10:49INDFoster 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)50
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q3 - 11:13MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
61.0%
47
39.0%
Q3 - 11:13MILGadzuric Layup (4 PTS)48
64.2%
46
35.8%
Q3 - 11:16MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
67.2%
44
32.8%
Q3 - 11:17MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Jump Shot48
69.4%
44
30.6%
Q3 - 11:33INDMason STEAL (1 STL)48
67.2%
44
32.8%
Q3 - 11:39MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)48
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q3 - 11:52INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P2.T8)48
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILSmith 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)48
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot48
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
79.9%
39
20.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDCroshere 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)48
82.1%
38
17.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q2 - 1:00INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
78.4%
38
21.6%
Q2 - 1:14MILJames Layup (8 PTS)46
78.7%
38
21.3%
Q2 - 1:32INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
81.8%
36
18.2%
Q2 - 1:32INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 1:43MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 2 AST)44
78.8%
36
21.2%
Q2 - 1:58INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
81.8%
34
18.2%
Q2 - 1:58INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
81.6%
34
18.4%
Q2 - 2:10MILJames 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)42
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 2:21MILBUCKS Rebound42
82.6%
31
17.4%
Q2 - 2:21MILMISS James 19' Jump Shot42
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 2:21MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
82.6%
31
17.4%
Q2 - 2:24MILMISS Williams Layup42
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 2:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 2:49INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot42
83.2%
31
16.8%
Q2 - 2:53MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
84.2%
31
15.8%
Q2 - 3:09MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
81.7%
31
18.3%
Q2 - 3:11INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
83.6%
31
16.4%
Q2 - 3:11INDMISS Johnson Tip Shot42
82.3%
31
17.7%
Q2 - 3:13INDMISS Johnson Layup42
82.3%
31
17.7%
Q2 - 3:26MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
83.6%
31
16.4%
Q2 - 3:26MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 242
83.8%
30
16.2%
Q2 - 3:29MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
83.4%
30
16.6%
Q2 - 3:31INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
84.0%
30
16.0%
Q2 - 3:44INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 3:46MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot42
84.7%
30
15.3%
Q2 - 4:16INDMiller Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)42
82.9%
30
17.1%
Q2 - 4:20INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 4:21MILMISS James Layup40
80.6%
30
19.4%
Q2 - 4:30INDJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 4:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
77.4%
30
22.6%
Q2 - 4:58MILMISS James 6' Jump Shot38
76.8%
30
23.2%
Q2 - 5:10MILBUCKS Rebound38
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 5:11INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot38
75.7%
30
24.3%
Q2 - 5:24MILGill Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)38
77.2%
30
22.8%
Q2 - 5:40INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)38
79.0%
28
21.0%
Q2 - 5:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
77.2%
28
22.8%
Q2 - 5:52MILMISS Gill Layup36
76.6%
28
23.4%
Q2 - 5:59MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q2 - 6:01INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
75.3%
28
24.7%
Q2 - 6:07INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
77.0%
28
23.0%
Q2 - 6:08MILMISS Redd Layup36
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 6:32INDGill STEAL (2 STL)36
74.6%
28
25.4%
Q2 - 7:02INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
76.2%
28
23.8%
Q2 - 7:04MILMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot36
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 7:22MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 7:24INDMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot36
74.8%
28
25.2%
Q2 - 7:44MILWilliams Layup (6 PTS)36
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 7:55INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
78.0%
26
22.0%
Q2 - 7:55INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
77.4%
26
22.6%
Q2 - 8:14MILPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)34
75.9%
26
24.1%
Q2 - 8:16MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
77.5%
24
22.5%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Williams Layup34
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 8:30MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
77.5%
24
22.5%
Q2 - 8:31INDMISS Croshere 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
78.2%
24
21.8%
Q2 - 8:45INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
79.5%
24
20.5%
Q2 - 8:46MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q2 - 8:46MILMISS Mason Tip Shot34
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 8:48MILMISS Mason Layup34
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 8:54MILBUCKS Rebound34
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q2 - 8:55MILMISS James Layup34
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 8:59INDPachulia STEAL (3 STL)34
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q2 - 9:13INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
79.0%
24
21.0%
Q2 - 9:14MILMISS Pachulia Layup34
78.4%
24
21.6%
Q2 - 9:43INDCroshere Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)34
77.1%
24
22.9%
Q2 - 9:47MILGill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
75.5%
24
24.5%
Q2 - 10:05INDFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
73.0%
24
27.0%
Q2 - 10:05INDFowlkes Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
73.0%
24
27.0%
Q2 - 10:07INDMISS Harrison Layup30
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q2 - 10:25MILJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)30
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q2 - 10:43INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q2 - 10:43INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 10:43INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 10:44INDMISS Harrison 12' Jump Shot28
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q2 - 11:00INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:01MILMISS Redd Layup28
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q2 - 11:05INDPachulia STEAL (2 STL)28
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q2 - 11:21INDFowlkes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot28
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q2 - 11:38INDGill STEAL (1 STL)28
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL28
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDJones Layup (4 PTS)28
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 0:15.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MILMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot26
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILBUCKS Rebound26
66.5%
21
33.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot26
67.0%
21
33.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILMISS Pachulia 2' Hook Shot26
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q1 - 1:09INDFoster Layup (7 PTS)26
66.5%
21
33.5%
Q1 - 1:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
63.9%
21
36.1%
Q1 - 1:11INDMISS Croshere Layup24
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 1:27MILRedd Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
63.8%
21
36.2%
Q1 - 1:39MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
66.5%
19
33.5%
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot24
67.0%
19
33.0%
Q1 - 1:59MILSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q1 - 2:13MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 2:16INDPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)24
67.0%
19
33.0%
Q1 - 2:35INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.4%
19
31.6%
Q1 - 2:37MILMISS James 14' Jump Shot24
67.8%
19
32.2%
Q1 - 3:00INDJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 3:06MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)21
61.9%
19
38.1%
Q1 - 3:23INDCroshere Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 3:33INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
57.6%
19
42.4%
Q1 - 3:35MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot19
56.9%
19
43.1%
Q1 - 3:49INDJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
55.1%
19
44.9%
Q1 - 4:06MILMason Layup (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)17
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q1 - 4:23INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)17
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 4:28MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
57.8%
17
42.2%
Q1 - 4:34INDPachulia STEAL (1 STL)17
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 4:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.8%
17
42.2%
Q1 - 4:53MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 4:57MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 4:59MILMISS Williams Layup17
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 5:11INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 5:11INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
54.9%
17
45.1%
Q1 - 5:20MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)15
53.5%
17
46.5%
Q1 - 5:39INDJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)15
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 5:53MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 6:11INDMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)12
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 6:17MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 6:34INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 6:34INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 29
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 6:47MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 7:09MILBUCKS Rebound9
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 7:09INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot9
54.2%
10
45.8%
Q1 - 7:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
55.6%
10
44.4%
Q1 - 7:22MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot9
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 7:44INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 7:55MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
51.8%
10
48.2%
Q1 - 7:55MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 8:00MILRedd Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)7
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 8:08INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 8:08INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 8:27MILSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)5
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:46MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
55.8%
5
44.2%
Q1 - 8:48INDMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot5
56.5%
5
43.5%
Q1 - 9:16MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)5
57.9%
5
42.1%
Q1 - 9:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Mason Layup5
60.8%
3
39.2%
Q1 - 9:33INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:50INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 9:53MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot3
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 10:10INDJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)3
55.6%
3
44.4%
Q1 - 10:20INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.7%
3
42.3%
Q1 - 10:22MILMISS Williams Layup3
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 10:25MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
55.6%
3
44.4%
Q1 - 10:28INDRedd BLOCK (1 BLK)3
56.2%
3
43.8%
Q1 - 10:41MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
57.7%
3
42.3%
Q1 - 10:41MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 23
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:54INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:54INDHarrison Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 11:04INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 11:06MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot0
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 11:26MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 11:28INDMISS Harrison 7' Jump Shot0
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 11:43MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)0
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Harrison: Tip to Williams0
55.8%
0
44.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.3%
MIL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
22
68%
MIL
17
41
41%
Midrange
IND
8
31
26%
MIL
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIL
5
7.5
7
71%
107%
Free Throws
IND
25
28
89%
MIL
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller1745%8.5 / 19
A. Croshere1454%7.0 / 13
F. Jones1350%6.5 / 13
J. Foster1179%5.5 / 7
A. Johnson932%4.5 / 14
D. Harrison950%4.5 / 9
J. Jones857%4.0 / 7
T. Fowlkes563%2.5 / 4
E. Gill0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2162%10.5 / 17
M. James1657%8.0 / 14
M. Williams1346%6.5 / 14
D. Mason1238%6.0 / 16
D. Gadzuric1056%5.0 / 9
J. Smith964%4.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia542%2.5 / 6
K. Gill531%2.5 / 8
M. Fizer467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+10
-13
86
MIL
79
+16
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.3%
MIL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
103.5
IND 96.6 +6.6
MIL 103.3
Pace
89.9
93.5
IND 88.4
MIL 92.6 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.4
IND 16.3
MIL 15.6 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
47.5%
IND 42.4% +0.2%
MIL 42.2%
TO %
14.7%
14.2%
IND 13.4%
MIL 12.3% +1.1%
ORB %
26.5%
29.0%
IND 22.2%
MIL 27.7% +5.5%
FTrt
35.8
33.9
IND 38.9
MIL 45.5 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.0%
IND 60.7%
MIL 66.7% +6.0%
STL %
8.3%
6.9%
IND 6.7%
MIL 8.7% +2.0%
BLK %
6.8%
5.4%
IND 10.0% +4.3%
MIL 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.1%
IND 48.3%
MIL 49.0% +0.7%
Rim FG%
55.1%
54.1%
IND 68.2% +26.7%
MIL 41.5%
Mid FG%
39.5%
40.8%
IND 25.8%
MIL 27.6% +1.8%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
IND 26.3%
MIL 71.4% +45.1%
FT %
79.2%
77.2%
IND 89.3% +3.6%
MIL 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
37.8%
IND 30.6%
MIL 53.2% +22.7%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
48.1%
IND 43.1%
MIL 37.7% +5.4%
3P Att. %
25.5%
14.1%
IND 26.4% +17.3%
MIL 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8695
Rebounds4241
Assists1720
Steals68
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)28 (6)
Field Goals28-7230-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2217-41
Midrange FG8-318-29
2-Point FG23-5325-70
3-Point FG5-195-7
Free Throws25-2830-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
33.4
9
32%
5
5
0
2
2
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
32.5
17
45%
4
4
1
0
1
4
0
4
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
1-7
14%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
29.9
11
79%
8
0
0
0
0
5
2
6
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 22
24.9
9
50%
2
1
0
2
3
6
0
2
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 218 · 24
24.6
8
57%
3
1
0
2
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
34.5
13
50%
7
3
2
1
1
3
1
6
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
30.2
14
54%
9
1
1
0
1
1
1
8
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
14.6
0
0%
1
2
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 29
10.9
5
63%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 23
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
48%
42
17
6
7
13
0
8
34
25-28
89%
23-53
43%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.