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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Kings54%9997
15Pacers46%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.7
44.3
34.1
11
58%
13
7
2
1
0
2
5
8
7-8
88%
2-6
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
43.3
35.9
21
61%
6
5
2
1
0
4
1
5
2-3
67%
8-13
4-8
62%
47%
1-3
33%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
42.7
31.1
12
77%
5
5
4
1
0
6
1
4
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
40.9
29.5
26
51%
10
6
1
1
1
5
4
6
2-3
67%
12-24
7-15
50%
46%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.5
40.1
39.6
12
40%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
2-7
29%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.7
26.1
25.1
9
41%
1
3
1
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.8
13.0
9.7
4
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.8
7.9
19.7
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.8
6.8
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.7
1.7
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
42.9
28.0
11
37%
18
1
2
1
0
1
12
6
1-2
50%
5-14
2-5
36%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.2
42.5
30.1
12
40%
2
6
2
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
6-13
3-6
46%
43%
0-2
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.3
41.4
31.4
13
39%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-9
11%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.2
33.2
22.9
10
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
29.0
24.7
6
38%
3
0
1
1
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
34.2
30.5
21
56%
8
1
2
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
44%
2-8
25%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.8
31.4
35.6
17
59%
4
1
5
1
1
5
2
2
7-8
88%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.3
10.5
15.6
2
35%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
13.7
1
2-3
45%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.7
7.4
0
1-1
43%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
5.2
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.