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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks56%98102
18Rockets44%9778
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.8
34.4
35.4
26
73%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
5-9
4-10
56%
45%
5-8
63%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
33.0
34.9
13
46%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-5
60%
5-11
4-8
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
32.5
39.3
22
59%
14
4
0
1
3
0
1
13
3-4
75%
5-11
8-16
45%
48%
3-6
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
22.0
29.1
8
59%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.5
19.6
20.9
4
50%
3
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
21.9
20.0
11
56%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
21.2
21.9
3
50%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.1
20.4
27.4
5
43%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
4-9
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
13.9
14.5
3
39%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.6
8.2
5.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.7
7.7
5.9
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
5.1
7.9
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-2
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
38.5
41.1
15
42%
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
6-13
6-14
46%
47%
0-3
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
31.5
13.9
8
36%
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
2-7
29%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.2
28.9
33.9
13
43%
6
0
0
0
3
1
0
6
7-9
78%
3-11
7-14
27%
51%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.7
22.5
34.4
7
70%
4
1
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.8
19.5
18.6
6
63%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 22.8
25.2
24.4
3
30%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.1
24.8
22.3
7
41%
8
1
0
0
0
4
2
6
5-8
63%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
15.7
9.2
10
56%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
2-4
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.1
12.5
20.7
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
12.1
11.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.5
8.8
9.1
5
43%
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
2
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.3
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.