Final Win Prob. pScore
2218%87
97
282%98
116
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
106.69190.4
SAS logo Spurs
124.79393.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLESAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEL. Jackson 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)97
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASWilks L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)95
116
Q4 - 0:13.0CLECavaliers Rebound95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEMISS Snow 14' Jump Shot95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASHorry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0CLEHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)95
114
Q4 - 1:15CLEVarejao 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASBowen 2' Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37CLEMISS L. Jackson 13' Jump Shot93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46CLEL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Wilks 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12CLEL. Jackson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 7 AST)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan91
112
Q4 - 2:22SASSUB: Wilks FOR Parker91
112
Q4 - 2:22CLESUB: Varejao FOR McInnis91
112
Q4 - 2:22CLESUB: L. Jackson FOR Ilgauskas91
112
Q4 - 2:22CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gooden91
112
Q4 - 2:22CLESUB: Williams FOR James91
112
Q4 - 2:2291
112
Q4 - 2:22SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46CLEGooden 2' Layup (28 PTS) (Snow 6 AST)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CLEBowen STEAL (1 STL)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12SASMassenburg Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CLEGooden 2' Dunk (26 PTS) (James 10 AST)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASSUB: Massenburg FOR Nesterovic87
111
Q4 - 3:39SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39CLEMcInnis S.FOUL (P4.T2)87
110
Q4 - 3:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00CLEMISS McInnis 5' Driving Finger Roll87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42SASSUB: Parker FOR Brown87
107
Q4 - 4:42CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43CLEBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P3.T1)87
107
Q4 - 5:10CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37CLEMISS McInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)87
107
Q4 - 5:51SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 6:11CLECavaliers Rebound87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 6:11CLEMISS Gooden 9' Jump Hook Shot87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 6:24SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43CLEGooden 8' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 9 AST)87
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 6:57SASBowen 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 5 AST)85
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 7:22CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 7:37SASDuncan 9' Hook Bank Shot (32 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:57CLEGooden 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 8 AST)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:08CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:10SASMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:36CLEGooden 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 8:50SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)78
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:10CLEJames 5' Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS)78
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 9:19SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)76
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 9:39CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)76
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 9:45SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry74
94
Q4 - 9:45SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker74
94
Q4 - 9:45SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili74
94
Q4 - 9:45CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)74
94
Q4 - 9:50SASHorry 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11CLEGooden 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)74
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 10:28SASBrown 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 13 AST)72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 10:35CLEHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 10:39SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)72
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 10:48CLESnow P.FOUL (P3.T1)72
90
Q4 - 11:00CLEIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)72
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 11:18SASNesterovic 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)72
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 11:38CLEIlgauskas 2' Layup (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)72
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 12:0070
88
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 43' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)70
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.PN)68
88
Q3 - 0:13.0SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASHorry S.FOUL (P4.PN)66
88
Q3 - 0:36.0SASHorry P.FOUL (P3.T4)66
88
Q3 - 0:43.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 1:08CLEHorry STEAL (2 STL)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 1:29SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen66
88
Q3 - 1:29SASSUB: Horry FOR Rose66
88
Q3 - 1:29SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan66
88
Q3 - 1:29CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
88
Q3 - 1:29SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 1:52CLEJames 4' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 2:07SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)64
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 2:26CLEGooden 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)64
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 2:42SASRose 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)62
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 3:07CLEIlgauskas 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)62
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 3:23SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)60
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:36CLEGooden 3' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 3:48CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 3:50SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:13CLEMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:22CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 4:24SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:40SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili58
83
Q3 - 4:40SASSUB: Rose FOR Nesterovic58
83
Q3 - 4:40CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:40SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)57
83
Q3 - 4:40CLEGooden 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)57
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 4:50CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 4:52SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot55
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 5:00CLENesterovic STEAL (1 STL)55
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 5:14SASGinobili 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)55
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 5:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 5:29CLEMISS McInnis 22' Jump Shot55
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 5:40SASNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)55
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 5:58CLEGooden 1' Reverse Dunk (9 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)55
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:08CLEJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:10SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 6:23CLEMISS Gooden 8' Running Jump Shot53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:33SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T2)53
79
Q3 - 6:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:47SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 7:01CLEIlgauskas Violation:Kicked Ball53
79
Q3 - 7:19SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
79
Q3 - 7:19CLEMcInnis 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 7:23CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 7:25SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot51
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 7:44CLEGooden 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)51
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 8:03CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)49
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:04CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.PN)49
78
Q3 - 8:18CLEMISS James Jump Shot49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 8:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)49
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 8:40CLESnow S.FOUL (P2.T4)49
76
Q3 - 8:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:45CLEDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)49
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:46CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:48CLEMISS Gooden 7' Jump Hook Shot49
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:01SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)49
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 9:19CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 9:19CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 9:19SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T1)47
73
Q3 - 9:31CLEJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 9:33CLEMISS McInnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 9:48SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)47
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 9:54CLEMcInnis P.FOUL (P3.T3)47
71
Q3 - 9:59CLESUB: Snow FOR Newble47
71
Q3 - 9:59CLENewble P.FOUL (P5.T2)47
71
Q3 - 10:18CLEJames 5' Finger Roll (12 PTS)47
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 10:34SASNesterovic 2' Layup (8 PTS)45
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 10:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 10:37SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Reverse Layup45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:56CLENewble P.FOUL (P4.T1)45
69
Q3 - 10:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 10:57SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 11:02CLEGinobili STEAL (1 STL)45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 11:09CLECavaliers Rebound45
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 11:10CLEMISS James 3PT Jump Shot45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 11:12CLECavaliers Rebound45
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 11:13CLEDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 11:35CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 11:37SASMISS Bowen 7' Running Finger Roll45
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot45
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 12:0045
69
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMcInnis 3' Layup (9 PTS)45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)43
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)41
67
Q2 - 0:27.0CLECavaliers Rebound41
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEMISS McInnis 8' Jump Shot41
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)41
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot41
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q2 - 1:00CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q2 - 1:02CLEMISS Varejao 20' Jump Shot41
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q2 - 1:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q2 - 1:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)41
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q2 - 1:18CLEWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
63
Q2 - 1:33CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 1:52SASDuncan 2' Dunk (21 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)39
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 2:07CLEMcInnis 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)39
1.4%
61
98.6%
Q2 - 2:22SASDuncan 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)37
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q2 - 2:25CLEDuncan STEAL (1 STL)37
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 2:35SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 2:35SASSPURS Rebound37
58
Q2 - 2:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 237
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 2:35CLEMcInnis S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
58
Q2 - 2:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q2 - 2:40CLEMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper37
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 2:51SASBrown 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)37
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q2 - 2:56CLEParker STEAL (1 STL)37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 3:08CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot37
2.3%
56
97.7%
Q2 - 3:21CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Snow37
56
Q2 - 3:21SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
56
Q2 - 3:28CLEVarejao 2' Layup (6 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 3:36SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)35
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 3:51CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)35
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 3:52CLECavaliers Rebound35
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 3:53CLEDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)35
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 4:20SASHorry 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)35
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 4:24SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
52
Q2 - 4:27CLEMISS Varejao 9' Running Hook Shot35
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 4:44SAS35
52
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)35
52
Q2 - 5:06CLEMcInnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 5:06SASSUB: Brown FOR Bowen34
50
Q2 - 5:06SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.PN)34
50
Q2 - 5:06CLEMcInnis 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)34
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 5:17SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q2 - 5:17SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)32
50
Q2 - 5:32CLESnow 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 5:45SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 5:45SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih30
49
Q2 - 5:45SASSPURS Rebound30
49
Q2 - 5:45SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 230
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 5:4530
49
Q2 - 5:45CLESnow S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
49
Q2 - 5:47SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 5:49CLEMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot30
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 6:03SASDuncan 5' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)30
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 6:23CLEVarejao 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
3.0%
47
97.0%
Q2 - 6:48SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)28
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 7:08CLEJames 1' Layup (8 PTS)28
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 7:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)26
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 7:27CLESUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas26
43
Q2 - 7:27SASSPURS Rebound26
43
Q2 - 7:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 226
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 7:27CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.PN)26
43
Q2 - 7:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 7:34SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 226
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 7:34CLESUB: McInnis FOR Newble26
43
Q2 - 7:34CLESUB: Williams FOR Gooden26
43
Q2 - 7:34SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 7:34CLENewble L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)26
42
Q2 - 7:39CLEHorry STEAL (1 STL)26
3.5%
42
96.5%
Q2 - 7:48SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 8:06CLEGooden 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
3.6%
42
96.4%
Q2 - 8:25SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili24
42
Q2 - 8:25SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T4)24
42
Q2 - 8:25SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 8:39CLEMISS Gooden 2' Layup24
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 9:01SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)24
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 9:17CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
3.7%
40
96.3%
Q2 - 9:17CLECavaliers Rebound23
40
Q2 - 9:17CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 223
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 9:17SASHorry S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
40
Q2 - 9:25CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)23
40
Q2 - 9:32SASBowen 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)23
3.7%
40
96.3%
Q2 - 9:35SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
4.1%
38
95.9%
Q2 - 9:37CLEMISS James 15' Jump Bank Shot23
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 9:53SASUdrih 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)23
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 9:58CLENewble P.FOUL (P2.T4)23
36
Q2 - 10:07SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown23
36
Q2 - 10:07CLEIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)23
36
Q2 - 10:07SASSPURS Rebound23
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 10:07CLEMISS Gooden 7' Jump Shot23
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 10:15SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic23
36
Q2 - 10:15SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P2.T2)23
36
Q2 - 10:15CLECavaliers Rebound23
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 10:15CLEMISS Snow 6' Jump Shot23
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 10:26SASNesterovic 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)23
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 10:34CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 10:48SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose21
34
Q2 - 10:48CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Williams21
34
Q2 - 10:48SASRose L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)21
34
Q2 - 10:48CLECavaliers Rebound21
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q2 - 10:48CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot21
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 11:02CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q2 - 11:04SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Bank Shot21
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 11:16CLESUB: Newble FOR Pavlovic21
34
Q2 - 11:26CLEPavlovic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
5.4%
34
94.6%
Q2 - 11:43SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q2 - 11:43CLESUB: Gooden FOR Varejao21
33
Q2 - 11:43CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
33
Q2 - 11:43SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 11:50CLEPavlovic P.FOUL (P2.T1)21
31
Q2 - 12:0021
31
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEMISS McInnis 4' Jump Shot21
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASNesterovic Dunk (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)21
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0CLECavaliers Rebound20
29
Q1 - 0:39.0CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 220
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASBrown P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
29
Q1 - 0:56.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
8.7%
29
91.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0CLEMISS McInnis 14' Jump Shot20
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q1 - 1:12SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 1:12SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q1 - 1:12CLEPavlovic P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
27
Q1 - 1:21CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q1 - 1:21CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 1:21SASRose S.FOUL (P2.T3)18
27
Q1 - 1:21CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 1:22CLEMISS Snow 13' Jump Shot18
8.4%
27
91.6%
Q1 - 1:33SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 1:33SASNesterovic OFF.Foul (P1)18
27
Q1 - 1:44CLESnow 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 2:06SASRose 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)16
7.6%
27
92.4%
Q1 - 2:18SASSPURS Rebound16
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 2:19CLEMISS McInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q1 - 2:36SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 2:36CLESUB: Williams FOR Ilgauskas16
24
Q1 - 2:36SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
9.3%
24
90.7%
Q1 - 2:36CLESUB: Varejao FOR Gooden16
23
Q1 - 2:36CLEGooden P.FOUL (P2.PN)16
23
Q1 - 2:53SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 2:54CLEMISS Ilgauskas 13' Jump Shot16
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q1 - 3:12SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)16
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:32SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 3:33CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 2 of 216
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 3:33CLECavaliers Rebound16
23
Q1 - 3:33CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 216
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 3:33SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan16
23
Q1 - 3:33SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen16
23
Q1 - 3:33SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
23
Q1 - 3:50SASBowen 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)16
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 4:08CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 4:08CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 4:08SASRose S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
21
Q1 - 4:24CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
21
Q1 - 4:25SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 114
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 4:25CLESUB: Snow FOR James14
21
Q1 - 4:25CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Newble14
21
Q1 - 4:25CLEJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)14
21
Q1 - 4:25SASParker 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)14
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 4:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:30CLEMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot14
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)14
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 4:51CLENewble S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
18
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan 1' Layup (9 PTS)14
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.6%
16
85.4%
Q1 - 4:57CLEMISS James 5' Jump Shot14
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 5:20SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)14
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 5:35CLENewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:35CLENewble 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:37CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Reverse Layup12
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 5:55SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 5:55SASSPURS Rebound12
13
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 212
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 5:55SASSUB: Rose FOR Nesterovic12
13
Q1 - 5:55CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
13
Q1 - 5:55CLEGooden S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
13
Q1 - 5:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 6:00CLEMISS Newble 14' Jump Shot12
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 6:22SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 6:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
17.6%
11
82.4%
Q1 - 6:27CLEMISS McInnis 2' Driving Layup12
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 6:32CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot12
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:57CLEIlgauskas Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)12
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 6:57CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 6:58CLEDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)12
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 7:17SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)12
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 7:36CLEJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)12
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 7:53SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 8:03SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili10
7
Q1 - 8:03SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
7
Q1 - 8:10CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)10
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 8:24SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 8:39CLEIlgauskas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 8:49CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot6
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 9:13CLEGooden Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)6
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 9:28SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 9:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 9:31CLEMISS James 6' Jump Shot4
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:48SASParker 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 10:01CLEJames 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
16.4%
5
83.6%
Q1 - 10:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 10:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 10:18CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T3)2
3
Q1 - 10:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
3
83.4%
Q1 - 10:23CLEMISS McInnis 12' Jump Shot2
16.7%
3
83.3%
Q1 - 10:30CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.1%
3
82.9%
Q1 - 10:32SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot2
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 10:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.8%
3
83.2%
Q1 - 10:44CLEMISS Gooden 3' Layup2
16.9%
3
83.1%
Q1 - 11:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 11:02CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 11:02SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:10CLEMcInnis P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:18CLEMcInnis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:35CLEMISS Gooden 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Newble0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLESAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
19
30
63%
SAS
21
24
88%
Midrange
CLE
20
49
41%
SAS
15
27
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
SAS
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
CLE
16
20
80%
SAS
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2854%14.0 / 26
L. James2357%11.5 / 20
Z. Ilgauskas1464%7.0 / 11
J. McInnis1132%5.5 / 17
A. Varejao1063%5.0 / 8
E. Snow433%2.0 / 6
L. Jackson467%2.0 / 3
I. Newble250%1.0 / 2
S. Pavlovic150%0.5 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3485%17.0 / 20
B. Bowen2083%10.0 / 12
T. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
R. Nesterovic1275%6.0 / 8
B. Udrih12100%6.0 / 6
M. Rose770%3.5 / 5
D. Brown440%2.0 / 5
R. Horry467%2.0 / 3
M. Ginobili220%1.0 / 5
T. Massenburg2100%1.0 / 1
B. Barry150%0.5 / 1
M. Wilks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+18
-10
99
SAS
77
+6
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
104.9
CLE 106.6
SAS 124.7 +18.1
Pace
92.3
91.2
CLE 90.4
SAS 93.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
CLE 15.9
SAS 15.4 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
49.2%
CLE 47.1%
SAS 71.5% +24.4%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
CLE 11.2% −5.8%
SAS 17.0%
ORB %
32.5%
29.2%
CLE 25.0% +1.0%
SAS 24.0%
FTrt
32.5
32.9
CLE 23.3
SAS 46.2 +22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
60.6%
CLE 55.0%
SAS 76.7% +21.7%
STL %
8.6%
8.2%
CLE 9.9% +2.4%
SAS 7.5%
BLK %
8.7%
9.9%
CLE 2.0%
SAS 8.9% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
50.6%
CLE 48.5%
SAS 69.0% +20.5%
Rim FG%
57.3%
59.3%
CLE 63.3%
SAS 87.5% +24.2%
Mid FG%
38.7%
37.2%
CLE 40.8%
SAS 55.6% +14.8%
3P %
33.2%
36.3%
CLE 14.3%
SAS 50.0% +35.7%
FT %
75.2%
72.4%
CLE 80.0% +3.3%
SAS 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.6%
CLE 34.9%
SAS 36.9% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
50.2%
40.8%
CLE 57.0%
SAS 41.5% −15.4%
3P Att. %
13.5%
21.6%
CLE 8.1%
SAS 21.5% +13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLESAS
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points97116
Rebounds2833
Assists2233
Steals97
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (9)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (0)27 (2)
Field Goals40-8643-65
At-the-Rim FG19-3021-24
Midrange FG20-4915-27
2-Point FG39-7936-51
3-Point FG1-77-14
Free Throws16-2023-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 20
41.2
23
57%
6
10
4
0
3
2
3
3
2-2
100%
9-16
56%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
41.2
11
32%
0
3
0
0
1
4
0
0
1-1
100%
5-13
38%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 23
35.2
28
54%
9
1
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-3
67%
13-23
57%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 30
34.4
14
64%
7
0
1
0
3
4
2
5
6-6
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 30
13.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 32
35.0
4
33%
2
7
2
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 37
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 260 · 22
12.7
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21
10.9
1
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-4
25%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23
2.4
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
C · 7'0" 280 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
28
22
9
1
10
0
9
19
16-20
80%
39-79
49%
1-7
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.