FinalWin Prob.pScore
959%101
106
2541%98
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.89485.6
TOR logo TOR
105.493104.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)105
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)104
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)103
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2103
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0TORBosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)102
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)102
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)101
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound100
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)100
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0TORAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0TORMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)100
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)97
96.4%
92
3.6%
Q4 - 1:27TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot97
95.6%
92
4.4%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)97
92.7%
92
7.3%
Q4 - 1:53TORBosh 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)97
95.2%
92
4.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)97
96.5%
90
3.5%
Q4 - 2:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
95.5%
90
4.5%
Q4 - 2:41TORMISS Alston 29' 3PT Jump Shot95
94.6%
90
5.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)95
89.8%
90
10.2%
Q4 - 3:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
87.3%
90
12.7%
Q4 - 3:28TORMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot93
85.2%
90
14.8%
Q4 - 3:41TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
77.5%
90
22.5%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot93
79.5%
90
20.5%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)93
83.5%
90
16.5%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup93
79.5%
90
20.5%
Q4 - 4:00TORMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
83.8%
90
16.2%
Q4 - 4:00TORMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
84.9%
89
15.1%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMarshall STEAL (1 STL)93
88.1%
88
11.9%
Q4 - 4:28TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to O'Neal93
91.7%
88
8.3%
Q4 - 4:34TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
88.2%
88
11.8%
Q4 - 4:36TORMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Jump Shot93
90.8%
88
9.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIALaettner Layup (6 PTS)93
88.3%
88
11.7%
Q4 - 5:17TORMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
82.0%
88
18.0%
Q4 - 5:17TORMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 291
83.1%
87
16.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)91
81.9%
87
18.1%
Q4 - 5:59TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)88
70.1%
87
29.9%
Q4 - 6:06TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
80.1%
84
19.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot88
81.8%
84
18.2%
Q4 - 6:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
85.1%
84
14.9%
Q4 - 6:14TORMISS Bosh 4' Hook Shot88
83.7%
84
16.3%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)88
80.2%
84
19.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
85.2%
84
14.8%
Q4 - 6:50TORMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot88
83.8%
84
16.2%
Q4 - 7:00TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
80.3%
84
19.7%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot88
80.8%
84
19.2%
Q4 - 7:18TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T17)88
83.9%
84
16.1%
Q4 - 7:25TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
79.3%
84
20.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Hook Shot88
80.8%
84
19.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
84.0%
84
16.0%
Q4 - 7:43TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 288
83.4%
84
16.6%
Q4 - 7:43TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 288
81.1%
84
18.9%
Q4 - 7:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
79.3%
84
20.7%
Q4 - 7:45TORMISS Marshall 6' Hook Shot88
82.7%
84
17.3%
Q4 - 8:03MIAHaslem Layup (17 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)88
78.2%
84
21.8%
Q4 - 8:26TORBosh 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)86
73.7%
84
26.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIADooling Layup (7 PTS)86
78.3%
82
21.7%
Q4 - 8:47MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
73.7%
82
26.3%
Q4 - 8:48TORMISS Marshall 8' Jump Shot84
72.2%
82
27.8%
Q4 - 9:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 9:02TORMISS Marshall Layup84
71.8%
82
28.2%
Q4 - 9:27TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 284
68.8%
82
31.2%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 284
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)84
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot84
69.8%
82
30.2%
Q4 - 9:38TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)84
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q4 - 9:51MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
57.1%
82
42.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot81
52.8%
82
47.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
57.2%
82
42.8%
Q4 - 10:10TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
55.4%
82
44.6%
Q4 - 10:28MIAButler Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)81
51.2%
82
48.8%
Q4 - 10:34TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)79
45.9%
82
54.1%
Q4 - 10:44MIADooling Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)79
39.9%
82
60.1%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Technical79
45.9%
82
54.1%
Q4 - 11:05TORBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T14)79
46.0%
82
54.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHaslem Layup (15 PTS)79
40.4%
82
59.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
32.0%
82
68.0%
Q4 - 11:44TORRose 10' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
35.5%
82
64.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR77
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound77
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Rose 10' Jump Bank Shot77
44.3%
80
55.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORRAPTORS Rebound77
42.1%
80
57.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORMISS Rose Driving Layup77
45.6%
80
54.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
42.0%
80
58.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup77
43.5%
80
56.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)77
47.0%
80
53.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAlston STEAL (2 STL)77
57.3%
77
42.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
62.2%
77
37.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORMISS Alston Layup77
60.7%
77
39.3%
Q3 - 1:03TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
57.7%
77
42.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Doleac 12' Jump Shot77
59.2%
77
40.8%
Q3 - 1:25TORMarshall Dunk (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)77
62.6%
77
37.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)77
66.9%
75
33.1%
Q3 - 1:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
57.8%
75
42.2%
Q3 - 1:56TORMISS Murray 16' Running Jump Shot74
56.3%
75
43.7%
Q3 - 2:21TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
52.8%
75
47.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 274
53.5%
75
46.5%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 274
56.7%
75
43.3%
Q3 - 2:21TORMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
57.8%
75
42.2%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)74
52.8%
75
47.2%
Q3 - 2:55TORRose 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
48.5%
75
51.5%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)72
53.4%
73
46.6%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
58.1%
73
41.9%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot72
54.8%
73
45.2%
Q3 - 3:25TORMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
58.1%
73
41.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (13 PTS)72
53.3%
73
46.7%
Q3 - 4:02TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)70
49.9%
73
50.1%
Q3 - 4:08TORMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
57.8%
70
42.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup70
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 4:30TORMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
61.1%
70
38.9%
Q3 - 4:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
57.8%
70
42.2%
Q3 - 4:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 5:11TORRose 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)68
54.4%
70
45.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)68
62.2%
67
37.8%
Q3 - 5:48TORMurray 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)66
58.5%
67
41.5%
Q3 - 6:05TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 266
62.7%
65
37.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
65.2%
65
34.8%
Q3 - 6:15TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)65
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 6:24TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot65
59.6%
65
40.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 6:39TORMISS Woods Layup65
61.2%
65
38.8%
Q3 - 6:59TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
59.6%
65
40.4%
Q3 - 7:19TORMurray 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)65
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 7:26TORRose Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)65
65.2%
63
34.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 165
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)65
68.7%
62
31.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
65.8%
62
34.2%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot63
62.9%
62
37.1%
Q3 - 8:16TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)63
66.0%
62
34.0%
Q3 - 8:16TORRAPTORS Rebound63
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q3 - 8:17TORMISS Woods 12' Turnaround Jump Shot63
64.8%
62
35.2%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWade Layup (15 PTS)63
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
58.8%
62
41.2%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot61
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
58.8%
62
41.2%
Q3 - 8:57TORMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot61
57.5%
62
42.5%
Q3 - 9:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
55.1%
62
44.9%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 261
55.6%
62
44.4%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 261
57.2%
62
42.8%
Q3 - 9:30TORRose 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
58.9%
62
41.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 161
62.7%
60
37.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Layup (18 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)61
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 9:55TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)59
58.9%
60
41.1%
Q3 - 9:55TORAlston 8' Driving Hook Shot (15 PTS)59
62.4%
59
37.6%
Q3 - 10:14TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
66.8%
57
33.2%
Q3 - 10:30TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
69.2%
57
30.8%
Q3 - 10:30TORRAPTORS Rebound59
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 10:30TORMISS Woods 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 10:56MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
59.9%
57
40.1%
Q3 - 11:05TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot56
58.8%
57
41.2%
Q3 - 11:15TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
56.4%
57
43.6%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
59.9%
57
40.1%
Q3 - 11:27TORMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot56
58.8%
57
41.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
56.3%
57
43.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 254
54.1%
56
45.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)54
54.0%
56
46.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
49.7%
56
50.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORMISS Alston Driving Finger Roll52
49.0%
56
51.0%
Q2 - 1:00TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
48.7%
56
51.3%
Q2 - 1:22TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
49.8%
56
50.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
57.7%
53
42.3%
Q2 - 1:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q2 - 1:34TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)50
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
51.3%
53
48.7%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
50.7%
53
49.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
46.6%
53
53.4%
Q2 - 1:57TORMISS Murray 9' Running Jump Shot48
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)48
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q2 - 2:24TORMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q2 - 2:24TORMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
42.1%
52
57.9%
Q2 - 2:42MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS)46
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot44
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q2 - 2:57TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
40.6%
51
59.4%
Q2 - 3:04TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
39.7%
51
60.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
40.7%
51
59.3%
Q2 - 3:24TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)44
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot44
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 3:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 144
45.9%
49
54.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)44
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q2 - 4:08TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)42
43.6%
49
56.4%
Q2 - 4:14TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Dooling Running Jump Shot42
50.2%
46
49.8%
Q2 - 4:33TORAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)42
52.2%
46
47.8%
Q2 - 4:33TORAlston Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)42
55.1%
45
44.9%
Q2 - 4:51MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)42
57.9%
43
42.1%
Q2 - 5:06TORMurray Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
55.6%
43
44.4%
Q2 - 5:07TORMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 5:08TORMISS Marshall 20' Jump Shot40
54.6%
43
45.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot37
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 5:32TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 137
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 5:32TORPeterson Running Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)37
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)37
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:45TORMarshall Foul Turnover (P2.T6)37
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)37
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 5:53MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
47.0%
41
53.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Layup35
44.9%
41
55.1%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
47.0%
41
53.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot35
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 6:22TORPeterson Layup (9 PTS)35
47.9%
41
52.1%
Q2 - 6:24TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 6:26TORMISS Marshall 7' Hook Shot35
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 7:17TORMarshall 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)33
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
50.9%
37
49.1%
Q2 - 7:45TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)31
48.5%
37
51.5%
Q2 - 8:09MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)31
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 8:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 8:27TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.6%
37
57.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)29
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q2 - 8:54MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)27
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 9:07TORMarshall Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 9:16MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)26
34.2%
37
65.8%
Q2 - 9:28TORMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 9:28TORMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 9:58TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)24
36.7%
35
63.3%
Q2 - 10:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 10:09TORMISS Marshall 22' Jump Shot24
43.3%
32
56.7%
Q2 - 10:27TORRose Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)24
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)24
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 10:39MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot22
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 11:01TORRose 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)22
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 11:16MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)22
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 11:31TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 11:31TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)20
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR18
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot18
40.8%
27
59.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0TORAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS)18
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)18
44.9%
25
55.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORRose Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0TORMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot18
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
49.8%
23
50.2%
Q1 - 1:27TORBosh Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)16
49.8%
21
50.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 1:55TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot16
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q1 - 2:11MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)16
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 2:32TORWoods 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)14
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 2:47MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
50.0%
19
50.0%
Q1 - 2:47MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 3:00TORAlston 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)12
50.3%
17
49.7%
Q1 - 3:35TORPeterson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)12
52.8%
17
47.2%
Q1 - 3:57MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)12
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
57.7%
15
42.3%
Q1 - 4:08TORMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot12
56.9%
15
43.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
55.0%
15
45.0%
Q1 - 4:45TORRose 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
53.3%
15
46.7%
Q1 - 4:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 4:59TORWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 5:20MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 5:43TORWoods 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
53.8%
13
46.2%
Q1 - 5:47TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
55.6%
11
44.4%
Q1 - 5:48TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot8
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 6:06MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 6:14TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 6:26TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 6:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 6:37TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot6
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 6:56TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot6
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 7:15TORMISS Rose 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 7:33TORMISS Rose 9' Turnaround Jump Shot6
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 8:02TORMISS Bosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot6
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 8:20TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Running Hook Shot6
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 8:49TORWoods 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)6
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 9:32TORAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)4
55.3%
9
44.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWoods STEAL (1 STL)4
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 9:56TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 9:56TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
61.2%
5
38.8%
Q1 - 10:11MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 10:32TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)2
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 10:43TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 11:02TORAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 11:03TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
62.5%
2
37.5%
Q1 - 11:05TORMISS Woods 10' Hook Shot2
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 11:24MIAO'Neal 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
62.5%
2
37.5%
Q1 - 11:46TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
62.5%
0
37.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
TOR
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
32
78%
TOR
8
14
57%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
TOR
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
TOR
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
17
30
57%
TOR
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2059%10.0 / 17
D. Wade2050%10.0 / 20
U. Haslem1771%8.5 / 12
D. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
R. Butler1169%5.5 / 8
C. Laettner1083%5.0 / 6
K. Dooling788%3.5 / 4
E. Jones325%1.5 / 6
M. Doleac217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2560%12.5 / 21
R. Alston1963%9.5 / 15
M. Peterson1785%8.5 / 10
C. Bosh1550%7.5 / 15
D. Marshall935%4.5 / 13
L. Woods744%3.5 / 8
L. Murray643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+14
-14
94
TOR
77
+16
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
TOR
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.6
MIA 112.8 +7.4
TOR 105.4
Pace
93.9
95.7
MIA 85.6
TOR 104.1 +18.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.8
MIA 16.8
TOR 13.8 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.2%
MIA 59.3% +6.7%
TOR 52.6%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
MIA 14.5% +2.6%
TOR 17.1%
ORB %
27.0%
23.7%
MIA 33.3% +2.5%
TOR 30.8%
FTrt
38.7
31.6
MIA 40.0 +10.1
TOR 29.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
56.6%
MIA 52.4%
TOR 55.6% +3.2%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 8.5% +2.0%
TOR 6.5%
BLK %
8.7%
5.8%
MIA 10.7% +10.7%
TOR 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.1%
MIA 56.4% +3.7%
TOR 52.7%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.1%
MIA 78.1% +21.0%
TOR 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.7%
MIA 41.4%
TOR 45.2% +3.8%
3P %
37.7%
38.5%
MIA 35.7%
TOR 42.9% +7.2%
FT %
67.2%
77.4%
MIA 56.7%
TOR 73.9% +17.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.4%
MIA 42.7% +24.5%
TOR 18.2%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
43.3%
MIA 38.7% +15.9%
TOR 54.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.3%
MIA 18.7%
TOR 27.3% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes26.421.4
Points10698
Rebounds4140
Assists2220
Steals86
Blocks60
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (0)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals42-7536-77
At-the-Rim FG25-328-14
Midrange FG12-2919-42
2-Point FG37-6127-56
3-Point FG5-149-21
Free Throws17-3017-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
41.1
3
25%
4
7
1
0
4
4
0
4
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.4
20
59%
9
4
1
4
3
3
2
7
2-6
33%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
36.2
20
50%
9
6
1
0
5
3
6
3
4-5
80%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
34.9
17
71%
8
0
1
2
1
0
4
4
5-7
71%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
33.6
16
67%
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
18.4
11
69%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
14.6
7
88%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
13.1
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
11.6
2
17%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
41
22
8
6
14
0
14
27
17-30
57%
37-61
61%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.