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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Warriors22%96111
5Mavericks78%106107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
41.1
34.7
7
32%
6
0
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
38.9
35.4
14
50%
8
7
3
1
0
2
5
3
0-0
-
7-12
6-14
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.6
38.7
34.2
18
54%
7
10
0
2
0
3
0
7
4-4
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
44%
2-4
50%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.0
38.0
29.0
25
77%
7
4
2
1
3
2
0
7
4-5
80%
6-10
3-7
60%
41%
3-4
75%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.6
36.6
34.6
20
56%
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
3-4
75%
7-15
6-13
47%
44%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
20.4
17.0
20
79%
6
1
0
1
2
3
2
4
4-6
67%
5-5
2-4
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.4
12.1
12.4
5
64%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
8.1
8.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.8
5.7
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
0.5
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.7
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Luis Flores
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
5.3
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.8
41.0
38.1
24
55%
5
1
1
1
3
3
1
4
2-2
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
40.9
38.6
13
40%
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
6
7-7
100%
3-12
8-16
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
34.5
33.7
12
51%
10
1
3
1
0
4
7
3
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.5
21.2
21.8
7
32%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
7.4
23.3
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.1
33.6
16.6
27
63%
7
0
2
0
0
0
3
4
3-3
100%
9-16
2-5
56%
43%
2-4
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
19.7
25.0
6
44%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
14.0
17.4
4
67%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.7
11.3
11.0
6
63%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
10.8
11.4
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.6
5.5
8.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
6.4
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.