FinalWin Prob.pScore
954%104
98
2146%103
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29596.3
WAS logo WAS
93.99997.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0WASMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
93.6%
93
6.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 296
94.5%
93
5.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)96
97.1%
93
2.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
94.4%
93
5.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot95
92.0%
93
8.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)95
79.8%
93
20.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
44.5%
93
55.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
48.1%
92
51.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)92
60.4%
91
39.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot92
66.1%
91
33.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound92
74.8%
91
25.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 292
73.0%
91
27.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 292
66.3%
91
33.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
59.6%
91
40.4%
Q4 - 1:00WASMISS Hughes 4' Jump Shot92
70.4%
91
29.6%
Q4 - 1:13WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
58.4%
91
41.6%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup92
63.2%
91
36.8%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
73.1%
91
26.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot92
63.3%
91
36.7%
Q4 - 1:36WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)92
72.2%
91
27.8%
Q4 - 1:36WASJamison 2' Layup (25 PTS)92
81.2%
90
18.8%
Q4 - 1:42WASWIZARDS Rebound92
86.6%
88
13.4%
Q4 - 1:42WASMISS Jamison 2' Layup92
90.4%
88
9.6%
Q4 - 1:43WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
86.6%
88
13.4%
Q4 - 1:48WASMISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot92
90.0%
88
10.0%
Q4 - 2:05MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (13 PTS)92
85.2%
88
14.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
81.1%
88
18.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup90
73.3%
88
26.7%
Q4 - 2:35WASHaywood 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)90
81.6%
88
18.4%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJones 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)90
82.9%
86
17.1%
Q4 - 2:55WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)88
78.6%
86
21.4%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)88
67.3%
86
32.7%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)87
65.4%
86
34.6%
Q4 - 3:16WASArenas 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)86
61.7%
86
38.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)86
66.9%
84
33.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
58.8%
84
41.2%
Q4 - 3:55WASMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
55.8%
84
44.2%
Q4 - 4:03WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
48.9%
84
51.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot84
52.0%
84
48.0%
Q4 - 4:20WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)84
58.8%
84
41.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
48.8%
84
51.2%
Q4 - 4:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
39.9%
84
60.1%
Q4 - 4:58WASMISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot82
37.0%
84
63.0%
Q4 - 5:16MIAArenas STEAL (4 STL)82
33.7%
84
66.3%
Q4 - 5:39MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
41.8%
84
58.2%
Q4 - 5:41WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot82
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade 2' Layup (24 PTS)82
33.5%
84
66.5%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
26.8%
84
73.2%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup80
22.3%
84
77.7%
Q4 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q4 - 6:23WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
29.6%
84
70.4%
Q4 - 6:23WASHaywood 1' Layup (6 PTS)80
36.3%
83
63.7%
Q4 - 6:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 6:24WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot80
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 6:35WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
43.6%
81
56.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)80
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 6:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
43.5%
81
56.5%
Q4 - 6:44WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
40.9%
81
59.1%
Q4 - 7:02WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
37.6%
81
62.4%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 279
38.6%
81
61.4%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 279
41.5%
81
58.5%
Q4 - 7:24WASArenas 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
45.0%
81
55.0%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade 2' Layup (21 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)79
51.0%
79
49.0%
Q4 - 7:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
45.0%
79
55.0%
Q4 - 7:59WASMISS Peeler 14' Jump Shot77
42.6%
79
57.4%
Q4 - 8:06WASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
39.0%
79
61.0%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot77
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q4 - 8:23WASJamison 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)77
45.3%
79
54.7%
Q4 - 8:41MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
51.6%
77
48.4%
Q4 - 8:50WASBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)75
45.3%
77
54.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS)75
40.1%
77
59.9%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot73
30.9%
77
69.1%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q4 - 9:29WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot73
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q4 - 9:32WASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
29.2%
77
70.8%
Q4 - 9:33WASMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot73
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q4 - 9:48WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
29.2%
77
70.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot73
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q4 - 10:01MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
35.7%
77
64.3%
Q4 - 10:03WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot73
34.0%
77
66.0%
Q4 - 10:24MIAJones 2' Layup (16 PTS)73
30.2%
77
69.8%
Q4 - 10:49WASJamison 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 10:55WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
30.2%
75
69.8%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup71
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot71
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q4 - 11:15WASHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
36.0%
75
64.0%
Q4 - 11:30WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
31.0%
75
69.0%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
36.0%
75
64.0%
Q4 - 11:47WASMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot71
34.4%
75
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound71
36.0%
75
64.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 40' 3PT Jump Shot71
32.4%
75
67.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
37.2%
75
62.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASMISS Hughes 4' Jump Shot71
35.8%
75
64.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
24.1%
75
75.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Rebound68
24.1%
75
75.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot68
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
24.1%
75
75.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0WASMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
22.9%
75
77.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
20.5%
75
79.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot68
22.9%
75
77.1%
Q3 - 1:03WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
23.1%
75
76.9%
Q3 - 1:19MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 1:21WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot68
24.5%
75
75.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
18.8%
75
81.2%
Q3 - 1:59WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 266
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q3 - 1:59WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 1:59WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 2:00WASMISS Hayes 10' Jump Shot66
21.0%
74
79.0%
Q3 - 2:22MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)66
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 2:44WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)64
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q3 - 2:44WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)64
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 2:44WASWIZARDS Rebound64
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 2:44WASMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot64
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 2:49WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot64
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q3 - 3:10WASHughes Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 3:25MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)64
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 3:44WASJamison 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haywood 3 AST)62
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 4:06MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
28.1%
68
71.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 4:15WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot59
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 4:21WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot59
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 4:42WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 159
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 4:42WASArenas 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q3 - 5:14WASHughes 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 5:45WASHughes 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 5:52WASWIZARDS Rebound55
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 5:52WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
28.2%
62
71.8%
Q3 - 5:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
26.8%
62
73.2%
Q3 - 6:22WASJamison 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST)55
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 6:33WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 255
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 6:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
35.5%
60
64.5%
Q3 - 6:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q3 - 6:43WASMISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot54
32.5%
60
67.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)54
29.9%
60
70.1%
Q3 - 7:06WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 7:06WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
37.2%
58
62.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)53
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 7:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
34.1%
58
65.9%
Q3 - 7:26WASMISS Jamison 13' Jump Shot52
32.9%
58
67.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q3 - 7:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot50
25.1%
58
74.9%
Q3 - 7:58WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)50
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 7:58WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 250
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q3 - 8:02WASWIZARDS Rebound50
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q3 - 8:03WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q3 - 8:09WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 8:28WASJamison 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)50
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q3 - 9:07WASJamison 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
35.1%
53
64.9%
Q3 - 9:36WASJeffries 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)46
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q3 - 9:40WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)46
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q3 - 10:05WASHughes 11' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)46
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAArenas STEAL (3 STL)46
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q3 - 10:23WASMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot46
45.2%
49
54.8%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHughes STEAL (3 STL)46
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q3 - 10:47WASHughes 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIAArenas STEAL (2 STL)46
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q3 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
53.8%
47
46.2%
Q3 - 11:11WASMISS Haywood 11' Jump Shot46
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS43
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T6)43
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0WASHughes 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)43
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAArenas STEAL (1 STL)43
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
50.1%
45
49.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0WASMISS Jeffries 3' Layup43
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0WASMISS Hughes 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.4%
45
50.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHeat Rebound43
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHughes BLOCK (1 BLK)43
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 1:01WASMISS Hughes 3' Jump Shot43
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)43
48.4%
45
51.6%
Q2 - 1:37WASArenas 9' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)40
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)40
45.1%
43
54.9%
Q2 - 2:05WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)38
41.6%
43
58.4%
Q2 - 2:06WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 2:08WASMISS Hayes 15' Jump Shot38
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 2:29WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 2:38WASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot38
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 2:45WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q2 - 3:07WASHayes 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 3:08WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 3:10WASMISS Arenas 10' Jump Shot38
47.4%
41
52.6%
Q2 - 3:18WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot38
46.1%
41
53.9%
Q2 - 3:45WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
48.4%
41
51.6%
Q2 - 3:45WASArenas 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)38
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 3:46WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.1%
38
44.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 4:04WASMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot38
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)38
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup36
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 4:32WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 4:47MIAO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q2 - 5:00WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 234
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 5:00WASJeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
54.4%
34
45.6%
Q2 - 5:31WASHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)32
51.8%
34
48.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIALaettner 1' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)32
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
46.1%
34
53.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 6:11WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
46.8%
34
53.2%
Q2 - 6:11WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 230
47.2%
33
52.8%
Q2 - 6:14WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Dooling 7' Jump Shot30
47.2%
33
52.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 6:24WASMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot30
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 7:07MIAHeat Rebound28
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 7:07WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 228
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 7:07WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
42.4%
33
57.6%
Q2 - 7:23WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 228
44.7%
32
55.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 228
45.8%
32
54.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 7:36WASMISS Hayes 16' Jump Shot28
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 7:57WASWIZARDS Rebound28
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 8:09WASDixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 8:34WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot28
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 8:51MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 8:53WASMISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q2 - 8:57WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 8:59WASMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot28
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIADoleac 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)27
42.1%
32
57.9%
Q2 - 9:39WASHayes 15' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 9:56WASWIZARDS Rebound25
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 9:56WASMISS Arenas 5' Jump Shot25
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:59WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 10:01WASMISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 10:11WASWIZARDS Rebound25
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 10:11WASMISS Arenas 11' Jump Shot25
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 10:50WASDixon 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 11:04WASWIZARDS Rebound23
42.6%
28
57.4%
Q2 - 11:07MIARuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)23
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 11:27WASBrown 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)23
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 11:42WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
47.3%
26
52.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Doleac 8' Jump Shot23
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot23
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot23
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0WASArenas Layup (4 PTS)23
51.8%
25
48.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)23
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0WASBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)21
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 1:18WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 221
55.1%
21
44.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
56.6%
21
43.4%
Q1 - 1:36WASHayes 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)20
54.3%
21
45.7%
Q1 - 1:47WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
57.1%
19
42.9%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup20
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 2:02WASHughes 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
59.3%
19
40.7%
Q1 - 2:10WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
61.7%
17
38.3%
Q1 - 2:11WASMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
63.1%
17
36.9%
Q1 - 2:25WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
61.7%
17
38.3%
Q1 - 2:25WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
63.1%
17
36.9%
Q1 - 2:44MIADoleac 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
61.7%
17
38.3%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q1 - 2:57WASMISS Hayes 14' Jump Shot18
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q1 - 3:25WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 3:25WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
53.1%
16
46.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
54.7%
15
45.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 3:49WASMISS Hughes 10' Jump Shot13
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 3:55WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot13
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 4:00WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)13
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJeffries STEAL (1 STL)13
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 4:18WASJamison Foul Turnover (P1.T5)13
52.9%
15
47.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 113
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAJones 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 4:39WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
48.5%
15
51.5%
Q1 - 4:39WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)11
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)11
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound11
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 4:50MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)11
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHeat Rebound11
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 5:19WASMISS Jeffries 1' Layup11
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 5:19WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 5:19WASMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot11
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 5:20WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 5:22WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot11
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 5:52WASHaywood Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 5:56WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 5:57WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot8
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 6:13MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
44.8%
13
55.2%
Q1 - 6:29WASJeffries Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 7:08WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 7:16WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 7:25WASMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot4
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHughes STEAL (2 STL)4
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 7:42WASJamison 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)4
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot4
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 8:12WASJamison 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)4
44.3%
11
55.7%
Q1 - 8:16WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot4
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 8:36WASJeffries 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)4
48.0%
9
52.0%
Q1 - 8:41WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 9:01WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.8%
7
48.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAO'Neal 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
49.3%
7
50.7%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 9:33WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 22
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 9:33WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 22
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
45.2%
7
54.8%
Q1 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 9:53WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot0
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:59WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 10:27WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)0
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 10:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:33WASMISS Jeffries 6' Jump Shot0
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:45WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot0
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 11:13WASHughes 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)0
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 11:41WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)0
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. O'Neal: Tip to Arenas0
55.3%
0
44.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
WAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
WAS
18
31
58%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
WAS
16
44
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
WAS
2
3.0
17
12%
18%
Free Throws
MIA
13
24
54%
WAS
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2952%14.5 / 28
D. Jones2368%11.5 / 17
S. O'Neal1350%6.5 / 13
R. Butler1150%5.5 / 11
E. Jones956%4.5 / 8
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
U. Haslem422%2.0 / 9
C. Laettner233%1.0 / 3
K. Dooling233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jamison2645%13.0 / 29
G. Arenas2244%11.0 / 25
L. Hughes1948%9.5 / 20
B. Haywood950%4.5 / 9
J. Hayes627%3.0 / 11
J. Jeffries536%2.5 / 7
K. Brown450%2.0 / 4
J. Dixon233%1.0 / 3
A. Peeler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+14
-10
99
WAS
87
+24
-12
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
WAS
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.5
MIA 103.2
WAS 93.9 +9.2
Pace
93.9
96.7
MIA 96.3
WAS 97.8 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.3
MIA 15.0
WAS 14.7 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.4%
MIA 50.6% +10.4%
WAS 40.2%
TO %
14.0%
14.2%
MIA 10.4% +0.6%
WAS 11.0%
ORB %
27.0%
31.1%
MIA 21.3%
WAS 34.0% +12.7%
FTrt
38.7
36.4
MIA 28.6
WAS 31.5 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
52.7%
MIA 53.8% +9.4%
WAS 44.4%
STL %
6.8%
9.0%
MIA 5.3%
WAS 9.1% +3.8%
BLK %
8.7%
6.5%
MIA 5.3%
WAS 6.2% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.6%
MIA 48.5% +6.6%
WAS 41.9%
Rim FG%
63.0%
58.2%
MIA 54.8%
WAS 58.1% +3.3%
Mid FG%
41.0%
36.5%
MIA 44.1% +7.7%
WAS 36.4%
3P %
37.7%
34.3%
MIA 36.8% +25.0%
WAS 11.8%
FT %
67.2%
72.5%
MIA 54.2%
WAS 65.5% +11.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.2%
MIA 36.9% +3.2%
WAS 33.7%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
42.7%
MIA 40.5% +7.3%
WAS 47.8%
3P Att. %
19.8%
22.0%
MIA 22.6% +4.1%
WAS 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9599
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9893
Rebounds4555
Assists2116
Steals59
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals39-8436-92
At-the-Rim FG17-3118-31
Midrange FG15-3416-44
2-Point FG32-6534-75
3-Point FG7-192-17
Free Throws13-2419-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
45.6
29
52%
5
9
2
0
5
3
2
3
7-10
70%
11-22
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
36.6
23
68%
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
35.1
13
50%
12
4
0
0
1
6
3
9
1-8
13%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
34.6
4
22%
9
0
0
0
3
4
3
6
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
19.7
9
56%
3
2
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
32.2
11
50%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
19.7
2
33%
7
0
2
3
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
9.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
6.6
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
49%
45
21
5
4
10
0
10
35
13-24
54%
32-65
49%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.