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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 15, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pistons56%9394
16Knicks44%9193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.8
41.5
38.0
29
68%
2
4
1
1
1
3
1
1
5-5
100%
12-19
7-15
63%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
38.3
38.3
2
25%
13
4
0
2
1
1
5
8
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
46%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.8
37.7
36.6
14
92%
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
50%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
37.1
33.0
15
40%
7
4
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
5-14
2-6
36%
43%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
36.3
27.1
18
53%
7
1
0
1
2
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
48%
2-2
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
21.0
8.1
5
32%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-4
25%
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
18.3
13.9
9
51%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
39%
1-2
50%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
9.3
13.5
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
0.5
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.5
11.9
0
2-4
44%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.4
11.4
0
2-4
43%
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
6.6
0
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
45.7
35.0
8
37%
7
0
3
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
44.0
36.4
25
62%
4
5
1
1
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-10
4-10
20%
43%
6-9
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
41.4
37.1
9
51%
10
4
1
1
1
0
0
10
1-2
50%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.8
40.4
37.0
18
55%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
46%
1-3
33%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.8
30.1
19.3
12
56%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
21.3
14.0
17
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
42%
2-5
40%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.6
9.4
20.7
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.4
7.7
15.7
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.1
11.9
0
2-3
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.5
8.5
0
1-2
41%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.8
0.6
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.