FinalWin Prob.pScore
3617%88
69
2283%100
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
72.69589.1
HOU logo HOU
98.99399.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU69
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBowen Tip Shot (2 PTS)67
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMISS Weatherspoon Layup67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOULue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Childress 5' Jump Shot67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:04ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Childress Layup67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:17HOUWeatherspoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37HOUMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50ATLDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50ATLMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ATLLue STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 364
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56ATLMISS Childress 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ATLWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)64
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ATLHarrington 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52ATLDrobnjak 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)61
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)59
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)59
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21HOUROCKETS Rebound59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26ATLSura STEAL (2 STL)59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 159
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44HOUYao Driving Layup (21 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)57
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 5:26HOUMISS Weatherspoon 17' Jump Shot57
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 5:49HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51ATLMISS Drobnjak 12' Jump Shot57
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11HOULue Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 6:36HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 6:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 257
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 6:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 257
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 6:38ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q4 - 6:41HOUMISS McGrady Layup57
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58ATLDrobnjak 3' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)57
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 7:19ATLHawks Rebound55
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 7:20HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q4 - 7:45ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 155
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 7:45ATLHarrington Layup (18 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)55
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 7:51HOUMutombo Layup (8 PTS)53
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 7:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot53
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 8:21ATLHarrington 5' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)53
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 8:36ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot51
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 9:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 9:02HOUMISS Mutombo 15' Jump Shot51
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 9:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 9:26ATLMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 9:41HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 9:41HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q4 - 9:57ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)51
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q4 - 10:17HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q4 - 10:17HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 249
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q4 - 10:31HOUROCKETS Rebound49
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot49
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)49
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 349
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)49
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q4 - 11:15ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q4 - 11:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q4 - 11:32HOULue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)47
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q4 - 11:46ATLJackson STEAL (2 STL)47
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU47
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound47
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lue Layup47
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot47
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q3 - 1:04HOULue Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)47
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 1:14ATLMcGrady STEAL (4 STL)47
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 1:31HOUHoward Hook Shot (10 PTS)47
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 1:52ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)47
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q3 - 2:12HOUSura Foul Turnover (P3.T12)45
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q3 - 2:17HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 2:18ATLMISS Ivey Driving Layup45
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 2:34ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q3 - 2:36HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot45
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q3 - 2:47ATLHarrington Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)45
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 3:00ATLHawks Rebound45
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q3 - 3:01HOUMISS Sura 17' Jump Shot45
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q3 - 3:09ATLMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)45
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q3 - 3:24HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)45
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q3 - 3:24HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)45
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 3:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 3:40HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot45
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 3:52ATLChildress Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)45
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 4:06HOUJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)45
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q3 - 4:32ATLDrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)45
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 4:55HOUYao Dunk (15 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q3 - 5:01HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q3 - 5:03ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot43
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 5:16ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 5:18ATLMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot43
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 5:42ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 5:43HOUMISS Sura 3PT Jump Shot43
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q3 - 6:07ATLChildress Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)43
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q3 - 6:12HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)41
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q3 - 6:22HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 6:24ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q3 - 6:49HOUJackson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)41
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q3 - 6:52ATLSura STEAL (1 STL)41
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 6:54ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q3 - 6:56ATLMISS Delk 15' Jump Shot41
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q3 - 6:59ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q3 - 7:02ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 241
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q3 - 7:02ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q3 - 7:05ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q3 - 7:07HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot40
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 7:12HOUROCKETS Rebound40
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q3 - 7:13HOUMISS Howard 13' Hook Shot40
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 7:35HOUROCKETS Rebound40
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q3 - 7:37ATLMISS Childress 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q3 - 7:40ATLHawks Rebound40
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q3 - 7:41ATLMISS Walker Reverse Layup40
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q3 - 8:02HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q3 - 8:02HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 240
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q3 - 8:16HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 8:18HOUMISS Yao Dunk40
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 8:25HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 8:27ATLYao BLOCK (5 BLK)40
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q3 - 8:49HOUYao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)40
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 8:59HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q3 - 9:01ATLMISS Collier 21' Jump Shot40
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 9:05ATLHawks Rebound40
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)40
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 9:20HOUYao 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)40
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q3 - 9:31ATLDiaw Backcourt Turnover (P1.T14)40
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q3 - 9:58HOUMcGrady Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)40
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q3 - 10:14ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 140
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q3 - 10:14ATLSmith Driving Dunk (6 PTS)40
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q3 - 10:16HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q3 - 10:28ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)38
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q3 - 10:51HOUJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)36
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q3 - 11:05ATLHoward STEAL (3 STL)36
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q3 - 11:14ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q3 - 11:16ATLMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot36
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q3 - 11:19ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q3 - 11:20ATLMISS Collier 15' Jump Shot36
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q3 - 11:40HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)36
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL36
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLJackson STEAL (1 STL)36
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)36
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Collier Layup36
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)36
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 1:07ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 1:09HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot36
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 1:15HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 1:18ATLYao BLOCK (4 BLK)36
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 1:26ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 1:29HOUMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot36
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 1:46ATLCollier Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)36
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 1:50HOUJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 1:54HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 1:56ATLYao BLOCK (3 BLK)34
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 2:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 2:04HOUMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper34
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 2:20HOUROCKETS Rebound34
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 2:22ATLMISS Collier 22' Jump Shot34
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 2:40HOUHoward Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 2:45ATLHoward STEAL (2 STL)34
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 2:47ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 2:50HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot34
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)34
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 3:10HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Smith: Tip to Harrington34
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 3:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 3:11HOUMISS McGrady Layup34
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 3:18HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 3:21ATLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)34
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 3:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 3:35HOUMISS Yao Hook Shot34
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 3:44HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 3:46ATLMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot34
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 4:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 4:24ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 4:26HOUMISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot34
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 4:51ATLWalker Running Layup (7 PTS)34
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 4:58HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 5:18ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 5:18ATLHarrington Layup (12 PTS)32
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 5:20ATLMISS Drobnjak 17' Jump Shot30
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q2 - 5:30HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 5:48ATLHarrington Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)30
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 5:53ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot28
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 6:05HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
5.7%
37
94.3%
Q2 - 6:07ATLMISS Walker Fadeaway Jumper28
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 6:26HOUMutombo 16' Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q2 - 6:46HOUROCKETS Rebound28
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 7:02HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (8 PTS)28
8.1%
35
91.9%
Q2 - 7:21ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)28
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 7:34ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 7:36HOUMISS Taylor 16' Jump Shot28
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:02ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 8:02ATLHarrington Tip Shot (8 PTS)28
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 8:03ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup26
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q2 - 8:10ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 8:12HOUMISS Sura 4' Driving Finger Roll26
7.9%
33
92.1%
Q2 - 8:26ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 8:26ATLWalker 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q2 - 8:42HOUMcGrady Driving Dunk (6 PTS)23
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q2 - 8:55ATLWalker 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)23
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 9:20ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:20HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 221
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:20HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 9:32ATLHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)21
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q2 - 9:34ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot21
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q2 - 9:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q2 - 9:44ATLMISS Harrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 10:02HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 10:02HOUMutombo Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 10:03HOUMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q2 - 10:21ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T7)21
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 10:51ATLAnderson 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q2 - 10:59ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q2 - 11:02HOUMISS Taylor 11' Hook Shot19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q2 - 11:23ATLChildress 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q2 - 11:45HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)17
6.8%
26
93.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU17
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 216
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Drobnjak 9' Jump Shot16
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Delk Layup16
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)16
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLHarrington 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)16
8.2%
22
91.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)14
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 1:11ATLDrobnjak 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)14
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 1:28ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.4%
20
92.6%
Q1 - 1:30HOUMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
7.2%
20
92.8%
Q1 - 1:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 1:46ATLMISS Delk 20' Jump Shot12
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 1:53HOULue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
7.4%
20
92.6%
Q1 - 2:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot12
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 2:27ATLHawks Rebound12
7.4%
20
92.6%
Q1 - 2:29HOUMISS Lue Layup12
7.3%
20
92.7%
Q1 - 2:35HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 2:37ATLMISS Smith Layup12
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 2:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.4%
20
92.6%
Q1 - 2:47HOUMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot12
7.3%
20
92.7%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 112
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 3:02ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 3:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
6.4%
20
93.6%
Q1 - 3:15HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot10
6.2%
20
93.8%
Q1 - 3:21ATLYao STEAL (1 STL)10
5.8%
20
94.2%
Q1 - 3:36ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6.4%
20
93.6%
Q1 - 3:38HOUMISS Bowen Layup10
6.2%
20
93.8%
Q1 - 4:04ATLChildress 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)10
5.7%
20
94.3%
Q1 - 4:14HOUHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
5.4%
20
94.6%
Q1 - 4:34ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 4:34ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 4:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot6
5.2%
18
94.8%
Q1 - 4:57HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
4.9%
18
95.1%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMISS Walker Running Jump Shot6
5.0%
18
95.0%
Q1 - 5:12HOUYao 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 5:26ATLIvey Foul Turnover (P1.T5)6
5.8%
16
94.2%
Q1 - 5:36HOUJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)6
6.4%
16
93.6%
Q1 - 5:43HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
7.4%
13
92.6%
Q1 - 5:45HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
7.8%
13
92.2%
Q1 - 6:01ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)6
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 6:04ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.1%
13
91.9%
Q1 - 6:06ATLMISS Collier Layup6
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 6:17HOUJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
8.1%
13
91.9%
Q1 - 6:33ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)6
8.7%
11
91.3%
Q1 - 6:47HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
9.4%
11
90.6%
Q1 - 6:47HOUSura Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 6:55ATLWalker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 7:18HOUSura 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 7:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 7:30HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 7:39HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 7:41ATLMISS Harrington 3' Hook Shot6
12.5%
6
87.5%
Q1 - 8:05HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)6
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 8:20HOUROCKETS Rebound6
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 8:21ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:25ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 8:28ATLMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot6
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:43HOUJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 8:48HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 8:50ATLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)6
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 9:00HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 9:20ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 9:20ATLDiaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 9:21ATLMISS Diaw Layup4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 9:34ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 9:36ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 9:43HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 9:58ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 23
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 10:09HOUHoward 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)3
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:33ATLHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)3
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 10:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 10:54HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:02ATLMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)0
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 11:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:07HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 11:18ATLMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 11:32HOUJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:40HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.8%
0
88.2%
Q1 - 11:42ATLMISS Collier 14' Jump Shot0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Collier: Tip to Diaw0
12.6%
0
87.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.73 36.7%
HOU
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
33
42%
HOU
17
26
65%
Midrange
ATL
12
35
34%
HOU
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
HOU
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
14
23
61%
HOU
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2150%10.5 / 21
J. Smith1458%7.0 / 12
A. Walker820%4.0 / 20
J. Childress850%4.0 / 8
P. Drobnjak850%4.0 / 8
B. Diaw542%2.5 / 6
K. Anderson375%1.5 / 2
J. Collier211%1.0 / 9
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 2
T. Delk0-0.0 / 4
K. Willis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2554%12.5 / 23
Yao2368%11.5 / 17
J. Jackson1372%6.5 / 9
J. Howard1146%5.5 / 12
D. Mutombo880%4.0 / 5
B. Sura542%2.5 / 6
T. Lue433%2.0 / 6
R. Bowen250%1.0 / 2
M. Taylor113%0.5 / 4
C. Weatherspoon0-0.0 / 2
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+20
-23
92
HOU
78
+10
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.73 36.7%
HOU
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.6
103.1
ATL 72.6
HOU 98.9 +26.3
Pace
93.3
91.5
ATL 89.1
HOU 99.6 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
ATL 16.2
HOU 14.5 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
48.6%
ATL 34.8%
HOU 50.0% +15.2%
TO %
16.3%
14.2%
ATL 20.5%
HOU 14.9% +5.6%
ORB %
30.8%
26.4%
ATL 36.7% +16.2%
HOU 20.5%
FTrt
29.9
30.9
ATL 29.1
HOU 32.0 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
60.9%
ATL 55.6% +4.2%
HOU 51.4%
STL %
8.1%
7.5%
ATL 10.5%
HOU 15.1% +4.6%
BLK %
6.7%
7.4%
ATL 3.2%
HOU 10.3% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
50.6%
ATL 36.7%
HOU 51.1% +14.4%
Rim FG%
55.4%
57.3%
ATL 42.4%
HOU 65.4% +23.0%
Mid FG%
37.3%
40.5%
ATL 34.3%
HOU 35.1% +0.8%
3P %
31.2%
36.4%
ATL 9.1%
HOU 41.7% +32.6%
FT %
71.1%
78.1%
ATL 60.9%
HOU 70.8% +9.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
28.5%
ATL 41.8% +7.1%
HOU 34.7%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
47.8%
ATL 44.3% +5.0%
HOU 49.3%
3P Att. %
14.6%
23.7%
ATL 13.9%
HOU 16.0% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points6992
Rebounds4939
Assists1518
Steals1014
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)31 (6)
Field Goals27-7935-75
At-the-Rim FG14-3317-26
Midrange FG12-3513-37
2-Point FG26-6830-63
3-Point FG1-115-12
Free Throws14-2317-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
39.2
21
50%
8
1
0
0
6
4
2
6
2-4
50%
8-15
53%
1-3
33%
G · 6'9" 225 · 19
34.1
14
58%
10
3
3
2
6
4
1
9
8-12
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
28.5
8
20%
8
1
2
0
3
0
3
5
2-3
67%
3-12
25%
0-6
0%
G · 6'8" 250 · 23
20.6
5
42%
3
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 27
15.0
2
11%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
1-9
11%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21
28.6
8
50%
4
1
0
0
3
5
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
26.3
8
50%
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 168 · 34
14.4
3
75%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
14.2
0
0%
1
3
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 31
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
69
37%
49
15
10
2
23
0
18
31
14-23
61%
26-68
38%
1-11
9%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.