| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 ORL | 98.9 | 92 | 89.5 |
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Scoring Opportunities
ORL
76
+15
-16
91
SAS
77
+14
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ORL | SAS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 91 0% | 94 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 91 3.9% | 94 96.1% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 2' Layup | 91 2.9% | 94 97.1% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 91 2.2% | 94 97.8% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 90 1.9% | 94 98.1% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | SAS | Ginobili Traveling Turnover (P3.T17) | 89 1.1% | 94 98.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 89 1.0% | 94 99.0% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup | 89 1.3% | 94 98.7% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 89 2.6% | 94 97.4% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 89 2.6% | 94 97.4% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | ORL | MISS Battie 3' Dunk | 89 1.6% | 94 98.4% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 5' Jump Shot | 89 1.6% | 94 98.4% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | SAS | Brown 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST) | 89 2.9% | 94 97.1% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | ORL | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 89 5.4% | 92 94.6% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | ORL | MISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 | 88 5.0% | 92 95.0% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16) | 88 6.0% | 92 94.0% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 88 3.6% | 92 96.4% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | SAS | MISS Brown 3' Layup | 88 5.3% | 92 94.7% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 88 3.9% | 92 96.1% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | ORL | MISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot | 88 4.6% | 92 95.4% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 88 6.6% | 92 93.4% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | SAS | MISS Duncan 20' Jump Bank Shot | 88 5.9% | 92 94.1% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 88 3.8% | 92 96.2% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot | 88 4.6% | 92 95.4% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | SAS | Rose 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST) | 88 7.3% | 92 92.7% |
| Q4 - 2:53 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 88 10.6% | 90 89.4% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | ORL | MISS Francis 22' Jump Shot | 88 12.3% | 90 87.7% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 88 17.3% | 90 82.7% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 88 19.0% | 89 81.0% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | ORL | Brown STEAL (2 STL) | 88 14.8% | 89 85.2% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 88 24.4% | 89 75.6% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot | 88 20.8% | 89 79.2% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 88 16.8% | 89 83.2% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 87 15.9% | 89 84.1% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | SAS | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 86 12.4% | 89 87.6% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | SAS | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 86 13.2% | 88 86.8% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | ORL | Howard Foul Turnover (P4.T15) | 86 16.8% | 87 83.2% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | SAS | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 | 86 22.2% | 87 77.8% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | SAS | Brown Dunk (9 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST) | 86 23.1% | 87 76.9% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 86 30.1% | 85 69.9% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | ORL | MISS Francis 14' Jump Shot | 86 32.7% | 85 67.3% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | SAS | Ginobili 4' Finger Roll (17 PTS) | 86 39.3% | 85 60.7% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | ORL | Francis 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 86 48.2% | 83 51.8% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | SAS | Udrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15) | 84 35.5% | 83 64.5% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 84 28.0% | 83 72.0% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | ORL | MISS Mobley 3' Layup | 84 30.2% | 83 69.8% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | SAS | Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST) | 84 32.9% | 83 67.1% |
| Q4 - 6:09 | SAS | Udrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 84 46.3% | 80 53.7% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | SAS | MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 52.3% | 80 47.7% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 84 46.5% | 80 53.5% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | ORL | Howard 3' Tip Shot (8 PTS) | 84 46.5% | 80 53.5% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | ORL | MISS Mobley 7' Jump Shot | 82 34.5% | 80 65.5% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 82 40.2% | 80 59.8% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 82 41.5% | 79 58.5% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | ORL | Francis Traveling Turnover (P1.T14) | 82 43.1% | 78 56.9% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | SAS | Ginobili 4' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 82 51.0% | 78 49.0% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | ORL | Battie Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 82 57.0% | 76 43.0% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | ORL | Battie Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 81 55.3% | 76 44.7% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 80 51.2% | 76 48.8% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | SAS | Duncan 3' Layup (23 PTS) | 80 51.2% | 76 48.8% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | SAS | MISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot | 80 58.6% | 74 41.4% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 80 54.3% | 74 45.7% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 80 60.7% | 74 39.3% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | ORL | MISS Howard 3' Dunk | 80 56.3% | 74 43.7% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | ORL | MISS Hill 14' Jump Shot | 80 56.3% | 74 43.7% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | SAS | Ginobili 3' Finger Roll (11 PTS) (Brown 2 AST) | 80 60.8% | 74 39.2% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | ORL | Nesterovic STEAL (1 STL) | 80 66.6% | 72 33.4% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | SAS | Nesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 80 72.2% | 72 27.8% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 80 62.8% | 72 37.2% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 79 61.0% | 72 39.0% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 78 57.3% | 72 42.7% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | ORL | MISS Francis 3' Reverse Layup | 78 53.0% | 72 47.0% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 78 57.5% | 72 42.5% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | SAS | MISS Brown 2' Reverse Layup | 78 55.6% | 72 44.4% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 78 51.3% | 72 48.7% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot | 78 53.2% | 72 46.8% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 78 57.6% | 72 42.4% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 3' Reverse Layup | 78 55.7% | 72 44.3% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 78 51.4% | 72 48.6% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot | 78 55.7% | 72 44.3% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | SAS | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 78 49.0% | 72 51.0% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | ORL | MISS Howard 15' Jump Shot | 78 50.8% | 72 49.2% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | SAS | Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST) | 78 55.1% | 72 44.9% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | ORL | Nelson 2' Layup (3 PTS) | 78 65.7% | 69 34.3% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | ORL | Bradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 76 60.8% | 69 39.2% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | SAS | MISS Duncan 3' Layup | 76 57.3% | 69 42.7% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | ORL | Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12) | 76 53.5% | 69 46.5% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | SAS | Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST) | 76 59.1% | 69 40.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 76 68.9% | 66 31.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 76 68.9% | 66 31.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | MISS Hill 15' Jump Shot | 76 70.4% | 66 29.6% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | ORL | Bradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 70.3% | 66 29.7% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | SAS | MISS Udrih 3' Layup | 76 69.0% | 66 31.0% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | ORL | Turkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 76 66.0% | 66 34.0% |
| Q3 - 0:43.0 | SAS | Rose 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST) | 76 70.5% | 66 29.5% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | ORL | Mobley Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 76 71.2% | 64 28.8% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | SAS | Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 76 75.3% | 64 24.7% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | ORL | Mobley 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 76 71.4% | 64 28.6% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | ORL | Bradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 74 67.5% | 64 32.5% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | SAS | MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot | 74 66.1% | 64 33.9% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | ORL | Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 74 59.5% | 64 40.5% |
| Q3 - 2:28 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 55.6% | 64 44.4% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | SAS | MISS Parker 4' Layup | 72 54.1% | 64 45.9% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | ORL | Francis 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 72 50.6% | 64 49.4% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | SAS | Ginobili 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 70 46.4% | 64 53.6% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 70 49.2% | 62 50.8% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | ORL | Francis 2' Layup (11 PTS) | 69 44.8% | 62 55.2% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | SAS | SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 67 40.6% | 62 59.4% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 67 36.1% | 62 63.9% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | SAS | MISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot | 67 39.2% | 62 60.8% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 67 36.1% | 62 63.9% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | ORL | MISS Howard 2' Layup | 67 37.5% | 62 62.5% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | SAS | Rose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11) | 67 39.0% | 62 61.0% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 67 34.4% | 62 65.6% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | ORL | MISS Mobley 9' Jump Shot | 67 35.8% | 62 64.2% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | ORL | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 67 39.1% | 62 60.9% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | SAS | MISS Rose 13' Jump Shot | 67 37.6% | 62 62.4% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | ORL | Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 67 33.7% | 62 66.3% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | ORL | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 66 33.1% | 62 66.9% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 30.3% | 62 69.7% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | SAS | MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot | 65 29.2% | 62 70.8% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | ORL | Mobley 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 65 26.7% | 62 73.3% |
| Q3 - 5:48 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 23.8% | 62 76.2% |
| Q3 - 5:51 | SAS | MISS Bowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 22.8% | 62 77.2% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | ORL | Hill Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 63 20.1% | 62 79.9% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 63 23.1% | 62 76.9% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | SAS | MISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot | 63 22.2% | 62 77.8% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | SAS | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 20.2% | 62 79.8% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | ORL | MISS Francis 19' Jump Shot | 63 21.1% | 62 78.9% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 63 23.1% | 62 76.9% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | SAS | MISS Brown 19' Jump Shot | 63 22.2% | 62 77.8% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | ORL | Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Francis 9 AST) | 63 20.2% | 62 79.8% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | SAS | Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 60 15.6% | 62 84.4% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | ORL | Hill 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 60 13.4% | 62 86.6% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 58 11.9% | 62 88.1% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 58 12.4% | 61 87.6% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | ORL | Hill 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 58 13.4% | 60 86.6% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | SAS | Duncan 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 56 11.9% | 60 88.1% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | ORL | Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 56 13.4% | 58 86.6% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | ORL | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 55 13.1% | 58 86.9% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 54 11.9% | 58 88.1% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Layup | 54 11.4% | 58 88.6% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 54 10.2% | 58 89.8% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 53 9.8% | 58 90.2% |
| Q3 - 8:44 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 9.1% | 58 90.9% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | ORL | Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 52 8.1% | 58 91.9% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 9.1% | 58 90.9% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | ORL | Duncan BLOCK (4 BLK) | 52 8.1% | 58 91.9% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | SAS | Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 52 8.9% | 58 91.1% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 7.7% | 58 92.3% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 51 7.5% | 58 92.5% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 6.8% | 58 93.2% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 5' Jump Shot | 50 6.5% | 58 93.5% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | ORL | Hill 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Francis 8 AST) | 50 5.9% | 58 94.1% |
| Q3 - 9:57 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 48 5.1% | 58 94.9% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 4.9% | 58 95.1% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 4.5% | 58 95.5% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | ORL | MISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 4.7% | 58 95.3% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 48 5.2% | 58 94.8% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | ORL | MISS Hill 17' Jump Shot | 48 4.7% | 58 95.3% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | SAS | Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) | 48 5.2% | 58 94.8% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 48 5.8% | 56 94.2% |
| Q3 - 10:50 | ORL | MISS Francis 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 48 6.1% | 56 93.9% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | SAS | Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 48 6.8% | 56 93.2% |
| Q3 - 11:06 | ORL | Ginobili STEAL (1 STL) | 48 5.8% | 56 94.2% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | SAS | Parker 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST) | 48 6.7% | 56 93.3% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | ORL | Howard Traveling Turnover (P1.T7) | 48 7.6% | 54 92.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 48 8.6% | 54 91.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 48 7.6% | 54 92.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 8.3% | 54 91.7% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 48 7.9% | 54 92.1% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | ORL | Duncan BLOCK (3 BLK) | 48 8.1% | 54 91.9% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 48 8.6% | 54 91.4% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | SAS | MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot | 48 8.4% | 54 91.6% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 7.9% | 54 92.1% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot | 48 8.1% | 54 91.9% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | SAS | Parker 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 48 8.7% | 54 91.3% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | ORL | Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 48 10.4% | 52 89.6% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 11.0% | 52 89.0% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | SAS | MISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot | 48 10.8% | 52 89.2% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | ORL | Hill 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 48 10.4% | 52 89.6% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 46 8.7% | 52 91.3% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | SAS | MISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 8.6% | 52 91.4% |
| Q2 - 2:17 | ORL | Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST) | 46 8.1% | 52 91.9% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | SAS | Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7) | 43 6.4% | 52 93.6% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 43 5.7% | 52 94.3% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | ORL | Battie 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 43 5.7% | 52 94.3% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | ORL | MISS Hill 12' Jump Shot | 41 4.7% | 52 95.3% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 41 5.0% | 52 95.0% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | SAS | Duncan 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 41 5.0% | 52 95.0% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | SAS | MISS Duncan 3' Layup | 41 6.3% | 50 93.7% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | ORL | Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battie 1 AST) | 41 5.8% | 50 94.2% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 38 4.7% | 50 95.3% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | ORL | MISS Francis 15' Jump Shot | 38 4.3% | 50 95.7% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | SAS | Horry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 38 4.7% | 50 95.3% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | SAS | Horry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 38 4.8% | 49 95.2% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 38 5.2% | 48 94.8% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | ORL | MISS Francis 18' Jump Shot | 38 5.4% | 48 94.6% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 38 5.9% | 48 94.1% |
| Q2 - 4:10 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 5.3% | 48 94.7% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | ORL | Duncan BLOCK (2 BLK) | 38 5.5% | 48 94.5% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | ORL | Bradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 5.9% | 48 94.1% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Finger Roll | 38 5.7% | 48 94.3% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | ORL | Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 7 AST) | 38 5.3% | 48 94.7% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | SAS | Horry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 35 4.3% | 48 95.7% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | SAS | Horry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 35 4.4% | 47 95.6% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 4.8% | 46 95.2% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | ORL | MISS Hill 12' Jump Shot | 35 4.9% | 46 95.1% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | SAS | Duncan 3' Layup (13 PTS) | 35 5.3% | 46 94.7% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | ORL | Battie 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Francis 6 AST) | 35 5.9% | 44 94.1% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | SAS | Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 33 5.5% | 44 94.5% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | ORL | Hill 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST) | 33 6.6% | 41 93.4% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 6.1% | 41 93.9% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | SAS | MISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 5.8% | 41 94.2% |
| Q2 - 6:52 | ORL | Brown STEAL (1 STL) | 31 5.4% | 41 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | SAS | Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 31 6.3% | 41 93.7% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | SAS | Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 31 6.4% | 40 93.6% |
| Q2 - 7:11 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 6.9% | 39 93.1% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | ORL | MISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot | 31 7.1% | 39 92.9% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | SAS | Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST) | 31 7.6% | 39 92.4% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 31 8.3% | 37 91.7% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ORL | MISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 31 8.4% | 37 91.6% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 31 9.0% | 37 91.0% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | SAS | Rose 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST) | 30 8.4% | 37 91.6% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 9.1% | 35 90.9% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Layup | 30 9.9% | 35 90.1% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | ORL | Garrity Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 30 9.2% | 35 90.8% |
| Q2 - 8:46 | SAS | Brown 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 30 10.2% | 35 89.8% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | ORL | Augmon Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 30 11.0% | 33 89.0% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | SAS | Ginobili 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 30 12.1% | 33 87.9% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | ORL | Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 30 13.1% | 31 86.9% |
| Q2 - 9:58 | SAS | Rose 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST) | 28 12.1% | 31 87.9% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 28 13.2% | 29 86.8% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | ORL | MISS Francis 20' Jump Shot | 28 13.6% | 29 86.4% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 14.5% | 29 85.5% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | SAS | MISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot | 28 14.1% | 29 85.9% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | ORL | Rose STEAL (2 STL) | 28 13.2% | 29 86.8% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | SAS | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 28 14.5% | 29 85.5% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | SAS | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 28 14.7% | 28 85.3% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 28 15.6% | 27 84.4% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 | 28 16.9% | 27 83.1% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 | 28 16.3% | 27 83.7% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 28 15.3% | 27 84.7% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | ORL | Nesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK) | 28 15.6% | 27 84.4% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | ORL | Kasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 28 16.5% | 27 83.5% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | ORL | MISS Kasun 6' Jump Shot | 28 15.7% | 27 84.3% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 1 | 28 16.4% | 27 83.6% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | SAS | Nesterovic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST) | 28 16.6% | 27 83.4% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | ORL | Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 28 18.0% | 25 82.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 25 15.3% | 25 84.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 25 15.3% | 25 84.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | MISS Battie 32' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 14.5% | 25 85.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Nesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 25 15.3% | 25 84.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 25 14.1% | 25 85.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 24 13.9% | 25 86.1% |
| Q1 - 0:09.0 | SAS | Ginobili 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 23 12.7% | 25 87.3% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | SAS | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 14.1% | 23 85.9% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | ORL | MISS Francis 22' Jump Shot | 23 14.4% | 23 85.6% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | SAS | Parker 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST) | 23 15.0% | 23 85.0% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | ORL | Mobley 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 23 16.5% | 21 83.5% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | SAS | Parker Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4) | 21 15.0% | 21 85.0% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | SAS | Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 14.1% | 21 85.9% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | SAS | MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot | 21 14.7% | 21 85.3% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 21 14.1% | 21 85.9% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot | 21 14.7% | 21 85.3% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | ORL | Rose STEAL (1 STL) | 21 14.1% | 21 85.9% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 15.0% | 21 85.0% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | SAS | MISS Rose 2' Layup | 21 14.7% | 21 85.3% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | SAS | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 13.9% | 21 86.1% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | ORL | MISS Hill 20' Jump Shot | 21 14.3% | 21 85.7% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | ORL | Hill Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 21 15.0% | 21 85.0% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | SAS | Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST) | 20 13.9% | 21 86.1% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | ORL | Francis 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST) | 20 16.4% | 18 83.6% |
| Q1 - 3:04 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 14.9% | 18 85.1% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 18 13.6% | 18 86.4% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | SAS | MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 14.5% | 18 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 13.7% | 18 86.3% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | ORL | MISS Bradley 3' Layup | 18 14.0% | 18 86.0% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | ORL | Bradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 14.9% | 18 85.1% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | ORL | MISS Francis 2' Layup | 18 14.0% | 18 86.0% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 14.9% | 18 85.1% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 18 14.7% | 18 85.3% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 18 14.1% | 18 85.9% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | ORL | Hill 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST) | 18 14.4% | 17 85.6% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | ORL | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 13.5% | 17 86.5% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | SAS | MISS Duncan 12' Hook Shot | 16 13.2% | 17 86.8% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | ORL | Battie 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 5 AST) | 16 12.3% | 17 87.7% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | SAS | Brown 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 11.3% | 17 88.7% |
| Q1 - 5:15 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 12.1% | 15 87.9% |
| Q1 - 5:18 | ORL | MISS Howard 4' Jump Shot | 14 12.4% | 15 87.6% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | SAS | Duncan 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 14 13.1% | 15 86.9% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | ORL | Hill 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST) | 14 14.0% | 13 86.0% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | SAS | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 13.2% | 13 86.8% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | ORL | Battie 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 12 12.0% | 13 88.0% |
| Q1 - 6:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 11.2% | 13 88.8% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | SAS | MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot | 10 11.0% | 13 89.0% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 10.4% | 13 89.6% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 9 10.2% | 13 89.8% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | SAS | Nesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 8 9.7% | 13 90.3% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | ORL | Mobley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST) | 8 9.0% | 13 91.0% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 8.5% | 13 91.5% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 8.3% | 13 91.7% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 7.8% | 13 92.2% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | ORL | MISS Francis 18' Jump Shot | 6 8.0% | 13 92.0% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | SAS | Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) | 6 8.5% | 13 91.5% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | ORL | Battie 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 6 8.9% | 11 91.1% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | SAS | Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 4 8.4% | 11 91.6% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 4 9.5% | 8 90.5% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | ORL | Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK) | 4 9.7% | 8 90.3% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 10.2% | 8 89.8% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | SAS | MISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot | 4 9.9% | 8 90.1% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 4 9.3% | 8 90.7% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | SAS | MISS Parker 6' Jump Shot | 4 9.9% | 8 90.1% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | ORL | Hill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST) | 4 9.4% | 8 90.6% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | SAS | Parker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 2 8.9% | 8 91.1% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | ORL | Battie 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST) | 2 9.4% | 6 90.6% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | SAS | Duncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST) | 0 8.8% | 6 91.2% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 9.4% | 4 90.6% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | ORL | MISS Hill 17' Jump Shot | 0 9.6% | 4 90.4% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | SAS | Duncan 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 0 10.1% | 4 89.9% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 10.7% | 2 89.3% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | ORL | MISS Mobley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 11.0% | 2 89.0% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 0 11.6% | 2 88.4% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | SAS | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 10.7% | 2 89.3% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | SAS | MISS Nesterovic 3' Tip Shot | 0 11.3% | 2 88.7% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | SAS | MISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot | 0 11.3% | 2 88.7% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | SAS | Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 10.8% | 2 89.2% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | ORL | MISS Francis 17' Jump Shot | 0 11.0% | 2 89.0% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 0 11.5% | 2 88.5% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | ORL | MISS Howard 14' Jump Shot | 0 11.0% | 2 89.0% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | SAS | Parker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST) | 0 11.5% | 2 88.5% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | SAS | Jump Ball Nesterovic vs. Howard: Tip to Bowen | 0 12.3% | 0 87.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
11
24
46%
SAS
17
36
47%
Midrange
ORL
15
46
33%
SAS
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
SAS
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
24
26
92%
SAS
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mobley | 21 | 58% | 10.5 / 18 | |
| S. Francis | 20 | 42% | 10.0 / 24 | |
| G. Hill | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| T. Battie | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| D. Howard | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| J. Nelson | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| M. Bradley | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| M. Kasun | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Duncan | 24 | 50% | 12.0 / 24 | |
| M. Ginobili | 17 | 61% | 8.5 / 14 | |
| T. Parker | 13 | 43% | 6.5 / 15 | |
| M. Rose | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| D. Brown | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| B. Udrih | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| R. Horry | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| B. Bowen | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| R. Nesterovic | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
76
+15
-16
91
SAS
77
+14
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 101.8 104.9 | ORL 98.9 +2.2 SAS 101.1 |
| Pace | 97.7 91.2 | ORL 89.5 SAS 95.7 +6.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.6 16.2 | ORL 16.1 SAS 15.1 +1.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.8% 49.2% | ORL 42.9% SAS 50.0% +7.1% |
| TO % | 16.0% 14.2% | ORL 15.2% +1.0% SAS 16.2% |
| ORB % | 30.0% 29.2% | ORL 25.0% SAS 29.7% +4.7% |
| FTrt | 35.0 32.9 | ORL 33.3 +5.1 SAS 28.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 52.2% 60.6% | ORL 51.6% SAS 58.3% +6.7% |
| STL % | 7.9% 8.2% | ORL 5.4% SAS 6.5% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 9.9% | ORL 11.3% +2.7% SAS 8.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.3% 50.6% | ORL 48.9% SAS 50.5% +1.6% |
| Rim FG% | 57.1% 59.3% | ORL 45.8% SAS 47.2% +1.4% |
| Mid FG% | 40.0% 37.2% | ORL 32.6% SAS 50.0% +17.4% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 36.3% | ORL 62.5% +25.0% SAS 37.5% |
| FT % | 75.9% 72.4% | ORL 92.3% +19.6% SAS 72.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.8% 37.6% | ORL 30.8% SAS 46.2% +15.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 50.5% 40.8% | ORL 59.0% SAS 33.3% +25.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 13.7% 21.6% | ORL 10.3% SAS 20.5% +10.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | ORL | SAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 92 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.7 | 23.3 |
| Points | 91 | 94 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 44 |
| Assists | 16 | 21 |
| Steals | 5 | 6 |
| Blocks | 7 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 16 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (4) | 11 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (6) | 33 (0) |
| Field Goals | 31-78 | 36-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-24 | 17-36 |
| Midrange FG | 15-46 | 13-26 |
| 2-Point FG | 26-70 | 30-62 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-8 | 6-16 |
| Free Throws | 24-26 | 16-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.