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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Cavaliers27%8669
8Pistons73%9481
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
45.1
39.1
11
24%
9
7
4
2
1
3
1
8
3-5
60%
4-19
7-15
21%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
42.5
38.4
14
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
32.1
32.8
18
64%
10
1
0
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
9-13
5-10
69%
46%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
30.8
24.8
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
27.2
29.7
12
56%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
45%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.0
20.4
13.3
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.9
16.9
7.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
35%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.2
15.8
10.7
6
63%
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
4.2
5.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-3
0%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
3.9
12.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
1.2
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.1
5.7
0
1-2
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.8
42.8
39.2
21
52%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
7-17
7-15
41%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
42.0
34.8
16
50%
5
6
2
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-12
3-7
33%
42%
2-3
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
39.8
37.9
10
39%
15
0
0
2
1
1
6
9
2-4
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
37.6
31.9
13
62%
8
3
1
1
1
3
1
7
0-1
0%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.8
26.3
36.8
7
36%
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
21.6
16.2
4
29%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
39%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
17.7
16.1
10
87%
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
10.8
11.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.5
0.6
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
0.6
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
0.2
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.4
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.