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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bucks53%9977
32Bulls47%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
40.6
37.6
22
47%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
9-18
6-14
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.4
40.6
33.2
12
55%
11
1
1
1
2
1
7
4
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.2
38.0
39.3
15
45%
4
3
1
1
1
3
1
3
5-8
63%
5-13
7-14
38%
48%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.0
25.7
23.9
6
27%
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-11
3-8
27%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
21.2
23.6
2
33%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 36.6
23.7
18.7
6
38%
1
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
40%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.5
22.3
25.1
7
58%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.8
15.3
14.6
5
47%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.4
12.5
4.3
2
14%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
1-2
14%
44%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.6
12.2
0
1-3
45%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
9.7
0
1-3
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
42.3
37.8
28
53%
3
8
0
1
0
6
0
3
6-8
75%
8-14
3-8
57%
41%
2-9
22%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.0
38.2
28.4
18
60%
6
1
0
0
1
0
4
2
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
24.3
27.3
9
51%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.1
22.2
20.9
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.3
19.1
19.4
4
40%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.2
28.7
30.2
6
54%
10
1
1
1
7
1
2
8
4-8
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.0
28.7
21.2
6
60%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.7
24.9
25.2
8
51%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.2
10.2
11.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.5
1.2
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.8
3.6
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.