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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Lakers23%98115
3Kings77%10899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
41.6
42.5
31
72%
6
12
2
2
2
4
0
6
8-10
80%
7-9
7-16
78%
45%
3-8
38%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
36.8
34.7
22
69%
7
2
0
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
11-15
4-9
73%
47%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
35.0
32.0
8
51%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
42%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.3
30.2
29.5
11
61%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
1-4
25%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.4
20.6
27.6
8
67%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
24.4
20.2
12
60%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
4-7
57%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
21.5
18.5
15
76%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
37%
2-3
67%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
18.8
20.9
8
80%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.9
3.0
1.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
2.7
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.8
2.7
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.7
2.7
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.7
38.2
34.5
6
38%
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.5
36.8
38.7
16
54%
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
2-7
29%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
35.7
37.8
17
52%
2
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2-3
67%
6-11
5-9
55%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
29.3
33.8
20
56%
4
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
10-18
8-17
56%
47%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
29.1
35.6
6
29%
3
7
0
2
2
2
2
1
0-1
0%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.8
22.9
14.7
6
39%
10
1
0
0
2
0
4
6
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.8
22.6
21.7
20
67%
8
4
0
1
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.8
12.3
6.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
4.8
2.0
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.7
4.8
0.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
2.7
1.1
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.8
0.8
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.