FinalWin Prob.pScore
1332%96
100
1068%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.197102.0
MIA logo MIA
109.29893.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN100
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Boykins 18' Running Jump Shot100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)100
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2100
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)100
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 1:03DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)97
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 1:03DENMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)96
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 1:05DENMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:09DENWade BLOCK (2 BLK)94
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:20DENNuggets Rebound94
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot94
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)94
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:42DENMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 1:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 294
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 2:07DENRussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)94
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 2:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:46DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05DENCamby 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18DENMISS Miller Layup87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMartin 8' Hook Shot (21 PTS)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (O'Neal 7 AST)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot85
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJones Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:20DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T16)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 5:23DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot85
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 5:44DENBoykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07DENMiller Layup (21 PTS)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 6:09MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)80
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot80
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:44MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)80
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:49DENJones STEAL (1 STL)80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 6:53DENNuggets Rebound80
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Jones Layup80
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 7:12DENLaettner STEAL (2 STL)80
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)80
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 7:52DENO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)80
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 8:14MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 8:40DENRussell 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)80
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:55DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)77
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)76
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 9:17DENMiller Dunk (19 PTS)76
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)74
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHEAT Rebound74
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup74
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 9:43DENMISS Nene Layup74
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)74
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 10:06DENMISS Boykins 19' Fadeaway Jumper74
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 10:25MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 10:51DENNene Dunk (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)74
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 11:02DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 11:04DENMISS Boykins 9' Jump Shot72
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 11:15DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup72
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 11:34DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)72
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 11:35DENNuggets Rebound72
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 11:36DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)72
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 37' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)70
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)70
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)68
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 267
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)67
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot67
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 167
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 1:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS)67
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 267
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 1:40DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 1:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 266
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 1:46MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAHEAT Rebound66
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)66
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 2:18DENJones STEAL (3 STL)66
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 2:31DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 2:49DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)66
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)66
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 3:15DENMiller 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)64
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 3:34DENRussell Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)64
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 3:35DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot64
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 3:52DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 264
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 3:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin Layup (18 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)64
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 4:16DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 4:18DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup62
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 4:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 4:51DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 262
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 4:51DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 4:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot61
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 5:15DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)61
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)59
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 5:41DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)59
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 5:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot57
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 6:07DENLaettner STEAL (1 STL)57
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)57
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 6:36DENO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)57
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 6:42DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 6:44DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 6:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 7:11DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 7:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 7:35DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 7:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:38DENO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)52
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 8:09DENBuckner Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)52
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 8:28DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T8)50
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 8:51MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 9:01DENMISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk50
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 9:18MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 9:37DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)50
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)48
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)48
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade Layup48
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot48
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot48
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 10:31DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q3 - 10:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 10:49DENCamby Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Martin 3' Layup46
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 11:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot46
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q3 - 11:22DENMISS Miller Driving Layup46
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 11:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot46
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones Driving Layup (9 PTS)46
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENAnthony Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)46
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENBuckner Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)46
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)44
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup44
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMartin Dunk (14 PTS)44
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENJones BLOCK (2 BLK)42
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)42
7.3%
55
92.7%
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)40
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)40
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot40
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot40
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 1:58MIALaettner Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup40
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 2:20DENMartin Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)40
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 3:00DENMiller 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 3:23MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 3:28MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 236
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 3:36MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:38DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot36
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)36
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 3:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAHEAT Rebound36
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot36
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 4:52MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)33
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
10.5%
43
89.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Butler Layup33
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 5:09DENWade STEAL (1 STL)33
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)33
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 5:44DENMiller Layup (12 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)33
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIALaettner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 6:00MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 6:02DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot31
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 6:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 6:29DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 7:02DENMiller 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)27
7.1%
43
92.9%
Q2 - 7:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 7:34DENMISS Martin 14' Turnaround Jump Shot27
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 7:52DENNuggets Rebound27
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot27
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 8:10MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot27
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 8:33MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 227
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 8:54DENMISS Nene 4' Hook Shot27
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q2 - 9:23DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup27
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIADoleac 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 9:55DENRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 9:55DENRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 10:24DENJones STEAL (2 STL)25
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 10:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot25
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS White Layup25
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 11:14MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 11:23DENDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)25
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 11:48MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)25
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)25
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)25
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot23
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot23
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)23
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)23
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 1:40DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
24.6%
24
75.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 1:52MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 2:14DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)21
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)19
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 2:41DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)19
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:47DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 3:09DENMiller 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 3:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot15
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 3:39DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 3:39DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 3:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 3:50DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 3:56MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 4:20DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)13
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 4:38DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot13
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)13
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 9' Fadeaway Jumper13
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk13
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 5:29DENO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)13
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Layup (3 PTS)13
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 6:13DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:29MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Camby: Tip to Buckner13
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup13
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 6:46DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 7:32DENMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)11
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIAHEAT Rebound9
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS O'Neal Layup9
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 8:05DENJones STEAL (1 STL)9
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJones Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:51DENMiller 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 27
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:21DENBuckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)7
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAHEAT Rebound4
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
27.3%
3
72.7%
Q1 - 9:59MIAHEAT Rebound4
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 10:01DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot4
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.6%
3
72.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 10:22DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot4
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 10:42MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 11:03DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot2
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:41DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Camby: Tip to Miller0
26.0%
0
74.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
27
52%
MIA
25
36
69%
Midrange
DEN
19
43
44%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
DEN
16
19
84%
MIA
17
29
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Miller2455%12.0 / 22
K. Martin2153%10.5 / 20
C. Anthony1450%7.0 / 14
E. Boykins1150%5.5 / 11
B. Russell1083%5.0 / 6
M. Camby844%4.0 / 9
G. Buckner7117%3.5 / 3
Nene531%2.5 / 8
R. White0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2053%10.0 / 19
E. Jones1657%8.0 / 14
C. Laettner1478%7.0 / 9
D. Jones1238%6.0 / 16
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
R. Butler536%2.5 / 7
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
K. Dooling350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+14
-15
96
MIA
83
+17
-15
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
106.6
DEN 103.1
MIA 109.2 +6.1
Pace
95.8
93.9
DEN 102.0 +8.6
MIA 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
DEN 14.1 +1.3
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
52.4%
DEN 50.0%
MIA 54.2% +4.2%
TO %
15.0%
14.0%
DEN 14.8%
MIA 13.5% +1.3%
ORB %
28.4%
27.0%
DEN 26.8%
MIA 31.6% +4.8%
FTrt
35.0
38.7
DEN 22.6
MIA 34.9 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
57.8%
DEN 46.2%
MIA 62.8% +16.6%
STL %
9.5%
6.8%
DEN 13.4% +5.2%
MIA 8.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.7%
DEN 10.6%
MIA 12.9% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
DEN 51.5%
MIA 53.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
63.0%
DEN 51.9%
MIA 69.4% +17.5%
Mid FG%
37.4%
41.0%
DEN 44.2%
MIA 46.7% +2.5%
3P %
34.0%
37.7%
DEN 42.9% +19.4%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
76.3%
67.2%
DEN 84.2% +25.6%
MIA 58.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
37.6%
DEN 32.1%
MIA 43.4% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
42.6%
DEN 51.2%
MIA 36.1% +15.0%
3P Att. %
14.2%
19.8%
DEN 16.7%
MIA 20.5% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points100107
Rebounds3742
Assists1827
Steals138
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals39-8443-83
At-the-Rim FG14-2725-36
Midrange FG19-4314-30
2-Point FG33-7039-66
3-Point FG6-144-17
Free Throws16-1917-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
42.4
24
55%
5
7
6
0
3
6
4
1
4-5
80%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
39.9
21
53%
11
3
1
0
3
4
1
10
3-4
75%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
32.5
7
117%
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
31.1
8
44%
7
3
2
5
3
5
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
28.5
14
50%
3
1
1
0
4
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
20.5
11
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
19.5
10
83%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
16.3
5
31%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
37
18
13
7
15
0
11
26
16-19
84%
33-70
47%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.