Final Win Prob. pScore
1332%96
100
1068%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
103.197102.0
MIA logo Heat
109.29893.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN100
107
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound100
107
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Martin 50' 3PT Jump Shot100
107
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)100
107
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2100
107
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
107
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2100
107
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMartin P.FOUL (P4.PN)100
107
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)100
107
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Boykins 18' Running Jump Shot100
107
Q4 - 0:16.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
107
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2100
107
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)100
107
Q4 - 0:18.0DENBoykins P.FOUL (P2.PN)100
106
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
106
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
106
Q4 - 0:32.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)100
106
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)100
106
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
105
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2100
105
Q4 - 0:32.0DENSUB: Johnson FOR Miller100
105
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMiller P.FOUL (P6.PN)100
105
Q4 - 0:33.0DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)100
105
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
105
Q4 - 1:03DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)97
103
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade S.FOUL (P5.PN)96
103
Q4 - 1:03DENMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)96
103
Q4 - 1:05DENMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)94
103
Q4 - 1:09DENWade BLOCK (2 BLK)94
103
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)94
103
Q4 - 1:20DENNuggets Rebound94
103
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot94
103
Q4 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)94
103
Q4 - 1:42DENMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
103
Q4 - 1:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
103
Q4 - 1:53DENRussell Violation:Lane94
102
Q4 - 1:53MIAHEAT Rebound94
102
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 294
102
Q4 - 1:53DENMartin P.FOUL (P3.PN)94
102
Q4 - 2:07DENRussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)94
102
Q4 - 2:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
102
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
102
Q4 - 2:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)91
102
Q4 - 2:41DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)91
102
Q4 - 2:46DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
102
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
102
Q4 - 3:05DENCamby 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)89
102
Q4 - 3:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
102
Q4 - 3:18DENMISS Miller Layup87
102
Q4 - 3:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
102
Q4 - 3:23DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
102
Q4 - 3:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
102
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot87
102
Q4 - 3:53DENMartin 8' Hook Shot (21 PTS)87
102
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
102
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
101
Q4 - 4:12DENCamby P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
100
Q4 - 4:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
100
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot85
100
Q4 - 4:19MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T1)85
100
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (O'Neal 7 AST)85
100
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
98
Q4 - 4:53DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot85
98
Q4 - 5:08MIAJones Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)85
98
Q4 - 5:20DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T16)85
96
Q4 - 5:20DENMiller OFF.Foul (P5)85
96
Q4 - 5:23DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
96
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot85
96
Q4 - 5:44DENBoykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
96
Q4 - 5:51MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)82
96
Q4 - 6:07MIAJones Violation:Defensive Goaltending82
96
Q4 - 6:07DENMiller Layup (21 PTS)82
96
Q4 - 6:09MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)80
96
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
96
Q4 - 6:21DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot80
96
Q4 - 6:37DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)80
96
Q4 - 6:44MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)80
96
Q4 - 6:49DENJones STEAL (1 STL)80
94
Q4 - 6:53DENNuggets Rebound80
94
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Jones Layup80
94
Q4 - 7:12DENLaettner STEAL (2 STL)80
94
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)80
94
Q4 - 7:35DENSUB: Camby FOR Elson80
92
Q4 - 7:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler80
92
Q4 - 7:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling80
92
Q4 - 7:35DENRussell P.FOUL (P1.T4)80
92
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
92
Q4 - 7:52DENO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)80
92
Q4 - 8:14MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 8:14MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
91
Q4 - 8:14DENElson S.FOUL (P2.T3)80
90
Q4 - 8:21DENMiller P.FOUL (P4.T2)80
90
Q4 - 8:40DENRussell 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)80
90
Q4 - 8:55DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)77
90
Q4 - 8:55MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac76
90
Q4 - 8:5576
90
Q4 - 8:55MIAWade Taunting (P3.T0)76
90
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)76
90
Q4 - 9:17DENMiller Dunk (19 PTS)76
88
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)74
88
Q4 - 9:27DENSUB: Martin FOR Nene74
88
Q4 - 9:27MIAHEAT Rebound74
88
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup74
88
Q4 - 9:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
88
Q4 - 9:43DENMISS Nene Layup74
88
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)74
88
Q4 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
88
Q4 - 10:06DENMISS Boykins 19' Fadeaway Jumper74
88
Q4 - 10:25MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
88
Q4 - 10:32DENNene P.FOUL (P3.T1)74
86
Q4 - 10:51DENNene Dunk (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)74
86
Q4 - 11:02DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
86
Q4 - 11:04DENMISS Boykins 9' Jump Shot72
86
Q4 - 11:15DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
86
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup72
86
Q4 - 11:34DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)72
86
Q4 - 11:35DENNuggets Rebound72
86
Q4 - 11:36DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)72
86
Q4 - 12:0072
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dooling 37' 3PT Jump Shot72
86
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
86
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)70
86
Q3 - 0:24.0DENElson S.FOUL (P1.PN)70
85
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)70
85
Q3 - 0:34.0DENRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
83
Q3 - 0:34.0DENRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
83
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)68
83
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)68
83
Q3 - 0:54.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)68
83
Q3 - 0:54.0DENSUB: Boykins FOR Miller67
83
Q3 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones67
83
Q3 - 0:54.0DENNuggets Rebound67
83
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 267
83
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
83
Q3 - 0:55.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
83
Q3 - 0:56.0DENDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)67
83
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)67
83
Q3 - 1:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
83
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot67
83
Q3 - 1:17DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
83
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
83
Q3 - 1:23MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
83
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 167
83
Q3 - 1:25DENSUB: Elson FOR Martin67
83
Q3 - 1:25DENNene S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
83
Q3 - 1:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS)67
83
Q3 - 1:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
81
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 267
81
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Doleac FOR Haslem67
81
Q3 - 1:40DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
81
Q3 - 1:40MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P4.PN)66
81
Q3 - 1:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
81
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 266
81
Q3 - 1:46MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
81
Q3 - 1:46MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade66
80
Q3 - 1:46DENMiller L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)66
80
Q3 - 1:46MIAHEAT Rebound66
80
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
80
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)66
80
Q3 - 2:18DENJones STEAL (3 STL)66
78
Q3 - 2:31DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
78
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
78
Q3 - 2:49DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)66
78
Q3 - 2:49DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)66
78
Q3 - 2:57MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)66
78
Q3 - 3:15DENMiller 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
76
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)64
76
Q3 - 3:34DENRussell Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)64
74
Q3 - 3:35DENRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
74
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot64
74
Q3 - 3:52DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
74
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 264
74
Q3 - 3:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
74
Q3 - 3:54DENNene S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
73
Q3 - 4:05DENSUB: Russell FOR Anthony64
73
Q3 - 4:05DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)64
73
Q3 - 4:05DENMiller P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
73
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin Layup (18 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)64
73
Q3 - 4:16DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
73
Q3 - 4:18DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup62
73
Q3 - 4:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
73
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
73
Q3 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
73
Q3 - 4:51DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 262
73
Q3 - 4:51DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
73
Q3 - 4:51MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner61
73
Q3 - 4:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
73
Q3 - 4:51MIALaettner P.FOUL (P4.PN)61
73
Q3 - 4:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
73
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot61
73
Q3 - 5:15DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)61
73
Q3 - 5:27MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)59
73
Q3 - 5:41DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)59
71
Q3 - 5:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
71
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot57
71
Q3 - 6:00MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Buckner: Tip to Laettner57
71
Q3 - 6:07DENLaettner STEAL (1 STL)57
71
Q3 - 6:29MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)57
71
Q3 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
69
Q3 - 6:36DENO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)57
69
Q3 - 6:42DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
69
Q3 - 6:44DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
69
Q3 - 6:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
69
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
69
Q3 - 7:11DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
69
Q3 - 7:20MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
69
Q3 - 7:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
67
Q3 - 7:35DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
67
Q3 - 7:35MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
67
Q3 - 7:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
67
Q3 - 7:38DENO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)52
67
Q3 - 7:48MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem52
67
Q3 - 7:48MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)52
67
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
67
Q3 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
66
Q3 - 7:54DENBuckner S.FOUL (P3.T3)52
65
Q3 - 8:09DENBuckner Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)52
65
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
65
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
64
Q3 - 8:20DENSUB: Nene FOR Camby50
63
Q3 - 8:20DENCamby S.FOUL (P4.T2)50
63
Q3 - 8:28DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T8)50
63
Q3 - 8:28DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)50
63
Q3 - 8:31MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)50
63
Q3 - 8:51MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
63
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
61
Q3 - 9:01DENMISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk50
61
Q3 - 9:18MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
61
Q3 - 9:22DENCamby P.FOUL (P3.T1)50
59
Q3 - 9:37DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)50
59
Q3 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)48
59
Q3 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)48
57
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
57
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade Layup48
57
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
57
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot48
57
Q3 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
57
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q3 - 10:21MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)48
57
Q3 - 10:31DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
57
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q3 - 10:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
57
Q3 - 10:49DENCamby Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
57
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Martin 3' Layup46
57
Q3 - 11:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
57
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot46
57
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
57
Q3 - 11:22DENMISS Miller Driving Layup46
57
Q3 - 11:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
57
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot46
57
Q3 - 12:0046
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones Driving Layup (9 PTS)46
57
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMiller P.FOUL (P1.T4)46
55
Q2 - 0:04.0DENAnthony Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)46
55
Q2 - 0:16.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
55
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
55
Q2 - 0:34.0DENBuckner Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)46
55
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)44
55
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
55
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup44
55
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMartin Dunk (14 PTS)44
55
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
55
Q2 - 0:56.0DENJones BLOCK (2 BLK)42
55
Q2 - 1:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)42
55
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
53
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
53
Q2 - 1:25MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner40
53
Q2 - 1:25MIAHEAT Timeout: Official (Full 2 Short 0)40
53
Q2 - 1:25MIALaettner P.FOUL (P3.PN)40
53
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 1:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)40
51
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot40
51
Q2 - 1:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
51
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot40
51
Q2 - 1:58MIALaettner Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
51
Q2 - 1:59MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
49
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup40
49
Q2 - 2:20DENMartin Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)40
49
Q2 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
49
Q2 - 3:00DENMiller 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
47
Q2 - 3:21MIALaettner P.FOUL (P2.T4)36
47
Q2 - 3:23MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
47
Q2 - 3:28MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 236
47
Q2 - 3:33DENCamby Violation:Lane36
47
Q2 - 3:33MIAHEAT Rebound36
47
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
47
Q2 - 3:33DENMartin S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
47
Q2 - 3:36MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
47
Q2 - 3:38DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot36
47
Q2 - 3:56MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)36
47
Q2 - 3:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
45
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
45
Q2 - 4:13MIAHEAT Rebound36
45
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot36
45
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
45
Q2 - 4:40MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade35
45
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T3)35
45
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
45
Q2 - 4:52MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)33
45
Q2 - 4:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
43
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Butler Layup33
43
Q2 - 5:09DENWade STEAL (1 STL)33
43
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)33
43
Q2 - 5:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling33
43
Q2 - 5:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
43
Q2 - 5:44DENMiller Layup (12 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)33
43
Q2 - 5:48MIALaettner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
43
Q2 - 6:00MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43
Q2 - 6:02DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 6:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
43
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 6:29DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
43
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
43
Q2 - 7:02DENMiller 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
43
Q2 - 7:10MIALaettner P.FOUL (P1.T2)27
43
Q2 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)27
43
Q2 - 7:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
41
Q2 - 7:34DENMISS Martin 14' Turnaround Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 7:52DENSUB: Martin FOR Nene27
41
Q2 - 7:52DENSUB: Miller FOR Boykins27
41
Q2 - 7:52DENNuggets Rebound27
41
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 8:10MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
41
Q2 - 8:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot27
39
Q2 - 8:33MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
39
Q2 - 8:33DENSUB: Anthony FOR Russell27
38
Q2 - 8:33MIAHEAT Rebound27
38
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 227
38
Q2 - 8:33MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem27
38
Q2 - 8:33MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones27
38
Q2 - 8:33MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac27
38
Q2 - 8:33DENBoykins S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
38
Q2 - 8:42DENBuckner P.FOUL (P2.T1)27
38
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
38
Q2 - 8:54DENMISS Nene 4' Hook Shot27
38
Q2 - 9:08DENSUB: Camby FOR White27
38
Q2 - 9:08DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
38
Q2 - 9:14MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
36
Q2 - 9:23DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup27
36
Q2 - 9:39MIADoleac 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 9:55DENRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 9:55DENRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
34
Q2 - 9:55MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
34
Q2 - 10:11MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
34
Q2 - 10:24DENJones STEAL (2 STL)25
32
Q2 - 10:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 11:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS White Layup25
32
Q2 - 11:14MIADooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
32
Q2 - 11:21MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32
Q2 - 11:23DENDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)25
32
Q2 - 11:48MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)25
32
Q2 - 12:0025
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30
Q1 - 0:02.0DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)25
30
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)25
30
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
27
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
27
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot23
27
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27
Q1 - 0:58.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot23
27
Q1 - 1:04MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade23
27
Q1 - 1:04MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T4)23
27
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)23
27
Q1 - 1:17DENSUB: Nene FOR Camby23
26
Q1 - 1:17MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal23
26
Q1 - 1:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)23
26
Q1 - 1:17DENCamby S.FOUL (P2.T4)23
26
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)23
26
Q1 - 1:40DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
24
Q1 - 1:52MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
22
Q1 - 2:14DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)21
22
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)19
22
Q1 - 2:41DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)19
20
Q1 - 2:47DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
20
Q1 - 3:09DENMiller 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 3:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 3:28DENSUB: Boykins FOR Buckner15
20
Q1 - 3:28DENCamby P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
20
Q1 - 3:39DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 3:39DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 3:39MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
20
Q1 - 3:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
20
Q1 - 3:50DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 3:56MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
20
Q1 - 4:20DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
20
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)13
20
Q1 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20
Q1 - 4:38DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)13
20
Q1 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
18
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 9' Fadeaway Jumper13
18
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk13
18
Q1 - 5:13MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
18
Q1 - 5:18DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
18
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
18
Q1 - 5:29DENO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)13
16
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade Layup (3 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 6:13DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
14
Q1 - 6:13DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P1)13
14
Q1 - 6:29DENNuggets Rebound13
14
Q1 - 6:29MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Camby: Tip to Buckner13
14
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup13
14
Q1 - 6:46DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 7:06MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 7:32DENMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
12
Q1 - 7:54MIAHEAT Rebound9
9
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS O'Neal Layup9
9
Q1 - 8:05DENJones STEAL (1 STL)9
9
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
9
Q1 - 8:34MIAJones Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
9
Q1 - 8:51DENMiller 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
7
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 9:07MIAHEAT Rebound7
6
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 27
6
Q1 - 9:07DENBuckner S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
6
Q1 - 9:21DENBuckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 9:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:44MIAHEAT Rebound4
3
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 9:59MIAHEAT Rebound4
3
Q1 - 10:01DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
3
Q1 - 10:15DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
3
Q1 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:22DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:42MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 11:03DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:41DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Camby: Tip to Miller0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
27
52%
MIA
25
36
69%
Midrange
DEN
19
43
44%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
DEN
16
19
84%
MIA
17
29
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Miller2455%12.0 / 22
K. Martin2153%10.5 / 20
C. Anthony1450%7.0 / 14
E. Boykins1150%5.5 / 11
B. Russell1083%5.0 / 6
M. Camby844%4.0 / 9
G. Buckner7117%3.5 / 3
Nene531%2.5 / 8
R. White0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2053%10.0 / 19
E. Jones1657%8.0 / 14
C. Laettner1478%7.0 / 9
D. Jones1238%6.0 / 16
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
R. Butler536%2.5 / 7
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
K. Dooling350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+14
-15
96
MIA
83
+17
-15
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
106.6
DEN 103.1
MIA 109.2 +6.1
Pace
95.8
93.9
DEN 102.0 +8.6
MIA 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.6
DEN 14.1 −1.3
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
52.4%
DEN 50.0%
MIA 54.2% +4.2%
TO %
15.0%
14.0%
DEN 14.8%
MIA 13.5% −1.3%
ORB %
28.4%
27.0%
DEN 26.8%
MIA 31.6% +4.8%
FTrt
35.0
38.7
DEN 22.6
MIA 34.9 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
57.8%
DEN 46.2%
MIA 62.8% +16.6%
STL %
9.5%
6.8%
DEN 13.4% +5.2%
MIA 8.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.7%
DEN 10.6%
MIA 12.9% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
DEN 51.5%
MIA 53.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
63.0%
DEN 51.9%
MIA 69.4% +17.5%
Mid FG%
37.4%
41.0%
DEN 44.2%
MIA 46.7% +2.5%
3P %
34.0%
37.7%
DEN 42.9% +19.4%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
76.3%
67.2%
DEN 84.2% +25.6%
MIA 58.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
37.6%
DEN 32.1%
MIA 43.4% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
42.6%
DEN 51.2%
MIA 36.1% −15.0%
3P Att. %
14.2%
19.8%
DEN 16.7%
MIA 20.5% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points100107
Rebounds3742
Assists1827
Steals138
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals39-8443-83
At-the-Rim FG14-2725-36
Midrange FG19-4314-30
2-Point FG33-7039-66
3-Point FG6-144-17
Free Throws16-1917-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
42.4
24
55%
5
7
6
0
3
6
4
1
4-5
80%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
39.9
21
53%
11
3
1
0
3
4
1
10
3-4
75%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
32.5
7
117%
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
31.1
8
44%
7
3
2
5
3
5
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
28.5
14
50%
3
1
1
0
4
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
20.5
11
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
19.5
10
83%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
16.3
5
31%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
37
18
13
7
15
0
11
26
16-19
84%
33-70
47%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.