for complete access.
All Games Friday, December 17, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Spurs
82%93
83
35
Hornets
18%81
67
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.87777.5
NOK
84.87978.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
100%
67
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16SASUdrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)83
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33NOHMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot80
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 280
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 279
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16NOHMISS Nailon Reverse Layup79
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31SASUdrih 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)79
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot77
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 3:01NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 3:02NOHMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot77
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 3:13NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 3:14SASMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 3:36NOHBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)77
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 3:39NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 3:41NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot77
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 3:58NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Ginobili Layup77
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 4:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 4:17NOHMISS Dickau 22' Jump Shot77
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 4:24NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Horry Layup77
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 4:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 4:29SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 4:49NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 4:49NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 5:03SASDuncan Finger Roll (19 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)77
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 5:23NOHNailon 7' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)75
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 5:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 274
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 6:05SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 6:07NOHMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot74
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 6:22NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 6:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 6:34NOHMISS Nailon Layup74
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 6:55SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)74
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 7:12SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 7:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 7:34NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot71
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q4 - 7:46SASUdrih Foul Turnover (P1.T9)71
97.4%
62
2.6%
Q4 - 7:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 8:02SASMISS Udrih Layup71
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q4 - 8:27NOHBrown Dunk (14 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)71
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 8:39SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)71
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 8:39SASSpurs Rebound71
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q4 - 8:40SASMISS Barry 31' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 9:06NOHNailon Layup (20 PTS)71
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q4 - 9:29SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)71
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q4 - 9:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
98.0%
58
2.0%
Q4 - 9:48NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
97.8%
58
2.2%
Q4 - 10:00SASGinobili Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)68
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q4 - 10:19NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)66
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q4 - 10:33SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)66
95.4%
58
4.6%
Q4 - 10:53NOHAndersen Layup (2 PTS)64
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q4 - 11:14SASUdrih 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q4 - 11:32NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)62
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q4 - 11:44NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Duncan Layup62
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS62
95.9%
54
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHWesley Layup (10 PTS)62
95.9%
54
4.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 261
96.3%
52
3.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHNailon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASUdrih Reverse Layup (4 PTS)61
95.7%
52
4.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
94.7%
52
5.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot59
94.4%
52
5.6%
Q3 - 1:04SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)59
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 1:26NOHAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T10)56
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 1:42NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 1:43SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 256
89.1%
52
10.9%
Q3 - 1:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
90.3%
52
9.7%
Q3 - 1:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 1:53NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 2:01SASRose Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)55
86.4%
52
13.6%
Q3 - 2:21NOHNailon 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)53
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 2:28NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
86.4%
50
13.6%
Q3 - 2:30SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot53
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q3 - 2:55NOHDickau 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 3:21NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q3 - 3:22SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
90.7%
48
9.3%
Q3 - 3:49NOHWesley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)53
91.7%
48
8.3%
Q3 - 4:04SASBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T7)53
92.8%
46
7.2%
Q3 - 4:10SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
94.0%
46
6.0%
Q3 - 4:11NOHMISS Nailon 18' Jump Shot53
93.6%
46
6.4%
Q3 - 4:31SASParker Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)53
92.8%
46
7.2%
Q3 - 4:54NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
91.7%
46
8.3%
Q3 - 4:54NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q3 - 5:05NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
92.6%
44
7.4%
Q3 - 5:06NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
93.4%
44
6.6%
Q3 - 5:30SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
92.6%
44
7.4%
Q3 - 5:52NOHNailon 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)51
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q3 - 5:59NOHHORNETS Rebound51
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q3 - 6:00NOHMISS Nailon Layup51
95.2%
42
4.8%
Q3 - 6:11SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)51
94.4%
42
5.6%
Q3 - 6:21NOHJump Ball Harrington vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Duncan49
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q3 - 6:22NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
92.5%
42
7.5%
Q3 - 6:24NOHMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot49
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q3 - 6:39NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
92.5%
42
7.5%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot49
92.9%
42
7.1%
Q3 - 7:06NOHHarrington 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)49
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q3 - 7:26NOHHORNETS Rebound49
94.1%
40
5.9%
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS Brown Layup49
94.4%
40
5.6%
Q3 - 7:38SASSpurs Rebound49
95.0%
40
5.0%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Nesterovic Layup49
94.4%
40
5.6%
Q3 - 8:03NOHLynch Foul Turnover (P2.T8)49
95.0%
40
5.0%
Q3 - 8:18SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)49
94.1%
40
5.9%
Q3 - 8:37NOHNailon Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)47
93.3%
40
6.7%
Q3 - 8:56SASBowen Layup (5 PTS)47
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q3 - 9:00NOHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)45
91.2%
40
8.8%
Q3 - 9:14SASNesterovic Foul Turnover (P2.T5)45
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 9:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)45
91.2%
40
8.8%
Q3 - 9:25NOHMISS Harrington Tip Shot45
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q3 - 9:25NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 9:27NOHMISS Harrington Tip Shot45
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q3 - 9:27NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 9:28NOHMISS Wesley Layup45
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q3 - 9:40NOHFreije REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 245
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 245
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q3 - 9:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
91.2%
40
8.8%
Q3 - 9:50NOHMISS Brown Layup45
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q3 - 10:05NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 10:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q3 - 10:19SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)45
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q3 - 10:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
90.2%
40
9.8%
Q3 - 10:38NOHMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot44
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q3 - 10:55NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
88.7%
40
11.3%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Nesterovic 21' Jump Shot44
89.2%
40
10.8%
Q3 - 11:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q3 - 11:10NOHMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 11:18NOHHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
89.2%
40
10.8%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot44
89.6%
40
10.4%
Q3 - 11:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot44
89.6%
40
10.4%
Q3 - 11:45NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)44
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH44
91.6%
38
8.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound44
91.6%
38
8.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Harrington Layup44
92.3%
38
7.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
91.6%
38
8.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
91.4%
38
8.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)42
90.2%
38
9.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0NOHMISS Freije 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
89.4%
38
10.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0NOHMISS Freije 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
89.4%
38
10.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
87.6%
38
12.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 240
87.5%
38
12.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
86.3%
38
13.7%
Q2 - 1:16SASParker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)40
88.1%
37
11.9%
Q2 - 1:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
85.3%
37
14.7%
Q2 - 1:43NOHNailon 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)38
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 2:04SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)38
87.7%
35
12.3%
Q2 - 2:16NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)36
86.2%
35
13.8%
Q2 - 2:16NOHHORNETS Rebound36
84.8%
35
15.2%
Q2 - 2:17NOHMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot36
85.8%
35
14.2%
Q2 - 2:46NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
84.8%
35
15.2%
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 236
85.0%
35
15.0%
Q2 - 2:47SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
85.8%
35
14.2%
Q2 - 3:07NOHHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
85.2%
35
14.8%
Q2 - 3:34SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
86.4%
33
13.6%
Q2 - 3:51NOHNailon Dunk (12 PTS)33
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 3:53NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
86.4%
31
13.6%
Q2 - 3:55NOHMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot33
87.5%
31
12.5%
Q2 - 4:20SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)33
86.8%
31
13.2%
Q2 - 4:34NOHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 4:34NOHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
85.6%
30
14.4%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
86.8%
29
13.2%
Q2 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 230
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 4:46SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
86.8%
29
13.2%
Q2 - 4:47NOHMISS Harrington Layup30
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 4:53NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 4:55SASMISS Massenburg 16' Jump Shot30
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 5:07SASSpurs Rebound30
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot30
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 5:19NOHLynch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q2 - 5:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
85.6%
29
14.4%
Q2 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 229
85.2%
29
14.8%
Q2 - 5:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)29
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Massenburg 7' Jump Shot29
84.6%
29
15.4%
Q2 - 6:00SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 6:01NOHMISS Andersen 13' Jump Shot29
85.6%
29
14.4%
Q2 - 6:18SASParker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)29
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 6:31NOHFreije 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
83.2%
29
16.8%
Q2 - 7:00SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)27
84.3%
27
15.7%
Q2 - 7:20NOHBrown 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
81.9%
27
18.1%
Q2 - 7:41SASMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
83.3%
25
16.7%
Q2 - 7:41SASMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:41SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
81.9%
25
18.1%
Q2 - 7:42SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot22
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 7:59SASSpurs Rebound22
81.9%
25
18.1%
Q2 - 8:00NOHMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
81.3%
25
18.7%
Q2 - 8:16SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)22
80.1%
25
19.9%
Q2 - 8:32NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)20
78.6%
25
21.4%
Q2 - 8:50NOHHORNETS Rebound20
80.1%
23
19.9%
Q2 - 8:51NOHMISS Dickau Layup20
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q2 - 8:56NOHBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
80.1%
23
19.9%
Q2 - 8:58SASMISS Duncan Layup20
80.6%
23
19.4%
Q2 - 9:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
82.2%
23
17.8%
Q2 - 9:17NOHMISS Baxter Layup20
81.7%
23
18.3%
Q2 - 9:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)20
80.4%
23
19.6%
Q2 - 9:34SASDuncan Tip Shot (6 PTS)20
80.4%
23
19.6%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Duncan Layup18
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 9:49SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
79.0%
23
21.0%
Q2 - 9:52SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot18
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q2 - 10:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
79.0%
23
21.0%
Q2 - 10:01NOHMISS Nailon Layup18
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q2 - 10:02NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
76.9%
23
23.1%
Q2 - 10:05NOHMISS Baxter 17' Jump Shot18
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q2 - 10:19NOHHORNETS Rebound18
76.9%
23
23.1%
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan Layup18
77.5%
23
22.5%
Q2 - 10:39SASSpurs Rebound18
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q2 - 10:40NOHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot18
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 11:05SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)18
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 11:09NOHDickau Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 11:12NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
74.1%
23
25.9%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Rose Layup16
74.6%
23
25.4%
Q2 - 11:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
75.9%
23
24.1%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Horry Layup16
74.6%
23
25.4%
Q2 - 11:37NOHNailon 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
75.8%
23
24.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
77.5%
21
22.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHDickau 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
79.2%
21
20.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
81.0%
19
19.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 215
80.7%
19
19.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
80.7%
19
19.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot15
79.9%
19
20.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHWesley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
80.7%
19
19.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
82.4%
17
17.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot15
83.2%
17
16.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
82.4%
17
17.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Nailon 19' Jump Shot15
83.2%
17
16.8%
Q1 - 1:17NOHHORNETS Rebound15
82.5%
17
17.5%
Q1 - 1:18SASMISS Horry 7' Hook Shot15
82.9%
17
17.1%
Q1 - 1:29NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
83.6%
17
16.4%
Q1 - 1:37SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
82.5%
17
17.5%
Q1 - 1:37SASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 214
82.3%
17
17.7%
Q1 - 1:42NOHWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
82.2%
17
17.8%
Q1 - 1:57NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q1 - 1:58SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot14
81.4%
17
18.6%
Q1 - 2:24NOHWesley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)14
82.7%
17
17.3%
Q1 - 2:51SASRose 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)14
84.0%
15
16.0%
Q1 - 3:10NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
83.1%
15
16.9%
Q1 - 3:10NOHBrown 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)12
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 3:23NOHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
85.3%
12
14.7%
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot12
85.7%
12
14.3%
Q1 - 3:28SASSpurs Rebound12
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Rose Layup12
85.7%
12
14.3%
Q1 - 3:49NOHNailon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)12
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q1 - 4:07SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)12
87.7%
10
12.3%
Q1 - 4:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
88.7%
10
11.3%
Q1 - 4:25NOHMISS Freije 21' Jump Shot12
88.4%
10
11.6%
Q1 - 4:47SASParker 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
87.6%
10
12.4%
Q1 - 5:06NOHWesley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)10
87.1%
10
12.9%
Q1 - 5:24SASNesterovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)10
87.9%
8
12.1%
Q1 - 5:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
87.1%
8
12.9%
Q1 - 5:41NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot8
86.8%
8
13.2%
Q1 - 5:50SASBrown STEAL (1 STL)8
86.0%
8
14.0%
Q1 - 6:05NOHNailon 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
87.1%
8
12.9%
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
87.9%
6
12.1%
Q1 - 6:46SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
87.1%
6
12.9%
Q1 - 6:48NOHMISS Nailon 21' Jump Shot6
86.8%
6
13.2%
Q1 - 7:18SASBowen Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
86.4%
6
13.6%
Q1 - 7:24SASSpurs Rebound4
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot4
84.8%
6
15.2%
Q1 - 7:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
84.8%
6
15.2%
Q1 - 7:52NOHLynch 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 8:13SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
86.9%
4
13.1%
Q1 - 8:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 8:33NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot2
85.8%
4
14.2%
Q1 - 8:46SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 9:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 9:01NOHMISS Harrington 23' Jump Shot2
85.7%
4
14.3%
Q1 - 9:18SASLynch STEAL (1 STL)2
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 9:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMISS Wesley Layup2
85.8%
4
14.2%
Q1 - 9:43NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 22
85.1%
4
14.9%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 22
85.6%
4
14.4%
Q1 - 10:00SASSpurs Rebound2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 10:01SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
85.4%
4
14.6%
Q1 - 10:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 10:12NOHMISS Lynch 10' Jump Shot2
85.8%
4
14.2%
Q1 - 10:14NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 10:15NOHMISS Wesley Layup2
85.8%
4
14.2%
Q1 - 10:36NOHHORNETS Rebound2
85.0%
4
15.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
85.4%
4
14.6%
Q1 - 10:54NOHLynch 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 11:07NOHHORNETS Rebound2
87.0%
2
13.0%
Q1 - 11:07SASBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)2
87.2%
2
12.8%
Q1 - 11:21NOHBrown 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
87.8%
2
12.2%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)2
88.6%
0
11.4%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)2
88.6%
0
11.4%
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Duncan Layup0
87.2%
0
12.8%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
87.8%
0
12.2%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan Layup0
87.2%
0
12.8%
Q1 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
87.8%
0
12.2%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot0
87.2%
0
12.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Brown vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker0
87.8%
0
12.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.89 44.6%
NOK
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
30
47%
NOK
7
21
33%
Midrange
SAS
13
28
46%
NOK
22
48
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
NOK
7
0%
Free Throws
SAS
14
27
52%
NOK
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1943%9.5 / 22
B. Udrih1267%6.0 / 9
T. Parker1050%5.0 / 10
M. Ginobili1063%5.0 / 8
R. Horry964%4.5 / 7
M. Rose744%3.5 / 8
B. Bowen542%2.5 / 6
R. Nesterovic536%2.5 / 7
B. Barry338%1.5 / 4
T. Massenburg233%1.0 / 3
D. Brown113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Nailon2250%11.0 / 22
P. Brown1662%8.0 / 13
D. Wesley1038%5.0 / 13
D. Dickau739%3.5 / 9
G. Lynch467%2.0 / 3
J. Harrington211%1.0 / 9
M. Freije225%1.0 / 4
C. Andersen233%1.0 / 3
J. Smith0-0.0 / 0
L. Baxter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
69
+22
-8
91
NOK
67
+17
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.89 44.6%
NOK
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
96.9
SAS 107.8
NOH 84.8 +23.0
Pace
91.2
90.2
SAS 77.5
NOH 78.5 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.1
SAS 18.6
NOH 18.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
44.6%
SAS 46.0% +7.8%
NOH 38.2%
TO %
14.2%
15.3%
SAS 10.3% +3.6%
NOH 13.9%
ORB %
29.2%
29.2%
SAS 43.2% +12.2%
NOH 31.0%
FTrt
32.9
27.9
SAS 36.0 +21.5
NOH 14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
63.4%
SAS 75.0% +19.8%
NOH 55.2%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
SAS 9.1% +6.6%
NOH 2.5%
BLK %
9.9%
6.3%
SAS 8.7% +5.3%
NOH 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
46.8%
SAS 44.6% +4.7%
NOH 39.9%
Rim FG%
59.3%
52.2%
SAS 46.7% +13.4%
NOH 33.3%
Mid FG%
37.2%
38.2%
SAS 46.4% +0.6%
NOH 45.8%
3P %
36.3%
31.5%
SAS 29.4% +29.4%
NOH 0.0%
FT %
72.4%
76.6%
SAS 51.9%
NOH 81.8% +29.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.7%
SAS 40.0% +12.4%
NOH 27.6%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
47.2%
SAS 37.3% +25.8%
NOH 63.2%
3P Att. %
21.6%
20.1%
SAS 22.7% +13.5%
NOH 9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions7779
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points8367
Rebounds4534
Assists2416
Steals72
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)21 (5)
Field Goals32-7529-76
At-the-Rim FG14-307-21
Midrange FG13-2822-48
2-Point FG27-5829-69
3-Point FG5-170-7
Free Throws14-279-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
37.1
10
50%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
34.7
19
43%
12
5
1
2
1
2
5
7
3-8
38%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
33.3
10
63%
5
5
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
25.8
5
42%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
17.8
5
36%
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
20.5
9
64%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
19.0
12
67%
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
16.0
3
38%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
15.2
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
12.8
1
13%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
7.9
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
45%
45
24
7
6
8
0
16
29
14-27
52%
27-58
47%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.