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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards39%101120
12Lakers61%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
50.1
40.1
37
59%
6
7
1
2
0
1
1
5
14-15
93%
10-19
5-12
53%
44%
1-6
17%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
44.3
36.5
33
70%
5
6
2
2
0
1
0
5
3-6
50%
15-20
6-14
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
42.1
35.3
22
48%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.1
32.0
26.2
8
57%
3
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.1
21.4
27.2
3
39%
5
2
4
1
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.8
20.6
19.2
8
50%
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.9
18.7
9.0
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.1
17.9
8.0
5
63%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
17.8
22.5
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.2
8.3
0
1-2
43%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.8
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.4
2.8
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
50.1
41.8
36
57%
10
14
2
2
1
5
1
9
15-22
68%
6-15
7-15
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.3
46.2
29.7
23
68%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
5-10
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
44.5
35.3
15
55%
10
1
0
1
1
2
2
8
5-6
83%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
34.2
32.9
17
50%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
7-15
4-9
47%
43%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.4
19.4
24.7
0
0%
6
1
1
1
1
5
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
37.6
22.1
15
69%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
19.4
20.1
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
9.7
19.7
4
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
39%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
3.9
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.8
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.7
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.9
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.