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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers20%8375
8Pistons80%9374
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 31.7
43.3
25.9
5
51%
6
2
1
0
5
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
39.2
37.8
12
26%
10
1
1
1
1
5
3
7
0-0
-
6-23
7-16
26%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
35.1
21.8
14
55%
6
8
1
0
0
1
0
6
4-6
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
2-4
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
33.5
27.7
13
66%
5
2
2
1
2
4
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
5-11
67%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 30.4
32.0
31.9
6
50%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 29.4
30.8
23.3
11
49%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 31.3
19.6
23.3
14
68%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
39%
3-5
60%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.2
4.3
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 20.2
2.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
18.8
1
2-5
46%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 19.5
9.9
0
1-2
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.8
42.3
39.9
11
23%
8
6
0
1
0
1
3
5
5-5
100%
3-20
7-15
15%
47%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.8
39.8
32.4
15
54%
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.3
39.6
33.6
17
43%
12
3
0
1
4
1
5
7
2-2
100%
6-16
5-10
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
39.0
38.0
5
32%
14
3
1
2
4
1
8
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
38.9
37.0
16
47%
4
8
4
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
3-6
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
19.7
17.0
10
59%
6
0
1
1
0
2
4
2
0-1
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
14.8
18.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
4.0
10.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
1.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.4
5.0
0
1-2
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.5
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.