Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics37%97114
18Cavaliers63%101107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
45.5
33.3
34
65%
7
6
3
1
0
4
2
5
13-14
93%
9-17
5-11
53%
44%
1-3
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
38.0
33.0
21
59%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
47%
2-5
40%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
30.9
28.1
12
69%
10
2
0
1
1
0
3
7
6-6
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
25.4
33.1
2
25%
1
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.9
14.9
24.6
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
38.1
28.3
14
49%
4
4
2
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
2-5
40%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
22.8
11.0
4
41%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-4
25%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.0
22.1
16.6
8
52%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.1
15.0
12.2
8
60%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
4-6
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 22.9
12.3
15.3
6
61%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
1.5
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
48.0
28.6
21
53%
8
4
2
1
2
2
4
4
7-9
78%
7-16
5-11
44%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
45.2
39.0
16
54%
3
9
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
2-7
29%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
41.4
32.1
17
58%
16
1
0
1
0
2
5
11
5-6
83%
6-11
5-11
55%
49%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
40.5
40.5
31
54%
5
4
3
2
1
4
1
4
4-8
50%
9-20
8-17
45%
48%
3-5
60%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
25.3
26.4
2
20%
3
0
2
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.0
25.6
15.7
7
72%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.1
15.8
4.1
7
64%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.2
10.4
12.4
2
53%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
7.8
5.0
4
40%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.9
5.0
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
9.1
0
1-3
43%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.