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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks7%9068
4Mavericks93%10990
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.8
36.2
37.9
6
34%
6
1
3
1
2
6
2
4
0-2
0%
3-8
6-13
38%
45%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
34.7
36.3
13
39%
11
3
0
1
0
2
0
11
1-4
25%
6-10
5-12
60%
44%
0-5
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.0
33.5
26.9
9
38%
7
4
0
1
10
3
2
5
1-2
50%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
21.2
11.2
9
57%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
9.9
17.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
26.8
24.6
11
51%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.5
25.1
20.6
9
42%
9
0
0
1
0
0
5
4
3-4
75%
3-9
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.9
21.8
24.4
8
31%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
2-6
36%
42%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.0
17.5
15.2
1
13%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.2
13.3
18.4
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.3
4.1
0
1-1
41%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
3.5
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.8
36.5
38.6
7
27%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
6-12
25%
48%
1-5
20%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
32.9
17.8
10
47%
13
2
0
0
1
1
5
8
4-6
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
32.4
38.9
15
46%
12
3
2
1
1
2
0
12
5-10
50%
5-11
8-15
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
32.1
33.6
13
47%
9
2
0
1
2
3
3
6
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
29.2
16.2
12
52%
4
4
5
1
0
4
2
2
4-6
67%
4-8
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
20.5
23.1
11
79%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
20.2
5.1
8
55%
1
3
4
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.0
16.7
11.0
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.6
10.9
7.0
8
57%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.5
5.4
21.3
4
42%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.7
3.1
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.1
22.4
1
3-7
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.