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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Warriors12%8685
2Spurs88%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
41.6
33.9
22
53%
10
2
1
1
2
5
5
5
1-4
25%
9-17
6-13
53%
44%
1-2
50%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.6
37.6
34.2
16
48%
4
4
3
2
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
42%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.6
36.0
32.4
17
45%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
5-16
5-12
31%
42%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
35.5
21.5
9
56%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.0
20.9
28.6
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
38%
0-2
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.7
21.3
9.2
6
77%
5
1
1
0
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
17.8
21.3
7
43%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
3-5
60%
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
0-3
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
8.1
13.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.4
7.8
18.7
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.8
5.8
8.8
2
114%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
4.7
6.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Luis Flores
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
2.9
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
33%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
31.6
31.1
21
65%
7
6
2
2
0
4
1
6
3-5
60%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
2-3
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
31.1
21.3
4
40%
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
28.3
33.7
21
69%
4
9
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-3
33%
10-14
5-10
71%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
26.9
35.2
12
44%
7
4
1
1
3
2
0
7
2-4
50%
5-12
9-17
42%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.5
25.3
28.5
10
53%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
25.5
21.0
10
57%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.3
19.8
14.1
2
50%
7
2
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
14.8
17.4
11
81%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.0
13.7
10.9
7
79%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.1
12.6
19.3
4
33%
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
5.6
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.6
4.9
1.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.