FinalWin Prob.pScore
1622%98
107
978%108
117
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.99095.2
MIA logo MIA
120.69792.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL107
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (31 PTS)107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Hook Shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)105
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (29 PTS)105
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:55ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 2:00ORLMISS Mobley 12' Jump Shot103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2103
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 2:33ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)103
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 2:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2103
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 2:49MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)103
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 2:51ORLLaettner STEAL (1 STL)103
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)103
2.7%
110
97.3%
Q4 - 3:09MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)103
4.1%
109
95.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
5.3%
107
94.7%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup103
7.7%
107
92.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound103
5.2%
107
94.8%
Q4 - 3:28ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup103
6.1%
107
93.9%
Q4 - 3:35ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
10.2%
107
89.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot103
9.1%
107
90.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
7.0%
107
93.0%
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot103
7.8%
107
92.2%
Q4 - 4:15MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)103
9.9%
107
90.1%
Q4 - 4:26MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
13.6%
105
86.4%
Q4 - 4:28ORLMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot103
15.1%
105
84.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)103
19.0%
105
81.0%
Q4 - 5:16ORLBattie 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)103
30.9%
102
69.1%
Q4 - 5:37MIAO'Neal Dunk (24 PTS) (Dooling 6 AST)101
24.5%
102
75.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
31.0%
100
69.0%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot101
33.3%
100
66.7%
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
36.4%
100
63.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2101
39.3%
99
60.7%
Q4 - 6:19ORLFrancis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)101
35.4%
99
64.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)99
29.8%
99
70.2%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMobley 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
22.7%
99
77.3%
Q4 - 7:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)97
18.8%
99
81.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
17.4%
99
82.6%
Q4 - 7:43ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)97
14.4%
99
85.6%
Q4 - 7:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
11.7%
99
88.3%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot95
10.7%
99
89.3%
Q4 - 8:15ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)95
9.8%
99
90.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)95
12.3%
99
87.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLTurkoglu 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)95
18.6%
96
81.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)93
15.4%
96
84.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAHEAT Rebound93
18.6%
94
81.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Laettner Layup93
21.4%
94
78.6%
Q4 - 9:43ORLMobley 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
18.7%
94
81.3%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
15.4%
94
84.6%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot91
14.4%
94
85.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
12.4%
94
87.6%
Q4 - 9:58ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup91
13.3%
94
86.7%
Q4 - 10:05MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
15.8%
94
84.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
18.7%
92
81.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot91
21.5%
92
78.5%
Q4 - 10:27ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
18.7%
92
81.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
15.7%
92
84.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
16.3%
91
83.7%
Q4 - 11:13ORLMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)89
19.2%
90
80.8%
Q4 - 11:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 11:18ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 11:33ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 11:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot86
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)86
13.4%
90
86.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIALaettner 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
16.2%
89
83.8%
Q4 - 12:00MIALaettner Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)86
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
22.8%
86
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound86
27.0%
86
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 43' 3PT Jump Shot86
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)86
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)86
30.4%
85
69.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
35.0%
83
65.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
30.5%
83
69.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot84
29.2%
83
70.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 283
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIALaettner Driving Layup (4 PTS)83
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q3 - 1:17ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)83
29.5%
81
70.5%
Q3 - 1:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
25.7%
81
74.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot81
24.6%
81
75.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Francis: Tip to81
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q3 - 2:04MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)81
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q3 - 2:23ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)81
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q3 - 2:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
32.7%
79
67.3%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot81
31.4%
79
68.6%
Q3 - 3:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 3:18ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot81
29.4%
79
70.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)81
32.2%
79
67.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q3 - 3:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Running Hook Shot81
29.4%
79
70.6%
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)81
31.2%
79
68.8%
Q3 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound81
38.5%
76
61.5%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot81
41.8%
76
58.2%
Q3 - 4:29MIAHEAT Rebound81
38.5%
76
61.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot81
41.9%
76
58.1%
Q3 - 4:46ORLHill 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
38.6%
76
61.4%
Q3 - 4:58MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)79
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q3 - 5:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
37.8%
74
62.2%
Q3 - 5:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
36.6%
74
63.4%
Q3 - 5:18ORLMagic Rebound77
34.2%
74
65.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Francis 19' Turnaround Jump Shot77
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q3 - 5:47ORLMagic Rebound77
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup77
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
29.4%
74
70.6%
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)76
28.4%
74
71.6%
Q3 - 6:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 6:10ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup75
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
26.5%
74
73.5%
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 6:23ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot75
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q3 - 6:33ORLHill Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)75
26.5%
74
73.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)74
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q3 - 7:10ORLHill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q3 - 7:29MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)72
23.3%
72
76.7%
Q3 - 7:53ORLMobley 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)72
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)70
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)70
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 8:41MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 9:01ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
33.6%
65
66.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIADooling 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
30.6%
65
69.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)68
33.7%
63
66.3%
Q3 - 9:32ORLBattie Inbound Turnover (P2.T6)68
37.1%
62
62.9%
Q3 - 9:33MIADooling Running Layup (4 PTS)68
40.7%
62
59.3%
Q3 - 9:34ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)68
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 9:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
47.9%
60
52.1%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot68
46.8%
60
53.2%
Q3 - 9:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 267
43.6%
60
56.4%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 10:23ORLMobley Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
45.8%
58
54.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)65
42.8%
58
57.2%
Q3 - 11:02ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
44.2%
56
55.8%
Q3 - 11:02ORLMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 11:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
41.1%
56
58.9%
Q3 - 11:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q3 - 11:32ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot63
45.4%
54
54.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA63
48.0%
54
52.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
40.0%
53
60.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
39.5%
52
60.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 259
39.2%
52
60.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot59
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
42.8%
51
57.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot59
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)59
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 1:29ORLKasun 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)59
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
48.1%
47
51.9%
Q2 - 1:59ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
48.1%
47
51.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones Layup57
46.5%
47
53.5%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Hook Shot57
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)57
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q2 - 2:37ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)57
44.6%
47
55.4%
Q2 - 2:37ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)56
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q2 - 2:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
38.2%
47
61.8%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
33.9%
47
66.1%
Q2 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)53
33.1%
47
66.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)52
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q2 - 3:34ORLHill Layup (13 PTS)52
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q2 - 3:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot50
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 4:02ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 4:28ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)48
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 4:54ORLFrancis 3' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)48
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 5:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk46
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 5:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot46
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
28.1%
41
71.9%
Q2 - 5:52ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)46
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)43
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot43
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 243
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 243
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 6:44ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 6:44ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot41
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 7:24ORLMagic Rebound41
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup41
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 7:46ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)41
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:00ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
28.8%
36
71.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 8:21ORLKasun Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
26.1%
36
73.9%
Q2 - 8:30MIADooling 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)39
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 8:52ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)39
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 9:24ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 9:24ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
21.7%
34
78.3%
Q2 - 9:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup35
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 9:44ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)35
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)33
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 10:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 233
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 10:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 10:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot32
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 10:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot32
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q2 - 10:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot32
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (5 PTS)32
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 11:10ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup30
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 11:13MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 11:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 11:29ORLMISS Nelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper30
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 11:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot30
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 11:44MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 11:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot30
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)30
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Francis Reverse Layup27
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 1:06ORLMobley 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 1:21MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)25
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 1:38ORLFrancis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)25
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 1:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 2:17MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)23
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 2:23ORLHill 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)23
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 2:30MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:35ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot21
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)21
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 3:22ORLMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)21
17.8%
20
82.2%
Q1 - 3:26ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.5%
20
84.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade Layup18
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot18
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 3:52ORLFrancis 18' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)18
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 4:06MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 4:18ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 4:56ORLFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)13
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 5:26ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 5:26ORLMagic Rebound13
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 5:27ORLMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot13
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 5:56MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHEAT Rebound13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade Layup13
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot13
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 6:40ORLHill Layup (5 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 6:46MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
15.8%
12
84.2%
Q1 - 7:03ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:40ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 7:40ORLMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 28
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
16.7%
8
83.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 8:13ORLMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot8
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 8:17ORLHill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
19.8%
5
80.2%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 8:52ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
19.7%
3
80.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
18.6%
3
81.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 9:28ORLMISS Francis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot5
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 9:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot5
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 10:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 10:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot2
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 10:32ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot2
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 10:49ORLFrancis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:03ORLMagic Rebound0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:05ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:35ORLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:47MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Jones0
15.1%
0
84.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
17
59%
MIA
21
31
68%
Midrange
ORL
24
51
47%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
MIA
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
ORL
21
27
78%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis3157%15.5 / 27
C. Mobley2273%11.0 / 15
G. Hill2067%10.0 / 15
H. Turkoglu1146%5.5 / 12
D. Howard750%3.5 / 7
T. Battie536%2.5 / 7
P. Garrity583%2.5 / 3
M. Kasun4100%2.0 / 2
J. Nelson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2764%13.5 / 21
E. Jones25104%12.5 / 12
D. Wade2242%11.0 / 26
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
K. Dooling1056%5.0 / 9
C. Laettner1063%5.0 / 8
D. Jones964%4.5 / 7
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+12
-11
91
MIA
88
+13
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
106.6
ORL 118.9
MIA 120.6 +1.7
Pace
97.7
93.9
ORL 95.2 +2.9
MIA 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
ORL 15.1 +0.5
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
52.4%
ORL 55.1%
MIA 56.6% +1.5%
TO %
16.0%
14.0%
ORL 11.8%
MIA 8.7% +3.1%
ORB %
30.0%
27.0%
ORL 25.7% +2.8%
MIA 22.9%
FTrt
35.0
38.7
ORL 34.6 +2.1
MIA 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
57.8%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 55.8% +25.8%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
ORL 5.6% +0.4%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
ORL 7.6% +6.1%
MIA 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
52.7%
ORL 57.5%
MIA 58.5% +1.0%
Rim FG%
57.1%
63.0%
ORL 58.8%
MIA 67.7% +8.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.0%
ORL 47.1% +7.1%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
34.9%
37.7%
ORL 60.0% +12.9%
MIA 47.1%
FT %
75.9%
67.2%
ORL 77.8%
MIA 85.2% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
37.6%
ORL 21.8%
MIA 37.3% +15.6%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
42.6%
ORL 65.4%
MIA 42.2% +23.2%
3P Att. %
13.7%
19.8%
ORL 12.8%
MIA 20.5% +7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9097
Possession Minutes22.725.2
Points107117
Rebounds3634
Assists1224
Steals55
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals40-7843-83
At-the-Rim FG10-1721-31
Midrange FG24-5114-35
2-Point FG34-6835-66
3-Point FG6-108-17
Free Throws21-2723-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
40.2
31
57%
4
3
2
1
2
2
0
4
4-8
50%
12-20
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
38.5
5
36%
8
0
0
1
2
4
1
7
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
36.6
20
67%
1
2
0
1
3
1
0
1
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
34.1
7
50%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
7-8
88%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
32.9
22
73%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'10" 220 · 26
26.4
11
46%
3
1
1
0
3
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 238 · 28
13.9
5
83%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
9.5
4
100%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
7.8
2
33%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
F · 6'10" 245 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
36
12
5
5
11
0
9
27
21-27
78%
34-68
50%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.