Final Win Prob. pScore
1622%98
107
978%108
117
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
118.99095.2
MIA logo Heat
120.69792.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL107
117
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
117
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
117
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (31 PTS)107
117
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
117
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot105
117
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
117
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Hook Shot105
117
Q4 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)105
117
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
117
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
117
Q4 - 1:13MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal105
116
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)105
116
Q4 - 1:13ORLFrancis S.FOUL (P2.PN)105
115
Q4 - 1:26ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (29 PTS)105
115
Q4 - 1:33MIADooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)103
115
Q4 - 1:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)103
112
Q4 - 1:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
112
Q4 - 1:55ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot103
112
Q4 - 1:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
112
Q4 - 2:00ORLMISS Mobley 12' Jump Shot103
112
Q4 - 2:10ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Hill103
112
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade P.FOUL (P5.T2)103
112
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
112
Q4 - 2:19MIAHEAT Rebound103
111
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2103
111
Q4 - 2:19ORLMobley S.FOUL (P4.PN)103
111
Q4 - 2:33ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)103
111
Q4 - 2:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
111
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2103
111
Q4 - 2:49MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)103
111
Q4 - 2:49ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P2.PN)103
110
Q4 - 2:51ORLLaettner STEAL (1 STL)103
110
Q4 - 2:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)103
110
Q4 - 3:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)103
110
Q4 - 3:09ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard103
109
Q4 - 3:09ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.PN)103
109
Q4 - 3:09MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)103
109
Q4 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
107
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup103
107
Q4 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound103
107
Q4 - 3:28ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup103
107
Q4 - 3:35ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
107
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot103
107
Q4 - 3:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
107
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot103
107
Q4 - 4:14ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)103
107
Q4 - 4:15MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)103
107
Q4 - 4:26MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
105
Q4 - 4:28ORLMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot103
105
Q4 - 4:53MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)103
105
Q4 - 5:16ORLBattie 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)103
102
Q4 - 5:37MIAO'Neal Dunk (24 PTS) (Dooling 6 AST)101
102
Q4 - 5:45MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
100
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot101
100
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
100
Q4 - 6:03MIAHEAT Rebound101
99
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2101
99
Q4 - 6:03ORLBattie S.FOUL (P4.PN)101
99
Q4 - 6:19ORLFrancis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)101
99
Q4 - 6:38MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)99
99
Q4 - 6:38MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P3)99
99
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones99
99
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler99
99
Q4 - 6:50ORLSUB: Hill FOR Turkoglu99
99
Q4 - 6:50ORLBattie P.FOUL (P3.T4)99
99
Q4 - 7:09ORLMobley 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
99
Q4 - 7:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)97
99
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99
Q4 - 7:43ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)97
99
Q4 - 7:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
99
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot95
99
Q4 - 8:15ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)95
99
Q4 - 8:34MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)95
99
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac95
96
Q4 - 8:51ORLSUB: Francis FOR Garrity95
96
Q4 - 8:51ORLSUB: Howard FOR Kasun95
96
Q4 - 8:51ORLSUB: Battie FOR Nelson95
96
Q4 - 8:5195
96
Q4 - 8:51ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T3)95
96
Q4 - 9:01ORLTurkoglu 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)95
96
Q4 - 9:15MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)93
96
Q4 - 9:20MIAHEAT Rebound93
94
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Laettner Layup93
94
Q4 - 9:43ORLMobley 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
94
Q4 - 9:48ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
94
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot91
94
Q4 - 9:56MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
94
Q4 - 9:58ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup91
94
Q4 - 10:05MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
94
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
92
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot91
92
Q4 - 10:27ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
92
Q4 - 10:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling89
92
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
92
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 10:51ORLKasun S.FOUL (P2.T2)89
90
Q4 - 11:13ORLMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)89
90
Q4 - 11:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
90
Q4 - 11:18ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
90
Q4 - 11:32MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.T1)86
90
Q4 - 11:33ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
90
Q4 - 11:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot86
90
Q4 - 11:47MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)86
90
Q4 - 11:47ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T1)86
89
Q4 - 11:47MIALaettner 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 12:00MIALaettner Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)86
87
Q4 - 12:00ORLFrancis T.FOUL (P1.T0)86
86
Q4 - 12:0086
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
86
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound86
86
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 43' 3PT Jump Shot86
86
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)86
86
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Nelson86
85
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLSUB: Mobley FOR Augmon86
85
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLAugmon S.FOUL (P1.T3)86
85
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)86
85
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
83
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Mobley85
83
Q3 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal85
83
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLSUB: Augmon FOR Turkoglu85
83
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
83
Q3 - 0:05.0MIALaettner P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
83
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
83
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot84
83
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
83
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMagic Rebound83
83
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 283
83
Q3 - 0:43.0MIADooling S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
83
Q3 - 0:56.0MIALaettner Driving Layup (4 PTS)83
83
Q3 - 1:17ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)83
81
Q3 - 1:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
81
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot81
81
Q3 - 1:47ORLFrancis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)81
81
Q3 - 1:47ORLTurkoglu Violation:Jump Ball81
81
Q3 - 1:47MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Francis: Tip to81
81
Q3 - 1:47ORLSUB: Mobley FOR Hill81
81
Q3 - 2:04MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)81
81
Q3 - 2:23ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard81
79
Q3 - 2:23ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)81
79
Q3 - 2:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
79
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot81
79
Q3 - 2:53ORLHill P.FOUL (P1.T2)81
79
Q3 - 3:04ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P3.T1)81
79
Q3 - 3:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
79
Q3 - 3:18ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot81
79
Q3 - 3:33MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)81
79
Q3 - 3:41MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
79
Q3 - 3:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Running Hook Shot81
79
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)81
79
Q3 - 4:18MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem81
76
Q3 - 4:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)81
76
Q3 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound81
76
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot81
76
Q3 - 4:29MIAHEAT Rebound81
76
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot81
76
Q3 - 4:46ORLHill 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
76
Q3 - 4:58MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)79
76
Q3 - 5:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
74
Q3 - 5:18MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade78
74
Q3 - 5:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
74
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)77
74
Q3 - 5:18ORLMagic Rebound77
74
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
74
Q3 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
74
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Francis 19' Turnaround Jump Shot77
74
Q3 - 5:47ORLMagic Rebound77
74
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup77
74
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
74
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)76
74
Q3 - 6:07MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
74
Q3 - 6:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
74
Q3 - 6:10ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup75
74
Q3 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
74
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
74
Q3 - 6:23ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot75
74
Q3 - 6:33ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Mobley75
74
Q3 - 6:33ORLHill Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)75
74
Q3 - 6:33MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Haslem )74
74
Q3 - 6:48MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)74
74
Q3 - 7:10ORLHill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
72
Q3 - 7:29MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)72
72
Q3 - 7:53ORLMobley 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)72
70
Q3 - 8:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)70
70
Q3 - 8:24ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)70
67
Q3 - 8:41MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
67
Q3 - 9:01ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
65
Q3 - 9:14ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
65
Q3 - 9:17MIADooling 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 9:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)68
63
Q3 - 9:32ORLMobley T.FOUL (P3.T0)68
62
Q3 - 9:32ORLBattie Inbound Turnover (P2.T6)68
62
Q3 - 9:33MIADooling Running Layup (4 PTS)68
62
Q3 - 9:34ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)68
60
Q3 - 9:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
60
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot68
60
Q3 - 9:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 9:58MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones67
60
Q3 - 9:58ORLMagic Rebound67
60
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 267
60
Q3 - 9:58MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T4)67
60
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
60
Q3 - 10:23ORLMobley Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
58
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)65
58
Q3 - 11:02ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 11:02ORLMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
56
Q3 - 11:02MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T3)63
56
Q3 - 11:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
56
Q3 - 11:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
54
Q3 - 11:32ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot63
54
Q3 - 11:40MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
54
Q3 - 11:48MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)63
54
Q3 - 12:0063
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA63
54
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
54
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
54
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
53
Q2 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade61
52
Q2 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Laettner FOR O'Neal61
52
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.PN)61
52
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
52
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
52
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 259
52
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
52
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLKasun P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
51
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
51
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot59
51
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
51
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot59
51
Q2 - 1:09MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)59
51
Q2 - 1:29ORLKasun 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)59
49
Q2 - 1:40MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)57
49
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
47
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
47
Q2 - 1:59ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
47
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones Layup57
47
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
47
Q2 - 2:08ORLSUB: Kasun FOR Battie57
47
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Hook Shot57
47
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)57
47
Q2 - 2:37ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)57
47
Q2 - 2:37MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner56
47
Q2 - 2:37ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)56
47
Q2 - 2:37MIALaettner S.FOUL (P1.PN)56
47
Q2 - 2:37ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)56
47
Q2 - 2:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
47
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
47
Q2 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
47
Q2 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)53
47
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)52
47
Q2 - 3:19MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)52
47
Q2 - 3:34ORLHill Layup (13 PTS)52
45
Q2 - 3:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
45
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 3:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
45
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 4:02ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
45
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 4:28ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 4:36ORLSUB: Howard FOR Garrity48
45
Q2 - 4:36ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Mobley48
45
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
45
Q2 - 4:36ORLMobley S.FOUL (P3.T4)48
44
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)48
44
Q2 - 4:54ORLFrancis 3' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)48
42
Q2 - 5:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
42
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk46
42
Q2 - 5:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
42
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot46
42
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
42
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
41
Q2 - 5:3646
40
Q2 - 5:36ORLMobley S.FOUL (P2.T3)46
40
Q2 - 5:52ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)46
40
Q2 - 5:57MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)43
40
Q2 - 6:04ORLBattie L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)43
40
Q2 - 6:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
40
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot43
40
Q2 - 6:14MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
40
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 243
40
Q2 - 6:16ORLMagic Rebound43
40
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 243
40
Q2 - 6:16ORLSUB: Mobley FOR Turkoglu43
40
Q2 - 6:16MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
40
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
40
Q2 - 6:44ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
38
Q2 - 6:44ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 6:44MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
38
Q2 - 7:01MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
38
Q2 - 7:10MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
36
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 7:24MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem41
36
Q2 - 7:24MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling41
36
Q2 - 7:24MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)41
36
Q2 - 7:24ORLMagic Rebound41
36
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup41
36
Q2 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
36
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 7:46ORLSUB: Francis FOR Nelson41
36
Q2 - 7:46ORLSUB: Battie FOR Kasun41
36
Q2 - 7:46ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)41
36
Q2 - 8:00ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
36
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 8:12MIASUB: Jones FOR Doleac41
36
Q2 - 8:12MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Butler41
36
Q2 - 8:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
36
Q2 - 8:21ORLKasun Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
36
Q2 - 8:30MIADooling 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)39
36
Q2 - 8:52ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)39
34
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
34
Q2 - 9:24ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 9:24ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 9:24MIADooling S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
34
Q2 - 9:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup35
34
Q2 - 9:44ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)35
34
Q2 - 9:48ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard33
34
Q2 - 9:48MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
34
Q2 - 9:59MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 10:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
32
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
32
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 233
32
Q2 - 10:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 10:22MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
32
Q2 - 10:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
32
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot32
32
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
32
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 10:37ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
30
Q2 - 10:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
30
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot32
30
Q2 - 10:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
30
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot32
30
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
30
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (5 PTS)32
30
Q2 - 11:10ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup30
30
Q2 - 11:13MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
30
Q2 - 11:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
30
Q2 - 11:29ORLMISS Nelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper30
30
Q2 - 11:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot30
30
Q2 - 11:44MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30
Q2 - 11:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot30
30
Q2 - 12:0030
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
30
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMobley P.FOUL (P1.T2)30
30
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)30
30
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Francis27
30
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)27
30
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
30
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
30
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Francis Reverse Layup27
30
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
30
Q1 - 1:06ORLMobley 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
27
Q1 - 1:21MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)25
27
Q1 - 1:38ORLFrancis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)25
25
Q1 - 1:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
25
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 2:17MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 2:17MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade23
24
Q1 - 2:17ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Hill23
24
Q1 - 2:17ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
24
Q1 - 2:1723
24
Q1 - 2:23ORLHill 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 2:30MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 2:35ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 2:57MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)21
22
Q1 - 3:22ORLMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)21
20
Q1 - 3:26ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
20
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade Layup18
20
Q1 - 3:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
20
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 3:52ORLFrancis 18' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 4:06MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:18ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
18
Q1 - 4:18ORLBattie OFF.Foul (P1)16
18
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 4:56ORLFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 5:12MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 5:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 5:26ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
14
Q1 - 5:26ORLMagic Rebound13
14
Q1 - 5:27ORLMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot13
14
Q1 - 5:56MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
14
Q1 - 6:09MIAHEAT Rebound13
12
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade Layup13
12
Q1 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
12
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot13
12
Q1 - 6:40ORLHill Layup (5 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)13
12
Q1 - 6:46MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 7:03ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 7:40ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 7:40ORLMagic Rebound8
8
Q1 - 7:40ORLMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 28
8
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 8:13ORLMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 8:17ORLHill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 8:17MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )7
5
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
5
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 8:31ORLFrancis S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
3
Q1 - 8:52ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
3
Q1 - 9:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
3
Q1 - 9:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
0
Q1 - 9:28ORLMISS Francis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 9:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
0
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 9:54ORLMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 10:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
0
Q1 - 10:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:32ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:49ORLFrancis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:03ORLMagic Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:05ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:35ORLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:47MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
17
59%
MIA
21
31
68%
Midrange
ORL
24
51
47%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
MIA
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
ORL
21
27
78%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis3157%15.5 / 27
C. Mobley2273%11.0 / 15
G. Hill2067%10.0 / 15
H. Turkoglu1146%5.5 / 12
D. Howard750%3.5 / 7
T. Battie536%2.5 / 7
P. Garrity583%2.5 / 3
M. Kasun4100%2.0 / 2
J. Nelson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2764%13.5 / 21
E. Jones25104%12.5 / 12
D. Wade2242%11.0 / 26
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
K. Dooling1056%5.0 / 9
C. Laettner1063%5.0 / 8
D. Jones964%4.5 / 7
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+12
-11
91
MIA
88
+13
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
106.6
ORL 118.9
MIA 120.6 +1.7
Pace
97.7
93.9
ORL 95.2 +2.9
MIA 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
ORL 15.1 −0.5
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
52.4%
ORL 55.1%
MIA 56.6% +1.5%
TO %
16.0%
14.0%
ORL 11.8%
MIA 8.7% −3.1%
ORB %
30.0%
27.0%
ORL 25.7% +2.8%
MIA 22.9%
FTrt
35.0
38.7
ORL 34.6 +2.1
MIA 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
57.8%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 55.8% +25.8%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
ORL 5.6% +0.4%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
ORL 7.6% +6.1%
MIA 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
52.7%
ORL 57.5%
MIA 58.5% +1.0%
Rim FG%
57.1%
63.0%
ORL 58.8%
MIA 67.7% +8.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.0%
ORL 47.1% +7.1%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
34.9%
37.7%
ORL 60.0% +12.9%
MIA 47.1%
FT %
75.9%
67.2%
ORL 77.8%
MIA 85.2% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
37.6%
ORL 21.8%
MIA 37.3% +15.6%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
42.6%
ORL 65.4%
MIA 42.2% −23.2%
3P Att. %
13.7%
19.8%
ORL 12.8%
MIA 20.5% +7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9097
Possession Minutes22.725.2
Points107117
Rebounds3634
Assists1224
Steals55
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals40-7843-83
At-the-Rim FG10-1721-31
Midrange FG24-5114-35
2-Point FG34-6835-66
3-Point FG6-108-17
Free Throws21-2723-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
40.2
31
57%
4
3
2
1
2
2
0
4
4-8
50%
12-20
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
38.5
5
36%
8
0
0
1
2
4
1
7
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
36.6
20
67%
1
2
0
1
3
1
0
1
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
34.1
7
50%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
7-8
88%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
32.9
22
73%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'10" 220 · 26
26.4
11
46%
3
1
1
0
3
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 238 · 28
13.9
5
83%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
9.5
4
100%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
7.8
2
33%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
F · 6'10" 245 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
36
12
5
5
11
0
9
27
21-27
78%
34-68
50%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.