for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics30%98100
9Heat70%105108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
38.0
32.9
12
55%
2
3
2
1
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
35.3
35.5
25
61%
6
3
2
1
1
4
1
5
7-8
88%
6-14
5-12
43%
44%
2-3
67%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.9
33.6
20.7
2
17%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
27.9
29.4
12
67%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
23.3
27.5
10
56%
7
3
0
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.0
18.8
17.5
15
70%
9
1
1
0
0
1
4
5
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
18.1
14.3
4
67%
1
1
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
16.8
30.1
12
61%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
4-10
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 22.9
15.2
13.8
4
40%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.1
12.6
12.7
4
42%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
0.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
1.1
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
41.5
28.7
18
51%
17
1
1
1
0
1
8
9
4-4
100%
7-16
4-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
41.0
37.0
33
64%
4
11
4
2
2
7
2
2
11-13
85%
11-20
7-15
55%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.2
37.7
34.8
17
82%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.3
33.5
30.4
12
86%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
4-7
57%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
27.6
8.5
8
50%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
16.7
15.7
4
33%
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.3
14.6
18.9
8
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
14.0
20.6
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
13.3
3.4
4
41%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.8
36.3
0
8-14
57%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.7
4.8
0
0-1
46%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.5
0.7
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.