for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, December 21, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Celtics
30%98
100
9
Heat
70%105
108
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
106.49498.3
MIA logo MIA
113.79591.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS100
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Banks 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSPierce Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0BOSWelsch Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)100
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Payton: Tip to Welsch100
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 1:24BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 1:24BOSMISS Allen Tip Shot100
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 1:26BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 1:29BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 1:33BOSMISS Welsch 28' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 1:46MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)100
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)100
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 1:53BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)100
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 2:21BOSPierce Driving Layup (25 PTS)100
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)98
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)98
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 2:48BOSBlount Layup (12 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)98
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 2:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Haslem Layup96
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot96
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 3:23BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)96
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 3:38MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)94
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 4:02BOSAllen 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)94
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)92
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 4:21BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P3.T17)92
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS)92
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 4:50BOSBlount 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)92
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHaslem Layup (18 PTS)90
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)90
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 5:37BOSMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot90
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIADoleac Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)90
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 6:19BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
4.6%
97
95.4%
Q4 - 6:19BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 289
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)89
4.8%
97
95.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)89
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 6:53BOSMISS Pierce 18' Turnaround Jump Shot89
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)89
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
11.8%
93
88.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot89
14.2%
93
85.8%
Q4 - 7:42BOSJefferson Slam Dunk (14 PTS)89
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q4 - 7:47MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)87
9.4%
93
90.6%
Q4 - 8:06BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)87
8.2%
93
91.8%
Q4 - 8:06BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 8:11BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot85
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 8:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)85
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q4 - 8:35BOSMISS Banks 21' Jump Shot85
5.4%
93
94.6%
Q4 - 8:56MIAButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)85
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAHEAT Rebound85
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Haslem Layup85
10.2%
91
89.8%
Q4 - 9:10BOSDoleac STEAL (1 STL)85
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 9:26BOSDooling STEAL (1 STL)85
13.3%
89
86.7%
Q4 - 9:37BOSCeltics Rebound85
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 9:39BOSMISS Blount 11' Jump Shot85
14.2%
89
85.8%
Q4 - 9:51BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Butler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot85
15.5%
89
84.5%
Q4 - 10:06BOSMcCarty Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)85
13.9%
89
86.1%
Q4 - 10:16BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
17.1%
89
82.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot85
16.0%
89
84.0%
Q4 - 10:37BOSJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)85
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIALaettner 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMcCarty Layup (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 3 AST)85
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 11:24BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Anderson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot83
16.6%
87
83.4%
Q4 - 11:38BOSJefferson Tip Shot (12 PTS)83
14.5%
87
85.5%
Q4 - 11:42BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)81
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 11:45BOSMISS LaFrentz 5' Hook Shot81
10.5%
87
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)81
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
15.0%
85
85.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Pierce Reverse Layup81
15.8%
85
84.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)81
17.8%
85
82.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
18.5%
84
81.5%
Q3 - 1:06BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q3 - 1:06BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 280
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)80
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q3 - 1:39BOSJefferson Layup (10 PTS)80
18.0%
83
82.0%
Q3 - 1:41BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q3 - 1:44BOSWade BLOCK (2 BLK)78
13.7%
83
86.3%
Q3 - 1:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q3 - 1:48BOSMISS Pierce 7' Jump Shot78
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)78
15.6%
83
84.4%
Q3 - 2:06BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 2:22MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)78
15.6%
83
84.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Laettner 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q3 - 2:58BOSPayton Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)76
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q3 - 3:14MIAHEAT Rebound76
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q3 - 3:16MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot76
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 276
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (23 PTS)76
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q3 - 3:29BOSWade STEAL (4 STL)76
15.8%
80
84.2%
Q3 - 3:36BOSCeltics Rebound76
18.5%
80
81.5%
Q3 - 3:38BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot76
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)76
18.5%
80
81.5%
Q3 - 4:09BOSPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)76
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 4:20MIALaettner Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)76
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 4:48BOSDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)76
27.3%
76
72.7%
Q3 - 4:56BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot73
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q3 - 5:17BOSDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T9)73
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)73
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)73
27.3%
73
72.7%
Q3 - 5:42BOSMISS Blount 4' Hook Shot73
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q3 - 5:44BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q3 - 5:45BOSMISS LaFrentz Tip Shot73
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q3 - 5:46BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q3 - 5:48BOSMISS Blount 4' Hook Shot73
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q3 - 6:08MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)73
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)73
37.5%
70
62.5%
Q3 - 6:18BOSMISS Pierce 12' Turnaround Jump Shot73
38.7%
70
61.3%
Q3 - 6:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
41.6%
70
58.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot73
40.4%
70
59.6%
Q3 - 7:04BOSPierce Layup (20 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)73
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)71
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)71
37.2%
69
62.8%
Q3 - 7:32BOSBlount 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)71
40.4%
67
59.6%
Q3 - 7:40BOSPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot69
36.0%
67
64.0%
Q3 - 8:01BOSLaFrentz Dunk (10 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)69
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)67
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 8:33BOSPayton Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
26.6%
67
73.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAJones 8' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)65
24.2%
67
75.8%
Q3 - 9:06BOSPierce 4' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)65
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q3 - 9:15BOSCeltics Rebound63
23.6%
65
76.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)63
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 9:25BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot63
21.7%
65
78.3%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
23.6%
65
76.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 9:55BOSMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 10:00BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
29.3%
63
70.7%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot63
27.9%
63
72.1%
Q3 - 10:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
25.7%
63
74.3%
Q3 - 10:11BOSMISS LaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWade Running Dunk (19 PTS)63
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 10:36BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)63
31.6%
61
68.4%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (17 PTS)63
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 11:09BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)63
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 11:11BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
40.7%
59
59.3%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot63
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 11:33BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS60
28.2%
59
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot60
29.9%
59
70.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Payton: Tip to Haslem60
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
30.5%
59
69.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0BOSDavis 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIADooling Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)58
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)58
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)58
30.2%
57
69.8%
Q2 - 1:32BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)58
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)58
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)58
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q2 - 2:16BOSPayton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)56
36.0%
53
64.0%
Q2 - 2:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)56
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot56
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Hook Shot56
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot56
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 2:55BOSPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 3:00BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup54
34.4%
51
65.6%
Q2 - 3:19BOSWelsch Driving Layup (2 PTS)54
32.4%
51
67.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)52
30.2%
51
69.8%
Q2 - 3:44BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q2 - 3:44BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
26.9%
51
73.1%
Q2 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
25.4%
51
74.6%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
25.8%
50
74.2%
Q2 - 4:06BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q2 - 4:08BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 4:10BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)48
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 4:42BOSBlount Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)48
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)46
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 5:18BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot46
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)46
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 5:59BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 5:59BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 245
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 6:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 6:22BOSMISS Welsch 22' Jump Shot45
23.2%
46
76.8%
Q2 - 6:28BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot45
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 6:49BOSMcCarty 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 6:56BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Anderson Reverse Layup43
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 7:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 7:05BOSMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot43
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 7:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)43
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)43
22.8%
45
77.2%
Q2 - 7:33BOSJefferson Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)43
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 7:34BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 7:36BOSMISS Davis Driving Layup41
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 7:48BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot41
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 8:02BOSBanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 8:02BOSBanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS)39
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Bank Shot39
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 8:29BOSMISS Welsch 21' Jump Shot39
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIADooling Driving Dunk (4 PTS)39
22.8%
41
77.2%
Q2 - 9:10BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 9:10BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 9:19BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot37
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 9:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
20.7%
39
79.3%
Q2 - 9:40BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot37
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)37
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 10:01MIAHEAT Rebound37
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup37
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 10:20BOSDavis 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)37
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 10:30MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 10:30MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 10:32BOSAnderson STEAL (1 STL)35
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 10:37BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot35
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 10:50BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Hook Shot35
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 11:02MIADooling Driving Dunk (2 PTS)35
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 11:24BOSJefferson 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 11:26BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
25.8%
33
74.2%
Q2 - 11:28BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)33
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 11:40BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot33
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS33
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound33
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Banks 17' Jump Shot33
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)33
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSBanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSBanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 1:03BOSLaFrentz Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)31
27.7%
29
72.3%
Q1 - 1:08MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
24.1%
29
75.9%
Q1 - 1:15BOSMISS Davis Driving Layup29
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 1:23BOSBanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot29
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24.1%
29
75.9%
Q1 - 1:47BOSMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot29
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q1 - 2:22BOSJefferson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)29
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q1 - 2:27BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q1 - 2:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot27
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 3:04BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)27
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 3:29BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot24
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q1 - 3:40BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 4:01BOSPierce Layup (10 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)24
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
21.7%
23
78.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot22
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 4:46BOSLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)22
21.7%
23
78.3%
Q1 - 4:51BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 4:53BOSMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 5:03BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot19
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 5:21BOSBlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)19
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)19
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q1 - 6:02BOSPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJones 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)17
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 6:26BOSMISS Welsch 10' Jump Shot17
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade Running Layup (4 PTS)17
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 6:45BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)17
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAJones Dunk (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)17
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 7:17BOSPierce Running Layup (8 PTS)17
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 7:41BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 7:41BOSMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 214
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 8:04BOSPierce Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)14
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 8:04BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)13
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 8:04BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)12
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 8:16MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 8:32BOSLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)11
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 8:34BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 8:37BOSMISS Welsch 3PT Jump Shot9
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot9
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 9:10BOSBlount Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)9
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 9:22MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
23.9%
7
76.1%
Q1 - 9:40BOSPayton Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 10:05BOSBlount 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)5
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:17BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)3
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 10:51BOSPierce 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:00BOSWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:10BOSMISS Payton 9' Running Jump Shot0
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:33MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 11:44BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Blount: Tip to Payton0
23.5%
0
76.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
25
35
71%
MIA
18
27
67%
Midrange
BOS
10
31
32%
MIA
17
43
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
BOS
18
22
82%
MIA
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2563%12.5 / 20
A. Jefferson1568%7.5 / 11
G. Payton1255%6.0 / 11
M. Blount1267%6.0 / 9
R. Davis1260%6.0 / 10
R. LaFrentz1056%5.0 / 9
W. McCarty467%2.0 / 3
T. Allen440%2.0 / 5
M. Banks440%2.0 / 5
J. Welsch217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3363%16.5 / 26
U. Haslem1850%9.0 / 18
E. Jones1777%8.5 / 11
D. Jones1286%6.0 / 7
M. Doleac850%4.0 / 8
C. Laettner867%4.0 / 6
K. Dooling433%2.0 / 6
R. Butler433%2.0 / 6
S. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
75
+16
-19
91
MIA
79
+16
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.0
106.6
BOS 106.4
MIA 113.7 +7.3
Pace
96.5
93.9
BOS 98.3 +7.3
MIA 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
BOS 14.6 +1.2
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
BOS 51.9%
MIA 53.7% +1.8%
TO %
15.8%
14.0%
BOS 17.6%
MIA 16.4% +1.2%
ORB %
27.4%
27.0%
BOS 33.3% +1.9%
MIA 31.4%
FTrt
35.7
38.7
BOS 27.8 +1.0
MIA 26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
57.8%
BOS 46.2%
MIA 51.2% +5.0%
STL %
8.4%
6.8%
BOS 9.6% +0.1%
MIA 9.5%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
BOS 7.1% +2.6%
MIA 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.7%
BOS 54.3%
MIA 56.3% +2.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
63.0%
BOS 71.4% +4.7%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.0%
BOS 32.3%
MIA 39.5% +7.2%
3P %
34.9%
37.7%
BOS 30.8%
MIA 50.0% +19.2%
FT %
76.4%
67.2%
BOS 81.8%
MIA 90.9% +9.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.6%
37.6%
BOS 44.3% +11.4%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
42.6%
BOS 39.2% +13.2%
MIA 52.4%
3P Att. %
19.2%
19.8%
BOS 16.5% +1.8%
MIA 14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points100108
Rebounds3635
Assists1821
Steals99
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)24 (0)
Field Goals39-7941-82
At-the-Rim FG25-3518-27
Midrange FG10-3117-43
2-Point FG35-6635-70
3-Point FG4-136-12
Free Throws18-2220-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36
38.0
12
55%
2
3
2
1
4
0
1
1
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
G · 6'7" 235 · 27
35.3
25
63%
6
3
2
1
4
3
1
5
7-8
88%
6-14
43%
2-3
67%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25
33.6
2
17%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C · 7'0" 250 · 29
27.9
12
67%
2
2
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
F · 6'11" 240 · 29
23.3
10
56%
7
3
0
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20
18.8
15
68%
9
1
1
0
1
3
4
5
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 31
18.1
4
67%
1
1
1
2
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25
16.8
12
60%
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23
15.2
4
40%
2
1
2
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23
12.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
54%
36
18
9
5
19
0
12
24
18-22
82%
35-66
53%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.