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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Jazz39%9886
24Raptors61%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
41.6
33.9
9
36%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-10
5-11
30%
45%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 23.1
41.3
34.6
29
58%
10
5
2
1
0
1
4
6
7-11
64%
11-20
7-14
55%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
39.6
37.0
14
53%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
6-10
6-11
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
21.6
9.3
3
25%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Aleksandar Radojevic
C · 7'3" 250 · 28.4
16.0
14.4
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
29.1
30.7
11
51%
15
3
0
1
0
3
5
10
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.4
26.4
28.0
10
63%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
14.8
12.3
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.3
9.6
9.7
2
26%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
11.6
0
1-3
42%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
6.0
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
33.4
28.1
18
51%
8
1
1
1
2
3
0
8
6-8
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
30.8
16.5
11
71%
8
5
2
1
1
1
0
8
2-4
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.4
29.9
31.6
9
46%
2
14
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
27.9
31.2
7
50%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.5
13.3
15.3
4
69%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
31.7
29.5
22
88%
8
1
2
1
3
1
3
5
8-8
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
4-8
50%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.9
20.1
28.3
12
75%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.9
18.1
19.9
4
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.7
17.2
19.0
9
51%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
12.1
18.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
5.6
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 34.9
6.4
0
1-2
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.