FinalWin Prob.pScore
264%99
87
1436%95
93
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
91.69589.1
ORL logo ORL
94.998104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL87
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASParker Layup (18 PTS)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASParker Layup (16 PTS)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASBrown Layup (7 PTS)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Brown Layup81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLTurkoglu Dunk (16 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 281
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASSpurs Rebound80
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot80
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 1:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:22SASMISS Parker Layup80
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 1:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 180
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 1:51SASParker Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 1:57ORLMobley Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)78
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 2:15ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 2:18SASMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:40ORLFrancis Layup (28 PTS) (Mobley 5 AST)78
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 2:44SASMobley STEAL (1 STL)78
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 3:06ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q4 - 3:06ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q4 - 3:22ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Ginobili Layup78
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)78
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q4 - 4:01SASBrown Layup (4 PTS)78
30.2%
81
69.8%
Q4 - 4:20ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)76
23.0%
81
77.0%
Q4 - 4:20ORLFrancis Driving Layup (23 PTS)76
30.3%
80
69.7%
Q4 - 4:36SASParker Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)76
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q4 - 4:57ORLMobley 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)74
29.9%
78
70.1%
Q4 - 5:17ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
41.9%
76
58.1%
Q4 - 5:19SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot74
44.5%
76
55.5%
Q4 - 5:40ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q4 - 5:40ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 274
51.7%
75
48.3%
Q4 - 5:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)74
50.1%
75
49.9%
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 273
47.6%
75
52.4%
Q4 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mobley 4 AST)73
52.9%
75
47.1%
Q4 - 6:28SASTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)73
66.3%
72
33.7%
Q4 - 6:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
73.6%
72
26.4%
Q4 - 6:44ORLMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot73
71.5%
72
28.5%
Q4 - 7:03ORLMAGIC Rebound73
67.1%
72
32.9%
Q4 - 7:03SASMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot73
69.2%
72
30.8%
Q4 - 7:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
73.6%
72
26.4%
Q4 - 7:22ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup73
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q4 - 7:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q4 - 7:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
65.9%
72
34.1%
Q4 - 7:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
61.5%
72
38.5%
Q4 - 7:47ORLMISS Garrity 9' Jump Bank Shot71
59.2%
72
40.8%
Q4 - 8:03SASDuncan Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)71
55.0%
72
45.0%
Q4 - 8:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Bank Shot69
46.7%
72
53.3%
Q4 - 8:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q4 - 8:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 269
43.1%
72
56.9%
Q4 - 8:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)69
46.7%
72
53.3%
Q4 - 8:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
42.4%
72
57.6%
Q4 - 8:26SASBattie BLOCK (2 BLK)68
38.0%
72
62.0%
Q4 - 8:42SASSpurs Rebound68
42.3%
72
57.7%
Q4 - 8:42ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot68
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q4 - 9:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot68
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Brown Free Throw Technical68
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q4 - 9:23ORLFrancis Layup (21 PTS)68
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q4 - 9:24ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q4 - 9:26ORLMISS Francis Layup68
54.4%
70
45.6%
Q4 - 9:42ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot68
51.9%
70
48.1%
Q4 - 9:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q4 - 9:58SASGarrity BLOCK (1 BLK)68
51.9%
70
48.1%
Q4 - 10:04SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
56.7%
70
43.3%
Q4 - 10:06ORLMISS Battie 11' Jump Shot68
54.9%
70
45.1%
Q4 - 10:27SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS)68
50.6%
70
49.4%
Q4 - 10:47ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)66
45.4%
70
54.6%
Q4 - 10:47ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)66
46.3%
69
53.7%
Q4 - 11:04SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
50.8%
68
49.2%
Q4 - 11:30ORLKasun Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)64
45.6%
68
54.4%
Q4 - 11:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
50.8%
66
49.2%
Q4 - 11:36SASKasun BLOCK (2 BLK)64
52.5%
66
47.5%
Q4 - 11:47ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (11 PTS)64
56.4%
66
43.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
61.4%
64
38.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
67.0%
64
33.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 264
71.9%
62
28.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 264
74.7%
62
25.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASSpurs Rebound64
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Francis 19' Fadeaway Jumper64
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot64
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot64
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 1:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 1:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot64
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 1:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 1:19SASRose Tip Shot (9 PTS)64
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 1:20SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot62
64.3%
62
35.7%
Q3 - 1:44ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)62
67.4%
62
32.6%
Q3 - 1:48SASFrancis STEAL (2 STL)62
71.4%
60
28.6%
Q3 - 2:06ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)62
74.8%
60
25.2%
Q3 - 2:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
77.9%
58
22.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 2:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
74.9%
58
25.1%
Q3 - 2:28ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup60
73.7%
58
26.3%
Q3 - 2:34SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
70.9%
58
29.1%
Q3 - 2:53ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 2:53ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 3:06SASRose 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)58
71.0%
56
29.0%
Q3 - 3:29SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)56
67.3%
56
32.7%
Q3 - 3:30ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 256
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 3:30ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 256
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 3:40SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
63.0%
56
37.0%
Q3 - 3:40SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
62.3%
56
37.7%
Q3 - 3:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMISS Howard Layup54
57.6%
56
42.4%
Q3 - 4:15SASBowen Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)54
54.8%
56
45.2%
Q3 - 4:20SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q3 - 4:27ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
46.2%
56
53.8%
Q3 - 4:29SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot52
47.7%
56
52.3%
Q3 - 4:52ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q3 - 5:07SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)52
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 5:31ORLBattie Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)52
59.9%
54
40.1%
Q3 - 5:47SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T7)52
63.5%
52
36.5%
Q3 - 5:54SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 5:56SASMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot52
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q3 - 6:19ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
67.7%
52
32.3%
Q3 - 6:19ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 252
68.3%
51
31.7%
Q3 - 6:22ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
67.4%
51
32.6%
Q3 - 6:24SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot52
68.6%
51
31.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
71.1%
51
28.9%
Q3 - 6:42SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.6%
51
31.4%
Q3 - 7:05ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)52
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 7:18ORLMAGIC Rebound52
66.9%
51
33.1%
Q3 - 7:19SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Hook Shot52
68.1%
51
31.9%
Q3 - 7:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 7:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
71.7%
50
28.3%
Q3 - 7:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)52
73.4%
49
26.6%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMISS Francis Layup52
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 8:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
73.6%
49
26.4%
Q3 - 8:06SASGinobili Tip Shot (12 PTS)52
73.6%
49
26.4%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Duncan Layup50
68.5%
49
31.5%
Q3 - 8:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 8:11SASBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)50
68.5%
49
31.5%
Q3 - 8:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 8:18ORLMISS Francis Layup50
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q3 - 8:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 8:24SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot50
68.5%
49
31.5%
Q3 - 8:40ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)50
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 8:51SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 9:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 247
62.1%
48
37.9%
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
61.0%
48
39.0%
Q3 - 9:14ORLMISS Howard Layup47
63.4%
48
36.6%
Q3 - 9:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
61.0%
48
39.0%
Q3 - 9:17ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot47
63.4%
48
36.6%
Q3 - 9:38ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
61.0%
48
39.0%
Q3 - 9:40SASMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot47
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q3 - 9:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
64.5%
48
35.5%
Q3 - 9:57ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup47
63.4%
48
36.6%
Q3 - 10:04SASDuncan Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)47
61.6%
48
38.4%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)45
58.5%
48
41.5%
Q3 - 10:43SASParker Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)45
54.6%
48
45.4%
Q3 - 10:48ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
51.4%
48
48.6%
Q3 - 10:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
47.5%
48
52.5%
Q3 - 10:57ORLMISS Mobley 16' Jump Shot43
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 11:06SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)43
49.0%
48
51.0%
Q3 - 11:23ORLBattie 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)40
42.2%
48
57.8%
Q3 - 11:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot40
46.5%
46
53.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL40
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound40
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup40
47.9%
46
52.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)40
47.9%
46
52.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
50.1%
45
49.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLMAGIC Rebound40
53.8%
44
46.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
56.1%
44
43.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLMAGIC Rebound40
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
62.5%
42
37.5%
Q2 - 1:11ORLMAGIC Rebound40
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 1:11SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot40
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 1:29ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)40
62.4%
42
37.6%
Q2 - 1:36SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)40
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 1:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
71.0%
39
29.0%
Q2 - 1:45SASMISS Parker Layup40
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
71.0%
39
29.0%
Q2 - 1:53ORLMISS Mobley 21' Jump Shot40
70.5%
39
29.5%
Q2 - 2:07ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
69.0%
39
31.0%
Q2 - 2:09SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot40
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q2 - 2:29ORLFrancis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)40
71.4%
39
28.6%
Q2 - 2:43SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS)40
74.1%
37
25.9%
Q2 - 2:50SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
71.4%
37
28.6%
Q2 - 2:53ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot38
70.7%
37
29.3%
Q2 - 3:11SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
69.0%
37
31.0%
Q2 - 3:29ORLFrancis Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
66.7%
37
33.3%
Q2 - 3:35SASGinobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)36
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 3:51ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 3:51ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
67.0%
34
33.0%
Q2 - 3:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 3:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot34
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 3:57SASMISS Duncan Layup34
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 4:18ORLBattie 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)34
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 4:33SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
74.0%
31
26.0%
Q2 - 4:48ORLFrancis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)34
76.2%
31
23.8%
Q2 - 5:10SASGinobili Layup (8 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)34
78.1%
29
21.9%
Q2 - 5:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
76.3%
29
23.7%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 232
74.3%
29
25.7%
Q2 - 5:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 232
75.5%
29
24.5%
Q2 - 5:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
76.3%
29
23.7%
Q2 - 5:33ORLMISS Battie Layup32
75.6%
29
24.4%
Q2 - 5:50SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
74.0%
29
26.0%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 231
73.6%
29
26.4%
Q2 - 6:08ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
74.4%
29
25.6%
Q2 - 6:08ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
74.7%
28
25.3%
Q2 - 6:12SASBattie STEAL (1 STL)31
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 6:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
78.4%
27
21.6%
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot31
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 6:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 6:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
78.4%
27
21.6%
Q2 - 6:28SASMISS Ginobili Tip Shot31
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot31
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 6:37SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
78.4%
27
21.6%
Q2 - 6:38ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 6:38ORLMISS Turkoglu Tip Shot31
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 6:40ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot31
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 6:50SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 7:15ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
74.2%
27
25.8%
Q2 - 7:15ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)29
76.2%
26
23.8%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 229
79.3%
24
20.7%
Q2 - 7:28SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Udrih Free Throw Technical28
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical28
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q2 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q2 - 7:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
76.0%
24
24.0%
Q2 - 7:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
75.7%
24
24.3%
Q2 - 7:54ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
74.2%
24
25.8%
Q2 - 8:07SASGarrity STEAL (1 STL)26
75.7%
22
24.3%
Q2 - 8:10ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)26
77.8%
22
22.2%
Q2 - 8:17ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
75.7%
22
24.3%
Q2 - 8:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot26
76.4%
22
23.6%
Q2 - 8:36ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
77.8%
22
22.2%
Q2 - 8:48SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q2 - 9:15ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q2 - 9:15ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
72.3%
21
27.7%
Q2 - 9:30SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)23
73.8%
20
26.2%
Q2 - 9:51ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)21
72.0%
20
28.0%
Q2 - 9:55ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
69.7%
20
30.3%
Q2 - 9:56SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot21
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q2 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
71.8%
20
28.2%
Q2 - 10:24ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q2 - 10:26SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot21
74.2%
18
25.8%
Q2 - 10:36SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
75.6%
18
24.4%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot21
75.0%
18
25.0%
Q2 - 10:53SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q2 - 11:10ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
71.7%
18
28.3%
Q2 - 11:15ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q2 - 11:17SASKasun BLOCK (1 BLK)19
74.2%
16
25.8%
Q2 - 11:25SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMISS Hill 15' Turnaround Jump Shot19
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q2 - 11:39ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
74.2%
16
25.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Parker Driving Layup19
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLKasun Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)19
75.0%
16
25.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot19
77.5%
14
22.5%
Q1 - 1:05ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
78.4%
14
21.6%
Q1 - 1:25SASParker Layup (4 PTS)19
80.3%
12
19.7%
Q1 - 1:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 1:32ORLMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot17
78.0%
12
22.0%
Q1 - 1:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
77.1%
12
22.9%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot17
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 1:59SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot17
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 2:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
78.7%
12
21.3%
Q1 - 2:05SASHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)17
77.7%
12
22.3%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMobley 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)17
78.7%
12
21.3%
Q1 - 2:52SASParker Layup (2 PTS)17
80.3%
10
19.7%
Q1 - 2:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 2:57ORLMISS Francis 18' Fadeaway Jumper15
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 3:18SASRose 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
76.8%
10
23.2%
Q1 - 3:30SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot13
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q1 - 3:51SASRose 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
73.4%
10
26.6%
Q1 - 4:21ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 4:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.1%
8
27.9%
Q1 - 4:48ORLMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot9
71.4%
8
28.6%
Q1 - 5:05SASNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 5:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
68.6%
8
31.4%
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 5:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
68.6%
8
31.4%
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
68.0%
8
32.0%
Q1 - 5:28SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
66.5%
8
33.5%
Q1 - 5:43ORLMobley Layup (2 PTS)5
64.8%
8
35.2%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
66.5%
6
33.5%
Q1 - 5:53SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)5
67.2%
6
32.8%
Q1 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 6:04ORLMISS Howard Layup5
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 6:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
66.7%
6
33.3%
Q1 - 6:06ORLMISS Howard Layup5
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 6:29SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)5
66.7%
6
33.3%
Q1 - 6:49ORLHoward Driving Dunk (2 PTS)3
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 7:01SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)3
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 7:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 7:14ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 7:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 7:23SASMISS Duncan 9' Fadeaway Jumper3
67.6%
4
32.4%
Q1 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 7:36ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Hook Shot3
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 7:59SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)3
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 8:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 8:14ORLMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot0
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 8:32ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot0
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 8:50ORLHill Layup (4 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)0
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 8:55SASFrancis STEAL (1 STL)0
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 9:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 9:06ORLMISS Mobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper0
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 9:18ORLMAGIC Rebound0
65.6%
2
34.4%
Q1 - 9:19SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 9:37ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 9:42ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 9:44SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 9:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 9:53ORLMISS Howard Layup0
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 10:02ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:03SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:13SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 10:15ORLMISS Battie 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 10:33ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Hook Shot0
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:50ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 10:50ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
67.9%
1
32.1%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot0
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:16ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:25ORLMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.3%
0
30.7%
Q1 - 11:26SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot0
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 11:43SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:44ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Bank Shot0
70.3%
0
29.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Francis0
69.3%
0
30.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.84 42.2%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
40
50%
ORL
17
32
53%
Midrange
SAS
11
37
30%
ORL
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
ORL
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
SAS
13
26
50%
ORL
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2448%12.0 / 25
T. Parker1847%9.0 / 19
M. Ginobili1444%7.0 / 16
B. Bowen1063%5.0 / 8
M. Rose945%4.5 / 10
D. Brown732%3.5 / 11
B. Udrih350%1.5 / 3
R. Nesterovic217%1.0 / 6
B. Barry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2948%14.5 / 30
H. Turkoglu1673%8.0 / 11
G. Hill1365%6.5 / 10
C. Mobley1150%5.5 / 11
T. Battie941%4.5 / 11
J. Nelson650%3.0 / 6
D. Howard523%2.5 / 11
M. Kasun4100%2.0 / 2
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+16
-11
100
ORL
86
+8
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.84 42.2%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
101.8
SAS 91.6
ORL 94.9 +3.3
Pace
91.2
97.7
SAS 89.1
ORL 104.9 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
SAS 16.2
ORL 13.7 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
47.8%
SAS 41.6%
ORL 44.8% +3.2%
TO %
14.2%
16.0%
SAS 9.9% +1.8%
ORL 11.7%
ORB %
29.2%
30.0%
SAS 30.2% +13.5%
ORL 16.7%
FTrt
32.9
35.0
SAS 29.2
ORL 39.0 +9.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
52.2%
SAS 42.9%
ORL 45.5% +2.6%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
SAS 6.3%
ORL 8.2% +1.9%
BLK %
9.9%
8.0%
SAS 8.7%
ORL 11.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.3%
SAS 42.2%
ORL 48.9% +6.7%
Rim FG%
59.3%
57.1%
SAS 50.0%
ORL 53.1% +3.1%
Mid FG%
37.2%
40.0%
SAS 29.7%
ORL 35.1% +5.4%
3P %
36.3%
34.9%
SAS 33.3%
ORL 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
72.4%
75.9%
SAS 50.0%
ORL 80.0% +30.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.8%
SAS 44.9% +3.4%
ORL 41.6%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
50.5%
SAS 41.6% +6.5%
ORL 48.1%
3P Att. %
21.6%
13.7%
SAS 13.5% +3.1%
ORL 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points8793
Rebounds5144
Assists1515
Steals68
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (0)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)37 (6)
Field Goals35-8933-77
At-the-Rim FG20-4017-32
Midrange FG11-3713-37
2-Point FG31-7730-69
3-Point FG4-123-8
Free Throws13-2624-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
39.7
10
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
38.3
24
48%
8
1
1
2
2
1
3
5
2-6
33%
11-22
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
36.3
18
47%
7
5
0
0
4
3
0
7
2-3
67%
8-16
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
32.5
14
44%
9
3
2
1
0
4
2
7
5-7
71%
3-8
38%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
27.1
2
17%
11
1
0
2
1
2
5
6
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
24.4
7
32%
4
2
0
0
1
2
3
1
3-5
60%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
19.9
9
45%
4
0
1
0
1
4
2
2
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
14.1
3
50%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
6.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
42%
51
15
6
6
11
0
16
35
13-26
50%
31-77
40%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.