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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
32Bulls18%8389
8Pistons82%9482
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
35.1
39.3
10
56%
4
5
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-8
33%
40%
2-5
40%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.1
30.9
24.7
4
29%
6
2
0
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.3
25.5
22.6
0
0%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
35%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.0
23.9
34.5
12
58%
3
0
0
0
3
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-9
7-13
56%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
20.5
29.2
10
51%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.2
34.0
22.1
13
73%
11
0
2
1
2
1
4
7
1-2
50%
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.1
31.5
21.1
18
66%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
5-7
2-6
71%
41%
1-4
25%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.7
23.1
24.1
19
74%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
3-8
56%
39%
2-2
100%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.2
12.4
5.7
3
38%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-4
25%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.5
3.0
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
5.7
0
1-1
48%
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.8
2.7
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.3
40.5
38.0
12
49%
15
3
2
2
6
4
9
6
2-5
40%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
38.8
37.2
32
78%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
10-10
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
42%
4-7
57%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.3
37.8
35.5
12
34%
9
1
1
1
1
3
3
6
1-2
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.8
36.6
35.0
6
23%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.9
36.5
40.3
12
38%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-14
8-16
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.1
20.8
16.5
4
40%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
39%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
19.3
18.2
4
33%
5
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
9.7
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
0.0
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.4
4.2
0
1-1
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.5
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
2.4
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.