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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
33Bobcats20%8990
17Rockets80%9987
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.2
38.4
32.5
21
46%
11
1
0
1
2
2
3
8
5-6
83%
8-20
6-13
40%
44%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
33.3
22.6
14
54%
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
7-12
3-7
58%
45%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.1
32.7
22.9
9
48%
1
13
3
2
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
41%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
25.3
24.0
9
42%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
3-6
50%
3-6
2-6
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
24.6
30.3
2
33%
2
0
0
1
4
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
23.6
16.6
16
67%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
42%
2-2
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.7
17.8
25.1
14
93%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
15.0
22.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.6
12.3
15.0
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
11.8
9.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.7
5.3
15.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-2
50%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.2
3.5
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
45.4
38.9
15
58%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
3-9
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
42.0
40.0
25
51%
9
6
5
1
0
3
0
9
11-17
65%
4-12
7-15
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.3
35.1
29.7
20
57%
14
0
2
0
2
10
6
8
6-8
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.7
30.7
28.3
17
57%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.9
24.1
24.6
2
13%
6
5
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.1
20.3
21.0
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
18.1
19.8
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.5
9.7
10.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
6.6
2.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.2
5.4
14.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.5
2.7
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.1
11.0
1
1-2
48%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.3
8.0
0
1-2
48%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 22.8
5.2
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.