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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat33%100109
5Kings67%106107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
44.5
38.0
22
48%
8
10
1
2
0
5
1
7
2-4
50%
10-20
7-15
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.2
43.7
35.4
21
69%
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
3-7
43%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.8
40.5
23.8
25
51%
10
2
0
0
2
1
5
5
3-13
23%
11-19
5-9
58%
56%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.3
35.9
31.2
18
76%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
4-8
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
30.6
33.4
9
47%
12
1
0
1
0
1
6
6
5-6
83%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.4
18.8
16.8
6
60%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
12.1
15.8
4
67%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
6.2
16.1
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
5.3
18.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
2.5
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.7
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.5
0.6
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
45.5
35.3
21
47%
5
8
1
1
1
1
3
2
7-8
88%
7-16
4-9
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.5
43.5
37.5
19
50%
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-12
4-7
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
40.0
27.9
26
50%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
11-23
7-15
48%
46%
0-1
0%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
30.4
36.2
6
30%
5
7
1
2
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
47%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.7
19.6
35.6
10
52%
7
5
0
1
0
0
1
6
6-6
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
24.6
7.8
12
55%
8
1
1
0
0
2
7
1
1-2
50%
4-9
1-2
44%
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.8
21.4
12.3
5
60%
10
3
0
0
1
0
2
8
1-5
20%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.9
15.1
17.0
8
68%
6
1
0
1
1
0
4
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.8
18.1
1
3-5
48%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.8
6.9
0
1-1
46%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.7
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.