FinalWin Prob.pScore
1033%100
109
567%106
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.49791.5
SAC logo SAC
113.894100.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC109
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)109
95.4%
107
4.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0SACMISS Webber 28' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.0%
107
1.0%
Q4 - 0:01.0SACKINGS Rebound109
95.4%
107
4.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0SACMISS Bibby 6' Running Finger Roll109
96.7%
107
3.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0SACKINGS Rebound109
76.8%
107
23.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2109
79.4%
107
20.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2109
85.9%
107
14.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)109
91.5%
107
8.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot109
88.1%
107
11.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)109
69.8%
107
30.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)106
32.5%
107
67.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)106
64.1%
104
35.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)105
61.3%
104
38.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)104
49.4%
104
50.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0SACEvans REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)104
32.3%
104
67.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0SACMISS Webber 7' Jump Shot104
43.6%
104
56.4%
Q4 - 1:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)104
31.5%
104
68.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (25 PTS)104
31.5%
104
68.5%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup102
15.2%
104
84.8%
Q4 - 1:28SACEvans Dunk (12 PTS)102
22.7%
104
77.3%
Q4 - 1:30SACEvans REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)102
31.3%
102
68.7%
Q4 - 1:32SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot102
41.1%
102
58.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
32.4%
102
67.6%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2101
30.7%
102
69.3%
Q4 - 1:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)101
33.2%
102
66.8%
Q4 - 1:58SACMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot101
29.8%
102
70.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS)101
21.6%
102
78.4%
Q4 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
17.6%
102
82.4%
Q4 - 2:30SACMISS Webber 18' Jump Shot99
14.7%
102
85.3%
Q4 - 2:43MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)99
9.6%
102
90.4%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHeat Rebound96
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 2:53SACMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot96
4.9%
102
95.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 3:21MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 3:22SACMISS Evans 13' Jump Shot94
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 3:32SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot94
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)94
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 3:48SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot94
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)94
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 4:25SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
3.4%
102
96.6%
Q4 - 4:25SACMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 294
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 4:28SACEvans REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)94
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 4:29SACMISS Evans Layup94
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 4:29SACEvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)94
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 4:30SACMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot94
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)94
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 4:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 4:58SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)91
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 5:23SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 5:23SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 5:36SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot89
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 5:56SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)89
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 5:59SACKINGS Rebound89
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 6:00SACMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot89
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 6:13SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)89
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 6:33SACStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)89
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 6:46SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 289
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 289
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 6:59SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 6:59SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 7:11SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)89
13.4%
93
86.6%
Q4 - 7:12SACMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 289
16.8%
93
83.2%
Q4 - 7:12SACMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 289
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q4 - 7:12SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
13.4%
93
86.6%
Q4 - 7:13SACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
13.4%
93
86.6%
Q4 - 7:13SACMISS Evans Tip Shot89
16.1%
93
83.9%
Q4 - 7:15SACMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot89
16.1%
93
83.9%
Q4 - 7:29SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
13.3%
93
86.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot89
14.5%
93
85.5%
Q4 - 7:40MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
17.4%
93
82.6%
Q4 - 7:45SACMISS Webber 19' Jump Shot89
16.0%
93
84.0%
Q4 - 7:59SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
13.3%
93
86.7%
Q4 - 8:01MIAOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)89
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 8:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
18.2%
93
81.8%
Q4 - 8:17SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot89
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 8:35MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)89
14.6%
93
85.4%
Q4 - 8:52SACWebber 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)87
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q4 - 9:03SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
15.2%
91
84.8%
Q4 - 9:05MIABibby BLOCK (1 BLK)87
16.2%
91
83.8%
Q4 - 9:26SACOstertag Layup (5 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)87
18.7%
91
81.3%
Q4 - 9:51MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
22.5%
89
77.5%
Q4 - 10:15SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
19.3%
89
80.7%
Q4 - 10:15SACEvans Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)85
19.3%
89
80.7%
Q4 - 10:17SACMISS Stojakovic 5' Finger Roll85
26.0%
87
74.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)85
22.8%
87
77.2%
Q4 - 10:48SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)83
19.3%
87
80.7%
Q4 - 10:48SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)83
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q4 - 11:09SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
23.4%
85
76.6%
Q4 - 11:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot83
24.7%
85
75.3%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
24.7%
85
75.3%
Q4 - 11:33SACStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)83
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 11:50MIAJones Layup (18 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)83
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC81
27.7%
83
72.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)81
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0SACBibby 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
20.2%
83
79.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0SACBibby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0SACMISS Evans Dunk79
26.5%
81
73.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade Layup79
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q3 - 1:02SACWebber Layup (22 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)79
27.8%
81
72.2%
Q3 - 1:05SACBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
31.7%
79
68.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot79
33.0%
79
67.0%
Q3 - 1:22SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
36.2%
79
63.8%
Q3 - 1:22SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIADoleac Backcourt Turnover (P1.T10)79
40.7%
77
59.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHeat Rebound79
45.7%
77
54.3%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
42.2%
77
57.8%
Q3 - 1:53SACSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
45.7%
77
54.3%
Q3 - 1:53SACSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 1:53SACKINGS Rebound79
50.5%
75
49.5%
Q3 - 1:57SACMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 279
54.8%
75
45.2%
Q3 - 1:57SACMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 279
52.5%
75
47.5%
Q3 - 1:58SACBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
50.5%
75
49.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIASongaila BLOCK (1 BLK)79
52.0%
75
48.0%
Q3 - 2:14SACStojakovic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)79
53.8%
75
46.2%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)79
48.8%
75
51.2%
Q3 - 2:47SACStojakovic Layup (10 PTS) (Christie 7 AST)77
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q3 - 2:52MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)77
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q3 - 3:11SACWebber 7' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)77
53.0%
73
47.0%
Q3 - 3:30MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 3:43SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
53.0%
71
47.0%
Q3 - 3:43SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
53.8%
70
46.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
57.2%
69
42.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)73
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)73
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot73
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
51.8%
69
48.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
48.4%
69
51.6%
Q3 - 4:09SACChristie Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)73
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q3 - 4:56SACBibby 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Ostertag 3 AST)71
43.4%
69
56.6%
Q3 - 4:58SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
47.0%
67
53.0%
Q3 - 4:59SACMISS Webber 6' Running Hook Shot71
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 5:17MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)71
46.5%
67
53.5%
Q3 - 5:21SACWebber Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)69
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 5:32SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
38.3%
67
61.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot69
39.6%
67
60.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 5:49SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
37.7%
67
62.3%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 6:21SACMISS Webber 16' Jump Shot67
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot64
22.3%
67
77.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 164
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 6:45MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)64
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAHeat Rebound62
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 7:02SACMISS Webber 16' Jump Shot62
18.4%
67
81.6%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHeat Rebound60
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 7:13SACMISS Christie Layup60
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 7:19SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 7:27SACMISS Bibby 7' Jump Shot60
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 7:40SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot60
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 8:05SACBibby 6' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)60
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 8:08SACBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q3 - 8:10SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
18.6%
65
81.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 259
16.0%
65
84.0%
Q3 - 8:48SACMiller 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Christie 6 AST)59
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 9:23SACMISS Stojakovic 12' Running Jump Shot57
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)57
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)56
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 9:58SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot54
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 10:10SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot54
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot54
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 10:23SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 10:23SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 10:28MIAStojakovic STEAL (2 STL)54
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 10:48SACWebber Layup (16 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)54
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 154
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 11:17SACBibby Layup (9 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)52
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWebber STEAL (2 STL)52
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot52
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 11:47SACMISS Webber 18' Jump Shot52
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 31' 3PT Jump Shot52
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 252
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)52
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0SACSongaila 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0SACMISS Webber 8' Jump Hook Shot52
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade 8' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)52
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q2 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q2 - 1:03SACMISS Christie 20' Jump Shot50
21.2%
54
78.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)50
20.4%
54
79.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 249
20.0%
54
80.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)49
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q2 - 1:28SACMISS Christie 18' Jump Shot48
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAJones 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)48
16.5%
54
83.5%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 1:56SACMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot46
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWade 4' Finger Roll (12 PTS)46
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q2 - 2:27SACEvans 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Christie 5 AST)44
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 3:02SACChristie 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)41
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 3:35SACEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 3:47MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)38
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q2 - 4:00SACSongaila Finger Roll (4 PTS)38
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 4:02SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 4:03SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 4:03SACMISS Christie Tip Shot38
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 4:05SACMISS Christie 6' Jump Shot38
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)38
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 4:28SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 4:28SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 4:47MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 4:56SACMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot33
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAO'Neal 6' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)33
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 5:34SACEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)31
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 5:53SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Bank Shot31
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 6:00SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:03SACChristie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 6:14SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot31
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)31
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 6:36SACMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot31
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 129
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 7:34SACSongaila Layup (2 PTS)27
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 7:35SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 7:37SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 7:37SACMISS Evans Tip Shot27
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 7:38SACMISS Christie 16' Jump Shot27
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 8:08MIADooling 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 8:35SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)25
7.8%
41
92.2%
Q2 - 8:56MIADooling Driving Dunk (2 PTS)25
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 9:00SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 9:12MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)23
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot21
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 9:30MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 9:32SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot21
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 9:46SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
6.6%
38
93.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 221
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 10:07SACEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)21
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 10:13SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Doleac Layup21
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Doleac 4' Jump Shot21
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 10:25SACMISS Webber Alley Oop Dunk21
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 10:35SACOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot21
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 10:49SACMISS Webber 21' Jump Shot21
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 11:03SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot21
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 11:11SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 11:14SACBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 11:16SACMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot21
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 11:26SACEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot21
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 11:45SACStojakovic 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)21
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Laettner 37' 3PT Jump Shot21
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)21
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACKINGS Rebound21
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACMISS Webber 18' Jump Shot21
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0SACWebber 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)21
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0SACChristie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0SACMISS Webber 17' Jump Shot21
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 1:03MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)21
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 1:15SACOstertag Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q1 - 1:15SACOstertag 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)19
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q1 - 1:21SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot19
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 1:41SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 1:41SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q1 - 1:48SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot19
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 2:10SACChristie 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)19
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)19
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 2:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 2:39SACMISS Stojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper17
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 2:50SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 3:13SACWebber 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)17
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 3:18SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 3:20SACMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot17
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 3:53SACChristie Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)15
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade 4' Finger Roll (4 PTS)15
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 4:30SACWebber 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)13
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 4:46SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18.1%
19
81.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Layup13
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 5:10SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)13
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 5:24SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 5:45SACWebber Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 5:54SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot13
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 6:05SACMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot13
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 6:16MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 6:36SACWebber Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)11
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:45MIAChristie STEAL (1 STL)11
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:55SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
27.0%
12
73.0%
Q1 - 6:55SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 7:07SACKINGS Rebound11
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot11
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 7:30SACWebber 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)11
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)11
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 7:58SACMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:34SACMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot7
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 8:46MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 9:06SACBibby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 9:23MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)4
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:48SACWebber 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWebber STEAL (1 STL)2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:23SACBibby Layup (2 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:40SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 22
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:55SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:55SACMISS Stojakovic Tip Shot2
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 10:57SACMISS Christie 22' Jump Shot2
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:20SACMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:36SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Miller vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
27.8%
0
72.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.4%
SAC
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
37
62%
SAC
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
13
32
41%
SAC
20
59
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
SAC
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
16
30
53%
SAC
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2546%12.5 / 27
D. Wade2246%11.0 / 24
E. Jones2170%10.5 / 15
D. Jones1875%9.0 / 12
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
C. Laettner660%3.0 / 5
K. Dooling467%2.0 / 3
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
R. Butler0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Webber2650%13.0 / 26
M. Bibby2146%10.5 / 23
P. Stojakovic1950%9.5 / 19
M. Evans1255%6.0 / 11
B. Miller1050%5.0 / 10
D. Songaila880%4.0 / 5
D. Christie630%3.0 / 10
G. Ostertag550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+18
-11
104
SAC
87
+25
-7
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.4%
SAC
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.4
MIA 112.4
SAC 113.8 +1.5
Pace
93.9
95.7
MIA 91.5
SAC 100.3 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.4
MIA 15.7
SAC 14.4 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.6%
MIA 53.4% +9.2%
SAC 44.2%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
MIA 9.9%
SAC 6.9% +3.0%
ORB %
27.0%
28.8%
MIA 32.6%
SAC 42.0% +9.4%
FTrt
38.7
28.7
MIA 34.5 +4.0
SAC 30.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.6%
MIA 58.1%
SAC 75.0% +16.9%
STL %
6.8%
8.5%
MIA 5.2%
SAC 7.4% +2.2%
BLK %
8.7%
5.6%
MIA 6.0% +1.7%
SAC 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
51.6%
MIA 51.4% +4.1%
SAC 47.3%
Rim FG%
63.0%
59.3%
MIA 62.2%
SAC 64.0% +1.8%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.2%
MIA 40.6% +6.7%
SAC 33.9%
3P %
37.7%
37.4%
MIA 38.9% +2.5%
SAC 36.4%
FT %
67.2%
78.7%
MIA 53.3%
SAC 79.3% +26.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.3%
MIA 42.5% +16.2%
SAC 26.3%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
49.7%
MIA 36.8% +25.3%
SAC 62.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.0%
MIA 20.7% +9.1%
SAC 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9794
Possession Minutes25.422.5
Points109107
Rebounds4452
Assists2530
Steals57
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)21 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals43-8740-95
At-the-Rim FG23-3716-25
Midrange FG13-3220-59
2-Point FG36-6936-84
3-Point FG7-184-11
Free Throws16-3023-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
44.5
22
46%
8
10
1
0
5
3
1
7
2-4
50%
10-20
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
43.7
21
70%
3
5
1
1
2
4
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
3-7
43%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
40.5
25
46%
10
2
0
2
1
4
5
5
3-13
23%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
35.9
18
75%
4
4
1
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
30.6
9
45%
12
1
0
0
1
3
6
6
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
18.8
6
60%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
12.1
4
67%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
6.2
4
40%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
5.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
51%
44
25
5
5
11
0
15
29
16-30
53%
36-69
52%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.