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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics18%8990
2Spurs82%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
33.4
33.4
16
53%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
42%
1-2
50%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.9
31.7
22.2
10
68%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-3
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
26.9
31.5
10
45%
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
26.6
29.9
6
43%
1
3
0
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
18.8
17.7
10
71%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
2-2
100%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.3
29.8
28.6
21
80%
5
5
1
1
0
6
2
3
4-5
80%
7-9
4-9
78%
43%
1-2
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.1
21.3
15.3
9
58%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.0
15.5
18.4
4
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
13.0
16.7
2
20%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.0
11.8
13.3
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
38%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
9.3
9.4
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
2.0
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
35.3
35.1
27
72%
5
6
3
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
32.4
35.8
14
47%
11
4
2
1
2
1
3
8
2-4
50%
6-13
9-18
46%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.5
26.5
33.7
15
58%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
3-8
38%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
25.1
32.0
11
59%
3
3
2
2
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
24.9
26.1
4
67%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
33.1
19.3
17
69%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
4-5
80%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.3
18.1
12.0
8
80%
3
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.1
15.6
16.8
4
52%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.0
15.1
10.5
6
60%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
12.7
12.7
1
17%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.6
1.3
1.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
1.9
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.