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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Warriors21%9898
7Kings79%10894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
40.1
39.3
26
53%
6
4
5
1
0
6
0
6
8-13
62%
9-15
7-15
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.7
31.5
33.7
19
74%
13
0
1
1
0
1
3
10
2-2
100%
7-11
5-12
64%
44%
1-1
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.6
27.6
37.6
10
42%
4
9
0
2
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.0
27.3
28.7
11
55%
3
2
1
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-6
67%
41%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
24.7
17.9
8
44%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
23.8
22.8
6
44%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.4
20.5
13.0
10
46%
1
3
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
4-10
1-3
40%
40%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
20.2
14.6
6
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.8
16.3
9.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.4
7.9
16.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.8
7.0
0
1-1
46%
Luis Flores
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
5.7
0
1-2
39%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
4.6
0
1-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.5
42.5
39.5
18
48%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
5-12
4-8
42%
51%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.7
41.3
28.6
6
47%
13
7
1
1
1
1
2
11
2-3
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
38.4
33.0
28
52%
7
4
4
1
0
4
1
6
5-7
71%
10-23
8-18
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
37.9
39.1
14
54%
6
3
0
2
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
1-4
25%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
36.8
33.3
13
66%
5
6
3
2
0
7
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
26.8
14.9
13
59%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.9
16.1
16.3
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.8
15.9
0
1-3
49%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.8
11.9
0
2-3
49%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.8
4.9
0
0-1
48%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 22.7
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.