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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 27, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks10%91102
6Heat90%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
41.4
34.8
9
48%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
39.5
36.1
16
39%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
4-6
67%
3-12
5-12
25%
45%
2-6
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.1
24.1
30.3
8
58%
8
2
1
1
3
1
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.0
17.1
16.0
5
51%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
17.1
12.4
15
70%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
6-9
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.2
24.9
17.6
16
67%
8
2
1
0
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
8-11
2-5
73%
41%
0-1
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.9
21.7
24.2
16
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
42%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
19.4
18.7
13
85%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.5
18.3
25.8
2
33%
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.2
12.3
16.4
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.3
4.5
11.7
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
9.0
0
1-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
40.7
40.2
27
58%
3
9
2
2
1
5
3
0
7-10
70%
10-19
9-17
53%
51%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
32.9
31.7
8
44%
10
0
1
1
1
3
2
8
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.8
32.3
32.2
31
77%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
11-14
79%
10-14
8-13
71%
59%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.3
32.1
34.6
10
51%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
2-8
25%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.2
29.6
40.0
10
41%
5
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
7-7
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
24.8
9.6
9
65%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
16.8
11.9
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
15.7
9.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.4
15.1
19.2
11
103%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
5.7
0
0-1
47%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.8
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.5
0.6
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.