Final Win Prob. pScore
3610%91
102
690%107
116
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
109.79391.3
MIA logo Heat
120.89697.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
116
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLDrobnjak Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)102
116
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
116
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot100
116
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)100
116
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Delk100
114
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLSUB: Smith FOR Harrington100
114
Q4 - 0:41.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal100
114
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
114
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
114
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)100
114
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)100
113
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLSUB: Childress FOR Walker100
112
Q4 - 0:55.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Wade100
112
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)100
112
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLWalker T.FOUL (P4.PN)100
111
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLLue S.FOUL (P4.PN)100
111
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
111
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
111
Q4 - 1:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
111
Q4 - 1:03ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)100
111
Q4 - 1:08ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)100
111
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
111
Q4 - 1:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
111
Q4 - 1:31ATLMISS Drobnjak 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
111
Q4 - 1:38ATLSUB: Delk FOR Smith100
111
Q4 - 1:38ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)100
111
Q4 - 1:41MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)100
111
Q4 - 1:41ATLWalker S.FOUL (P4.PN)100
110
Q4 - 1:41MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)100
110
Q4 - 1:53MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
108
Q4 - 1:55ATLMISS Harrington 15' Turnaround Jump Shot100
108
Q4 - 2:16MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)100
108
Q4 - 2:16MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)100
107
Q4 - 2:16ATLLue P.FOUL (P3.PN)100
106
Q4 - 2:29MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler100
106
Q4 - 2:29MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling100
106
Q4 - 2:29ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
106
Q4 - 2:29ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
106
Q4 - 2:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)98
106
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)98
106
Q4 - 2:41ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
106
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup98
106
Q4 - 3:06ATLDrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)98
106
Q4 - 3:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
106
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot96
106
Q4 - 3:46ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
106
Q4 - 3:46ATLSUB: Smith FOR Delk95
106
Q4 - 3:46ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
106
Q4 - 3:46MIADooling P.FOUL (P3.PN)94
106
Q4 - 3:57MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
106
Q4 - 3:57MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
105
Q4 - 3:57ATLDelk S.FOUL (P3.PN)94
104
Q4 - 3:59MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
104
Q4 - 4:00ATLMISS Walker Tip Shot94
104
Q4 - 4:01ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
104
Q4 - 4:03ATLMISS Walker Driving Layup94
104
Q4 - 4:12ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
104
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
104
Q4 - 4:41ATLDelk 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
104
Q4 - 4:44ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)92
104
Q4 - 4:44ATLHawks Rebound92
104
Q4 - 4:46ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
104
Q4 - 5:04MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)92
104
Q4 - 5:25ATLDrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)92
102
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)90
102
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)90
101
Q4 - 5:44ATLDelk P.FOUL (P2.PN)90
100
Q4 - 6:00ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
100
Q4 - 6:00ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
100
Q4 - 6:00MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones89
100
Q4 - 6:00ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
100
Q4 - 6:00MIAJones S.FOUL (P5.PN)88
100
Q4 - 6:16MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)88
100
Q4 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
98
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
98
Q4 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)88
98
Q4 - 6:56ATLSUB: Drobnjak FOR Collier88
97
Q4 - 6:56ATLCollier S.FOUL (P6.PN)88
97
Q4 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (26 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)88
97
Q4 - 7:14ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)88
95
Q4 - 7:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
95
Q4 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound86
94
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 286
94
Q4 - 7:27ATLCollier S.FOUL (P5.T4)86
94
Q4 - 7:48ATLDelk 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
94
Q4 - 8:02ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
94
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot84
94
Q4 - 8:24ATLDooling STEAL (1 STL)84
94
Q4 - 8:36ATLSUB: Collier FOR Smith84
94
Q4 - 8:3684
94
Q4 - 8:36MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T4)84
94
Q4 - 8:54MIALaettner Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)84
94
Q4 - 9:02ATLWalker P.FOUL (P3.T3)84
92
Q4 - 9:15MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
92
Q4 - 9:17ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot84
92
Q4 - 9:33MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade84
92
Q4 - 9:33MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Haslem84
92
Q4 - 9:33MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac84
92
Q4 - 9:33MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.T3)84
92
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)84
92
Q4 - 9:54ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 9:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
92
Q4 - 9:58ATLMISS Lue 14' Fadeaway Jumper82
92
Q4 - 10:08ATLSUB: Delk FOR Collier82
92
Q4 - 10:08MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)82
92
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
92
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
92
Q4 - 10:26MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)80
92
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
92
Q4 - 10:28ATLMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot80
92
Q4 - 10:37ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
92
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot80
92
Q4 - 10:49ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Delk80
92
Q4 - 10:49ATLSUB: Smith FOR Childress80
92
Q4 - 10:49ATLChildress L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)80
92
Q4 - 10:49MIAHEAT Rebound80
92
Q4 - 10:49ATLMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot80
92
Q4 - 10:54ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
92
Q4 - 10:56ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
92
Q4 - 11:13MIADooling 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
90
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Delk 18' Jump Shot80
90
Q4 - 11:27MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)80
90
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
90
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
89
Q4 - 11:38ATLCollier S.FOUL (P4.T1)80
88
Q4 - 11:43MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
88
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot80
88
Q4 - 12:0080
88
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL80
88
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
88
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot80
88
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLSUB: Smith FOR Harrington80
88
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T10)80
88
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHarrington OFF.Foul (P4)80
88
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
88
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLHarrington 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
85
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)78
85
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
85
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones 34' 3PT Jump Shot78
85
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)78
85
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
85
Q3 - 1:15ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T9)78
85
Q3 - 1:15ATLHarrington OFF.Foul (P3)78
85
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
85
Q3 - 1:49ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Walker78
83
Q3 - 1:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)78
83
Q3 - 1:49MIAHEAT Rebound78
83
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup78
83
Q3 - 2:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)78
83
Q3 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
80
Q3 - 2:15ATLMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot78
80
Q3 - 2:28ATLCollier Violation:Defensive Goaltending78
80
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
80
Q3 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
78
Q3 - 2:36ATLMISS Collier 19' Jump Shot78
78
Q3 - 2:57MIADoleac 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
78
Q3 - 3:11ATLSUB: Delk FOR Harrington78
76
Q3 - 3:11MIAHEAT Rebound78
76
Q3 - 3:12ATLMISS Harrington Layup78
76
Q3 - 3:28MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)78
76
Q3 - 3:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
74
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 178
74
Q3 - 3:39ATLChildress S.FOUL (P1.PN)78
74
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade Layup (19 PTS)78
74
Q3 - 3:56ATLCollier 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)78
72
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
72
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 4:13ATLAnderson S.FOUL (P3.T4)76
70
Q3 - 4:24ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS)76
70
Q3 - 4:25ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
70
Q3 - 4:27ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)74
70
Q3 - 4:44MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal74
70
Q3 - 4:44ATLSUB: Collier FOR Drobnjak74
70
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)74
70
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P4)74
70
Q3 - 4:59ATLHarrington 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)74
70
Q3 - 5:15MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
70
Q3 - 5:33ATLWalker 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)72
68
Q3 - 5:43ATLSUB: Anderson FOR Ivey69
68
Q3 - 5:43ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
68
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
68
Q3 - 5:59ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)69
66
Q3 - 6:12MIAWade 7' Finger Roll (17 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 6:32ATLWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Drobnjak 2 AST)69
64
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)66
64
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
64
Q3 - 7:07ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 266
64
Q3 - 7:07MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones66
64
Q3 - 7:07ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
64
Q3 - 7:07ATLSUB: Childress FOR Smith65
64
Q3 - 7:07MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T2)65
64
Q3 - 7:14ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
64
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot65
64
Q3 - 7:32ATLDrobnjak Finger Roll (10 PTS)65
64
Q3 - 7:33ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
64
Q3 - 7:36ATLMISS Ivey 16' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 7:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
64
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 8:21ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)63
62
Q3 - 8:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 8:38ATLWalker S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
61
Q3 - 8:38MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
61
Q3 - 8:48ATLDrobnjak Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T7)61
59
Q3 - 8:48ATLDrobnjak OFF.Foul (P1)61
59
Q3 - 8:58ATLIvey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)61
59
Q3 - 8:58MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )60
59
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 9:20ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)60
57
Q3 - 9:35ATLHarrington 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ivey 4 AST)60
57
Q3 - 9:43ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
57
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 10:03ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T6)58
57
Q3 - 10:03ATLHarrington OFF.Foul (P2)58
57
Q3 - 10:11MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T1)58
57
Q3 - 10:24ATLHawks Rebound58
57
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk58
57
Q3 - 10:35ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)58
57
Q3 - 10:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
57
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Jones Layup58
57
Q3 - 11:01ATLDrobnjak Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
57
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
57
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)56
56
Q3 - 11:18ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
55
Q3 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
55
Q3 - 11:24ATLMISS Drobnjak 9' Hook Shot56
55
Q3 - 11:31MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
55
Q3 - 11:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
55
Q3 - 11:46ATLMISS Drobnjak 19' Jump Shot56
55
Q3 - 12:0056
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL56
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound56
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot56
55
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
55
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
55
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
55
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
55
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)56
55
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
55
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade Layup56
55
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
55
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot56
55
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
55
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Layup56
55
Q2 - 1:05ATLWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
55
Q2 - 1:05ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Lue55
55
Q2 - 1:05ATLWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
55
Q2 - 1:05MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
55
Q2 - 1:19MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (18 PTS)54
55
Q2 - 1:37ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
53
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
53
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
52
Q2 - 1:46ATLHarrington S.FOUL (P1.PN)52
51
Q2 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
51
Q2 - 1:53ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)52
51
Q2 - 1:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
51
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem Reverse Layup52
51
Q2 - 2:19ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
51
Q2 - 2:19MIAO'Neal Violation:Lane51
51
Q2 - 2:19MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones51
51
Q2 - 2:19MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)51
51
Q2 - 2:19ATLHarrington Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)51
51
Q2 - 2:22ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
51
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
51
Q2 - 2:38ATLLue 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
51
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
51
Q2 - 2:55ATLWillis Violation:Lane47
50
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
50
Q2 - 2:55MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner47
49
Q2 - 2:55ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
49
Q2 - 2:55ATLWalker P.FOUL (P1.PN)47
49
Q2 - 3:09ATLLue 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
49
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
49
Q2 - 3:22MIAHEAT Rebound45
48
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
48
Q2 - 3:22ATLSmith P.FOUL (P1.PN)45
48
Q2 - 3:29ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
48
Q2 - 3:29ATLHawks Rebound44
48
Q2 - 3:29ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 244
48
Q2 - 3:29MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
48
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)44
48
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
48
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 244
48
Q2 - 3:45ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
48
Q2 - 3:45MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T3)43
48
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
48
Q2 - 4:08MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
46
Q2 - 4:10ATLMISS Walker Layup43
46
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
45
Q2 - 4:24ATLLue L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)43
44
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
44
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
44
Q2 - 4:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
44
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
44
Q2 - 4:30ATLHarrington Violation:Lane43
44
Q2 - 4:30MIAHEAT Rebound43
44
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
44
Q2 - 4:30ATLSUB: Willis FOR Collier43
44
Q2 - 4:30ATLSUB: Smith FOR Delk43
44
Q2 - 4:30ATLCollier S.FOUL (P3.PN)43
44
Q2 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound43
44
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
44
Q2 - 4:53ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
44
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
44
Q2 - 5:22ATLCollier Dunk (11 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)43
44
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 5:37MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling41
43
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 5:37ATLCollier S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
42
Q2 - 5:55ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
42
Q2 - 5:55ATLHawks Rebound40
42
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 240
42
Q2 - 5:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
42
Q2 - 5:55MIALaettner S.FOUL (P1.T2)40
42
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)40
42
Q2 - 6:05ATLLue P.FOUL (P1.T4)40
42
Q2 - 6:08MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
42
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Collier 17' Jump Shot40
42
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
42
Q2 - 6:36ATLCollier P.FOUL (P1.T3)40
40
Q2 - 6:51ATLWalker 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
40
Q2 - 7:09ATLSUB: Collier FOR Childress38
40
Q2 - 7:09MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac38
40
Q2 - 7:09ATLSUB: Walker FOR Drobnjak38
40
Q2 - 7:09MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)38
40
Q2 - 7:09ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
40
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot38
40
Q2 - 7:27ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)38
40
Q2 - 7:41MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS)36
40
Q2 - 7:43MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
38
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
38
Q2 - 8:07ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
38
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)34
38
Q2 - 8:27ATLSUB: Lue FOR Anderson34
37
Q2 - 8:27MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem34
37
Q2 - 8:2734
37
Q2 - 8:27ATLDelk S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
37
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)34
37
Q2 - 8:51ATLDrobnjak Layup (6 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)34
35
Q2 - 9:11MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
35
Q2 - 9:28ATLDelk Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
32
Q2 - 9:35ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
32
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot30
32
Q2 - 9:52ATLDrobnjak Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
32
Q2 - 10:08MIADooling 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
32
Q2 - 10:32ATLDelk Layup (6 PTS)30
30
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
30
Q2 - 10:46ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)28
30
Q2 - 10:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 10:56MIAHEAT Rebound28
29
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
29
Q2 - 10:56ATLAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
29
Q2 - 11:11ATLDrobnjak Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
29
Q2 - 11:26ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
29
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot26
29
Q2 - 11:45ATLDrobnjak 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)26
29
Q2 - 12:0024
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLSUB: Smith FOR Drobnjak24
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Jones24
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
29
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLDrobnjak Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)24
29
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T4)24
29
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)24
29
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLSUB: Harrington FOR Walker24
27
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T3)24
27
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
27
Q1 - 1:04ATLMISS Delk 20' Jump Shot24
27
Q1 - 1:10ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
27
Q1 - 1:31ATLDelk 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)24
27
Q1 - 1:37ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
27
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade Layup22
27
Q1 - 1:57ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
27
Q1 - 2:09MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)20
27
Q1 - 2:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Drobnjak 5' Turnaround Jump Shot20
25
Q1 - 2:30ATLSUB: Delk FOR Smith20
25
Q1 - 2:30MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
25
Q1 - 2:48MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 2:59ATLSUB: Anderson FOR Ivey20
23
Q1 - 2:59MIASUB: Wade FOR O'Neal20
23
Q1 - 2:59MIASUB: Doleac FOR Jones20
23
Q1 - 2:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
23
Q1 - 2:59ATLIvey P.FOUL (P2.T2)20
23
Q1 - 3:11ATLWalker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 3:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)18
23
Q1 - 3:48ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)18
21
Q1 - 3:54ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
21
Q1 - 4:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
21
Q1 - 4:13ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 116
21
Q1 - 4:13ATLSUB: Childress FOR Harrington16
21
Q1 - 4:13MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
21
Q1 - 4:13ATLIvey Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
21
Q1 - 4:17MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
21
Q1 - 4:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot14
21
Q1 - 4:34ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot14
21
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
21
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Walker Driving Layup14
21
Q1 - 5:01MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)14
21
Q1 - 5:20ATLWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)14
19
Q1 - 5:25ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot12
19
Q1 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
19
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS O'Neal Layup12
19
Q1 - 5:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot12
19
Q1 - 5:51MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade12
19
Q1 - 5:51ATLSUB: Drobnjak FOR Collier12
19
Q1 - 5:51ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
19
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
19
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
16
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot12
16
Q1 - 6:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
16
Q1 - 6:39ATLIvey 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)12
14
Q1 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
14
Q1 - 7:14ATLCollier 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)10
12
Q1 - 7:34ATLHawks Rebound8
12
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
12
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:48ATLIvey P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
12
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 8:01MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
12
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10
Q1 - 8:13ATLMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot6
10
Q1 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)6
10
Q1 - 8:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
8
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot6
8
Q1 - 9:13MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 9:18ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)6
6
Q1 - 9:27MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:45ATLCollier 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 10:05MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 10:17ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:23ATLHawks Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:25ATLMISS Collier 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:25ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collier: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
25
60%
MIA
24
36
67%
Midrange
ATL
24
46
52%
MIA
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
18
23
78%
MIA
32
38
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1638%8.0 / 21
P. Drobnjak1667%8.0 / 12
T. Delk1667%8.0 / 12
J. Collier1568%7.5 / 11
T. Lue1381%6.5 / 8
A. Harrington945%4.5 / 10
J. Smith857%4.0 / 7
R. Ivey550%2.5 / 5
J. Childress233%1.0 / 3
K. Willis250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3170%15.5 / 22
D. Wade2754%13.5 / 25
C. Laettner1192%5.5 / 6
D. Jones1050%5.0 / 10
E. Jones1042%5.0 / 12
R. Butler964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
K. Dooling450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+12
-11
94
MIA
86
+16
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.6
106.6
ATL 109.7
MIA 120.8 +11.2
Pace
93.3
93.9
ATL 91.3
MIA 97.8 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.6
ATL 15.8
MIA 14.7 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
52.4%
ATL 52.5%
MIA 53.8% +1.3%
TO %
16.3%
14.0%
ATL 10.9%
MIA 10.4% −0.5%
ORB %
30.8%
27.0%
ATL 25.7%
MIA 35.3% +9.6%
FTrt
29.9
38.7
ATL 28.8
MIA 48.7 +19.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
57.8%
ATL 53.7%
MIA 62.5% +8.8%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
ATL 7.5% +2.3%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
6.7%
8.7%
ATL 8.1% +3.9%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
52.7%
ATL 54.3%
MIA 56.9% +2.6%
Rim FG%
55.4%
63.0%
ATL 60.0%
MIA 66.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
37.3%
41.0%
ATL 52.2% +6.0%
MIA 46.2%
3P %
31.2%
37.7%
ATL 22.2%
MIA 25.0% +2.8%
FT %
71.1%
67.2%
ATL 78.3%
MIA 84.2% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
37.6%
ATL 31.3%
MIA 46.2% +14.9%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
42.6%
ATL 57.5%
MIA 33.3% −24.2%
3P Att. %
14.6%
19.8%
ATL 11.3%
MIA 20.5% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9396
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points102116
Rebounds3138
Assists2225
Steals75
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals41-8040-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-36
Midrange FG24-4612-26
2-Point FG39-7136-62
3-Point FG2-94-16
Free Throws18-2332-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 245 · 25
41.4
9
45%
2
3
1
0
3
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
39.5
16
38%
6
2
2
0
1
4
1
5
4-6
67%
3-12
25%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 19
24.1
8
57%
8
2
1
3
1
3
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
17.1
5
50%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 27
17.1
15
68%
2
0
1
0
0
6
1
1
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
24.9
16
67%
8
2
1
1
3
1
1
7
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 31
21.7
16
67%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
19.4
13
81%
1
4
0
0
0
4
0
1
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22
18.3
2
33%
1
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 34
12.3
0
0%
0
3
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
54%
31
22
7
5
11
0
9
22
18-23
78%
39-71
55%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.