FinalWin Prob.pScore
3610%91
102
690%107
116
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
109.79391.3
MIA logo MIA
120.89697.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLDrobnjak Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)102
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot100
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)100
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMISS Drobnjak 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)100
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIALaettner Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)100
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55ATLMISS Harrington 15' Turnaround Jump Shot100
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 2:16MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)100
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)100
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 2:29ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 2:29ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 2:41ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup98
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 3:06ATLDrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)98
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot96
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 3:46ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:46ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 3:57MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 4:00ATLMISS Walker Tip Shot94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 4:01ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 4:03ATLMISS Walker Driving Layup94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 4:12ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 4:41ATLDelk 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44ATLHawks Rebound92
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:46ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)92
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 5:25ATLDrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)92
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)90
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)90
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 6:00ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)88
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (26 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)88
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 7:14ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)88
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 7:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 286
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 7:48ATLDelk 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 8:02ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot84
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 8:24ATLDooling STEAL (1 STL)84
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 8:54MIALaettner Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)84
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 9:15MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot84
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)84
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 9:54ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)84
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 9:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 9:58ATLMISS Lue 14' Fadeaway Jumper82
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)82
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 10:26ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:28ATLMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 10:37ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot80
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 10:49MIAHEAT Rebound80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 10:49ATLMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 10:54ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:56ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIADooling 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Delk 18' Jump Shot80
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot80
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL80
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot80
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T10)80
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLHarrington 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)78
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones 34' 3PT Jump Shot78
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)78
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 1:15ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T9)78
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q3 - 1:49MIAHEAT Rebound78
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup78
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 2:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)78
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q3 - 2:15ATLMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot78
10.8%
80
89.2%
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q3 - 2:36ATLMISS Collier 19' Jump Shot78
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 2:57MIADoleac 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHEAT Rebound78
19.2%
76
80.8%
Q3 - 3:12ATLMISS Harrington Layup78
20.1%
76
79.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
29.2%
74
70.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 178
28.6%
74
71.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade Layup (19 PTS)78
29.2%
74
70.8%
Q3 - 3:56ATLCollier 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)78
32.8%
72
67.2%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
28.3%
71
71.7%
Q3 - 4:24ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS)76
30.8%
70
69.2%
Q3 - 4:25ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
27.7%
70
72.3%
Q3 - 4:27ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)74
25.1%
70
74.9%
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)74
27.8%
70
72.2%
Q3 - 4:59ATLHarrington 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)74
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
20.8%
70
79.2%
Q3 - 5:33ATLWalker 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)72
23.4%
68
76.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 5:59ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)69
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWade 7' Finger Roll (17 PTS)69
22.6%
66
77.4%
Q3 - 6:32ATLWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Drobnjak 2 AST)69
25.4%
64
74.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)66
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q3 - 7:07ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 266
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 7:07ATLWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 7:14ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot65
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 7:32ATLDrobnjak Finger Roll (10 PTS)65
14.9%
64
85.1%
Q3 - 7:33ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 7:36ATLMISS Ivey 16' Jump Shot63
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 7:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot63
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 8:21ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)63
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)61
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 8:38MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 8:48ATLDrobnjak Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T7)61
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q3 - 8:58ATLIvey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)61
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 9:35ATLHarrington 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ivey 4 AST)60
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 9:43ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot58
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 10:03ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T6)58
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 10:24ATLHawks Rebound58
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk58
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 10:35ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)58
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q3 - 10:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Jones Layup58
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 11:01ATLDrobnjak Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)56
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 11:24ATLMISS Drobnjak 9' Hook Shot56
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 11:31MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 11:46ATLMISS Drobnjak 19' Jump Shot56
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL56
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound56
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot56
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade Layup56
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot56
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Layup56
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q2 - 1:05ATLWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 1:05ATLWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
12.6%
55
87.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (18 PTS)54
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q2 - 1:37ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
11.1%
53
88.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:53ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)52
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 1:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem Reverse Layup52
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHarrington Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)51
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 2:22ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 2:38ATLLue 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q2 - 3:09ATLLue 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
8.1%
48
91.9%
Q2 - 3:29ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 3:29ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 244
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)44
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 244
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 3:45ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 4:08MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 4:10ATLMISS Walker Layup43
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound43
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 4:53ATLDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 5:22ATLCollier Dunk (11 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)43
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 5:55ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 240
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)40
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Collier 17' Jump Shot40
8.6%
42
91.4%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 6:51ATLWalker 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 7:09ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot38
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 7:27ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)38
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS)36
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 8:07ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)34
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)34
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 8:51ATLDrobnjak Layup (6 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)34
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 9:11MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
8.3%
35
91.7%
Q2 - 9:28ATLDelk Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 9:35ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot30
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 9:52ATLDrobnjak Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
8.3%
32
91.7%
Q2 - 10:08MIADooling 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 10:32ATLDelk Layup (6 PTS)30
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q2 - 10:46ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)28
8.3%
30
91.7%
Q2 - 10:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q2 - 11:11ATLDrobnjak Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q2 - 11:26ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot26
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 11:45ATLDrobnjak 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)26
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLDrobnjak Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)24
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)24
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 1:04ATLMISS Delk 20' Jump Shot24
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 1:10ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q1 - 1:31ATLDelk 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)24
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 1:37ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
6.7%
27
93.3%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade Layup22
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 1:57ATLDelk 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
6.3%
27
93.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)20
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 2:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Drobnjak 5' Turnaround Jump Shot20
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 3:11ATLWalker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 3:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)18
6.8%
23
93.2%
Q1 - 3:48ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)18
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 3:54ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
6.8%
21
93.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 4:13ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 116
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 4:13ATLIvey Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot14
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 4:34ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot14
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Walker Driving Layup14
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)14
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 5:20ATLWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)14
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 5:25ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
5.6%
19
94.4%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot12
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS O'Neal Layup12
5.4%
19
94.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
5.1%
19
94.9%
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot12
5.2%
19
94.8%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
5.6%
19
94.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6.5%
16
93.5%
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot12
6.6%
16
93.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 6:39ATLIvey 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)12
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
7.0%
14
93.0%
Q1 - 7:14ATLCollier 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)10
7.4%
12
92.6%
Q1 - 7:34ATLHawks Rebound8
6.9%
12
93.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot8
6.8%
12
93.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6.4%
12
93.6%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot8
6.8%
12
93.2%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
6.2%
12
93.8%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
6.1%
12
93.9%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
5.9%
12
94.1%
Q1 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6.2%
10
93.8%
Q1 - 8:13ATLMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot6
6.4%
10
93.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)6
6.8%
10
93.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7.2%
8
92.8%
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot6
7.4%
8
92.6%
Q1 - 9:13MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
7.7%
8
92.3%
Q1 - 9:18ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)6
8.1%
6
91.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 9:45ATLCollier 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
8.2%
6
91.8%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 10:17ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)4
8.1%
4
91.9%
Q1 - 10:23ATLHawks Rebound2
7.7%
4
92.3%
Q1 - 10:25ATLMISS Collier 17' Jump Shot2
7.3%
4
92.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
7.7%
4
92.3%
Q1 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot2
8.6%
2
91.4%
Q1 - 11:25ATLCollier 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)2
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
7.6%
2
92.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collier: Tip to Jones0
8.1%
0
91.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
25
60%
MIA
24
36
67%
Midrange
ATL
24
46
52%
MIA
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
18
23
78%
MIA
32
38
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1638%8.0 / 21
P. Drobnjak1667%8.0 / 12
T. Delk1667%8.0 / 12
J. Collier1568%7.5 / 11
T. Lue1381%6.5 / 8
A. Harrington945%4.5 / 10
J. Smith857%4.0 / 7
R. Ivey550%2.5 / 5
J. Childress233%1.0 / 3
K. Willis250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3170%15.5 / 22
D. Wade2754%13.5 / 25
C. Laettner1192%5.5 / 6
D. Jones1050%5.0 / 10
E. Jones1042%5.0 / 12
R. Butler964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
K. Dooling450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+12
-11
94
MIA
86
+16
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.6
106.6
ATL 109.7
MIA 120.8 +11.2
Pace
93.3
93.9
ATL 91.3
MIA 97.8 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.6
ATL 15.8
MIA 14.7 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
52.4%
ATL 52.5%
MIA 53.8% +1.3%
TO %
16.3%
14.0%
ATL 10.9%
MIA 10.4% +0.5%
ORB %
30.8%
27.0%
ATL 25.7%
MIA 35.3% +9.6%
FTrt
29.9
38.7
ATL 28.8
MIA 48.7 +19.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
57.8%
ATL 53.7%
MIA 62.5% +8.8%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
ATL 7.5% +2.3%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
6.7%
8.7%
ATL 8.1% +3.9%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
52.7%
ATL 54.3%
MIA 56.9% +2.6%
Rim FG%
55.4%
63.0%
ATL 60.0%
MIA 66.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
37.3%
41.0%
ATL 52.2% +6.0%
MIA 46.2%
3P %
31.2%
37.7%
ATL 22.2%
MIA 25.0% +2.8%
FT %
71.1%
67.2%
ATL 78.3%
MIA 84.2% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
37.6%
ATL 31.3%
MIA 46.2% +14.9%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
42.6%
ATL 57.5%
MIA 33.3% +24.2%
3P Att. %
14.6%
19.8%
ATL 11.3%
MIA 20.5% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9396
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points102116
Rebounds3138
Assists2225
Steals75
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals41-8040-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-36
Midrange FG24-4612-26
2-Point FG39-7136-62
3-Point FG2-94-16
Free Throws18-2332-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 245 · 25
41.4
9
45%
2
3
1
0
3
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
39.5
16
38%
6
2
2
0
1
4
1
5
4-6
67%
3-12
25%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 19
24.1
8
57%
8
2
1
3
1
3
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
17.1
5
50%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 27
17.1
15
68%
2
0
1
0
0
6
1
1
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 29
24.9
16
67%
8
2
1
1
3
1
1
7
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 31
21.7
16
67%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
19.4
13
81%
1
4
0
0
0
4
0
1
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22
18.3
2
33%
1
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 34
12.3
0
0%
0
3
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
54%
31
22
7
5
11
0
9
22
18-23
78%
39-71
55%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.