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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns33%9794
2Spurs67%103115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.1
36.8
36.7
37
74%
7
1
0
1
1
4
2
5
13-14
93%
12-18
7-15
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.7
33.8
38.9
2
12%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
0-3
3-7
0%
41%
0-4
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
33.7
39.5
9
51%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.9
30.2
35.6
12
39%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-13
4-8
23%
48%
1-1
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 26.6
26.1
41.0
6
25%
8
1
0
2
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
0-2
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
24.6
14.2
6
109%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-1
100%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.1
17.8
11.0
0
0%
0
2
1
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 19.9
12.0
2.1
6
77%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
8.8
10.0
4
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
5.8
1.2
4
82%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.6
5.3
0.8
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
43%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
5.1
4.4
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
30.3
34.8
29
73%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
13-16
6-12
81%
49%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
30.1
28.6
13
51%
6
6
3
2
0
2
2
4
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.7
29.9
33.8
16
71%
12
6
0
1
5
2
4
8
2-5
40%
7-9
9-17
78%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.5
25.3
29.9
8
40%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-7
29%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
22.1
25.2
8
103%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
21.3
25.6
8
40%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.1
17.7
16.4
15
59%
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
3-6
50%
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
17.0
12.7
4
25%
2
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.3
14.2
14.9
3
38%
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.0
14.0
12.4
5
50%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
1-2
50%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
12.1
1.5
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.6
6.0
1.5
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.