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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors33%9799
14Lakers67%102117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.4
36.4
30.5
13
36%
5
11
2
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
42%
1-6
17%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.8
35.6
28.1
11
45%
10
2
0
1
4
2
5
5
3-5
60%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
24.2
23.3
12
51%
5
2
3
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
20.0
23.3
10
36%
3
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
19.3
3.5
8
50%
10
0
3
0
0
1
5
5
0-0
-
4-8
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.7
26.3
23.1
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
2-4
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
24.3
25.3
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.9
23.2
26.8
12
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
16.8
21.1
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.9
13.8
17.8
7
38%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.5
14.4
0
1-3
43%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
2.6
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
45.9
43.3
48
71%
2
4
2
2
0
5
0
2
16-18
89%
10-19
7-15
53%
46%
4-7
57%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.4
45.1
39.0
14
56%
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
39.2
37.9
15
67%
13
1
2
1
2
5
1
12
4-5
80%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.8
27.2
19.7
18
64%
9
1
3
1
0
3
2
7
6-7
86%
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.5
16.6
30.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
22.9
30.0
9
46%
11
1
0
1
0
0
5
6
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
20.8
10.0
6
61%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
19.4
14.4
7
35%
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
0-5
2-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.6
2.9
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.7
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.8
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.