FinalWin Prob.pScore
3120%98
111
1380%108
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
114.49798.9
ORL logo ORL
104.010199.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL111
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Francis 33' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)111
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)110
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (13 PTS)109
98.6%
105
1.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)109
99.3%
103
0.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.4%
103
0.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)109
99.7%
103
0.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLHill 4' Hook Shot (26 PTS)108
99.4%
103
0.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILHill STEAL (3 STL)108
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)108
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMAGIC Rebound108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Mobley 31' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)108
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (22 PTS)106
99.1%
99
0.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLTurkoglu Layup (11 PTS)104
98.8%
97
1.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)104
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)103
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)102
98.4%
95
1.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)102
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)102
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 1:04MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2102
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 1:04MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 1:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
98.1%
93
1.9%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Howard Dunk101
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 1:28MILHill STEAL (2 STL)101
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 1:52MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)101
96.2%
93
3.8%
Q4 - 1:55MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot101
94.8%
93
5.2%
Q4 - 2:11MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)101
95.9%
93
4.1%
Q4 - 2:12ORLMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
95.0%
93
5.0%
Q4 - 2:30MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)101
91.9%
93
8.1%
Q4 - 2:45MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
90.2%
93
9.8%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot99
88.0%
93
12.0%
Q4 - 3:13MILGadzuric Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)99
79.2%
93
20.8%
Q4 - 3:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)97
75.1%
93
24.9%
Q4 - 3:26ORLHoward Tip Shot (11 PTS)97
75.1%
93
24.9%
Q4 - 3:28ORLMISS Francis Reverse Layup97
85.5%
91
14.5%
Q4 - 3:42MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)97
74.1%
91
25.9%
Q4 - 3:42MILMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 296
72.2%
91
27.8%
Q4 - 3:58ORLAugmon Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)96
75.2%
91
24.8%
Q4 - 4:25MILWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)96
81.7%
89
18.3%
Q4 - 4:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)94
75.9%
89
24.1%
Q4 - 4:38MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot94
70.6%
89
29.4%
Q4 - 4:51ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P4.T23)94
76.1%
89
23.9%
Q4 - 5:02MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P2.T7)94
61.2%
89
38.8%
Q4 - 5:16ORLFrancis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T22)94
69.3%
89
30.7%
Q4 - 5:27ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
61.6%
89
38.4%
Q4 - 5:29ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot94
67.2%
89
32.8%
Q4 - 5:49MILWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)94
61.8%
89
38.2%
Q4 - 6:10MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
49.5%
89
50.5%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot92
46.9%
89
53.1%
Q4 - 6:23ORLMAGIC Rebound92
41.1%
89
58.9%
Q4 - 6:23MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
49.7%
89
50.3%
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot92
43.7%
89
56.3%
Q4 - 6:26MILMISS Williams Layup92
43.7%
89
56.3%
Q4 - 6:41ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)92
49.8%
89
50.2%
Q4 - 6:50ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
41.2%
89
58.8%
Q4 - 6:51MILMISS Gadzuric 9' Fadeaway Jumper92
43.8%
89
56.2%
Q4 - 7:12ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)92
46.2%
89
53.8%
Q4 - 7:12ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Francis 9 AST)92
53.1%
88
46.9%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMAGIC Rebound92
59.1%
86
40.9%
Q4 - 7:24MILMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
61.4%
86
38.6%
Q4 - 7:35MILBucks Rebound92
66.5%
86
33.5%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot92
64.3%
86
35.7%
Q4 - 7:49MILGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
59.3%
86
40.7%
Q4 - 7:49MILGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
57.7%
86
42.3%
Q4 - 7:53ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)90
53.4%
86
46.6%
Q4 - 7:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
45.5%
86
54.5%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
51.0%
86
49.0%
Q4 - 8:22MILJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)90
43.8%
86
56.2%
Q4 - 8:35MILBucks Rebound87
32.0%
86
68.0%
Q4 - 8:36ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
30.3%
86
69.7%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMAGIC Rebound87
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q4 - 8:48ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
30.3%
86
69.7%
Q4 - 8:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q4 - 8:58MILMISS Gill Layup87
28.2%
86
71.8%
Q4 - 9:03MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
30.7%
86
69.3%
Q4 - 9:05MILGarrity BLOCK (1 BLK)87
27.1%
86
72.9%
Q4 - 9:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
30.7%
86
69.3%
Q4 - 9:09MILMISS Fizer Layup87
27.1%
86
72.9%
Q4 - 9:34ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (9 PTS)87
30.8%
86
69.2%
Q4 - 9:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
35.9%
84
64.1%
Q4 - 9:47MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 287
36.7%
84
63.3%
Q4 - 9:47MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
40.1%
84
59.9%
Q4 - 10:06ORLMISS Garrity Free Throw Technical86
35.1%
84
64.9%
Q4 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)86
35.1%
84
64.9%
Q4 - 10:12ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q4 - 10:13MILMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
47.5%
81
52.5%
Q4 - 10:42ORLAugmon Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)86
51.8%
81
48.2%
Q4 - 10:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 10:46MILMISS Mason 14' Fadeaway Jumper86
58.9%
79
41.1%
Q4 - 11:11ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)86
61.2%
79
38.8%
Q4 - 11:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 11:26MILMISS James 17' Jump Shot86
67.6%
77
32.4%
Q4 - 11:44MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q4 - 11:46ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup86
69.5%
77
30.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL86
66.1%
77
33.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound86
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Pachulia 77' 3PT Jump Shot86
67.6%
77
32.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)86
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
58.5%
77
41.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
60.0%
76
40.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
63.4%
75
36.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
66.7%
75
33.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)84
63.5%
75
36.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot84
64.9%
75
35.1%
Q3 - 1:02ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
65.0%
75
35.0%
Q3 - 1:02ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
65.7%
74
34.3%
Q3 - 1:13MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
69.2%
73
30.8%
Q3 - 1:13MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
68.5%
73
31.5%
Q3 - 1:14ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)82
65.1%
73
34.9%
Q3 - 1:42MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 2 AST)82
60.5%
73
39.5%
Q3 - 1:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q3 - 1:58ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot80
54.4%
73
45.6%
Q3 - 2:17MILMason Layup (17 PTS)80
48.2%
73
51.8%
Q3 - 2:34ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P2.T17)78
44.1%
73
55.9%
Q3 - 2:37ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
39.2%
73
60.8%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 278
39.8%
73
60.2%
Q3 - 2:38MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q3 - 2:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot77
38.1%
73
61.9%
Q3 - 2:40ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
34.8%
73
65.2%
Q3 - 2:42ORLMISS Battie Layup77
38.1%
73
61.9%
Q3 - 2:53ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
34.9%
73
65.1%
Q3 - 2:55MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
36.3%
73
63.7%
Q3 - 3:11ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)77
38.7%
73
61.3%
Q3 - 3:11ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)77
43.0%
72
57.0%
Q3 - 3:14ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
47.2%
70
52.8%
Q3 - 3:16ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot77
50.5%
70
49.5%
Q3 - 3:31MILGadzuric Layup (12 PTS)77
47.2%
70
52.8%
Q3 - 3:32MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 3:34MILBattie BLOCK (2 BLK)75
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q3 - 3:47MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 3:48ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 275
42.4%
70
57.6%
Q3 - 3:48ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
39.4%
70
60.6%
Q3 - 3:55MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
42.8%
69
57.2%
Q3 - 3:55MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 3:55ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)73
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q3 - 4:04MILMason 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)73
32.6%
69
67.4%
Q3 - 4:10MILBucks Rebound71
29.6%
69
70.4%
Q3 - 4:10MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)71
26.8%
69
73.2%
Q3 - 4:23ORLFrancis Layup (17 PTS)71
29.6%
69
70.4%
Q3 - 4:24ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
32.8%
67
67.2%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMISS Francis 5' Jump Shot71
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q3 - 4:41MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
32.8%
67
67.2%
Q3 - 4:41MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
32.2%
67
67.8%
Q3 - 4:59ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
29.7%
67
70.3%
Q3 - 4:59ORLFrancis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
33.4%
66
66.6%
Q3 - 5:15MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
36.0%
64
64.0%
Q3 - 5:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
32.5%
64
67.5%
Q3 - 5:39ORLHill Tip Shot (21 PTS)67
32.5%
64
67.5%
Q3 - 5:40ORLMISS Francis Layup67
38.9%
62
61.1%
Q3 - 5:46MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 6:15ORLHill 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)65
31.4%
62
68.6%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
34.7%
60
65.3%
Q3 - 6:29MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot65
35.9%
60
64.1%
Q3 - 6:52ORLHill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
38.8%
60
61.2%
Q3 - 7:07MILMason 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)65
40.9%
58
59.1%
Q3 - 7:30ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
37.8%
58
62.2%
Q3 - 7:36MILHill STEAL (1 STL)63
41.0%
56
59.0%
Q3 - 7:53ORLFrancis 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)63
45.4%
56
54.6%
Q3 - 8:01ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
47.5%
54
52.5%
Q3 - 8:03MILMISS Williams Driving Layup63
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 8:08MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMISS Mobley 21' Jump Shot63
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 8:30MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
47.5%
54
52.5%
Q3 - 8:30MILGadzuric Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)63
47.5%
54
52.5%
Q3 - 8:31MILMISS Pachulia Layup61
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q3 - 8:47ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)61
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q3 - 9:03MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)61
38.4%
54
61.6%
Q3 - 9:13ORLHill Layup (13 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)61
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 9:20MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q3 - 9:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 9:39ORLMISS Mobley Driving Layup59
41.1%
52
58.9%
Q3 - 9:53MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 9:53MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 258
37.7%
52
62.3%
Q3 - 9:53MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 9:55MILMISS Williams Driving Layup58
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q3 - 9:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 10:01ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot58
36.1%
52
63.9%
Q3 - 10:23MILGadzuric Layup (8 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)58
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q3 - 10:40ORLMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 156
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 10:40ORLMobley Layup (15 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)56
30.9%
52
69.1%
Q3 - 10:42ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q3 - 10:43MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot56
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q3 - 11:01MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Howard Layup56
34.7%
50
65.3%
Q3 - 11:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
32.4%
50
67.6%
Q3 - 11:06ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot56
34.7%
50
65.3%
Q3 - 11:34ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot56
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
35.8%
50
64.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)56
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Pachulia 6 AST)56
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLBattie Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)54
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
41.5%
45
58.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot54
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 1:11MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
41.0%
45
59.0%
Q2 - 1:23MILBucks Rebound52
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:25ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot52
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 1:52MILMason 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
35.0%
45
65.0%
Q2 - 2:11ORLFrancis 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
30.6%
45
69.4%
Q2 - 2:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
33.5%
43
66.5%
Q2 - 2:21ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 250
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 2:21ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 2:35MILFizer 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)50
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 3:01ORLMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)48
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 3:25MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 1 AST)48
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 3:36ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)45
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 3:41ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 3:44MILMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
30.3%
39
69.7%
Q2 - 3:56ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)45
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 4:12MILHamilton 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)45
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 4:32ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 245
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 4:42ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 4:44MILMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot45
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)45
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 5:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
30.1%
38
69.9%
Q2 - 5:06MILTurkoglu BLOCK (2 BLK)45
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 5:21ORLTurkoglu Layup (4 PTS)45
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 5:42MILJames 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 5:51MILBucks Rebound43
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 5:52ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup43
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 5:55MILNelson STEAL (1 STL)43
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 6:15ORLHill Layup (10 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)43
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 6:38MILHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)43
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 6:57ORLBattie 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)41
32.2%
34
67.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 7:06MILMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot41
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 7:27ORLHill Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)41
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 7:31ORLMAGIC Rebound41
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 7:32ORLMISS Nelson Layup41
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 7:47ORLMAGIC Rebound41
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 7:49MILTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)41
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 7:52MILHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Fizer Layup41
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 8:09MILBucks Rebound41
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 8:09MILMISS James Layup41
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 8:21MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 8:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 6' Running Jump Shot41
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 8:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 8:31ORLMISS Nelson Layup41
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 8:43MILFizer 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)41
37.5%
30
62.5%
Q2 - 8:50MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 8:52ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup39
34.5%
30
65.5%
Q2 - 9:02MILGill 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Pachulia 5 AST)39
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 9:25ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)37
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 9:27MILPachulia Layup (6 PTS)37
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 9:29MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 9:31MILMISS Gill Layup35
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q2 - 9:49ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)35
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 9:54ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 9:56MILMISS Fizer 14' Jump Shot35
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q2 - 10:15MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q2 - 10:17ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot35
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 10:32ORLMAGIC Rebound35
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot35
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 10:37ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 10:40MILMISS Pachulia 13' Turnaround Jump Shot35
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q2 - 10:59ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)35
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q2 - 11:15MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)35
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 11:31MILGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q2 - 11:33ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot33
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 11:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot33
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL33
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILFrancis STEAL (1 STL)33
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)31
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup31
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILRedd Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)31
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMobley Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)29
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 1:08MILRedd Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)29
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 1:26ORLMobley 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)27
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 1:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 1:38MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot27
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 1:54ORLFrancis 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 2:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 2:13MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot27
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 2:26ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 2:26ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 2:43MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 2:43MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 2:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 2:58ORLMISS Howard Layup25
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 3:14MILMason Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 3:20MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 3:22ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot23
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 3:43MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)23
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 3:46ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)21
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 3:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q1 - 3:52ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot21
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 4:07MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 4:28ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 4:28ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMAGIC Rebound19
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 4:42MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot19
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 4:50ORLMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 5:12MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)19
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 5:25ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)17
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 5:25MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 5:25MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 216
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 5:47ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 6:00MILRedd Layup (6 PTS)16
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 6:05ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)14
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 6:27MILMason 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 6:45ORLBattie 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 7:10MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 7:10MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 7:15ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)10
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 7:16ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot10
13.6%
11
86.4%
Q1 - 7:30MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Mason 6' Hook Shot10
13.6%
11
86.4%
Q1 - 7:41ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)10
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 7:48ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 7:50ORLMISS Hill 9' Turnaround Jump Shot10
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 7:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 7:58MILMISS Pachulia 8' Hook Shot10
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 8:10ORLMobley 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 8:29MILMason Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)10
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:41MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 8:51ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T3)6
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 9:15MILPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)6
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 9:33ORLMobley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 9:40MILWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 9:41MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 9:42MILBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)4
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 9:52ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 10:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Pachulia Running Layup4
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 10:23ORLHill 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 10:31MILMISS Mason 10' Running Jump Shot4
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 10:48MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 10:50ORLMISS Francis 18' Turnaround Jump Shot4
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:10MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:15ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 11:28MILPachulia Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:43ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS)0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Francis0
13.8%
0
86.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
ORL
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
17
33
52%
ORL
21
35
60%
Midrange
MIL
22
45
49%
ORL
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
ORL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIL
27
34
79%
ORL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2969%14.5 / 21
D. Mason2158%10.5 / 18
M. Williams1662%8.0 / 13
D. Gadzuric1568%7.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia938%4.5 / 12
K. Gill850%4.0 / 8
M. James630%3.0 / 10
M. Fizer542%2.5 / 6
Z. Hamilton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2659%13.0 / 22
S. Francis2455%12.0 / 22
C. Mobley1765%8.5 / 13
H. Turkoglu1354%6.5 / 12
D. Howard1161%5.5 / 9
T. Battie857%4.0 / 7
S. Augmon4100%2.0 / 2
J. Nelson214%1.0 / 7
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
88
+15
-9
103
ORL
78
+20
-23
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.4%
ORL
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
101.8
MIL 114.4 +10.5
ORL 104.0
Pace
93.5
97.7
MIL 98.9
ORL 99.1 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.6
MIL 14.6
ORL 14.5 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
47.8%
MIL 50.0%
ORL 51.8% +1.8%
TO %
14.2%
16.0%
MIL 8.3% +11.2%
ORL 19.5%
ORB %
29.0%
30.0%
MIL 30.0%
ORL 42.1% +12.1%
FTrt
33.9
35.0
MIL 40.5 +14.6
ORL 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
52.2%
MIL 53.7% +3.7%
ORL 50.0%
STL %
6.9%
7.9%
MIL 11.3% +6.3%
ORL 5.0%
BLK %
5.4%
8.0%
MIL 5.7%
ORL 7.7% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
50.3%
MIL 53.4% +0.4%
ORL 53.0%
Rim FG%
54.1%
57.1%
MIL 51.5%
ORL 60.0% +8.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.0%
MIL 48.9% +0.3%
ORL 48.6%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
MIL 33.3% +6.6%
ORL 26.7%
FT %
77.2%
75.9%
MIL 79.4% +2.1%
ORL 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
35.8%
MIL 39.3%
ORL 41.2% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
50.5%
MIL 53.6%
ORL 41.2% +12.4%
3P Att. %
14.1%
13.7%
MIL 7.1%
ORL 17.6% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions97101
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points111105
Rebounds3444
Assists2221
Steals115
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)23 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)28 (4)
Field Goals41-8442-85
At-the-Rim FG17-3321-35
Midrange FG22-4517-35
2-Point FG39-7838-70
3-Point FG2-64-15
Free Throws27-3417-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
41.3
21
58%
2
4
4
0
1
3
0
2
7-8
88%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
40.7
29
69%
1
4
3
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
11-18
61%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 270 · 21
36.9
9
38%
11
6
3
2
0
3
4
7
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
32.6
15
68%
14
0
1
1
2
3
5
9
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
28.5
16
62%
1
5
0
0
3
6
1
0
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
20.1
6
30%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
18.7
5
42%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 37
15.1
8
50%
2
1
0
1
1
5
1
1
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30
5.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
34
22
11
4
9
0
12
22
27-34
79%
39-78
50%
2-6
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.