Final Win Prob. pScore
943%92
89
857%94
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
103.58691.5
DET logo Pistons
94.08378.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET89
78
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS)89
78
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
78
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Wallace Layup87
78
Q4 - 0:34.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)87
78
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
78
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)87
78
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)87
78
Q4 - 0:54.0DETHamilton AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P4.PN)86
78
Q4 - 1:00MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
78
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 286
78
Q4 - 1:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
78
Q4 - 1:00DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.PN)85
78
Q4 - 1:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
78
Q4 - 1:05DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot85
78
Q4 - 1:15MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T3)85
78
Q4 - 1:24DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)85
78
Q4 - 1:24MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
78
Q4 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
78
Q4 - 1:41DETMISS Hamilton Tip Shot83
78
Q4 - 1:42DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)83
78
Q4 - 1:44DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot83
78
Q4 - 2:06MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS)83
78
Q4 - 2:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
78
Q4 - 2:30DETMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot81
78
Q4 - 2:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)81
78
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)81
78
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade OFF.Foul (P4)81
78
Q4 - 2:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
78
Q4 - 3:01DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot81
78
Q4 - 3:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
78
Q4 - 3:04DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot81
78
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
78
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)80
78
Q4 - 3:27DETHamilton S.FOUL (P3.T4)79
78
Q4 - 3:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
78
Q4 - 3:39DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 3:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
78
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot79
78
Q4 - 4:01MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
78
Q4 - 4:03DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 4:28MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)79
78
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
78
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
77
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T2)76
76
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
76
Q4 - 4:45DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot76
76
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)76
76
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
76
Q4 - 5:00DETBillups S.FOUL (P4.T3)74
76
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
76
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot74
76
Q4 - 5:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
76
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 274
76
Q4 - 5:24DETSUB: Prince FOR Hunter74
76
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
76
Q4 - 5:24DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess73
76
Q4 - 5:24DETBillups S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
76
Q4 - 5:31DETHunter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
76
Q4 - 5:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
76
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:05DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)73
76
Q4 - 6:11DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
76
Q4 - 6:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
76
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
76
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
76
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:55DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
76
Q4 - 6:56DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 7:14DETMcDyess Violation:Defensive Goaltending73
76
Q4 - 7:14MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)73
76
Q4 - 7:35DETMcDyess Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)71
76
Q4 - 7:49DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Prince71
74
Q4 - 7:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler71
74
Q4 - 7:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling71
74
Q4 - 7:49MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
74
Q4 - 7:54MIABillups STEAL (1 STL)71
74
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
74
Q4 - 8:06DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot71
74
Q4 - 8:24MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)71
74
Q4 - 8:40DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)69
74
Q4 - 8:41MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem69
74
Q4 - 8:41MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac69
74
Q4 - 8:4169
74
Q4 - 8:41DETPISTONS Rebound69
74
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Prince Layup69
74
Q4 - 9:04DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton69
74
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)69
74
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)69
74
Q4 - 9:22DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)69
74
Q4 - 9:38DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
71
Q4 - 9:40DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot69
71
Q4 - 9:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
71
Q4 - 9:59DETMISS Hunter 3PT Jump Shot69
71
Q4 - 10:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
71
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot69
71
Q4 - 10:29DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)69
71
Q4 - 10:35DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
71
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot69
71
Q4 - 10:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)69
71
Q4 - 11:07DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
71
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)67
69
Q4 - 11:38DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
69
Q4 - 11:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
69
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot67
69
Q4 - 12:0067
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
69
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
69
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
69
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJones Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)67
67
Q3 - 0:32.0DETMcDyess Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)65
67
Q3 - 0:49.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
65
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 265
65
Q3 - 0:51.0DETSUB: Campbell FOR Wallace65
65
Q3 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal65
65
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
65
Q3 - 0:51.0DETHamilton S.FOUL (P2.PN)64
65
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
65
Q3 - 0:55.0DETMISS McDyess Layup64
65
Q3 - 1:02MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
65
Q3 - 1:12DETPISTONS Rebound64
65
Q3 - 1:14DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot64
65
Q3 - 1:33MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
65
Q3 - 1:33DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups63
65
Q3 - 1:33MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
65
Q3 - 1:33DETBillups S.FOUL (P2.T3)62
65
Q3 - 1:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
65
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot62
65
Q3 - 1:46DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
65
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot62
65
Q3 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
65
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot62
65
Q3 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
65
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot62
65
Q3 - 2:15DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)62
65
Q3 - 2:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
63
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
63
Q3 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound62
63
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot62
63
Q3 - 2:57DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace62
63
Q3 - 2:57MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones62
63
Q3 - 2:57MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade62
63
Q3 - 2:57MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
63
Q3 - 3:13MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS)62
63
Q3 - 3:34DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)60
63
Q3 - 3:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
61
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
61
Q3 - 3:57DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
61
Q3 - 4:00DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
61
Q3 - 4:06MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)60
61
Q3 - 4:23DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)60
61
Q3 - 4:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)60
59
Q3 - 5:02DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)58
59
Q3 - 5:20DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
59
Q3 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)58
59
Q3 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
59
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Hamilton 14' Running Jump Shot56
59
Q3 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)56
59
Q3 - 6:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
59
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot54
59
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)54
59
Q3 - 6:49MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)52
59
Q3 - 6:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
59
Q3 - 7:00DETWallace Dunk (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)52
59
Q3 - 7:07DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
57
Q3 - 7:10MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)52
57
Q3 - 7:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
57
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
57
Q3 - 7:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
57
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
57
Q3 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound52
57
Q3 - 7:43DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot52
57
Q3 - 8:02MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)52
57
Q3 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
57
Q3 - 8:08DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
57
Q3 - 8:30MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
57
Q3 - 8:50DETWallace Driving Dunk (9 PTS)48
57
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
55
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
55
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)48
54
Q3 - 9:17MIAJones T.FOUL (P1.T2)48
53
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 9:17MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)48
52
Q3 - 9:33MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
52
Q3 - 9:3347
52
Q3 - 9:42MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)47
52
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
52
Q3 - 9:54DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)45
52
Q3 - 10:05DETPISTONS Rebound45
52
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
52
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 10:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
52
Q3 - 10:29MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)45
52
Q3 - 10:38DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
52
Q3 - 11:00DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)45
52
Q3 - 11:15MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
49
Q3 - 11:32DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)43
49
Q3 - 11:47MIAJones Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)43
47
Q3 - 12:0041
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
47
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Laettner 36' 3PT Jump Shot41
47
Q2 - 0:03.0DETCampbell Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
47
Q2 - 0:19.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
45
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
45
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound41
45
Q2 - 0:36.0DETMISS Campbell Layup41
45
Q2 - 0:38.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
45
Q2 - 0:40.0DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot41
45
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 1:17DETCampbell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)39
45
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 1:35MIAHeat Rebound38
43
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical38
43
Q2 - 1:35DETWallace T.FOUL (P3.PN)38
43
Q2 - 1:35DETSUB: Campbell FOR Wallace38
43
Q2 - 1:35DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.PN)38
43
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
43
Q2 - 1:50DETHamilton 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)36
43
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)36
41
Q2 - 2:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
41
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS O'Neal Layup34
41
Q2 - 2:37DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)34
41
Q2 - 2:54MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem34
39
Q2 - 2:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 2:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
39
Q2 - 2:54DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.PN)32
39
Q2 - 3:07DETWallace 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 3:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
37
Q2 - 3:20DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
37
Q2 - 3:29DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
37
Q2 - 3:32DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess32
37
Q2 - 3:32DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter32
37
Q2 - 3:32DETSUB: Billups FOR Parker32
37
Q2 - 3:32DETPISTONS Rebound32
37
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical32
37
Q2 - 3:32DETMcDyess T.FOUL (P1.PN)32
37
Q2 - 3:35MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)32
37
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
37
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS O'Neal Layup30
37
Q2 - 3:59DETMcDyess 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)30
37
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 4:30DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 4:30DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 4:30MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)28
33
Q2 - 4:40MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
33
Q2 - 4:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
33
Q2 - 4:48DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot28
33
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
33
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup26
33
Q2 - 5:21MIASUB: Wade FOR Butler26
33
Q2 - 5:21MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling26
33
Q2 - 5:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
33
Q2 - 5:32DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)26
33
Q2 - 5:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
31
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Hook Shot26
31
Q2 - 6:03DETParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)26
31
Q2 - 6:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
29
Q2 - 6:13DETMISS Prince Layup26
29
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
29
Q2 - 6:28DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
29
Q2 - 6:37DETParker P.FOUL (P2.T4)24
29
Q2 - 6:47DETHunter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)24
29
Q2 - 6:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
26
Q2 - 6:56DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot24
26
Q2 - 7:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Layup24
26
Q2 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Haslem Layup24
26
Q2 - 7:13DETParker P.FOUL (P1.T3)24
26
Q2 - 7:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
26
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot24
26
Q2 - 7:42MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)24
26
Q2 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
26
Q2 - 7:49MIAHeat Rebound23
26
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 223
26
Q2 - 7:49DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
26
Q2 - 8:01DETPrince 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
26
Q2 - 8:17DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
24
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot23
24
Q2 - 8:34MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade23
24
Q2 - 8:34MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac23
24
Q2 - 8:34DETSUB: Parker FOR Billups23
24
Q2 - 8:34DETSUB: Prince FOR Hamilton23
24
Q2 - 8:3423
24
Q2 - 8:34DETPISTONS Rebound23
24
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot23
24
Q2 - 8:52DETBillups 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)23
24
Q2 - 9:09MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)23
22
Q2 - 9:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
22
Q2 - 9:20DETMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 9:22DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
22
Q2 - 9:24DETMISS McDyess 7' Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 9:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)21
22
Q2 - 9:58DETMcDyess 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
22
Q2 - 10:10MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)19
20
Q2 - 10:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20
Q2 - 10:21DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot19
20
Q2 - 10:27MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
20
Q2 - 10:49MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)19
20
Q2 - 11:00DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)17
20
Q2 - 11:19MIADooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
20
Q2 - 11:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
20
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot17
20
Q2 - 11:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
20
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot17
20
Q2 - 11:46DETHunter P.FOUL (P1.T1)17
20
Q2 - 12:0017
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
20
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot17
20
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBillups 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
18
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)17
18
Q1 - 0:39.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
18
Q1 - 0:39.0DETPISTONS Rebound17
17
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 217
17
Q1 - 0:39.0DETSUB: Hunter FOR Prince17
17
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
17
Q1 - 0:39.0MIALaettner P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
17
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
17
Q1 - 1:03DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
17
Q1 - 1:21MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
17
Q1 - 1:43DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 2:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
15
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot13
15
Q1 - 2:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
15
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot13
15
Q1 - 2:36MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 2:40DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
15
Q1 - 2:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
15
Q1 - 2:49DETMISS Prince 4' Jump Shot11
15
Q1 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound11
15
Q1 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
15
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 3:11DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
15
Q1 - 3:25DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
15
Q1 - 3:30MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)10
15
Q1 - 3:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15
Q1 - 3:46DETPISTONS Rebound10
15
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 210
15
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 3:46DETSUB: McDyess FOR Campbell10
15
Q1 - 3:46MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal10
15
Q1 - 3:46MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T4)10
15
Q1 - 4:00DETSUB: Campbell FOR Wallace10
15
Q1 - 4:00DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
15
Q1 - 4:0010
14
Q1 - 4:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
14
Q1 - 4:02MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)10
14
Q1 - 4:20DETWallace Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
12
Q1 - 4:39DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
12
Q1 - 4:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade Layup8
12
Q1 - 5:04DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)8
12
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
9
Q1 - 5:42DETWallace Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
9
Q1 - 5:57DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
7
Q1 - 5:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
7
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot6
7
Q1 - 6:18DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 6:18DETPISTONS Rebound6
6
Q1 - 6:18DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 26
6
Q1 - 6:18MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
6
Q1 - 6:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
6
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot6
6
Q1 - 6:37DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 6:50DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 7:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
4
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 7:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
4
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Wallace 7' Hook Shot6
4
Q1 - 7:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
4
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Layup6
4
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 7:53DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:17MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
4
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 8:24DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 8:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones Layup4
4
Q1 - 8:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot4
4
Q1 - 8:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:41DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:07MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:25DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
4
Q1 - 9:25DETPISTONS Rebound2
4
Q1 - 9:26DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:40MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem2
4
Q1 - 9:40MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)2
4
Q1 - 9:58MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:11DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 20
4
Q1 - 10:11DETPISTONS Rebound0
4
Q1 - 10:11DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 20
4
Q1 - 10:11MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:51DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Bank Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:20DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Billups0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
34
56%
DET
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
15
29
52%
DET
16
50
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
DET
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
DET
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3167%15.5 / 23
S. O'Neal2146%10.5 / 23
U. Haslem1673%8.0 / 11
E. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
D. Jones425%2.0 / 8
C. Laettner440%2.0 / 5
K. Dooling250%1.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1943%9.5 / 22
B. Wallace1343%6.5 / 15
R. Wallace1359%6.5 / 11
A. McDyess1250%6.0 / 12
C. Billups833%4.0 / 12
T. Prince420%2.0 / 10
E. Campbell467%2.0 / 3
L. Hunter350%1.5 / 3
S. Parker2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-10
89
DET
72
+19
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.0
MIA 103.5 +9.5
DET 94.0
Pace
93.9
89.5
MIA 91.5 +12.6
DET 78.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
MIA 15.7 −2.5
DET 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.2%
MIA 47.3% +5.8%
DET 41.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.4%
MIA 10.4% −1.5%
DET 11.9%
ORB %
27.0%
31.3%
MIA 28.2%
DET 32.6% +4.4%
FTrt
38.7
33.5
MIA 33.3 +13.8
DET 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.7%
MIA 62.9%
DET 65.6% +2.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.8%
MIA 11.6% +6.8%
DET 4.8%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
MIA 5.6% +0.8%
DET 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.3%
MIA 49.4% +6.5%
DET 42.9%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.5%
MIA 55.9%
DET 57.1% +1.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.7%
MIA 51.7% +19.7%
DET 32.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.5%
MIA 8.3%
DET 36.4% +28.1%
FT %
67.2%
73.9%
MIA 72.0% +9.5%
DET 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.1%
MIA 45.3% +19.7%
DET 25.6%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.5%
MIA 38.7% −22.3%
DET 61.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
16.4%
MIA 16.0% +2.6%
DET 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes22.625.3
Points8978
Rebounds4243
Assists2221
Steals104
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)28 (2)
Field Goals35-7532-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3412-21
Midrange FG15-2916-50
2-Point FG34-6328-71
3-Point FG1-124-11
Free Throws18-2510-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.8
31
67%
10
10
1
1
4
4
3
7
7-10
70%
12-18
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
40.4
11
46%
9
3
3
0
3
2
0
9
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.6
21
46%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
34.2
4
25%
1
5
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
26.8
16
73%
7
2
1
0
0
2
4
3
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
21.3
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
13.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.8
2
50%
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
11.4
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
42
22
10
4
10
0
11
31
18-25
72%
34-63
54%
1-12
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.