FinalWin Prob.pScore
943%92
89
857%94
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.58691.5
DET logo DET
94.08378.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET89
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS)89
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Wallace Layup87
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)87
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 1:00MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 286
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 1:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 1:05DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot85
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
96.4%
78
3.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
93.1%
78
6.9%
Q4 - 1:41DETMISS Hamilton Tip Shot83
91.8%
78
8.2%
Q4 - 1:42DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)83
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 1:44DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot83
91.6%
78
8.4%
Q4 - 2:06MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS)83
86.4%
78
13.6%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
83.0%
78
17.0%
Q4 - 2:30DETMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot81
79.9%
78
20.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)81
70.8%
78
29.2%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
80.0%
78
20.0%
Q4 - 3:01DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot81
77.1%
78
22.9%
Q4 - 3:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
69.0%
78
31.0%
Q4 - 3:04DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot81
77.1%
78
22.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
68.8%
78
31.2%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)80
67.0%
78
33.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
58.8%
78
41.2%
Q4 - 3:39DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot79
56.0%
78
44.0%
Q4 - 3:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
49.4%
78
50.6%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot79
52.4%
78
47.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
59.2%
78
40.8%
Q4 - 4:03DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot79
56.3%
78
43.7%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)79
49.4%
78
50.6%
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
32.8%
77
67.2%
Q4 - 4:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
40.0%
76
60.0%
Q4 - 4:45DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot76
46.9%
76
53.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)76
40.0%
76
60.0%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
32.9%
76
67.1%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot74
30.6%
76
69.4%
Q4 - 5:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 274
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
31.0%
76
69.0%
Q4 - 5:31DETHunter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
25.9%
76
74.1%
Q4 - 5:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot73
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q4 - 6:05DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)73
27.5%
76
72.5%
Q4 - 6:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot73
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot73
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot73
25.3%
76
74.7%
Q4 - 6:55DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q4 - 6:56DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot73
25.3%
76
74.7%
Q4 - 7:14MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)73
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 7:35DETMcDyess Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)71
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIABillups STEAL (1 STL)71
22.7%
74
77.3%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
29.4%
74
70.6%
Q4 - 8:06DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot71
27.8%
74
72.2%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)71
24.3%
74
75.7%
Q4 - 8:40DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)69
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q4 - 8:41DETPISTONS Rebound69
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Prince Layup69
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)69
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q4 - 9:22DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)69
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q4 - 9:38DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 9:40DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot69
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q4 - 9:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 9:59DETMISS Hunter 3PT Jump Shot69
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q4 - 10:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot69
32.0%
71
68.0%
Q4 - 10:29DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)69
35.8%
71
64.2%
Q4 - 10:35DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot69
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)69
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q4 - 11:07DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)67
30.9%
69
69.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
35.9%
69
64.1%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot67
34.4%
69
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
30.9%
69
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
35.9%
69
64.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJones Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)67
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DETMcDyess Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)65
36.2%
67
63.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 265
41.8%
65
58.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETMISS McDyess Layup64
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q3 - 1:12DETPISTONS Rebound64
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 1:14DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot64
39.7%
65
60.3%
Q3 - 1:33MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
35.6%
65
64.4%
Q3 - 1:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot62
30.8%
65
69.2%
Q3 - 1:46DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot62
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot62
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot62
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 2:15DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)62
32.3%
65
67.7%
Q3 - 2:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound62
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot62
39.4%
63
60.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS)62
36.5%
63
63.5%
Q3 - 3:34DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)60
32.7%
63
67.3%
Q3 - 3:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 4:00DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
41.0%
61
59.0%
Q3 - 4:06MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)60
36.2%
61
63.8%
Q3 - 4:23DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)60
41.0%
61
59.0%
Q3 - 4:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)60
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q3 - 5:02DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)58
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)58
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
33.1%
59
66.9%
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Hamilton 14' Running Jump Shot56
31.9%
59
68.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)56
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot54
25.6%
59
74.4%
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)54
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 7:00DETWallace Dunk (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)52
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 7:07DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)52
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 7:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 7:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound52
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q3 - 7:43DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot52
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)52
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 8:08DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 8:30MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 8:50DETWallace Driving Dunk (9 PTS)48
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot48
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)48
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q3 - 9:17DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 9:33MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q3 - 9:42MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)47
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q3 - 9:54DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot45
21.0%
52
79.0%
Q3 - 10:05DETPISTONS Rebound45
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
22.3%
52
77.7%
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot45
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 10:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 10:29MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)45
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q3 - 11:00DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)45
22.3%
52
77.7%
Q3 - 11:15MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
27.8%
49
72.2%
Q3 - 11:32DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)43
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIAJones Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)43
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Laettner 36' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETCampbell Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound41
30.7%
45
69.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0DETMISS Campbell Layup41
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
28.7%
45
71.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot41
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS)41
28.7%
45
71.3%
Q2 - 1:17DETCampbell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)39
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)39
29.4%
43
70.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical38
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 1:50DETHamilton 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)36
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)36
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS O'Neal Layup34
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 2:37DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)34
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 2:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
25.6%
39
74.4%
Q2 - 3:07DETWallace 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 3:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 3:20DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical32
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)32
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS O'Neal Layup30
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 3:59DETMcDyess 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)30
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 4:30DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
25.1%
35
74.9%
Q2 - 4:30DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 4:48DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot28
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)28
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup26
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 5:32DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)26
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 5:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Hook Shot26
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 6:03DETParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)26
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 6:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 6:13DETMISS Prince Layup26
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 6:47DETHunter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)24
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 6:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 6:56DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot24
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q2 - 7:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Layup24
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Haslem Layup24
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot24
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 223
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 8:01DETPrince 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
35.4%
26
64.6%
Q2 - 8:17DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot23
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q2 - 8:34DETPISTONS Rebound23
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot23
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q2 - 8:52DETBillups 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)23
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q2 - 9:09MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)23
42.3%
22
57.7%
Q2 - 9:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q2 - 9:20DETMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot21
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q2 - 9:22DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q2 - 9:24DETMISS McDyess 7' Jump Shot21
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)21
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q2 - 9:58DETMcDyess 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)19
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q2 - 10:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.1%
20
59.9%
Q2 - 10:21DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot19
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q2 - 10:49MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)19
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q2 - 11:00DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)17
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q2 - 11:19MIADooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q2 - 11:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot17
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q2 - 11:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot17
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot17
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBillups 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 217
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 1:03DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 1:43DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 2:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot13
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 2:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot13
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 2:36MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)13
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 2:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 2:49DETMISS Prince 4' Jump Shot11
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound11
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
30.9%
15
69.1%
Q1 - 3:25DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 3:30MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)10
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 3:46DETPISTONS Rebound10
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 210
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 210
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 4:00DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)10
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 4:20DETWallace Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 4:39DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 4:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade Layup8
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 5:04DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)8
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 5:42DETWallace Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 5:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot6
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 6:18DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 6:18DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 26
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 6:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot6
39.8%
6
60.2%
Q1 - 6:50DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 7:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Wallace 7' Hook Shot6
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 7:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Layup6
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 7:53DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot6
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:24DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 8:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones Layup4
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 8:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 8:41DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:07MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot2
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 9:25DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:25DETPISTONS Rebound2
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 9:26DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 9:58MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 10:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:11DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 20
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:11DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 20
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:51DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 11:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Bank Shot0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:20DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Billups0
39.0%
0
61.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
34
56%
DET
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
15
29
52%
DET
16
50
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
DET
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
DET
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3167%15.5 / 23
S. O'Neal2146%10.5 / 23
U. Haslem1673%8.0 / 11
E. Jones1146%5.5 / 12
D. Jones425%2.0 / 8
C. Laettner440%2.0 / 5
K. Dooling250%1.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1943%9.5 / 22
B. Wallace1343%6.5 / 15
R. Wallace1359%6.5 / 11
A. McDyess1250%6.0 / 12
C. Billups833%4.0 / 12
T. Prince420%2.0 / 10
E. Campbell467%2.0 / 3
L. Hunter350%1.5 / 3
S. Parker2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-10
89
DET
72
+19
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
DET
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.0
MIA 103.5
DET 94.0 +9.5
Pace
93.9
89.5
MIA 91.5 +12.6
DET 78.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
MIA 15.7 +2.5
DET 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.2%
MIA 47.3% +5.8%
DET 41.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.4%
MIA 10.4% +1.5%
DET 11.9%
ORB %
27.0%
31.3%
MIA 28.2%
DET 32.6% +4.4%
FTrt
38.7
33.5
MIA 33.3 +13.8
DET 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.7%
MIA 62.9%
DET 65.6% +2.7%
STL %
6.8%
7.8%
MIA 11.6% +6.8%
DET 4.8%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
MIA 5.6% +0.8%
DET 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.3%
MIA 49.4% +6.5%
DET 42.9%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.5%
MIA 55.9%
DET 57.1% +1.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.7%
MIA 51.7% +19.7%
DET 32.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.5%
MIA 8.3%
DET 36.4% +28.1%
FT %
67.2%
73.9%
MIA 72.0% +9.5%
DET 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.1%
MIA 45.3% +19.7%
DET 25.6%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
48.5%
MIA 38.7% +22.3%
DET 61.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
16.4%
MIA 16.0% +2.6%
DET 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes22.625.3
Points8978
Rebounds4243
Assists2221
Steals104
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)28 (2)
Field Goals35-7532-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3412-21
Midrange FG15-2916-50
2-Point FG34-6328-71
3-Point FG1-124-11
Free Throws18-2510-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.8
31
67%
10
10
1
1
4
4
3
7
7-10
70%
12-18
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
40.4
11
46%
9
3
3
0
3
2
0
9
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
36.6
21
46%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
34.2
4
25%
1
5
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
26.8
16
73%
7
2
1
0
0
2
4
3
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35
21.3
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
13.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.8
2
50%
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
11.4
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
42
22
10
4
10
0
11
31
18-25
72%
34-63
54%
1-12
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.