FinalWin Prob.pScore
2934%94
90
2166%99
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
97.89288.5
HOU logo HOU
110.59598.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUBarry 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILMISS James 16' Jump Shot88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILBucks Rebound88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILMISS Mason Reverse Layup88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (42 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMISS Williams Tip Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILMISS James Layup88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0HOUTaylor Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MILMISS Mason 15' Running Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MILBucks Rebound87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:31MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:38HOUPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wesley 7 AST)87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02MILSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)87
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 2:17HOUTaylor 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wesley 6 AST)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 2:28MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 2:28MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 2:29HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)83
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 2:34MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 7 AST)83
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50HOUTaylor Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)81
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 3:12MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 3:39HOUWesley 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)79
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 3:45HOUROCKETS Rebound79
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 3:47HOUMISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot79
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 4:03MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:03MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:10MILBucks Rebound77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Redd Running Layup77
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 4:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:19HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:32HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34MILMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot77
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 4:55HOUTaylor 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)77
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 5:14MILRedd 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 5:33HOUPadgett Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)75
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 5:53MILJames Layup (17 PTS)75
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:58MILFizer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 6:00MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot73
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 6:23HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 6:40HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 6:42MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 6:59MILFizer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 7:01HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot73
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 7:24MILJames 8' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 7:33HOUMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 7:44MILMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)71
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:56MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 7:58HOUMISS Wesley Driving Layup71
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 8:16HOUROCKETS Rebound71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:18HOUMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 8:32MILFizer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:32MILFizer Tip Shot (8 PTS)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:34MILMISS James Driving Layup69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 8:52HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (41 PTS)69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:11MILJames Driving Layup (13 PTS)69
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 9:24MILBucks Rebound67
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 9:24HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 267
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 9:24HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)67
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 9:38MILRedd Driving Layup (19 PTS) (James 6 AST)67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 9:43HOUBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)65
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 9:47MILBarry STEAL (1 STL)65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:04HOUMcGrady Driving Dunk (37 PTS)65
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 10:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 10:13MILMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot65
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 10:26HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 10:26HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 10:38MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)65
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 10:45MILJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 10:47MILMISS James 21' Jump Shot65
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 11:12HOUTaylor 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)65
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q4 - 11:29MILPachulia 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)65
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q4 - 11:43MILGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q4 - 11:45HOUMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU63
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound63
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILFizer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)63
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILMISS James Free Throw 2 of 263
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILMISS James Free Throw 1 of 263
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 263
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILPadgett STEAL (1 STL)63
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0HOUMcGrady 5' Running Jump Shot (35 PTS)63
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 1:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q3 - 1:18MILMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot63
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 1:29HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 1:48MILGill Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)63
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 1:50MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 1:52HOUMISS McGrady 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 2:08MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)63
11.2%
70
88.8%
Q3 - 2:30MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 2:32HOUMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot61
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 2:52MILGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 2:52MILGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (33 PTS)59
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 3:22MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot59
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 3:41HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS)59
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 3:55MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 3:55MILBucks Rebound59
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 3:57MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 4:19HOUMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (29 PTS)59
14.3%
66
85.7%
Q3 - 4:19HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (28 PTS)59
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q3 - 4:19HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 359
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 4:32HOUROCKETS Rebound59
16.1%
64
83.9%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Williams Driving Layup59
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 4:36HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)59
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 4:46MILSura STEAL (1 STL)59
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)59
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)59
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 5:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 5:13MILMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot59
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 5:35HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)59
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 5:49MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)59
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q3 - 6:06HOUMcGrady 12' Jump Shot (25 PTS)56
22.1%
60
77.9%
Q3 - 6:25MILRedd 10' Hook Shot (14 PTS)56
24.8%
58
75.2%
Q3 - 6:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 6:28MILMISS Redd 7' Running Jump Shot54
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q3 - 6:49MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 6:51HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
21.3%
58
78.7%
Q3 - 7:03MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 7:03MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 7:18MILBucks Rebound52
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 7:20HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
16.6%
58
83.4%
Q3 - 7:40MILMason Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 7:45MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 7:47HOUMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot50
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 7:57HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 7:59MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot50
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 8:21HOUHoward Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)50
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 8:35HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Redd 15' Fadeaway Jumper50
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q3 - 8:49MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)50
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 8:51HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot50
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:02HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
15.4%
56
84.6%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 9:22HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)50
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 9:28HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 9:30HOUMISS Wesley Driving Layup50
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 9:48MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)50
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 10:02HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)48
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 10:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMISS McGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot48
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 10:15HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Hook Shot48
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q3 - 10:22MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot48
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:31MILBucks Rebound48
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q3 - 10:33MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot48
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:47HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T10)48
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q3 - 11:03MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 11:03MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 11:18MILBucks Rebound46
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q3 - 11:19HOUMISS Sura 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q3 - 11:46MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)46
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL44
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound44
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS James 35' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0MILMISS James 12' Jump Shot44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Redd 17' Fadeaway Jumper44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)44
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)44
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q2 - 1:07MILGadzuric Dunk (3 PTS) (Fizer 3 AST)44
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q2 - 1:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 1:19HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot42
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 1:41HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q2 - 1:41MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 242
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:41MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 242
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 1:41MILBucks Rebound42
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 1:43MILMISS James 13' Jump Shot42
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 1:58MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 2:00HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot42
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 2:15MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)42
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 2:15MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 241
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 2:18HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)41
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 2:19MILGadzuric Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)41
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 2:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Taylor 15' Turnaround Jump Shot41
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 2:44HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 2:46MILMISS Fizer 16' Jump Shot41
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q2 - 3:01HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)41
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 3:30MILJames Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)41
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 3:35HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)39
15.6%
47
84.4%
Q2 - 3:42MILJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 3:57HOUBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)39
15.6%
47
84.4%
Q2 - 4:08MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 4:08MILFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 4:29HOUTaylor 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)37
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 4:44MILGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)37
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 4:58MILGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 5:00HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot35
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 5:14MILFizer 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 5:22MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 5:24MILMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot33
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 5:30MILMISS Mason Free Throw Technical33
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 6:01HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)33
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 6:01HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)33
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 6:12MILJames 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)33
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 6:27HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P1.T6)31
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:43MILFizer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)31
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 6:59HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)29
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 7:17MILJames 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 7:40HOUSura 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 7:58MILMason Layup (7 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)27
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 8:19HOUSura 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)25
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 8:42MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 224
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 9:00HOUMcGrady Layup (19 PTS)24
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 9:15HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 9:17MILMISS Pachulia 9' Turnaround Jump Shot24
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 9:27MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:29HOUMISS Taylor 12' Jump Shot24
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 9:48MILPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)24
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 9:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:57HOUMISS Weatherspoon 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 10:13MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 10:32HOUWesley Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 10:46MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 10:46MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 220
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 10:49MILBucks Rebound20
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 10:51MILBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)20
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)20
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 11:03MILFizer Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q2 - 11:18HOUBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)20
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 11:38MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q2 - 11:46MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
18.4%
27
81.6%
Q2 - 11:48MILMISS Fizer 10' Jump Shot20
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU20
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot20
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.4%
27
81.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUMISS Howard Driving Layup20
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMISS Mason 7' Running Hook Shot20
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)20
18.4%
27
81.7%
Q1 - 1:13MILJames 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:26MILBucks Rebound18
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMISS McGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot18
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:39HOUROCKETS Rebound18
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 1:41HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot18
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:55MILJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 2:15HOUMutombo 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)15
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q1 - 2:25HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot15
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 2:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 2:46HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot15
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 2:52HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 2:54MILMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)15
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 3:09HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 3:13HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 3:15MILMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)15
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 3:36HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)15
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 3:50MILMason Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T2)15
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:55HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 4:05MILMason Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 4:10MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 4:12HOUMISS McGrady Layup13
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 4:24HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 4:26MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot13
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 4:40MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot13
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 4:58MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMcGrady Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)11
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 5:23MILMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)11
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 5:28MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q1 - 5:30HOUMISS Sura 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 5:51MILMason 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 6:07MILBucks Rebound9
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 6:08HOUMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Running Jump Shot9
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 6:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 6:14MILMISS Gadzuric 7' Hook Shot9
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 6:32HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 6:32HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 6:33HOUMISS Mutombo Layup9
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 6:34HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 6:36HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot9
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 6:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 6:50MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot9
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 7:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)9
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 7:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)9
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 7:20MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 7:20MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 7:30MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 7:56HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)7
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 8:11MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 8:35HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)4
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 8:41HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:43MILMISS Gadzuric 13' Jump Shot4
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:55HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)4
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 8:55HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:57HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 8:59HOUMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot4
25.7%
6
74.3%
Q1 - 9:18MILRedd 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMcGrady 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 9:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:49MILMISS Mason 8' Turnaround Jump Shot2
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:07HOUMutombo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:14MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot2
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:30HOUMutombo Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady Layup2
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:34HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMISS Sura Layup2
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:46MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:46MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:56HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:58MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:58MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:18MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot0
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:32HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:34MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:50HOUSura Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Gadzuric: Tip to McGrady0
27.3%
0
72.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.91 45.5%
HOU
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
21
52%
HOU
12
19
63%
Midrange
MIL
17
50
34%
HOU
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
HOU
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIL
22
31
71%
HOU
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2148%10.5 / 22
M. James1745%8.5 / 19
D. Mason1547%7.5 / 16
M. Williams950%4.5 / 9
J. Smith857%4.0 / 7
M. Fizer867%4.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric531%2.5 / 8
K. Gill433%2.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady4266%21.0 / 32
M. Taylor1673%8.0 / 11
J. Barry1179%5.5 / 7
D. Wesley938%4.5 / 12
J. Howard945%4.5 / 10
B. Sura643%3.0 / 7
D. Mutombo675%3.0 / 4
S. Padgett675%3.0 / 4
C. Weatherspoon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+20
-14
98
HOU
80
+11
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.91 45.5%
HOU
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
103.1
MIL 97.8 +12.7
HOU 110.5
Pace
93.5
91.5
MIL 88.5
HOU 98.9 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
MIL 16.3
HOU 14.6 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
48.6%
MIL 41.5%
HOU 56.6% +15.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
MIL 13.6% +1.2%
HOU 14.8%
ORB %
29.0%
26.4%
MIL 27.9% +5.3%
HOU 22.6%
FTrt
33.9
30.9
MIL 37.8 +6.2
HOU 31.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.9%
MIL 65.6% +16.9%
HOU 48.7%
STL %
6.9%
7.5%
MIL 10.9% +5.6%
HOU 5.3%
BLK %
5.4%
7.4%
MIL 7.1% +2.9%
HOU 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
50.6%
MIL 45.5%
HOU 57.7% +12.2%
Rim FG%
54.1%
57.3%
MIL 52.4%
HOU 63.2% +10.8%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.5%
MIL 34.0%
HOU 51.4% +17.4%
3P %
35.1%
36.4%
MIL 36.4%
HOU 40.0% +3.6%
FT %
77.2%
78.1%
MIL 71.0%
HOU 79.2% +8.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
28.5%
MIL 25.6% +0.6%
HOU 25.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
47.8%
MIL 61.0%
HOU 48.7% +12.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
23.7%
MIL 13.4%
HOU 26.3% +12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILHOU
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points90105
Rebounds3638
Assists2119
Steals105
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (8)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (5)31 (1)
Field Goals32-8239-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2112-19
Midrange FG17-5019-37
2-Point FG28-7131-56
3-Point FG4-118-20
Free Throws22-3119-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
42.0
21
48%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-15
40%
3-7
43%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
36.3
15
47%
3
3
2
0
2
5
0
3
7-9
78%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
24.4
5
31%
10
0
2
2
1
1
4
6
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
23.3
9
50%
3
5
2
0
1
4
1
2
7-8
88%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
23.2
8
57%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
28.9
17
45%
5
7
2
0
2
2
2
3
0-2
0%
7-15
47%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
24.8
8
67%
5
3
1
1
4
2
4
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 37
24.1
4
33%
2
1
1
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
13.0
3
50%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
36
21
10
4
14
0
12
24
22-31
71%
28-71
39%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.