FinalWin Prob.pScore
3510%90
90
690%107
113
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
96.89394.8
MIA logo MIA
121.59391.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Rush 12' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAZhi-zhi Layup (7 PTS)90
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHARush 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)90
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)87
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:04CHAHart 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)87
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:21MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21CHAZhi-zhi STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Anderson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41CHASmith Layup (9 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09CHAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Layup83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41CHAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Bank Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52CHASmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13CHAMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18CHARush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 9' Running Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CHAHart 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08CHABobcats Rebound81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10CHAMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHEAT Rebound81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54CHAJones STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29CHAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hart 5 AST)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T12)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CHARush Finger Roll (7 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Jones Layup76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51CHAMISS Okafor 8' Hook Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal Layup76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24CHAMISS Bogans 19' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:55CHAMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:10CHASmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:12CHAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:19CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:21CHAMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02CHAMISS White Free Throw 1 of 176
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:02CHAWhite Layup (5 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)76
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:13CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:35CHAKapono 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:37CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:39CHAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:44MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:08CHABogans Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:23CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Jones Layup72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:42CHABogans 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:57CHABobcats Rebound70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 10:58CHAMISS Bogans 19' Jump Shot70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06CHAHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 11:32CHAWhite 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS)70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 11:47MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 268
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 268
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAMISS Hart 18' Jump Shot68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 1:37CHARush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIADooling Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:11CHAMISS Hart 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52CHASmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 3:13CHAHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 3:37CHAHart 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)60
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 4:01CHASmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 4:01CHASmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 4:01CHASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 4:02CHAMISS Okafor Layup58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 4:04CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 4:06CHAMISS Brezec 3' Layup58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 4:21MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 4:24CHAJones STEAL (2 STL)58
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)58
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 4:57CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 258
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 4:57CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:12CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Haslem 12' Fadeaway Jumper57
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 5:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 5:35CHAMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot57
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 5:43CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot57
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade Reverse Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 6:05MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Jones57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 6:05CHABobcats Rebound57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 6:05CHAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 6:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)57
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 6:21CHAMISS Knight 12' Jump Shot57
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS)57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 6:48CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 257
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 6:48CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 7:06CHABrezec Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)56
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 7:33CHAWallace Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)56
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 7:37CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Jones Layup54
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk54
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 8:04CHAWallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)54
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 8:15MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 8:29CHAKnight 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 8:36CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:41MIAHEAT Rebound50
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade Layup50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:57CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)50
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 8:57CHAOkafor Layup (14 PTS)49
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 9:07CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot47
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 9:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:26CHAMISS Brezec 6' Turnaround Jump Shot47
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (13 PTS)47
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 10:08CHAOkafor 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)47
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)45
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q3 - 10:52CHABrezec 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)45
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q3 - 11:09MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q3 - 11:17CHAMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot43
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)43
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q3 - 11:40CHAMISS Bogans 12' Jump Shot43
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA43
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)43
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAHart 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot41
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 1:08CHAEly Layup (2 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)41
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)39
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHEAT Rebound39
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 1:42CHAMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot39
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 1:47CHABobcats Rebound39
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 1:49CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot39
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIALaettner 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 2:15MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q2 - 2:29CHAMISS Wallace Layup39
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 2:38MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 2:38MIAHEAT Rebound39
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 2:39CHAMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot39
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)39
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 3:01MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 3:10CHAHart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)39
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 3:32CHASmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 3:32CHASmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 3:32CHABobcats Rebound37
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
7.6%
41
92.4%
Q2 - 4:04CHABogans 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)37
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:15CHASmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAHEAT Rebound35
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 4:35CHAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:51CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot35
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 5:21CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 5:21CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 234
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIADooling 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:46CHAJones BLOCK (2 BLK)34
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 6:12CHABogans Layup (4 PTS)34
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 132
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHaslem Layup (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)32
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
6.1%
37
93.9%
Q2 - 6:40CHAMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot32
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 6:58CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS O'Neal Layup32
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 7:12MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 7:14CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot32
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)32
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 7:35CHAJones STEAL (1 STL)32
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot32
8.2%
35
91.8%
Q2 - 8:02CHAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 8:02CHAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
7.4%
35
92.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 8:36CHAHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
6.2%
35
93.8%
Q2 - 8:36CHAHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 8:53MIAWade Dunk (9 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)28
5.7%
35
94.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 9:04CHAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot28
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (7 PTS)28
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 9:43CHARush 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)28
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 10:02MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:20CHAHart 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 10:22CHAHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q2 - 10:24CHAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot24
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q2 - 10:41MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 224
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIAHEAT Rebound24
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot24
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q2 - 11:10CHAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)24
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q2 - 11:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q2 - 11:37CHAHart 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)22
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA20
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
5.1%
28
94.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 220
5.2%
27
94.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
5.2%
27
94.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
5.2%
27
94.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot20
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIALaettner Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.8%
24
93.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHAMISS Okafor 18' Jump Shot20
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)20
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 1:08CHAOkafor 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
8.2%
22
91.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIALaettner 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
7.3%
22
92.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHEAT Rebound18
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 1:50CHAMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 1:59CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot18
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 2:23CHAMISS White Free Throw 2 of 218
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 2:23CHAMISS White Free Throw 1 of 218
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 2:48MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 2:50CHAMISS White 10' Hook Shot18
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)18
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 3:33CHAWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 3:33CHAMISS White Free Throw 1 of 217
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 3:35CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 3:37CHAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)17
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 217
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 4:14CHAKnight Layup (4 PTS)17
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 4:23CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot15
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 4:36CHAOkafor 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)15
9.8%
14
90.2%
Q1 - 4:38CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 4:40CHAMISS Knight 3' Layup13
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 4:59MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 5:23CHABogans Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)13
8.8%
14
91.2%
Q1 - 5:46CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 5:46CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 212
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
9.6%
12
90.4%
Q1 - 6:07CHABrezec Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)12
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 6:28CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8.1%
12
91.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot10
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 6:51CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6.4%
12
93.6%
Q1 - 6:53CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 18
6.5%
12
93.5%
Q1 - 6:53CHAOkafor 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)8
6.4%
12
93.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)6
6.0%
12
94.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound6
6.4%
10
93.6%
Q1 - 7:29CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot6
6.5%
10
93.5%
Q1 - 8:02MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
6.7%
10
93.3%
Q1 - 8:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7.7%
7
92.3%
Q1 - 8:11CHAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)6
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 8:27CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 8:29CHAMISS Bogans 16' Jump Shot6
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 8:31CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 8:33CHAMISS Okafor 19' Jump Shot6
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 8:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 26
8.4%
6
91.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.2%
6
91.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot6
8.7%
6
91.3%
Q1 - 8:56CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)6
8.2%
6
91.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 9:20CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)6
9.3%
4
90.7%
Q1 - 9:31CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup6
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 9:47CHAOkafor 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
9.3%
4
90.7%
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
8.7%
4
91.3%
Q1 - 10:28CHAKnight 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 10:36CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Jones Layup2
8.5%
2
91.5%
Q1 - 10:52CHABrezec 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)2
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
7.5%
2
92.5%
Q1 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.1%
0
91.9%
Q1 - 11:22CHAMISS Brezec 18' Jump Shot0
8.3%
0
91.7%
Q1 - 11:38MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
8.6%
0
91.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Haslem0
8.1%
0
91.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.91 45.5%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
11
17
65%
MIA
24
34
71%
Midrange
CHA
21
56
38%
MIA
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
CHA
14
25
56%
MIA
14
28
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Okafor1745%8.5 / 19
J. Hart1478%7.0 / 9
K. Rush1045%5.0 / 11
T. Smith990%4.5 / 5
J. Kapono941%4.5 / 11
K. Bogans836%4.0 / 11
B. Knight650%3.0 / 6
P. Brezec633%3.0 / 9
J. White536%2.5 / 7
G. Wallace440%2.0 / 5
M. Ely233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2659%13.0 / 22
S. O'Neal1650%8.0 / 16
E. Jones1346%6.5 / 14
D. Jones1275%6.0 / 8
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
C. Laettner10100%5.0 / 5
R. Butler1083%5.0 / 6
W. Zhi-zhi770%3.5 / 5
K. Dooling467%2.0 / 3
M. Doleac467%2.0 / 3
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
82
+16
-11
98
MIA
82
+12
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.91 45.5%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.9
106.6
CHA 96.8 +24.7
MIA 121.5
Pace
94.4
93.9
CHA 94.8 +3.5
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
CHA 15.2 +0.6
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
52.4%
CHA 46.3%
MIA 65.1% +18.8%
TO %
14.6%
14.0%
CHA 10.6% +1.4%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
29.6%
27.0%
CHA 27.9% +7.9%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
30.6
38.7
CHA 30.5
MIA 36.8 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
57.8%
CHA 52.8%
MIA 53.3% +0.5%
STL %
8.9%
6.8%
CHA 9.7% +2.2%
MIA 7.5%
BLK %
8.3%
8.7%
CHA 5.1%
MIA 6.8% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
52.7%
CHA 45.5%
MIA 60.1% +14.6%
Rim FG%
54.0%
63.0%
CHA 64.7%
MIA 70.6% +5.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.0%
CHA 37.5%
MIA 48.0% +10.5%
3P %
36.3%
37.7%
CHA 44.4%
MIA 52.9% +8.5%
FT %
70.9%
67.2%
CHA 56.0% +6.0%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
37.6%
CHA 20.7%
MIA 44.7% +24.0%
Mid Att. %
55.2%
42.6%
CHA 68.3%
MIA 32.9% +35.4%
3P Att. %
12.8%
19.8%
CHA 11.0%
MIA 22.4% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points90113
Rebounds3637
Assists1924
Steals97
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)31 (5)
Field Goals36-8245-76
At-the-Rim FG11-1724-34
Midrange FG21-5612-25
2-Point FG32-7336-59
3-Point FG4-99-17
Free Throws14-2514-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 255 · 22
32.9
17
45%
10
0
3
1
0
4
3
7
5-12
42%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 166 · 29
22.8
6
50%
0
7
1
0
3
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 25
21.6
6
33%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 22
21.4
4
40%
3
0
2
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
21.4
8
36%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
26.6
10
45%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 180 · 27
26.3
14
78%
3
5
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
19.5
9
90%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 24
18.4
9
41%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27
15.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 29
13.3
5
36%
3
0
1
2
1
2
1
2
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
36
19
9
3
11
0
12
24
14-25
56%
32-73
44%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.