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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 3, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Hornets30%9390
16Celtics70%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.2
37.5
36.4
5
32%
15
4
2
1
0
0
5
10
1-2
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
30.4
32.6
18
54%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
7-14
6-14
50%
46%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.7
28.9
24.2
18
41%
1
5
5
1
0
1
0
1
5-7
71%
5-12
3-6
42%
44%
1-7
14%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.5
28.4
9.8
10
36%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
5-11
1-2
45%
43%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.3
28.4
27.0
9
45%
0
1
4
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
41%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
24.1
18.8
13
74%
8
1
0
0
1
1
4
4
3-4
75%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.5
20.0
21.7
5
43%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
1-4
25%
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
19.6
7.5
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.3
19.1
31.9
10
63%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-8
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 23.3
3.5
22.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
19.9
1
1-2
43%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
8.7
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.9
38.0
26.7
12
49%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-5
80%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
32.0
33.9
19
63%
10
10
1
1
2
3
3
7
4-5
80%
3-8
5-11
38%
46%
3-5
60%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.6
29.1
28.5
14
47%
12
1
1
1
0
3
5
7
3-4
75%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
28.1
24.6
10
51%
9
0
0
1
0
5
4
5
2-4
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.1
24.4
17.3
5
46%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.3
29.5
29.6
23
66%
5
5
1
1
0
3
2
3
9-10
90%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.0
20.9
14.8
6
60%
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.0
20.2
14.4
8
58%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
9.8
16.4
9
113%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
3-4
75%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.1
8.1
2.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.4
25.9
1
3-7
49%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.0
4.8
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.