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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks19%9185
13Cavaliers81%103101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
41.8
36.4
26
55%
10
5
2
1
0
3
3
7
4-8
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
45%
4-9
44%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
40.2
37.6
16
52%
9
1
0
1
1
4
4
5
6-8
75%
5-12
6-12
42%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
37.5
27.1
10
42%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.1
32.2
25.5
11
74%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
17.0
13.8
6
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.5
24.9
21.2
4
17%
6
2
0
1
0
1
5
1
0-2
0%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.2
24.1
19.2
10
51%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.0
10.4
11.5
2
53%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.9
5.8
22.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.3
4.2
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
1.8
4.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.2
8.1
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.6
40.9
26.7
28
65%
9
3
0
1
3
2
6
3
6-6
100%
11-19
5-10
58%
48%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
39.6
36.7
20
60%
6
9
1
2
1
2
1
5
4-6
67%
5-9
7-15
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
32.9
31.5
16
53%
1
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
23.0
30.4
10
87%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
21.6
25.3
10
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
25.0
16.9
0
0%
11
0
0
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
20.1
16.5
6
44%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
17.8
22.3
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.1
12.0
6.1
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.9
7.1
16.1
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.9
6.3
0
1-1
39%
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.