FinalWin Prob.pScore
1619%97
94
681%108
102
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
101.19398.3
MIA logo MIA
112.19186.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0NYKMarbury Driving Layup (28 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0NYKMarbury Layup (26 PTS)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0NYKMarbury 10' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28NYKMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28NYKMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57NYKAriza 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (33 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47NYKMarbury Driving Layup (22 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15NYKAriza Finger Roll (2 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)80
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:48NYKLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)80
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (31 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:12NYKWade STEAL (2 STL)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:23NYKAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44NYKMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 280
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:44NYKMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:44NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46NYKMISS Marbury Layup79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:09MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 5:09NYKAnderson STEAL (4 STL)79
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:21MIAO'Neal Finger Roll (29 PTS)79
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 5:44NYKWilliams Tip Shot (6 PTS)79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 5:45NYKWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 5:46NYKMISS Mohammed 9' Jump Shot77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)77
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 6:26NYKMarbury 9' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)77
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:32NYKKnicks Rebound75
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 6:34NYKMISS Marbury 16' Jump Shot75
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)75
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 6:58NYKJones STEAL (1 STL)75
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 7:27NYKWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Baker 1 AST)75
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)73
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot73
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 8:17NYKThomas Layup (23 PTS) (Marbury 8 AST)73
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)71
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Layup (26 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)71
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 8:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)71
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 8:39NYKMISS Ariza Layup71
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAnderson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)71
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 8:44NYKAnderson STEAL (3 STL)71
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 8:55NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot71
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 9:14NYKBaker 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marbury 7 AST)71
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 9:33NYKKnicks Rebound69
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot69
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 9:46MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Dooling Alley Oop Dunk69
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 10:07NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)69
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 10:07NYKThomas 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)68
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 10:22NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 10:43NYKThomas 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 11:08NYKMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot64
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)64
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 11:47NYKThomas 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Marbury 6 AST)64
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK62
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Layup62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0NYKMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 261
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)61
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot61
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:00NYKMarbury Layup (17 PTS)61
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 1:10NYKKnicks Rebound59
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 1:11NYKMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 1:27MIADooling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 1:51NYKThomas 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST)59
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 2:17MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 2:31NYKMarbury Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 2:39NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 2:47NYKAnderson STEAL (2 STL)57
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 2:57MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)57
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 3:14NYKMarbury Driving Layup (15 PTS)57
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 3:27NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 3:55NYKThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)55
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 3:58NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 4:01NYKMISS Marbury Layup52
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 4:08NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot52
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)52
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 4:29NYKMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot52
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 4:48MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)52
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 5:04NYKMISS Marbury 16' Jump Shot52
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 5:30MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)52
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 5:52NYKThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)52
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 6:11MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)50
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 6:19NYKMISS Houston 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 6:22NYKMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade Dunk50
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 6:47NYKMohammed Reverse Layup (8 PTS)50
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)48
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 7:16NYKMISS Mohammed Layup48
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (22 PTS)48
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 7:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)48
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q3 - 7:47NYKMISS Thomas 12' Fadeaway Jumper48
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 8:04NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot48
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 8:27NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 8:27NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q3 - 8:35MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 8:35NYKThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T9)46
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 8:35MIAJones Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)46
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 8:48NYKHouston 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)44
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q3 - 9:11NYKMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 244
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 9:11NYKMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q3 - 9:26MIAO'Neal 7' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)43
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q3 - 9:50NYKMarbury 15' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)43
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 9:57NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 10:15NYKMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)41
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q3 - 10:57NYKThomas 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 239
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 11:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)39
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q3 - 11:34NYKMISS Houston 16' Jump Shot39
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 11:48MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYK39
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYKKnicks Rebound39
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYKMISS Houston 35' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Laettner 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0NYKMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot39
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade Layup39
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0NYKHouston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)39
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)36
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:24NYKThomas 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)36
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:34NYKBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Running Hook Shot34
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 1:54NYKThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
3.0%
49
97.0%
Q2 - 1:54NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 2:12MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)32
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 2:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)32
3.1%
47
96.9%
Q2 - 2:28NYKMISS Marbury 16' Jump Shot32
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 2:48MIAAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 2:58NYKMISS Houston 18' Jump Shot32
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 3:13MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)32
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 3:32NYKHouston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)32
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 3:34NYKMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 3:36NYKO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)29
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 3:48MIAJones Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)29
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 3:54NYKAnderson STEAL (1 STL)29
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)29
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 4:36NYKMohammed Dunk (5 PTS)29
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 4:38NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 4:39NYKMISS Marbury Layup27
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 4:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
5.5%
38
94.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)27
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS O'Neal Layup27
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 4:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot27
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 5:18NYKMISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot27
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 5:29NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
5.9%
38
94.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.7%
38
94.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 5:39NYKMISS Norris 12' Jump Shot27
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)27
5.9%
38
94.1%
Q2 - 6:06NYKThomas 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIALaettner Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)25
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound25
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Dooling Layup25
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 6:56NYKMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot25
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 7:17MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)25
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 7:34NYKMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 7:34NYKMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 224
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 7:36NYKNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot24
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 7:59NYKWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 8:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 8:35NYKMISS Mohammed Tip Shot24
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 8:36NYKMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 8:38NYKMISS Ariza 9' Jump Shot24
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 8:52NYKNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot24
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot24
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)24
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 9:26NYKMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot24
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 9:46MIAAnderson Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup24
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 10:03NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
9.3%
30
90.7%
Q2 - 10:03NYKMarbury Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)21
7.9%
30
92.1%
Q2 - 10:25NYKJones STEAL (1 STL)21
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q2 - 11:02NYKThomas 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)21
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 11:26NYKDoleac STEAL (1 STL)19
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)19
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)19
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYKMISS Marbury 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade Layup19
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0NYKMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot19
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.9%
22
87.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Doleac Layup19
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 1:05NYKWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)19
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 1:25NYKMarbury Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 1:34NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot15
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 1:55NYKMISS Marbury Free Throw 2 of 215
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 1:55NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)14
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS O'Neal Layup14
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 2:28NYKMISS Baker Layup14
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 2:30NYKBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 2:32NYKO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)14
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 3:12NYKMarbury Layup (3 PTS)14
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 3:19NYKBaker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot12
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 3:37NYKBaker Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade Reverse Layup (7 PTS)12
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Layup12
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 4:06NYKO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)12
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)12
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 4:34NYKMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 4:34NYKMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 211
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 4:56NYKBaker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 4:56NYKMISS Baker Free Throw 1 of 210
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 5:12NYKO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)10
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
13.6%
11
86.4%
Q1 - 5:37MIAHEAT Rebound10
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 5:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup10
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 6:06NYKMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot10
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 6:22NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 210
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 6:39NYKThomas 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Houston 2 AST)10
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 6:46NYKBaker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot8
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Jones 11' Fadeaway Jumper8
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 7:08NYKHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)8
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 7:29MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 7:35NYKMISS Baker Layup8
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 7:55MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 8:05NYKMISS Marbury 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 8:11NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
17.9%
5
82.1%
Q1 - 8:13NYKMISS Baker 15' Jump Shot8
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 8:29MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
17.9%
5
82.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 8:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 9:03NYKThomas Layup (2 PTS)8
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:22NYKWade STEAL (1 STL)6
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 9:34NYKKnicks Rebound6
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot6
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 9:57NYKHouston 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 10:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 10:20NYKMISS Houston 17' Jump Shot4
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 11:04NYKThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)4
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 11:41NYKMohammed 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Houston 1 AST)2
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mohammed: Tip to Marbury0
14.4%
0
85.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
16
27
59%
MIA
25
40
63%
Midrange
NYK
19
40
48%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
MIA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
NYK
15
22
68%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marbury2856%14.0 / 25
K. Thomas2372%11.5 / 16
N. Mohammed1150%5.5 / 11
A. Houston1056%5.0 / 9
T. Thomas945%4.5 / 10
J. Williams675%3.0 / 4
T. Ariza440%2.0 / 5
V. Baker325%1.5 / 6
M. Norris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3363%16.5 / 26
D. Wade2146%10.5 / 23
S. Anderson1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones945%4.5 / 10
E. Jones950%4.5 / 9
C. Laettner450%2.0 / 4
K. Dooling425%2.0 / 8
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
78
+11
-15
89
MIA
80
+20
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
106.6
NYK 101.1
MIA 112.1 +11.0
Pace
93.6
93.9
NYK 98.3 +11.9
MIA 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
NYK 14.7 +2.0
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
52.4%
NYK 52.7% +2.7%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.0%
NYK 15.0%
MIA 11.1% +3.9%
ORB %
28.3%
27.0%
NYK 21.6%
MIA 38.5% +16.9%
FTrt
31.2
38.7
NYK 29.3 +2.6
MIA 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.9%
57.8%
NYK 39.5%
MIA 59.5% +20.0%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
NYK 9.7%
MIA 11.0% +1.3%
BLK %
5.0%
8.7%
NYK 6.8%
MIA 7.5% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.4%
52.7%
NYK 52.8% +2.3%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
56.1%
63.0%
NYK 59.3%
MIA 62.5% +3.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.0%
NYK 47.5% +2.0%
MIA 45.5%
3P %
35.6%
37.7%
NYK 37.5% +22.1%
MIA 15.4%
FT %
76.7%
67.2%
NYK 68.2%
MIA 69.6% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.2%
37.6%
NYK 36.0%
MIA 46.5% +10.5%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
42.6%
NYK 53.3%
MIA 38.4% +15.0%
3P Att. %
18.8%
19.8%
NYK 10.7%
MIA 15.1% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions9391
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points94102
Rebounds3244
Assists1525
Steals910
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)29 (0)
Field Goals38-7542-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2725-40
Midrange FG19-4015-33
2-Point FG35-6740-73
3-Point FG3-82-13
Free Throws15-2216-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 205 · 28
45.5
28
56%
2
8
4
0
2
1
1
1
6-9
67%
11-18
61%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 32
45.1
23
72%
12
3
1
0
4
3
1
11
1-1
100%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
31.7
10
56%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
29.6
9
45%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 27
28.1
11
50%
6
0
2
1
2
5
3
3
5-8
63%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20
21.5
4
40%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 32
16.7
6
75%
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 33
15.3
3
25%
4
1
0
1
1
5
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 31
6.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 270 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
32
15
9
5
15
0
8
24
15-22
68%
35-67
52%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.