FinalWin Prob.pScore
1221%84
98
279%94
111
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
112.68790.7
SAS logo SAS
124.78985.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS)98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASWilks 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot95
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)95
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:20INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 2:20INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 294
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 2:33SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)94
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 2:43INDParker STEAL (1 STL)94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:04SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)94
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 294
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:17INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)94
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 3:22INDPacers Rebound92
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 3:24INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup92
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 3:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:35SASNesterovic 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)92
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:38SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup92
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 4:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 4:04INDDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)92
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 4:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot92
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 4:33INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 291
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 4:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot91
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 5:06INDO'Neal 1' Driving Dunk (32 PTS)91
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 5:16SASUdrih Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)89
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 5:17SASParker Layup (26 PTS)89
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 5:20SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 5:24INDDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)89
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 5:41SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)89
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 6:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 6:04INDDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)89
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 6:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 289
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:08INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 6:08INDPacers Rebound88
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Foster 1' Layup88
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 6:10INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup88
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 6:21SASHorry Foul Turnover (P4.T12)88
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:36SASSPURS Rebound88
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 6:38INDHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)88
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 6:52SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)88
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 7:11INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 7:11INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 287
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 7:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Udrih 2' Layup87
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:46INDJones 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 8:09SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)85
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 8:29INDMiller 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)85
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 8:48SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)83
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 9:13INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)83
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 9:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q4 - 9:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 9:54INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot80
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:14SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)80
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 10:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 10:28SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 10:46INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)80
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 11:06SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)78
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q4 - 11:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q4 - 11:19INDMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot78
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASRose Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)78
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS78
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound78
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Johnson 36' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Rose 2' Layup78
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup78
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 277
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDPacers Rebound77
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot77
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 177
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0INDHarrison 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 275
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0INDCroshere 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 1:12INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup73
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 1:38INDHarrison 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)73
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 2:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)71
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 2:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 2:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 2:09INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup71
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 2:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (28 PTS)71
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 3:01INDPacers Rebound69
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot69
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 3:25INDFoster 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)69
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 3:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot67
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 3:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot67
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 4:16INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)67
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 4:33SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS)65
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 4:57INDO'Neal 3' Layup (24 PTS)65
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 5:19SASBowen Finger Roll (10 PTS)63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 5:29INDMISS Miller 23' Jump Shot63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 5:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 5:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 5:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 5:49INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot63
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 5:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 6:16INDTinsley 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)61
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 1' Layup (18 PTS)61
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 6:43INDFoster 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)61
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 7:07SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 7:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 7:19SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot59
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 7:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 8:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)59
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 8:02SASDuncan 1' Layup (16 PTS)59
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 8:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 8:04SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 8:05SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 8:16INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T8)59
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 8:24INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Parker 3' Layup59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 8:42INDDuncan STEAL (1 STL)59
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 8:54SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)59
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 9:21INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q3 - 9:21INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)57
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 9:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 9:36INDDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)57
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 9:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 9:47INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 10:03SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 10:27INDO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)57
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 10:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 10:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 255
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 10:59INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)55
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 11:02INDPacers Rebound53
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 11:02INDDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)53
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 11:22SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 11:41INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)53
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)51
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)49
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)46
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q2 - 1:06SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 1:08INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot46
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 1:21SASUdrih 2' Layup (7 PTS)46
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 1:24INDUdrih STEAL (1 STL)46
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 1:36SASHorry 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)46
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 1:39INDHorry STEAL (2 STL)46
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 1:49INDPacers Rebound46
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot46
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 2:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 2:11SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot46
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 2:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 2:28INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot46
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 2:42SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)46
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 3:03INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 3:14SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot43
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 3:31SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 243
16.1%
45
83.9%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 3:52INDTinsley 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 4:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 4:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 4:21INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)41
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 4:36INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot39
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 5:01INDFoster 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)39
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 5:03SASHorry Foul Turnover (P3.T8)37
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 5:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 5:15INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot37
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 5:38SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 5:54SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 5:56INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot37
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 6:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot37
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 6:34INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 6:34INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 236
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 6:43INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 6:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 236
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 6:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 236
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 7:03INDFoster Foul Turnover (P2.T4)36
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 7:13INDPacers Rebound36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 7:13SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot36
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 7:25SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 7:27INDMISS Foster 5' Jump Shot36
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 7:30INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 7:32INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup36
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 7:45SASUdrih Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)36
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 7:45SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 336
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:45SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)36
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 7:59SASSPURS Rebound36
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:59SASMISS Barry 4' Jump Shot36
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 8:01SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Barry 4' Jump Shot36
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 8:16SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot36
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:36INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 8:36INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:45INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 8:47SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot34
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 8:59SASBarry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)34
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 9:21INDTinsley 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 9:35SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)32
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 9:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot32
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 10:02INDHarrison 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)32
14.3%
34
85.7%
Q2 - 10:12SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)30
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 10:31INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:43INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Barry 14' Jump Shot27
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 11:05INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 11:12SASHorry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)24
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 11:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 11:30INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)24
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)24
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASRose 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)22
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot22
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 1:10INDTinsley 2' Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)22
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q1 - 1:15SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 1:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q1 - 1:21INDHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)20
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q1 - 1:43SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 1:43SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 1:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 1:49INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 2:02SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 2:16INDJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 2:40SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS)18
10.1%
25
89.9%
Q1 - 2:46INDHorry STEAL (1 STL)18
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 2:59SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 2:59SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 3:12INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:23SASParker 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 3:35SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 3:37INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot18
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 3:54SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:54SASHorry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)18
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 4:17INDFoster 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)18
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 4:23SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 4:37INDTinsley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 4:51SASBarry 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)14
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 5:11INDCurry 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)14
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 5:33INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot12
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 5:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 5:56SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 6:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 6:02INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot10
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:21SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 6:39INDFoster 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 7:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 7:31SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)8
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 7:54INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 7:54INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 8:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 8:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:15INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot6
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 8:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Parker 3' Layup6
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 8:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 9:10SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 9:33INDTinsley 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 9:48SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Ginobili 2' Reverse Layup2
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 10:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 10:09INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot2
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 10:28SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 10:38INDBowen STEAL (1 STL)2
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:41INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:48INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot2
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 11:04INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)2
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 11:26SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 11:37SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:38INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot0
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 11:55SASGinobili 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. O'Neal: Tip to Ginobili0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.7%
SAS
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
25
52%
SAS
20
35
57%
Midrange
IND
19
35
54%
SAS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
IND
19
27
70%
SAS
29
38
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal3247%16.0 / 34
J. Tinsley1853%9.0 / 17
J. Foster1267%6.0 / 9
R. Miller1161%5.5 / 9
D. Harrison975%4.5 / 6
F. Jones8133%4.0 / 3
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
M. Curry2100%1.0 / 1
A. Croshere250%1.0 / 2
E. Gill0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2752%13.5 / 26
T. Parker2681%13.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1860%9.0 / 15
B. Bowen1169%5.5 / 8
R. Horry1071%5.0 / 7
B. Udrih880%4.0 / 5
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
B. Barry338%1.5 / 4
M. Rose225%1.0 / 4
M. Wilks2100%1.0 / 1
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+10
-9
88
SAS
76
+17
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.7%
SAS
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
104.9
IND 112.6
SAS 124.7 +12.1
Pace
89.9
91.2
IND 90.7 +5.2
SAS 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.2
IND 15.9 +1.0
SAS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
49.2%
IND 54.1%
SAS 56.2% +2.1%
TO %
14.7%
14.2%
IND 9.6% +3.1%
SAS 12.7%
ORB %
26.5%
29.2%
IND 18.2%
SAS 48.5% +30.3%
FTrt
35.8
32.9
IND 37.0
SAS 52.1 +15.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
60.6%
IND 56.8% +16.3%
SAS 40.5%
STL %
8.3%
8.2%
IND 5.7%
SAS 6.7% +1.0%
BLK %
6.8%
9.9%
IND 1.7%
SAS 11.7% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.6%
IND 55.7%
SAS 59.0% +3.3%
Rim FG%
55.1%
59.3%
IND 52.0%
SAS 57.1% +5.1%
Mid FG%
39.5%
37.2%
IND 54.3% +15.2%
SAS 39.1%
3P %
34.4%
36.3%
IND 38.5%
SAS 53.3% +14.8%
FT %
79.2%
72.4%
IND 70.4%
SAS 76.3% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
37.6%
IND 34.2%
SAS 47.9% +13.7%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
40.8%
IND 47.9%
SAS 31.5% +16.4%
3P Att. %
25.5%
21.6%
IND 17.8%
SAS 20.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points98111
Rebounds2343
Assists2115
Steals56
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)27 (1)
Field Goals37-7337-73
At-the-Rim FG13-2520-35
Midrange FG19-359-23
2-Point FG32-6029-58
3-Point FG5-138-15
Free Throws19-2729-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
43.0
18
53%
2
8
2
0
2
3
0
2
3-6
50%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 255 · 26
40.7
32
47%
9
4
1
1
1
5
2
7
8-8
100%
12-30
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
37.0
11
61%
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
29.9
12
67%
7
1
2
0
2
4
3
4
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 210 · 36
15.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
32.0
8
133%
1
2
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
14.6
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 280 · 22
13.7
9
75%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
10.7
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 275 · 23
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
23
21
5
1
9
0
6
17
19-27
70%
32-60
53%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.