FinalWin Prob.pScore
2239%95
104
1461%99
111
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
111.89392.5
LAL logo LAL
120.79292.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOULAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL104
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS McGrady 30' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0LALMISS Atkins Layup104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUSura 9' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)104
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0LALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0LALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0LALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Sura 3PT Jump Shot102
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2102
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2102
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUTaylor 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)102
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 1:07LALOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bryant 10 AST)100
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 1:30HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)100
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 1:30HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)99
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 1:46HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 1:48LALMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot98
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 2:02HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Sura 8 AST)98
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 2:14LALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 2:14LALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 2:33HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)96
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 2:33HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)95
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 2:33HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:33HOUMISS Barry Layup94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:51LALBryant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)94
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 3:08HOUYao Layup (23 PTS) (Sura 7 AST)94
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 3:25LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 192
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:25LALOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Atkins 5 AST)92
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:45HOUTaylor 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)92
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 4:05LALAtkins 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)90
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 4:30HOUSura Driving Layup (18 PTS)90
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 4:34LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)88
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 4:54LALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 4:56HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 5:11LALBryant Reverse Dunk (25 PTS)88
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 5:34HOUMcGrady Layup (24 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)88
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 5:38HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 5:41LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot86
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 5:59HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)86
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 6:18HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 6:19LALMISS Butler Layup86
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 6:25LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 6:27HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot86
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 6:41LALBryant Foul Turnover (P2.T7)86
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 6:59HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (22 PTS)86
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 7:12LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 7:12LALMISS Bryant Free Throw Technical84
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 7:12LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 284
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 7:32HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)84
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 7:41HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 7:43LALMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot82
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 8:01HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 8:01HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 8:16HOURockets Rebound80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:17HOUMISS Barry Free Throw 2 of 280
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:17HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:21HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:23LALMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 8:48HOUSura Layup (16 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)79
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 8:56HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 8:59HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 9:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 9:13HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 9:30LALCook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 9 AST)77
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 9:47HOUSura Driving Layup (14 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)77
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 10:07LALCook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST)75
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:22HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 10:22HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 274
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 10:38LALBryant 12' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)74
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 10:52LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 10:54HOUMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot74
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 11:09LALCook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)74
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 11:20LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 11:21HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot74
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 11:40LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU74
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound74
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0LALMISS Atkins 21' Jump Shot74
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0LALLAKERS Rebound74
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0LALBryant Palming Turnover (P1.T6)74
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 174
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 1:00HOUYao Layup (17 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)74
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q3 - 1:15LALAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)72
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 1:30HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q3 - 1:30HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 1:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 1:32HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 1:42LALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 1:42LALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 2:10HOUHoward 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)70
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 2:19HOURockets Rebound68
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 2:19HOUMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 2:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 2:39LALMISS Odom Layup68
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q3 - 2:54LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)68
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 2:56HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot68
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 3:09HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q3 - 3:12LALMISS Bryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot68
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 3:14LALLAKERS Rebound68
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 3:14LALMISS Odom Layup68
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 3:37HOUSura 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)68
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q3 - 3:49LALMihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 3:49LALMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 4:14HOUWesley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)65
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 4:30LALOdom Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)62
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 4:36LALMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 4:38HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot62
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 4:54LALMihm Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)62
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 5:00LALMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 5:03LALMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 5:25HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)62
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 5:29HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 5:31LALMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot59
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 6:06LALOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)56
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 6:38HOUYao Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)56
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 6:50LALMihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 6:50LALMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 7:14HOUMcGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 7:27LALOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)52
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 7:37LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 7:39HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot52
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 8:02LALMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 8:02LALMihm Tip Shot (4 PTS)52
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 8:04LALMISS Bryant 7' Fadeaway Jumper52
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 8:13LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 8:25HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 8:27LALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot52
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 8:43HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 8:59LALButler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)49
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:18HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 149
6.7%
63
93.3%
Q3 - 9:18HOUYao 4' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)49
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 9:20HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot47
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 9:33HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 9:35LALMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot47
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 9:52HOUHoward 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 10:03LALMihm Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)45
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 10:27HOUYao Layup (9 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)45
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 10:38LALOdom Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)43
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 10:48HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 10:48HOUWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 10:52LALOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 11:14HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)41
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 11:23HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 11:25LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot39
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 11:46HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 11:46HOUHoward Layup (4 PTS)39
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 11:48HOUMISS McGrady 3' Dunk37
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU37
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound37
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS McGrady 62' 3PT Jump Shot37
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0LALBrown Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALAtkins Driving Layup (10 PTS)35
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q2 - 1:03HOUSura 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)35
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 1:10HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 1:12LALMISS Jones Layup33
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 1:21LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)33
2.5%
57
97.5%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Sura Layup33
2.5%
57
97.5%
Q2 - 1:34LALOdom 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 1:49HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:49HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 1:56LALButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 2:13LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)31
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 2:14HOUJones BLOCK (1 BLK)31
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 2:20HOURockets Rebound31
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:20HOUMISS McGrady Alley Oop Dunk31
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 2:33LALButler 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)31
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:53HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 2:53HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 230
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 3:06LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)30
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 3:06LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)30
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 3:18LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)30
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 3:42LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)30
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:42LALBryant Driving Layup (15 PTS)30
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 3:54HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 3:54HOUYao Layup (6 PTS)29
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 3:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 3:55HOUMISS Taylor 21' Jump Shot27
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 4:07LALMihm Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)27
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 4:11LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)27
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 4:12HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot27
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 4:36LALBryant 18' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)27
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 4:51HOUYao Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)27
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 5:03LALBryant 15' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)25
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 5:21HOUSura 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST)25
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 5:45HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 5:46LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 223
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 5:46LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 6:09HOUTaylor 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)23
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 6:21LALGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 6:21LALGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 6:24LALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.8%
39
93.2%
Q2 - 6:26HOUMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot21
7.1%
39
92.9%
Q2 - 6:45LALBryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)21
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 6:55LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)21
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 6:56HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot21
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 7:16LALOdom Layup (6 PTS)21
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 7:19LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 7:22HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 7:36LALGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)21
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 7:39LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 7:41HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 8:01HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 8:03LALMISS Bryant 12' Fadeaway Jumper21
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 8:17HOUMutombo Foul Turnover (P1.T5)21
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 8:27LALBrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)21
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 8:49HOUBarry 17' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 9:03LALBryant 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 9:22HOUTaylor Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)19
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 9:37LALGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)17
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMutombo 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)17
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q2 - 10:18HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 10:21LALMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 10:40HOUBarrett 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)15
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q2 - 10:47HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 10:49LALMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q2 - 11:00LALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.7%
26
87.3%
Q2 - 11:02HOUMISS McGrady Layup13
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q2 - 11:11HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q2 - 11:13LALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot13
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)13
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 11:34HOURockets Rebound13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q2 - 11:34HOUMISS Barry 19' Jump Shot13
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound13
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Brown 36' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0HOUMcGrady Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0LALButler 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)13
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)13
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0LALButler 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)11
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q1 - 1:08LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.0%
21
83.0%
Q1 - 1:11HOUMISS Mutombo 7' Hook Shot11
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 1:32LALButler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)11
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 1:54HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 2:10LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 2:10LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 29
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 2:24LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 2:26HOUMISS Barry 15' Jump Shot9
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 2:48LALAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)9
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 3:14HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 3:28LALButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)7
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 3:36LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 3:39HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot7
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 3:46HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 3:49LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot7
24.5%
13
75.5%
Q1 - 4:10HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 4:31LALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 4:31LALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 4:37LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 4:39HOUMihm BLOCK (2 BLK)7
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 4:44HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.6%
11
71.4%
Q1 - 4:47LALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot7
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 4:55LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 4:56HOUMISS Yao Layup7
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 5:08HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 5:11LALMISS Mihm 16' Jump Shot7
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 5:29LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 5:31HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 5:45LALAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)7
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 5:50LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 5:52HOUMihm BLOCK (1 BLK)7
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 6:11LALOdom 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 6:14LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 6:16LALMISS Mihm Layup7
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 6:34HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 6:42LALAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 6:57LALLAKERS Rebound7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 6:58HOUMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot7
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 7:12LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 7:12LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 7:14LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Bank Shot7
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 7:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 7:28LALMISS Mihm 16' Jump Shot7
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 7:39LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 7:42HOUMISS Yao 21' Jump Shot7
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 7:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 7:52LALMISS Bryant 9' Jump Shot7
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)7
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 8:33HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 8:35LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot4
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 8:52LALAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 8:54HOUMISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 9:09LALBryant Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:22LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 9:24HOUMISS Sura 14' Jump Shot4
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot4
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 9:54HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:56LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:17HOUMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:42LALAtkins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mihm 1 AST)2
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:45LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 10:49LALMISS Mihm 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 10:55LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 10:57HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:09HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:11LALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:29HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:29HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:39HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:43LALMISS Bryant 16' Fadeaway Jumper0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Mihm vs. Yao: Tip to Odom0
33.4%
0
66.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.0%
LAL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
23
61%
LAL
13
19
68%
Midrange
HOU
19
40
48%
LAL
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
LAL
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
HOU
20
25
80%
LAL
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2654%13.0 / 24
Yao2560%12.5 / 21
B. Sura2059%10.0 / 17
M. Taylor1169%5.5 / 8
J. Howard1056%5.0 / 9
D. Wesley531%2.5 / 8
J. Barry319%1.5 / 8
D. Mutombo250%1.0 / 2
A. Barrett2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2756%13.5 / 24
C. Butler2166%10.5 / 16
L. Odom2063%10.0 / 16
C. Atkins1568%7.5 / 11
C. Mihm1056%5.0 / 9
B. Cook8100%4.0 / 4
B. Grant675%3.0 / 4
T. Brown450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
88
+14
-5
102
LAL
84
+7
-8
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.02 51.0%
LAL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
105.3
HOU 111.8
LAL 120.7 +8.8
Pace
91.5
93.4
HOU 92.5 +0.1
LAL 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.2
HOU 15.6 +0.0
LAL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
48.5%
HOU 49.4%
LAL 60.1% +10.7%
TO %
14.2%
14.7%
HOU 5.9% +2.5%
LAL 8.4%
ORB %
26.4%
29.5%
HOU 20.0% +8.2%
LAL 11.8%
FTrt
30.9
32.2
HOU 29.4
LAL 39.2 +9.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
57.8%
HOU 64.1%
LAL 65.0% +0.9%
STL %
7.5%
6.6%
HOU 5.4% +5.4%
LAL 0.0%
BLK %
7.4%
6.4%
HOU 3.7%
LAL 4.8% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.8%
HOU 51.0%
LAL 61.0% +10.0%
Rim FG%
57.3%
55.0%
HOU 60.9%
LAL 68.4% +7.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.6%
HOU 47.5%
LAL 51.4% +3.9%
3P %
36.4%
35.5%
HOU 27.3%
LAL 45.0% +17.7%
FT %
78.1%
77.7%
HOU 80.0% +4.1%
LAL 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
36.1%
HOU 27.1% +1.4%
LAL 25.7%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
36.5%
HOU 47.1% +0.2%
LAL 47.3%
3P Att. %
23.7%
27.3%
HOU 25.9%
LAL 27.0% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOULAL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points104111
Rebounds3836
Assists2526
Steals50
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals39-8540-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2313-19
Midrange FG19-4018-35
2-Point FG33-6331-54
3-Point FG6-229-20
Free Throws20-2522-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
47.2
26
54%
4
8
2
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
7-14
50%
4-10
40%
G · 6'5" 200 · 32
35.7
20
59%
7
8
1
0
1
4
2
5
5-6
83%
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
G · 6'1" 203 · 34
31.4
5
31%
3
3
1
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'6" 310 · 24
30.5
25
60%
5
0
0
0
1
6
3
2
9-11
82%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
29.9
10
56%
9
1
0
2
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
23.4
3
19%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28
23.3
11
69%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
8.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
6.3
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
38
25
5
2
5
0
8
30
20-25
80%
33-63
52%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.