FinalWin Prob.pScore
2015%87
90
285%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.18988.0
SAS logo SAS
113.88788.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS90
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMartin 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASParker 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54SASHorry Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DENMartin 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T14)82
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45DENNene 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)82
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 4:02SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)80
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:06DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:27SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:42SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 4:45DENDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)80
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 5:00SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 5:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 5:15DENAnthony 1' Layup (8 PTS)80
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 5:17DENMISS Anthony 1' Alley Oop Dunk78
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 5:40SASDuncan 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)78
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 5:46DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)78
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 5:58DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)78
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 6:00SASSPURS Rebound78
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 278
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 278
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 6:17DENNene 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 6:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 6:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 6:55DENAnthony 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 6:59DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)74
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:16SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:31DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)74
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:37DENNuggets Rebound74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:37DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot74
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 8:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Nene 2' Tip Shot74
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 8:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 8:01DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Bank Shot74
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 8:03DENMISS Martin 16' Fadeaway Jumper74
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 8:29SASDuncan 2' Dunk (16 PTS)74
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)74
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 9:04DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 9:04DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)72
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)72
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 9:34SASSPURS Rebound72
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 9:35DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 9:42SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)72
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 9:56DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 9:56DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q4 - 10:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 10:17SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot70
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 10:33DENCamby 1' Layup (8 PTS)70
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 10:48SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)68
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 11:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Russell 13' Jump Shot68
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 11:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot68
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q4 - 11:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q4 - 11:39DENMISS Boykins 6' Jump Shot68
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q4 - 11:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 268
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound68
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Camby 3PT Fadeaway Jumper68
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Nene 1' Dunk68
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASParker 3' Layup (18 PTS)68
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot66
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 1:05DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 1:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 1:12SASMISS Horry 6' Jump Shot64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 1:22DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 1:22DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 1:25SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 1:25SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 1:42DENBoykins 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 2:08SASBowen 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)60
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 2:33DENRussell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)60
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 2:53SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 2:53SASHorry 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 3:02DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 3:02DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 3:27SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS)55
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 3:33SASBarry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)55
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 3:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 3:51DENMartin 1' Follow Up Dunk (18 PTS)55
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 3:52DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot53
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 4:03DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot53
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 4:30DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 4:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 4:40SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)51
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 4:40SASSPURS Rebound51
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 4:40SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot51
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 5:20DENCamby Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)51
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 5:30SASHorry 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)51
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 5:47DENJohnson 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 6:01SASParker 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)49
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 6:32DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)49
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 6:52SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)47
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 6:59DENMISS Camby 4' Jump Shot47
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q3 - 7:03SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)47
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 7:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)47
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 7:07DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)47
6.3%
54
93.7%
Q3 - 7:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)47
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 7:19SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot47
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 7:34DENCamby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)47
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 7:36DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup47
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 7:59DENMiller 1' Layup (14 PTS)47
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 8:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)45
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Hook Shot45
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 8:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)45
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q3 - 8:19DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot45
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 8:36DENNuggets Rebound45
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 8:54DENMartin 3' Layup (16 PTS)45
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q3 - 9:07SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)43
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q3 - 9:27DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 242
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 9:38SASGinobili 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:59DENMiller 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)42
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q3 - 10:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot40
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q3 - 10:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q3 - 10:24DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot40
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 140
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 10:59SASBowen 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 11:10SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q3 - 11:12DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot40
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q3 - 11:31SASGinobili Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)40
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN38
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot38
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)38
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot38
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMiller 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASBowen 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 1:14DENNene 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)36
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 1:28DENNuggets Rebound34
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot34
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)34
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 2:12DENCamby 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)34
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 2:31SASGinobili 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)32
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 2:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 2:36DENNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)32
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 2:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot32
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)32
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 3:11DENMartin 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)32
5.8%
40
94.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 3:17DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)30
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 3:35DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 230
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 230
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 3:53DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)30
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 4:15SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)28
4.2%
40
95.8%
Q2 - 4:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)28
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot28
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)28
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)28
5.3%
37
94.7%
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)28
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 4:57DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)28
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 4:57DENNuggets Rebound28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony 23' Jump Shot28
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 5:13DENNuggets Rebound28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 5:15DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)28
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 5:22SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot28
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 5:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 6:09DENNuggets Turnover: Backcourt (T#9)28
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 6:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 6:19SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot28
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 6:45DENMiller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)28
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 6:48DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
8.1%
32
91.9%
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot26
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 7:10SASSPURS Rebound26
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q2 - 7:25SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T5)26
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 7:30SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 226
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 7:33SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot26
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 7:55DENMiller 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)26
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 8:04SASJump Ball Rose vs. Nene: Tip to Camby24
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot24
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q2 - 8:22DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 8:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot22
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 8:58DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T8)22
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 9:06DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 222
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:07SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 9:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot22
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 9:31SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q2 - 9:31SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q2 - 9:35SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q2 - 9:38DENBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)22
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 9:44SASBrown 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)22
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q2 - 9:51DENHorry STEAL (1 STL)22
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q2 - 9:57SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q2 - 10:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot22
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 10:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Udrih 4' Running Jump Shot22
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 10:45DENNene 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)22
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 11:00SASUdrih 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)20
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q2 - 11:10DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q2 - 11:10DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q2 - 11:14DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot18
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q2 - 11:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Shot18
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN18
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.7%
24
93.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)16
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot16
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)16
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Layup16
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot16
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENNene 1' Dunk (2 PTS)16
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
5.6%
24
94.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
5.6%
24
94.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot14
5.5%
24
94.5%
Q1 - 1:13DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
5.3%
24
94.7%
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 213
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 1:32SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 1:53DENMartin 1' Dunk (8 PTS)13
5.8%
22
94.2%
Q1 - 1:56SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 1:57SASSPURS Rebound11
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 1:58SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot11
5.1%
22
94.9%
Q1 - 2:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 2:21DENHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)11
4.9%
22
95.1%
Q1 - 2:34SASBarry 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 2:49DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
5.7%
20
94.3%
Q1 - 2:49DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 2:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
5.2%
20
94.8%
Q1 - 2:52DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot9
4.9%
20
95.1%
Q1 - 3:19SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
5.4%
20
94.6%
Q1 - 3:34DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)9
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 3:46SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)9
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 4:11DENMartin 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)9
6.7%
16
93.3%
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
6.3%
16
93.7%
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
6.5%
15
93.5%
Q1 - 4:30DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)7
6.7%
14
93.3%
Q1 - 4:39SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
7.4%
14
92.6%
Q1 - 5:03DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 5:22SASParker 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)5
7.3%
12
92.7%
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
7.9%
10
92.1%
Q1 - 5:35DENMISS Boykins 13' Jump Shot5
8.1%
10
91.9%
Q1 - 6:00SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
8.6%
10
91.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.2%
8
90.8%
Q1 - 6:13DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot5
9.4%
8
90.6%
Q1 - 6:34SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 6:54DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 7:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 7:02SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot5
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 7:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)2
8.5%
6
91.5%
Q1 - 7:42SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 8:01DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
8.3%
6
91.7%
Q1 - 8:04DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
7.6%
6
92.4%
Q1 - 8:23DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 8:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot0
7.6%
6
92.4%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Parker Reverse Layup0
7.6%
6
92.4%
Q1 - 8:48SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 8:50DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Bank Shot0
7.4%
6
92.6%
Q1 - 8:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 8:59DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
7.4%
6
92.6%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 9:33SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.2%
4
91.8%
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot0
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:01SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
8.9%
4
91.1%
Q1 - 10:10DENParker STEAL (1 STL)0
9.4%
2
90.6%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:17SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:20SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Hook Shot0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:36DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:55SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Camby: Tip to Ginobili0
10.8%
0
89.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
35
57%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
DEN
13
33
39%
SAS
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
SAS
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
DEN
21
23
91%
SAS
23
32
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2662%13.0 / 21
A. Miller1650%8.0 / 16
E. Boykins1260%6.0 / 10
M. Camby1056%5.0 / 9
Nene1050%5.0 / 10
C. Anthony827%4.0 / 15
D. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
B. Russell350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2279%11.0 / 14
T. Parker2059%10.0 / 17
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
B. Bowen1785%8.5 / 10
R. Horry1169%5.5 / 8
B. Udrih550%2.5 / 5
B. Barry3150%1.5 / 1
D. Brown233%1.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic0-0.0 / 6
M. Rose0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
75
+14
-14
89
SAS
74
+11
-13
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
104.9
DEN 101.1
SAS 113.8 +12.7
Pace
95.8
91.2
DEN 88.0
SAS 88.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.2
DEN 16.4
SAS 16.4 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.2%
DEN 45.4%
SAS 52.8% +7.4%
TO %
15.0%
14.2%
DEN 15.7%
SAS 14.0% +1.7%
ORB %
28.4%
29.2%
DEN 28.6% +7.0%
SAS 21.6%
FTrt
35.0
32.9
DEN 30.3
SAS 44.4 +14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
60.6%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
9.5%
8.2%
DEN 10.1% +3.2%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
9.3%
9.9%
DEN 4.8%
SAS 13.2% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
50.6%
DEN 48.9%
SAS 55.0% +6.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.3%
DEN 57.1%
SAS 64.5% +7.4%
Mid FG%
37.4%
37.2%
DEN 39.4% +1.9%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
34.0%
36.3%
DEN 12.5%
SAS 44.4% +31.9%
FT %
76.3%
72.4%
DEN 91.3% +19.4%
SAS 71.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
37.6%
DEN 46.1% +3.0%
SAS 43.1%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
40.8%
DEN 43.4% +1.0%
SAS 44.4%
3P Att. %
14.2%
21.6%
DEN 10.5%
SAS 12.5% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9099
Rebounds3933
Assists1720
Steals96
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals34-7636-72
At-the-Rim FG20-3520-31
Midrange FG13-3312-32
2-Point FG33-6832-63
3-Point FG1-84-9
Free Throws21-2323-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
41.7
26
62%
7
1
2
0
4
4
3
4
6-6
100%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.2
16
50%
2
3
2
0
2
4
0
2
4-5
80%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
37.3
10
56%
15
3
1
0
3
3
2
13
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
33.6
8
27%
5
5
0
0
4
4
3
2
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'9" 210 · 25
15.2
5
63%
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
31.3
10
50%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
24.9
12
60%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
17.8
3
50%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
49%
39
17
9
3
14
0
10
29
21-23
91%
33-68
49%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.