Final Win Prob. pScore
2015%87
90
285%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
101.18988.0
SAS logo Spurs
113.88788.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS90
99
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMartin 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)90
99
Q4 - 0:28.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
99
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot88
99
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)88
99
Q4 - 1:01SASParker 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
99
Q4 - 1:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
97
Q4 - 1:14DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot86
97
Q4 - 1:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
97
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Horry 16' Jump Shot86
97
Q4 - 1:38DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)86
97
Q4 - 1:54SASHorry Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)84
97
Q4 - 2:19DENMartin 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)84
95
Q4 - 2:42SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)82
95
Q4 - 2:53DENMartin Violation:Kicked Ball82
92
Q4 - 3:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
92
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
92
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T14)82
92
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P4)82
92
Q4 - 3:37SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)82
92
Q4 - 3:45DENNene 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)82
92
Q4 - 4:02SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)80
92
Q4 - 4:06DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)80
92
Q4 - 4:27SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)80
92
Q4 - 4:42SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
89
Q4 - 4:45DENDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)80
89
Q4 - 5:00SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
89
Q4 - 5:00SASSPURS Rebound80
88
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
88
Q4 - 5:00DENCamby P.FOUL (P3.PN)80
88
Q4 - 5:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
88
Q4 - 5:15DENAnthony 1' Layup (8 PTS)80
88
Q4 - 5:17DENMISS Anthony 1' Alley Oop Dunk78
88
Q4 - 5:31DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
88
Q4 - 5:40SASDuncan 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)78
88
Q4 - 5:46DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)78
86
Q4 - 5:58DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)78
86
Q4 - 6:00SASSPURS Rebound78
86
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 278
86
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 278
86
Q4 - 6:00DENNene P.FOUL (P3.PN)78
86
Q4 - 6:17DENNene 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)78
86
Q4 - 6:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
86
Q4 - 6:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
85
Q4 - 6:34DENCamby S.FOUL (P2.PN)76
84
Q4 - 6:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
84
Q4 - 6:55DENAnthony 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
84
Q4 - 6:59DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)74
84
Q4 - 7:16SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)74
84
Q4 - 7:31DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)74
84
Q4 - 7:37DENSUB: Camby FOR Boykins74
84
Q4 - 7:37SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)74
84
Q4 - 7:37DENNuggets Rebound74
84
Q4 - 7:37DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot74
84
Q4 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
84
Q4 - 7:55SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
83
Q4 - 7:55DENMartin S.FOUL (P4.PN)74
82
Q4 - 7:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
82
Q4 - 8:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
82
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Nene 2' Tip Shot74
82
Q4 - 8:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
82
Q4 - 8:01DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Bank Shot74
82
Q4 - 8:03DENMISS Martin 16' Fadeaway Jumper74
82
Q4 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
82
Q4 - 8:29SASDuncan 2' Dunk (16 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
80
Q4 - 8:45DENMartin P.FOUL (P3.T4)74
80
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)74
80
Q4 - 8:53DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Nene )74
79
Q4 - 8:57SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih74
79
Q4 - 8:5774
79
Q4 - 8:57DENBoykins P.FOUL (P3.T3)74
79
Q4 - 9:04DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
79
Q4 - 9:04DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
79
Q4 - 9:04SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T2)72
79
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)72
79
Q4 - 9:20DENMiller S.FOUL (P4.T2)72
78
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)72
78
Q4 - 9:34DENSUB: Martin FOR Camby72
76
Q4 - 9:34SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic72
76
Q4 - 9:34SASSPURS Rebound72
76
Q4 - 9:35DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 9:42SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)72
76
Q4 - 9:56DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
76
Q4 - 9:56DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
76
Q4 - 9:56DENSUB: Miller FOR Russell70
76
Q4 - 9:56SASUdrih S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
76
Q4 - 10:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
76
Q4 - 10:17SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot70
76
Q4 - 10:33DENCamby 1' Layup (8 PTS)70
76
Q4 - 10:48SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)68
76
Q4 - 11:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
73
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Russell 13' Jump Shot68
73
Q4 - 11:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
73
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot68
73
Q4 - 11:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
73
Q4 - 11:39DENMISS Boykins 6' Jump Shot68
73
Q4 - 11:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
73
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 268
73
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
73
Q4 - 11:45DENRussell S.FOUL (P2.T1)68
72
Q4 - 12:0068
72
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
72
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound68
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Camby 3PT Fadeaway Jumper68
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
72
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Nene 1' Dunk68
72
Q3 - 0:26.0SASParker 3' Layup (18 PTS)68
72
Q3 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
70
Q3 - 0:34.0DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
70
Q3 - 0:34.0SASHorry S.FOUL (P1.PN)66
70
Q3 - 0:48.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
70
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot66
70
Q3 - 1:05DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
70
Q3 - 1:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
70
Q3 - 1:12SASMISS Horry 6' Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 1:22DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 1:22DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
70
Q3 - 1:22SASParker P.FOUL (P3.PN)62
70
Q3 - 1:25SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
70
Q3 - 1:25SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
69
Q3 - 1:25DENSUB: Camby FOR Johnson62
68
Q3 - 1:25DENJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)62
68
Q3 - 1:42DENBoykins 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
68
Q3 - 2:08SASBowen 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)60
68
Q3 - 2:33DENRussell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)60
66
Q3 - 2:53SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
66
Q3 - 2:53SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown57
65
Q3 - 2:53DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
65
Q3 - 2:53DENBoykins S.FOUL (P2.PN)57
65
Q3 - 2:53SASHorry 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
65
Q3 - 3:02DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
63
Q3 - 3:02DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
63
Q3 - 3:02SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.PN)55
63
Q3 - 3:27SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS)55
63
Q3 - 3:33DENSUB: Boykins FOR Miller55
61
Q3 - 3:33SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan55
61
Q3 - 3:33SASBarry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)55
61
Q3 - 3:33DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Miller )55
60
Q3 - 3:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
60
Q3 - 3:51DENMartin 1' Follow Up Dunk (18 PTS)55
60
Q3 - 3:52DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot53
60
Q3 - 4:03DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
60
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot53
60
Q3 - 4:30DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
60
Q3 - 4:30DENSUB: Nene FOR Camby52
60
Q3 - 4:30SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili52
60
Q3 - 4:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
60
Q3 - 4:30SASParker S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
60
Q3 - 4:33SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T4)51
60
Q3 - 4:40SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)51
60
Q3 - 4:40SASSPURS Rebound51
60
Q3 - 4:40SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 4:55DENMartin P.FOUL (P2.T4)51
60
Q3 - 5:03DENJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)51
60
Q3 - 5:20DENCamby Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)51
60
Q3 - 5:30SASHorry 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)51
60
Q3 - 5:47DENJohnson 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
58
Q3 - 6:01DENMartin Violation:Defensive Goaltending49
58
Q3 - 6:01SASParker 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)49
58
Q3 - 6:11SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic49
56
Q3 - 6:11SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen49
56
Q3 - 6:11SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)49
56
Q3 - 6:11DENMiller P.FOUL (P3.T2)49
56
Q3 - 6:32DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)49
56
Q3 - 6:52SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)47
56
Q3 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
54
Q3 - 6:59DENMISS Camby 4' Jump Shot47
54
Q3 - 7:03SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)47
54
Q3 - 7:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)47
54
Q3 - 7:07DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)47
54
Q3 - 7:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)47
54
Q3 - 7:19SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot47
54
Q3 - 7:34SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih47
54
Q3 - 7:34DENCamby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)47
54
Q3 - 7:36DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
54
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup47
54
Q3 - 7:59DENMiller 1' Layup (14 PTS)47
54
Q3 - 8:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)45
54
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Hook Shot45
54
Q3 - 8:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)45
54
Q3 - 8:19DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot45
54
Q3 - 8:36DENNuggets Rebound45
54
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
54
Q3 - 8:54DENMartin 3' Layup (16 PTS)45
54
Q3 - 9:07SASNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)43
54
Q3 - 9:27DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
54
Q3 - 9:27DENNuggets Rebound42
54
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 242
54
Q3 - 9:27SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T3)42
54
Q3 - 9:36DENSUB: Russell FOR Anthony42
54
Q3 - 9:36SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker42
54
Q3 - 9:36SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T2)42
54
Q3 - 9:38SASGinobili 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
54
Q3 - 9:59DENMiller 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)42
52
Q3 - 10:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
52
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot40
52
Q3 - 10:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
52
Q3 - 10:24DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot40
52
Q3 - 10:44SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)40
52
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
50
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 140
50
Q3 - 10:59DENAnthony S.FOUL (P4.T1)40
50
Q3 - 10:59SASBowen 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
50
Q3 - 11:10SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
48
Q3 - 11:12DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot40
48
Q3 - 11:31SASGinobili Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)40
48
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
48
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
48
Q3 - 11:41SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)38
48
Q3 - 12:0038
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN38
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
48
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih38
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)38
48
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)38
48
Q2 - 0:22.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
48
Q2 - 0:24.0SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMiller 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
48
Q2 - 0:50.0SASBowen 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
48
Q2 - 1:14DENNene 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)36
46
Q2 - 1:28SASNesterovic L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)34
46
Q2 - 1:28DENNuggets Rebound34
46
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot34
46
Q2 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)34
46
Q2 - 1:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 1:51DENNene P.FOUL (P2.PN)34
44
Q2 - 2:12DENCamby 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)34
44
Q2 - 2:22DENSUB: Russell FOR Anthony32
44
Q2 - 2:22SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker32
44
Q2 - 2:22DENSUB: Miller FOR Boykins32
44
Q2 - 2:22DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)32
44
Q2 - 2:31SASGinobili 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)32
44
Q2 - 2:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 2:36DENNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)32
42
Q2 - 2:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
42
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)32
42
Q2 - 3:11DENMartin 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)32
40
Q2 - 3:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
40
Q2 - 3:17DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)30
40
Q2 - 3:35DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
40
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 230
40
Q2 - 3:36SASSPURS Rebound30
40
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 230
40
Q2 - 3:36DENAnthony P.FOUL (P3.PN)30
40
Q2 - 3:53DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)30
40
Q2 - 4:15SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 4:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)28
38
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot28
38
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)28
38
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)28
37
Q2 - 4:38SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Rose28
36
Q2 - 4:38SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)28
36
Q2 - 4:38DENNene S.FOUL (P1.PN)28
35
Q2 - 4:57DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)28
35
Q2 - 4:57DENNuggets Rebound28
35
Q2 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony 23' Jump Shot28
35
Q2 - 5:13SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown28
35
Q2 - 5:13DENNuggets Rebound28
35
Q2 - 5:15DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)28
35
Q2 - 5:22SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)28
35
Q2 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
35
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot28
35
Q2 - 5:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)28
35
Q2 - 5:59DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T4)28
32
Q2 - 6:09DENNuggets Turnover: Backcourt (T#9)28
32
Q2 - 6:13SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udrih28
32
Q2 - 6:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
32
Q2 - 6:19SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot28
32
Q2 - 6:31DENSUB: Anthony FOR Miller28
32
Q2 - 6:31DENMartin Violation:Kicked Ball28
32
Q2 - 6:44SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
32
Q2 - 6:45DENMiller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)28
32
Q2 - 6:48DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
32
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 7:10SASSPURS Rebound26
32
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 7:25SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T5)26
32
Q2 - 7:25SASRose OFF.Foul (P1)26
32
Q2 - 7:30SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili26
32
Q2 - 7:30SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
32
Q2 - 7:30SASSPURS Rebound26
31
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 226
31
Q2 - 7:30DENMiller FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T3)26
31
Q2 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
31
Q2 - 7:33SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 7:55DENMiller 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)26
31
Q2 - 8:04DENNuggets Rebound24
31
Q2 - 8:04SASJump Ball Rose vs. Nene: Tip to Camby24
31
Q2 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot24
31
Q2 - 8:22DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
31
Q2 - 8:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
31
Q2 - 8:44SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen22
31
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot22
31
Q2 - 8:58DENSUB: Martin FOR Anthony22
31
Q2 - 8:5822
31
Q2 - 8:58DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T8)22
31
Q2 - 8:58DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)22
31
Q2 - 9:06DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
31
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 222
31
Q2 - 9:07SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
31
Q2 - 9:07DENSUB: Camby FOR Russell22
30
Q2 - 9:07DENBoykins S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
30
Q2 - 9:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
30
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot22
30
Q2 - 9:31SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 9:31SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry22
29
Q2 - 9:31SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
29
Q2 - 9:31DENRussell S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
28
Q2 - 9:35SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28
Q2 - 9:38DENBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)22
28
Q2 - 9:44SASBrown 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)22
28
Q2 - 9:51DENHorry STEAL (1 STL)22
26
Q2 - 9:57SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
26
Q2 - 10:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 10:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Udrih 4' Running Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 10:45DENNene 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)22
26
Q2 - 11:00SASUdrih 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)20
26
Q2 - 11:10DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
24
Q2 - 11:10DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
24
Q2 - 11:10SASUdrih S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
24
Q2 - 11:14DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
24
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot18
24
Q2 - 11:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Shot18
24
Q2 - 12:0018
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN18
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
24
Q1 - 0:17.0DENRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
24
Q1 - 0:18.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)16
24
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot16
24
Q1 - 0:20.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)16
24
Q1 - 0:20.0SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Layup16
24
Q1 - 0:22.0SASMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot16
24
Q1 - 0:39.0DENNene 1' Dunk (2 PTS)16
24
Q1 - 0:41.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
24
Q1 - 0:49.0DENSUB: Russell FOR Martin14
24
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
24
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
24
Q1 - 0:55.0SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot14
24
Q1 - 1:13DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
24
Q1 - 1:13SASSUB: Brown FOR Barry13
24
Q1 - 1:13DENNuggets Rebound13
24
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 213
24
Q1 - 1:13SASBarry P.FOUL (P3.PN)13
24
Q1 - 1:32SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
24
Q1 - 1:37DENMiller P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
22
Q1 - 1:53DENMartin 1' Dunk (8 PTS)13
22
Q1 - 1:56SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
22
Q1 - 1:57SASSPURS Rebound11
22
Q1 - 1:58SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 2:18SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
22
Q1 - 2:21DENHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)11
22
Q1 - 2:34SASBarry 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)11
22
Q1 - 2:49DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
20
Q1 - 2:49DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
20
Q1 - 2:49SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan9
20
Q1 - 2:49DENSUB: Nene FOR Camby9
20
Q1 - 2:49DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)9
20
Q1 - 2:49SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.PN)9
20
Q1 - 2:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
20
Q1 - 2:52DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot9
20
Q1 - 3:19SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
20
Q1 - 3:34DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)9
18
Q1 - 3:46SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)9
18
Q1 - 4:11DENMartin 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)9
16
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
16
Q1 - 4:26SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
15
Q1 - 4:26DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
14
Q1 - 4:30DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)7
14
Q1 - 4:39SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
14
Q1 - 5:03DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 5:12SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic5
12
Q1 - 5:12SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T4)5
12
Q1 - 5:22SASParker 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)5
12
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
10
Q1 - 5:35DENMISS Boykins 13' Jump Shot5
10
Q1 - 6:00SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 6:11SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 6:13DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 6:34SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 6:54SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)5
6
Q1 - 6:54DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
6
Q1 - 7:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
6
Q1 - 7:02SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 7:22DENSUB: Boykins FOR Johnson4
6
Q1 - 7:22SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
6
Q1 - 7:22DENMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 7:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 7:42SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 8:01DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 8:04DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
6
Q1 - 8:23DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
6
Q1 - 8:29SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili0
6
Q1 - 8:29SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T2)0
6
Q1 - 8:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot0
6
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Parker Reverse Layup0
6
Q1 - 8:48SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 8:50DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Bank Shot0
6
Q1 - 8:56SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to0
6
Q1 - 8:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 8:59DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
6
Q1 - 9:11DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)0
6
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
6
Q1 - 9:33SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:01SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 10:10DENParker STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 10:15SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 10:38DENCamby P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 10:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
0
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:17SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:20SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:55SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Camby: Tip to Ginobili0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
35
57%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
DEN
13
33
39%
SAS
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
SAS
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
DEN
21
23
91%
SAS
23
32
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2662%13.0 / 21
A. Miller1650%8.0 / 16
E. Boykins1260%6.0 / 10
M. Camby1056%5.0 / 9
Nene1050%5.0 / 10
C. Anthony827%4.0 / 15
D. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
B. Russell350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2279%11.0 / 14
T. Parker2059%10.0 / 17
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
B. Bowen1785%8.5 / 10
R. Horry1169%5.5 / 8
B. Udrih550%2.5 / 5
B. Barry3150%1.5 / 1
D. Brown233%1.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic0-0.0 / 6
M. Rose0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
75
+14
-14
89
SAS
74
+11
-13
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.9%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
104.9
DEN 101.1
SAS 113.8 +12.7
Pace
95.8
91.2
DEN 88.0
SAS 88.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.2
DEN 16.4
SAS 16.4 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.2%
DEN 45.4%
SAS 52.8% +7.4%
TO %
15.0%
14.2%
DEN 15.7%
SAS 14.0% −1.7%
ORB %
28.4%
29.2%
DEN 28.6% +7.0%
SAS 21.6%
FTrt
35.0
32.9
DEN 30.3
SAS 44.4 +14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
60.6%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
9.5%
8.2%
DEN 10.1% +3.2%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
9.3%
9.9%
DEN 4.8%
SAS 13.2% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
50.6%
DEN 48.9%
SAS 55.0% +6.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.3%
DEN 57.1%
SAS 64.5% +7.4%
Mid FG%
37.4%
37.2%
DEN 39.4% +1.9%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
34.0%
36.3%
DEN 12.5%
SAS 44.4% +31.9%
FT %
76.3%
72.4%
DEN 91.3% +19.4%
SAS 71.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
37.6%
DEN 46.1% +3.0%
SAS 43.1%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
40.8%
DEN 43.4% −1.0%
SAS 44.4%
3P Att. %
14.2%
21.6%
DEN 10.5%
SAS 12.5% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9099
Rebounds3933
Assists1720
Steals96
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals34-7636-72
At-the-Rim FG20-3520-31
Midrange FG13-3312-32
2-Point FG33-6832-63
3-Point FG1-84-9
Free Throws21-2323-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
41.7
26
62%
7
1
2
0
4
4
3
4
6-6
100%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.2
16
50%
2
3
2
0
2
4
0
2
4-5
80%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
37.3
10
56%
15
3
1
0
3
3
2
13
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
33.6
8
27%
5
5
0
0
4
4
3
2
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'9" 210 · 25
15.2
5
63%
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22
31.3
10
50%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
24.9
12
60%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
17.8
3
50%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
F · 7'0" 225 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
49%
39
17
9
3
14
0
10
29
21-23
91%
33-68
49%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.