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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 8, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nets35%92101
16Magic65%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.0
43.5
37.0
16
55%
9
3
0
1
0
1
4
5
6-8
75%
5-10
7-15
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
41.4
32.6
22
49%
11
11
2
2
0
2
2
9
2-3
67%
4-12
2-6
33%
42%
4-9
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
41.0
34.8
20
70%
9
0
2
1
0
1
3
6
10-12
83%
5-9
3-6
56%
42%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 24.6
35.5
36.8
17
39%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
5-17
6-13
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.5
17.6
31.1
8
44%
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
29.0
23.0
6
38%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
40%
0-2
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.5
17.6
15.6
10
56%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
8.3
2.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
6.1
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
18.0
1
2-5
41%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
7.2
0
1-2
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.9
38.7
32.6
16
36%
5
9
0
1
1
4
3
2
6-9
67%
5-16
6-12
31%
45%
0-2
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.4
35.3
25.1
19
58%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
7-8
88%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
2-6
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.3
31.4
28.3
22
50%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-7
57%
9-19
5-11
47%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.1
27.2
25.9
14
81%
13
0
0
1
1
1
3
10
4-6
67%
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
15.7
28.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.4
25.1
8.9
8
100%
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.4
22.2
19.6
2
33%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.8
20.7
19.8
19
80%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
4-5
80%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.4
14.3
17.4
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 22.9
9.4
15.1
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 24.8
14.0
0
2-4
48%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.8
5.9
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.